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Chapter Iv Individual Player Contributions in European Soccer
Guy Wilkinson PhD Thesis (2017) CHAPTER IV INDIVIDUAL PLAYER CONTRIBUTIONS IN EUROPEAN SOCCER ABSTRACT This paper looks at applying new techniques to predict match outcomes in professional soccer. To achieve this models are used which measure the individual contributions of soccer players within their team. Using data from the top 25 European soccer leagues, the individual contribution of players is measured using high dimensional fixed effects models. Nine years of results are used to produce player, team and manager estimates. A further year of results is used to check for predictive accuracy. Since this has useful applications in player scouting the paper will also look at how well the models rank players. The findings show an average prediction rate of 45% with all methods showing similar rankings for player productivity. While the model highlights the most productive players there is a bias towards players who produce and prevent goals directly. This results in more attackers and defenders ranking highly than midfield players. There is potential for these techniques to be used against the betting market as most models produce better performance than many betting firms. Guy Wilkinson PhD Thesis (2017) 1. INTRODUCTION This paper focuses on producing models with a high prediction rate in professional soccer. The main challenge is to produce accurate estimations of player ability, a problem analogous to research on worker productivity. The study of worker productivity is of great value to businesses in almost every industry. Hiring the best workers will improve the overall performance of business and increase profit. It is of great importance for firms to be able to screen potential employees efficiently to determine their value. -
Tactical Line-Up Uruguay - France # 57 06 JUL 2018 17:00 Nizhny Novgorod / Nizhny Novgorod Stadium / RUS
2018 FIFA World Cup Russia™ Quarter-final Tactical Line-up Uruguay - France # 57 06 JUL 2018 17:00 Nizhny Novgorod / Nizhny Novgorod Stadium / RUS Uruguay (URU) Shirt: light blue Shorts: black Socks: black/light blue # Name Pos 1 Fernando MUSLERA GK 2 Jose GIMENEZ DF 3 Diego GODIN (C) DF 6 Rodrigo BENTANCUR X MF 8 Nahitan NANDEZ MF 9 Luis SUAREZ FW 11 Cristhian STUANI FW 14 Lucas TORREIRA MF 15 Matias VECINO MF 17 Diego LAXALT MF 22 Martin CACERES DF Substitutes 4 Guillermo VARELA DF 5 Carlos SANCHEZ MF 7 Cristian RODRIGUEZ MF 10 Giorgian DE ARRASCAETA FW 12 Martin CAMPANA GK 13 Gaston SILVA DF 16 Maximiliano PEREIRA DF Matches played 18 Maximiliano GOMEZ FW 15 Jun EGY - URU 0 : 1 ( 0 : 0 ) 19 Sebastian COATES DF 20 Jun URU - KSA 1 : 0 ( 1 : 0 ) 25 Jun URU - RUS 3 : 0 ( 2 : 0 ) 20 Jonathan URRETAVISCAYA FW 30 Jun URU - POR 2 : 1 ( 1 : 0 ) 23 Martin SILVA GK 21 Edinson CAVANI I FW Coach Oscar TABAREZ (URU) France (FRA) Shirt: white Shorts: white Socks: white # Name Pos 1 Hugo LLORIS (C) GK 2 Benjamin PAVARD X DF 4 Raphael VARANE DF 5 Samuel UMTITI DF 6 Paul POGBA X MF 7 Antoine GRIEZMANN FW 9 Olivier GIROUD X FW 10 Kylian MBAPPE FW 12 Corentin TOLISSO X MF 13 Ngolo KANTE MF 21 Lucas HERNANDEZ DF Substitutes 3 Presnel KIMPEMBE DF 8 Thomas LEMAR FW 11 Ousmane DEMBELE FW 15 Steven NZONZI MF 16 Steve MANDANDA GK 17 Adil RAMI DF 18 Nabil FEKIR FW Matches played 19 Djibril SIDIBE DF 16 Jun FRA - AUS 2 : 1 ( 0 : 0 ) 20 Florian THAUVIN FW 21 Jun FRA - PER 1 : 0 ( 1 : 0 ) 26 Jun DEN - FRA 0 : 0 22 Benjamin MENDY DF 30 Jun FRA - ARG 4 : 3 ( 1 : 1 ) 23 Alphonse AREOLA GK 14 Blaise MATUIDI N MF Coach Didier DESCHAMPS (FRA) GK: Goalkeeper A: Absent W: Win GD: Goal difference VAR: Video Assistant Referee DF: Defender N: Not eligible to play D: Drawn Pts: Points AVAR 1: Assistant VAR MF: Midfielder I: Injured L: Lost AVAR 2: Offside VAR FW: Forward X: Misses next match if booked GF: Goals for AVAR 3: Support VAR C: Captain MP: Matches played GA: Goals against FRI 06 JUL 2018 15:08 CET / 16:08 Local time - Version 1 22°C / 71°F Hum.: 53% Page 1 / 1. -
Transfer Values and Probabilities
