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2016 GAME NOTES American League East Champions 1985, 1989, 1991, 1992, 1993, 2015 American League Champions 1992, 1993 World Series Champions 1992, 1993 Toronto Blue Jays Communications Department http://www.bluejaysmedia.com Game #30, Home #16 (7-8), TEXAS RANGERS (15-13) vs. TORONTO BLUE JAYS (14-15), Thursday, May 5, 2016 PROBABLE PITCHING MATCHUPS: (All Times Eastern) Thursday, May 5 vs Texas Rangers, 7:07pm…LHP Derek Holland (3-1, 2.48) vs. LHP J.A. Happ (3-0, 2.76)…SNET-1 Friday, May 6 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, 7:07 pm…RHP Kenta Maeda () vs. RHP Marcus Stroman (4-0, 3.77)…SNET Saturday, May 7 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, 1:07 pm…LHP Clayton Kershaw (3-1, 1.96) vs. RHP R.A. Dickey (1-3, 5.73)…SNET-1 Sunday, May 8 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, 1:07 pm…RHP Ross Stripling (0-2, 4.33) vs. RHP Marco Estrada (1-2, 2.64)…SNET-1 6ix SIDE: 2016 GLANCING at the JAYS Are 7-8 at Rogers Centre this season…Are looking to win three Record .................................................................... 14-15, 3rd, 3.0 GB straight games at home for the 1st time this season…These last two Home Attendance (Total & Average) ......................... 513,854/34,257 wins snapped a 4-game losing streak (April 25-May 2)…It was their 2015 Season (Hm. Att.) – After 15 games ............................. 379,897 longest losing skid at home since April 23-26, 2014…Overall, the 2015 Season (Hm. Att.) – After 16 games ............................. 422,316 Jays have won four of their last six completed series at Rogers Come From Behind Wins .................................................................. 7 Centre & have posted a record of 12-9 over htat span. Last Shutout by Blue Jays ........................ 3-0, April 10, 2016 vs. BOS Last Shutout by Opponent ...................... 4-0, April 27, 2016 vs. CWS BLUE JAYS vs. RANGERS (reg. season): Under JOHN GIBBONS ......................................................... 569-556 All-Time: 206-201…All-Time, Rogers Centre: 70-60…2016: 2-1 Vs. RHS/LHS ....................................................................... 10-11/4-4 These two clubs are meeting for the 1st time since the Jays defeated Blue Jays/Opponents scoring first ............................................ 7-7/7-8 the Rangers in the 2015 AL Division Series…TOR came back from GMS decided in final AB/Walk-Off ........................................... 2-4/2-2 a 0-2 series defecit to win each of their last three playoff contests. 1-Run Games ................................................................................. 3-7 At Rogers Centre, TOR has won eight of their last 12 & 12 of their Franchise record ................................................................ 3092-3130 last 19 & 20 of their last 30 meetings...Overall, the Jays have won Home/Road .............................................................................. 7-8/7-7 three straight season series, going 16-6 over that span. Series Record/Home/Road ...................................... 3-3-2/2-2-0/1-1-2 HEATING UP: Series Openers/Finales ............................................................ 3-6/5-3 Kevin Pillar has hit safely in nine of his last 11 games & is batting Vs. EAST/CENTRAL/WEST/NL .............................. 10-10/0-3/4-2/0-0 .385 (15-39) with 5-2B & 1-HR over that stretch…Since moving out After 7.0, Ahead/Tied/Trailing ............................................ 9-2/3-4/2-9 of the #1 hole – has batted .362 (21-58) with a .903 OPS in 16 After 8.0, Ahead/Tied/Trailing ........................................ 11-0/2-2/1-13 contests…Leads the club with 10 multi-hit games this season which Extra-Inning Games/Home/Road ....................................... 1-0/1-0/0-0 ranks T-6th in the AL (Manny Machado is 1st with 13). 2016 at ROGERS CENTRE Has an In-Play % of 60.0 (39/65) in the past 14 days (12 games). Blue Jays HR Dome Open/Cld………………….……………………0/17 (MLB Rank: 3rd highest of 222 full-time players; League Avg: Opponents HR Dome Open/Cld…………………………………......0/12 39.6%)…Has missed just 3 of 39 of swung-on pitches (7.7 Miss Pct) W/L, 2016 open/closed/other………………………………...0-0/7-8/0-0 on fastballs in the past 14 days (12 games). (League Avg: 16.8%). All-time/open/closed/other ............. 