University of Oklahoma Graduate College The
UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA GRADUATE COLLEGE THE VIRTUES OF BAYESIAN EPISTEMOLOGY A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE GRADUATE FACULTY in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY By MARY FRANCES GWIN Norman, Oklahoma 2011 THE VIRTUES OF BAYESIAN EPISTEMOLOGY A DISSERTATION APPROVED FOR THE DEPARTMENT OF PHILOSOPHY BY ______________________________ Dr. James Hawthorne, Chair ______________________________ Dr. Chris Swoyer ______________________________ Dr. Wayne Riggs ______________________________ Dr. Steve Ellis ______________________________ Dr. Peter Barker © Copyright by MARY GWIN 2011 All Rights Reserved. For Ted How I wish you were here. Acknowledgements I would like to thank Dr. James Hawthorne for his help in seeing me through the process of writing my dissertation. Without his help and encouragement, I am not sure that I would have been able to complete my dissertation. Jim is an excellent logician, scholar, and dissertation director. He is also a kind person. I am very lucky to have had the opportunity to work with him. I cannot thank him enough for all that he has given me. I would also like to thank my friends Patty, Liz, Doren, Murry, Becky, Jim, Rebecca, Mike, Barb, Susanne, Blythe, Eric, Ty, Rosie, Bob, Judy, Lorraine, Paulo, Lawrence, Scott, Kyle, Pat, Carole, Joseph, Ken, Karen, Jerry, Ray, and Daniel. Without their encouragement, none of this would have been possible. iv Table of Contents Acknowledgments iv Abstract vi Chapter 1: Introduction 1 Chapter 2: Bayesian Confirmation Theory 9 Chapter 3: Rational Analysis: Bayesian Logic and the Human Agent 40 Chapter 4: Why Virtue Epistemology? 82 Chapter 5: Reliability, Credit, Virtue 122 Chapter 6: Epistemic Virtues, Prior Probabilities, and Norms for Human Performance 145 Bibliography 171 v Abstract The aim of this dissertation is to address the intersection of two normative epistemologies, Bayesian confirmation theory (BCT) and virtue epistemology (VE).
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