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Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast THE RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF TERRITORIES OF RAS ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CHANGES: FACTS, TRENDS, FORECAST 6 (24) 2012 The journal is published according to the decision of RAS economic institutions’ administration in the North-West federal district Institute of Socio-Economic and Energy Problems of the North Komi scientific centre of the Ural RAS department (Komi Republic) Institute of Economics of Karelian scientific centre of RAS (Karelia Republic) G.P. Luzin Institute of Economic Problems of Kola scientific centre of RAS (the Murmansk Oblast) Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of RAS (the Vologda Oblast) and according to the decision of St. Petersburg State University of Engineering and Economics administration and other RF regions Institute of Social and Economic Research of Ufa Science Centre of RAS (Bashkortostan Republic) Institute of Economics, the Research of the Ural RAS department (the Sverdlovsk Oblast) The decision of Presidium of the Higher Attestation Commission of the Russian MES (№6/6, dated 19.02.2010) the journal is included in the list of leading scientific editions, recommended for publication of the main results of dissertations for the degree of Doctor and Candidate of Sciences. Editorial council: RAS academician V.L. Makarov (Moscow, Russia) RAS academician V.V. Ivanter (Moscow, Russia) RAS academician V.V. Okrepilov (St. Petersburg, Russia) RAS academician A.I. Tatarkin (Yekaterinburg, Russia) Belarus NAS academician P.A. Vityaz (Minsk, Belarus) Belarus NAS academician P.G. Nikitenko (Minsk, Belarus) RAS corresponding member V.N. Lazhentsev (Syktyvkar, Russia) Professor J. Sapir (Paris, France) Doctor of Economics, professor S.D. Valentey (Moscow, Russia) Doctor of Economics, professor D.A. Gaynanov (Ufa, Russia) Doctor of Economics, professor A.E. Dayneko (Minsk, Belarus) Doctor of Economics, professor V.A. Ilyin (Vologda, Russia) Professor M. Kivinen (Helsinki, Finland) Doctor of Sociology, professor I.V. Kotlyarov (Minsk, Belarus) Doctor of Economics, professor S.V. Kuznetsov (St. Petersburg, Russia) Doctor of Economics, professor F.D. Larichkin (Apatity, Russia) Doctor of Economics, professor I.A. Maksimtsev (St. Petersburg, Russia) Doctor of Technics, professor A.V. Putilov (Moscow, Russia) Doctor of Technical Sciences Yu.Ya. Chukreev (Syktyvkar, Russia) Doctor of Technics, professor A.I. Shishkin (Petrozavodsk, Russia) Doctor, professor Zhang Shuhua (Beijing, China) Professor Wu Enyuan (Beijing, China) Chief editor – V.A. Ilyin Editorial board: Doctor of Economics, professor L.A. Anosova Doctor of Economics, professor A.G. Vorobyov Doctor of Economics, professor E.S. Gubanova Ph.D. in History K.A. Gulin (deputy chief editor) Ph.D. in Economics K.A. Zadumkin, Ph.D. in Economics I.A. Kondakov (Executive Editor) Ph.D. in Economics G.V. Leonidova Ph.D. in Economics M.F. Sychev (deputy chief editor) Ph.D. in Economics S.V. Terebova Doctor of Economics T.V. Uskova, Doctor of Economics A.A. Shabunova Opinions presented in the articles can differ from the editorial board’s point of view Authors of the articles are responsible for the material selected and stated. ISSN 1998-0698 © ISEDT RAS, 2012 Internet address: http://esc.vscc.ac.ru CONTENT FROM THE CHIEF EDITOR Ilyin V.A. On the difficult way to strong civil society ..........................................................5 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY Ilyin V.A., Povarova A.I. Budget crisis of the regions in 2013 – 2015: a threat to Russia’s security ....................................................................... 25 Tatarkin A.I. Forming of the regional institutions of spatial development of the Russian Federation ......................................................................... 36 Moleva S.V. Development of trade relations and economic cooperation between Belarus and Russia – an important component of successful functioning of the Union State .................................................................................... 51 BRANCH-WISE ECONOMY Romanova O.A., Lavrikova Yu.G. Industrial policy as a tool of neo-industrialization of regional industrial systems .................................................................... 58 Ivanova M.N. Economic risks of agricultural organizations’ activity in the Vologda Oblast in the context of Russia’s membership in WTO ......................................... 68 Nikolayev A.Ye. Russia’s defense industry modernization: learning from history .............. 76 SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT Afanasyev D.V. The role and place of the Public Chambers in the context of civil society and social capital ...................................................................................... 