1170-973/629-539/470-388/69-46 YARD WORK: THE LATEST: After hitting 15-HR over their first 17 contests of the season, the Last night, the Blue Jays won game #3 of their series vs. Texas, 4-3, Blue Jays have smacked 19-HR over the last 12 games since April to improve to 14-15 this season…Are looking to get back to the .500 22…Those 19-HR since are tied for the most in the AL (SEA). mark for the 1st time since April 24 (10-10)…Are looking to win three TOR hitters have homered once every 18.9 AB against relievers in straight contests for just the 2nd time this year (April 17-19)…Won the past 14 days (13 games). (MLB Rank: 2nd of 30 teams; League nd Avg: 32.4). last night’s contest in walk-off fashion (Martin single) for the 2 straight game…It was the 1st time TOR won back to back games MAY FLOWERS: in walk-off fashion since August 9-10, 2014…In fact, it was the 19th Since 2013, Edwin Encarnacion leads the ML with 31-HR for the tim in club history to have accomplished that feat…Have done so in month of May…In May, 2014 – Edwin belted 16-HR which placed three straight contests on just one occasion – Sept. 14-16, 1990. him T-2nd in MLB history (chart is in his media guide bio) to have that many HR for the month of May (Barry Bonds hit 17 in 2001). DID YOU KNOW? MOST HR IN MAY SINCE 2013, MAJORS th Russell Martin's bases-loaded single in the bottom of the 9 inning Edwin Encarnacion 31-HR gave the Blue Jays a 4-3 win over the Rangers…Over the last three Nelson Cruz 29-HR seasons, Martin is 13-for-31 (.419) in at-bats with the bases full, the Miguel Cabrera 26-HR th 4 highest such AVG in the majors in that situation over that span Josh Donaldson 25-HR (min: 25-AB with the bases loaded), behind Yoenis Cespedes Paul Goldschmidt 23-HR (.484), Howie Kendrick (.440) & Austin Jackson (.433)…courtesy of Elias START ME UP: Opponents have a Miss Pct. of 27.4% (31/113) against Blue Jays ABOUT LAST NIGHT: starting pitchers on high fastballs over the past 14 days (13 games). Despite not facturing in the decision, Aaron Sanchez recorded his (MLB Rank: 1st of 30 teams' SP's; League Avg: 21.5%). 5th quality start of the season (6th start) after allowing 3-ER over 7.0 IP of work…Allowed those 3-ER in the first two innings & following that retired 14 of his final 16 batters faced (0H, 2BB)…Has given up 18 of his 33 hits this year in the 1st (9H) & 2nd innings (9H)…Has logged 7.0 IP in four of his six starts this season, 2nd on the club with 38.1 IP (6th in AL)...Nine of his last 10 starts dating back to last season have been quality starts (2.71 ERA, 20ER/66.1). Michael Saunders recorded his club leading 9th double (T-6th in AL) & finished the contest going 1-for-4…Is batting .309 (17-55) with 5- 2B, 3-HR & a .960 OPS over his last 14 games. FIRST PITCH STRIKES ROTATION THIS SEASON STARTER PCT Opp. AVG CLIMBING THE LADDER: MARCUS STROMAN 60.9 .218 Last night, Edwin Encarnacion launched his 4th HR of the season AARON SANCHEZ 60.0 .228 which tied the game at 3-3 in the 6th inning…In fact, the HR was his J.A. HAPP 59.8 .250 201st as a Blue Jay which places him one behind George Bell for MARCO ESTRADA 58.7 .161 5th on the all-time club list…Hit his 200th HR as a Jay on April 26 in R.A. DICKEY 58.1 .225 his then 3129th AB becoming the 3rd fastest to reach that milestone of the six players with 200+HR in team history. STRONG RELIEF: Opp. in the heart of the order have only 3 well-hit balls in play in 45 ALL-TIME HOME RUNS AS A BLUE JAY AB (.067 Well-Hit Avg) vs. TOR relief pitchers over the past 14 days Player Total AB# of 200-HR Date of 200th HR (13 games). (MLB Rank: 2nd of 30 teams' RP's; League Avg: .179). Carlos Delgado 336 2957 April 20, 2001 Jose Bautista 248 2753 Sept. 8, 2014 Vernon Wells 223 4971 April 30, 2011 Joe Carter 203 3926 Aug. 13, 1997 George Bell 202 4327 July 30, 1990 Edwin Encarnacion 201 3129 April 26, 2016 BLUE JAYS GAME NOTES Page 2 STARTING PITCHER J.A. HAPP, LHP #33 Born: Spring Valley, IL; Age: 33 W-L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO AVG SINGLE-GAME HIGHS 2016 3-0 2.76 5 5 32.2 31 10 4 9 20 .258 2016 CAREER 2015 11-8 3.61 32 31 172.0 173 69 16 45 151 .259 7.0, 2x, last 4/23 vs. OAK IP 9.0, 3x, last: 8/30/10 vs. STL CAREER 65-61 4.09 201 176 1045.1 1016 475 126 408 879 .255 7 3x, last 4/23 vs. OAK H 11, 6/13/12 at SF TONIGHT’S START & HIGHLIGHTS: 3, 2x, last 4/30 at TB R 8, 3x, last: 6/21/14 at CIN Making his 6th start of 2016 and 56th as a Blue Jay (65th appearance).