CIES Football Observatory Monthly Report Issue no. 6 - June 2015 Transfer values and probabilities Drs Raffaele Poli, Loïc Ravenel and Roger Besson 1. Introduction A new transfer window is shortly approaching For either the value or the probability of transfer, for the principal countries of European football. our estimates are based on econometrical models During summer 2014 the big-5 league clubs spent taking into account numerous variables relative a record 2.44 billion euro in transfer fees1. With to players and their teams as illustrated in Fig- the increase in revenues for the richest clubs, it is ure 1 below. Transfer values and probabilities are more than likely that the level of investments will estimated on the basis of over 1,500 fee-paying be similar or even greater for this transfer period. transfers involving big-5 league clubs from June 2009 up until the present. Moreover, the easing of the financial fair-play regime announced by UEFA should allow the The data presented refers to the situation on most affected clubs such as Paris St-Germain the 8th June 2015. Matches played or contracts and Manchester City to invest massively in the extended after this date are not included in the recruitment of new players. This will probably analysis. Our estimates take into account the in- reinforce the process of rising transfer costs and flationary trend of transfer fees. During the last will result in a new record concerning transfer six seasons, this was observed for the upper seg- expenditure. ment of the market in particular. The 6th Monthly Report of the CIES Football During the last two transfer windows, the corre- Observatory focuses not only on the transfer lation measured between transfer fees estimated value of big-5 league players. -
P27 Layout 1
27 Sports Tuesday, March 5, 2019 Balotelli posts goal celebration video on social media mid-match Lyon thrash Toulouse to strengthen grip on top-three spot PARIS: Mario Balotelli showed off a new goal celebra- “Often this season, we haven’t been calm under tion on Sunday as he took a selfie video with his pressure, but against Toulouse it was a good match,” Marseille teammates and posted it on social media dur- said Lyon captain Nabil Fekir, whose 21-year-old ing their 2-0 win over Saint-Etienne. The Italian scored younger brother Yassin made his Ligue 1 debut as a his fourth goal in six Ligue 1 games since joining 79th-minute substitute. Marseille from Nice in January by hooking home “Playing with my brother was a huge pleasure.” The Florian Thauvin’s 12th-minute corner with an excellent home side took less than 10 minutes to break the dead- acrobatic volley. lock at the Groupama Stadium as Memphis Depay fired “Balotelli takes the pressure, he takes the limelight. home a wonderful individual goal. He reminds me of (Zlatan) Ibrahimovic and he scored an Mathieu Dossevi levelled for Toulouse on the quar- Ibrahimovic goal,” said Saint-Etienne coach Jean-Louis ter-hour mark, but the visitors folded after Bertrand Gasset. “He has brought back the public, the confi- Traore restored Lyon’s advantage in the 30th minute. dence, and many of his teammates will raise their level Nabil Fekir netted a penalty five minutes later, and for- of play.” mer Celtic striker Dembele compounded Toulouse’s As he celebrated his volley, Balotelli took a phone misery in the second half. -
2017/18 UEFA Europa League Technical Report
Technical report 2017/18 Contents Overview Introduction Road to Lyon The final The winning Results coach Analysis Talking points Route to goal Goals of the season Squad of the season Statistics Number Team crunching profiles INTRODUCTION Group A Group B Villarreal CF FC Astana SK Slavia Praha Maccabi FC Dynamo Kyiv FK Partizan BSC Young Boys KF Skënderbeu (VIL) (AST) (SLP) Tel-Aviv FC (DKV) (PAR) (YB) (SKE) (MTA) Group C Group D SC Braga PFC Ludogorets İstanbul TSG 1899 AC Milan AEK Athens FC HNK Rijeka FK Austria Wien (BRA) 1945 Başakşehir Hoffenheim (MIL) (AEK) (RJK) (AW) (LUD) (IBS) (HOF) Group E Group F Atalanta BC Olympique Everton FC Apollon FC Lokomotiv FC København FC Sheriff FC Zlín UEFA’s Technical Observers (from left to right): Milenko (ATA) Lyonnais (EVE) Limassol FC Moskva (KOB) (SHE) (ZLI) Ačimovič, Jerzy Engel, Mixu Paatelainen, Thomas Schaaf, (LYO ) (APL) (LOM) Ghenadie Scurtul, Stefan Majewski, Frank Ludolph Group G Group H FC Viktoria Plzeň FCSB FC Lugano Hapoel Beer- Arsenal FC FK Crvena zvezda 1. FC Köln FC BATE Borisov Analysis, reflection (PLZ) (FCSB) (LUG) Sheva FC (ARS) (ZVE) (KLN) (BATE) (HBS) and debate Group I Group J UEFA’s Technical Observers Group met after the final in Lyon to discuss the season’s key trends. FC Salzburg Olympique de Konyaspor Vitória SC Athletic Club Östersunds FK FC Zorya Luhansk Hertha BSC (SAL) Marseille (KON) (VSC) (ATH) (OST) (ZOR) Berlin Their thoughts form the basis of this report (MAR) (HRT) Group K Group L This review of the 2017/18 UEFA Europa the morning after the final between Olympique Mixu Paatelainen, the national coach of League campaign serves as a record of a de Marseille and Club Atlético de Madrid. -