Economic Security Neglected Dimension of National Security?
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Economic Security Neglected Dimension of National Security? Edited by Sheila R. Ronis Ronis INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security? Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security? Edited by Sheila R. Ronis Published for the Center for Strategic Conferencing Institute for National Strategic Studies by National Defense University Press Washington, D.C. 2011 Opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are solely those of the contributors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Defense Department or any other agency of the Federal Government. Cleared for public release; distribution unlimited. Portions of this book may be quoted or reprinted without permission, provided that a standard source credit line is included. NDU Press would appreciate a courtesy copy of reprints or reviews. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Economic security : neglected dimension of national security? / Center for Strategic Conferencing, Institute for National Strategic Studies. p. cm. On August 24-25, 2010, the National Defense University held a conference titled Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security? Selected papers from the conference, edited by Sheila R. Ronis, comprise this volume. 1. National security--Economic aspects--United States. 2. Economic security-- United States. 3. Energy security--United States. I. Ronis, Sheila R. II. National Defense University. Institute for National Strategic Studies. HC110.D4E452 2011 330.973--dc23 2011017236 NDU Press publications are sold by the U.S. Government Printing Office. For ordering informa- tion, call (202) 512–1800 or write to the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. For GPO publications on-line, access its Web site at: http://www. access.gpo.gov/su_docs/sale.html. For current publications of the Institute for National Strategic Studies, consult the National Defense University Web site at: http://www.ndu.edu. Contents Preface ...............................................................vii Introduction ........................................................ xi Chapter One We the People: Keeping the Economy and the Nation Strong ....................1 David M. Walker Chapter Two Toward a Premise for Grand Strategy ............................13 John F. Morton Chapter Three Energy Security Is National Security .............................63 Keith W. Cooley Chapter Four Achieving Energy Security That Feeds the Economic Component of National Security ....................75 Louis J. Infante Chapter Five A Well-educated Workforce: Vital Component of National and Economic Security ...............................83 Myra Howze Shiplett, Wendy Russell, Anne M. Khademian, and Lenora Peters Gant Chapter Six Innovation ...........................................................99 Carmen Medina Conclusion .........................................................107 Sheila R. Ronis About the Contributors ...........................................113 v Preface Five years ago, I had the privilege of conducting a study as a con- sultant to the U.S. House of Representatives Small Business Committee. Congress asked me, as a systems scientist, to look at a number of de- fense industrial base issues and their national security implications. The Nation is not well prepared to plan for or establish policy or “grand” strategy in a holistic or long-term sense, and the national security im- plications of that shortcoming remain very disturbing. I recommended the establishment of a center in the Executive Office of the President for “whole of government” and interagency “foresight capability and grand strategy development” and execution, along with an interagency committee of Congress to have oversight responsibility for the center because the Nation has no means to do this. Then, in my work with the Project on National Security Reform over the last few years, the Vision Working Group that I led recom- mended the establishment of a Center for Strategic Analysis and Assessment to provide the mechanism to conduct foresight studies and the development of the grand strategies that would follow—the kind of studies that would look at an entire system, such as the economy and its relationship to national security. At the end of World War II, General George C. Marshall said, “We are now concerned with the peace of the entire world, and the peace can only be maintained by the strong.” But how does the United States re- main strong? What does that mean in a world of globalization? And how do we even define what national security is in such a complex and inter- dependent world? Can we survive, let alone remain a superpower, if we no longer control any means of production? If we remain a major debtor nation? If we continue our dependence on unstable countries for our energy supplies? If we invest insufficient amounts of our resources in research and development, science and technology? Or if we perceive the training and education of people as a cost as opposed to an investment? Recently, I spoke about the national security implications of a downturn in the economy and the auto industry to some colleagues in Detroit. They said, “What are you talking about? What does the economy have to do with national security?” Most people in our country equate national security with military readiness, homeland defense, and generally protecting American interests at home and abroad. And vii viii ECONOMIC SECURITY: NEGLECTED DIMENSION OF NATIONAL SECURITY? they would be right, but not entirely. National security has other dimen- sions. It is a broad description of the elements in our society that make it “secure,” and that goes much further than providing for “a common defense.” It can include anything that adds to the strength of the Nation. It is about being strong in the sense General Marshall intended. Historically, national security includes the strength of our nation’s infrastructure, the foundation upon which the continuous growth of our society depends. This includes our strong societal and moral codes, the rule of law, stable government, social, political, and economic institutions, and leadership. Also included are our nation’s schools and educational programs to ensure a knowledgeable citizenry and lifelong learning—a must for a democracy. Our nation’s strength also requires investments in science, engineering, research and development, and technological leadership. We cannot be strong without a viable way to power our cities, feed ourselves, and move from one place to another. Most of all, a strong economy is an essential ingredient of a global su- perpower. Without it, we will lose our superpower status, and quickly. National security must include a healthy market-based economy, with a strong base of globally competitive products and services that produce jobs. This economy must include sound government policies to promote responsible choices and reduce our debt, and grand strategies for energy and environmental sustainability, science and technology leadership (at least in some areas), human capital capabilities, manufac- turing, and the industrial base. And these are not the only components. National security goes to the very core of how we define who we are as a people and a free society. It concerns how we view our world responsibilities. Economic security is a major element of national security, even as borders are less important than ever. No matter how we look at national security, there can be no question of the need to include the economic viability of our nation. Without capital, there is no business; without business, there is no profit; without profit, there are no jobs. And without jobs, there are no taxes, and there is no military capability. The viability of a nation’s industrial infrastructure, which provides jobs for its people, creates and distributes wealth, and leverages profits, is essential. Without jobs, the quality of peoples’ lives deteriorates to a point where society itself can disintegrate. It can also lead to strife on many different levels. As a nation, we need to find a strategy to deal PREFACE ix with this, and we will discuss the ideas of expeditionary economics. But poverty is not only a problem in Third World countries. It can occur at home, too—especially during a deep recession. No community, local or global, can sustain indefinitely whole populations of “haves” and “have nots.” And that gap is now growing within the United States. There is no question that a part of the infrastructure of a nation must include a sound economy. It was the relative deterioration of the Japanese and German economies that led those nations into World War II. Poverty around the world is a global systemic issue that frequently can and does lead to political instability. But we cannot help others if we cannot help ourselves, and our current economic crisis is a warning. National security is societal, political, and economic strength. In today’s world, national security for a superpower is meaningless without a strong military capability as well. The sovereignty and security of the United States, and the protection of its citizens and property around the world, remain the bedrock of national security. The execution of U.S. national security strategy is conducted in a highly volatile global environ- ment characterized by quantum changes in technology; unprecedented social, economic, and political interdependencies;