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    Consumers Shipment 7/6/17 Card # Year Product Name Card Description Subject 1 Subject 2 CSA-KK 2014 Topps Stadium Club Baseball Cosigner Autograph Clayton Kershaw Sandy Koufax RA-KMAE 2016 Bowman Inception Baseball Rookie Autograph Purple Parallel Kenta Maeda RA-KMAE 2016 Bowman Inception Baseball Rookie Autograph Blue Parallel Kenta Maeda PA-ABR 2016 Bowman Inception Baseball Prospect Autograph Red Parallel Alex Bregman CAAR-HR 2016 Topps Strata Baseball Clearly Authentic Autograph Relic Card Green Parallel Hanley Ramirez CAAR-HR 2016 Topps Strata Baseball Clearly Authentic Autograph Relic Card Black Parallel Hanley Ramirez CAAR-HR 2016 Topps Strata Baseball Clearly Authentic Autograph Relic Card Gold Parallel Hanley Ramirez CAAR-HR 2016 Topps Strata Baseball Clearly Authentic Autograph Relic Card Red Laundry Tag Parallel Hanley Ramirez CAAR-HR 2016 Topps Strata Baseball Clearly Authentic Autograph Relic Card Red Button Parallel Hanley Ramirez CAAR-HR 2016 Topps Strata Baseball Clearly Authentic Autograph Relic Card Red Button Hole Parallel Hanley Ramirez CAAR-HR 2016 Topps Strata Baseball Clearly Authentic Autograph Relic Card Red Majestic Logo Parallel Hanley Ramirez 2017 Bowman Baseball Bowman Buyback Autograph John Smoltz 2017 Bowman Baseball Bowman Buyback Autograph Mark McGwire 2017 Bowman Baseball Bowman Buyback Autograph Pedro Martinez 2017 Bowman Baseball Bowman Buyback Autograph Roberto Alomar 92B-AR 2017 Bowman Baseball 1992 Bowman Autograph Refractor Parallel Anthony Rizzo BA-CC 2017 Bowman Baseball Bowman Ascent Autograph
  • Applying Matching Equation to Pitch Selection in Major League Baseball

    Applying Matching Equation to Pitch Selection in Major League Baseball

    APPLYING MATCHING EQUATION TO PITCH SELECTION IN MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL __________________________________________________________________ A Thesis Submitted to the Temple University Graduate Board In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Masters of Education in Applied Behavior Analysis __________________________________________________________________ David Dragone August 2018 Examining Committee Members: Donald Hantula, Ph.D., Thesis Advisor, Department of Psychology Matt Tincani, Ph. D., BCBA-D, Department of Education Amanda Guld Fisher, Ph. D., BCBA-D, College of Education ABSTRACT This study applied the generalized matching equation (GME) to pitch selection in MLB during the 2016 regular season. The GME was used to evaluate the pitch selection of 21 groups of pitchers as well as 144 individual pitchers. The GME described pitch selection well for four of the 21 pitching groups and 32 of the 144 individual pitchers. Of the remaining groups and individual pitchers, behavior may be explained by rule following behavior or be impacted by distant reinforcers such as salary. All 21 groups demonstrated a bias for fastballs as well as 119 of the 144 individual pitchers. The results extend the use of the GME to natural contexts and suggest an alternative view to evaluating pitchers. KEYWORDS: general matching theory, general matching equation, sports, baseball, reinforcement ii DEDICATION This study is dedicated to the countless number of people who have supported me throughout the years both in this degree and professionally. Thank you, to my wife, Jen, and Children, Aurora and Rose, who gave me the motivation to keep working through this process and seeing it through to the end. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to thank Dr.