88 Fauzer V.V. Monitoring of economic and social processes (the case of inter-ethnic relations) ............................................................. 97 Leonidova G.V., Ustinova К.А. Lifelong learning as a condition for human capital formation ............................................................................................... 110 Shabunova A.A., Korchagina P.S. System of values and behavioral practices as the significant factors of young people’s self-preservation behavior ...... 123 Popova L.А., Terentyeva М.А. Topical issues of labour potential development in the Republic of Komi .......................................................................... 131 Solntsev I.V. The role of the sport industry in the development of today’s economy ........ 139 Yang Shenghai. Researches on poverty alleviation of Wuling Mountain area .................. 151 PUBLIC FINANCE Pechenskaya M.A. Issues of improving inter-budget relations between the region and the federal centre ............................................................................. 156 Barasheva T.I. Creation of the conditions for self-development of the Northern territories: budget aspect ......................................................................... 166 MODELLING AND INFORMATICS Sadov S.L. Extended forecast of economic results: instrumental potential of the fuzzy sets theory ............................................................................ 174 YOUNG RESEARCHERS Chekavinskiy A.N. Development of Russia’s agriculture as a factor promoting the solution of the world food problem ................................................... 179 Lukin Ye.V. Inter-regional cooperation: current state and problems of development (the case of the Vologda Oblast) ............................................................... 186 Gutnikova Ye.А. Inter-municipal cooperation as a factor promoting the economic and social development ........................................................................... 198 Filatova O.B. Essence and main components of innovation environment in higher education institutions ............................................................... 209 Information about authors ........................................................................................... 218 Index of articles published in 2012 ................................................................................ 223 Requirements to manuscripts ....................................................................................... 226 Subscription information ............................................................................................. 228 FROM THE CHIEF EDITOR On the difficult way to strong civil society The modern efficient economy is formed under the influence of not only economic but also governmental regulators. Civil society is an essential element of highly-developed economic, social, political and legal relations. Modern civil society is a society that has partnered with the government and business, which is also able to control the state and country’s wealth. Civil rights and obligations are supplemented, in this case, with the efforts of the state to ensure the economic and Vladimir A. ILYIN Doctor of Economics, social security of the whole country and its citizens. The President of Professor, Honoured the Russian Federation Vladimir V. Putin spoke about the close links Scientist of the Russian between these problems in his annual Presidential Address to the Federation, Director of Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation made on December 12, ISEDT RAS, Chairman 2012: “A sense of responsibility for one’s country cannot be instilled with of the Public Chamber slogans or appeals; people must see that the authorities are transparent, in the Vologda Oblast accessible, that they work hard for the benefit of the country, city, [email protected] [email protected] region, village and every citizen, and respond to public opinion. The authorities must not be an isolated caste. This is the only way to build a strong moral foundation for creative work, an affirmation of order and freedom, morality and civic solidarity, justice and truth, and nationally oriented consciousness”1. The level of population’s trust in the Government is the most important characteristic of civil society. In this regard, there are two relatively independent periods in Russia’s recent history from the 1990s to early 2000s. The first period, or Yeltsin’s ten-year plan, is presented in mass estimates and judgments as a chain of unreasoned radical measures, which have led to unprecedented robbing the state, impoverishment of a great heap of the Russians and which have thrown the country back for many years ago. According to ISEDT RAS monitoring of the Vologda Oblast’s population, the level of population’s
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