The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,252 Arizona Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.0%
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, not at all likely to vote, or have you already voted? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Almost certain 15% 16%13% 16% 18% 16% 10% 14% 13% 15% 8% 20% 15% 14% 11% 18% 14% 14% 15% Very likely 7% 8% 7% 15% 9% 5% 6% 7% 9% 6% 5% 9% 8% 8% 5% 10% 7% 5% 8% Somewhat likely 1% 2%1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% Not very likely 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not at all likely 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Already voted 76% 74% 78% 66% 70% 78% 84% 78% 75% 75% 85% 70% 75% 75% 81% 69% 78% 80% 76% Don't know/Refused 1% 0%1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: (with already voted and leaners) Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Joe Biden, the Democrat 49% 41%56% 58% 56% 43% 47% 43% 66% 60% 96% 5% 52% 57% 61% 42% 44% 54% 36% Donald Trump, the Republican 43% 49%38% 31% 35% 50% 48% 50% 26% 29% 2% 91% 34% 32% 32% 51% 47% 39% 58% Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian 3% 4%1% 6% 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% 5% 0% 2% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% Vol: Someone else 1% 1%0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% Vol: Not voting for President 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 5% 5%4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 2% 2% 7% 7% 4% 4% 5% 6% 2%
Q3. (If didn't already vote) Regardless of whether you intend to vote in the November general election, would you vote in person on Election Day, vote in person before Election Day, or vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ In person on Election Day 49% 59% 39% 38% 46% 58% 54% 55% 37% 25% 41% 55% 48% 41% 64% 61% 39% 52% 55% In person before Election Day 24% 19% 30% 32% 29% 21% 17% 22% 30% 51% 29% 24% 23% 18% 10% 18% 37% 23% 22% Vote by mail 22% 18% 27% 26% 24% 17% 25% 20% 26% 24% 29% 17% 25% 37% 21% 18% 17% 23% 19% Don't know/Refused 5% 4%4% 4% 1% 4% 4% 3% 7% 0% 1% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 8% 2% 3%
AZ102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 1 of 5 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,252 Arizona Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.0%
Q4. (If already voted) Did you vote in person early or did you vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ In person 21% 20% 22% 18% 20% 29% 14% 20% 17% 23% 16% 28% 20% 14% 15% 28% 23% 21% 19% By mail 77% 78% 77% 81% 77% 71% 84% 78% 82% 77% 83% 71% 78% 85% 84% 70% 75% 77% 80% Haven't voted yet 0% 0%0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 1% 2%1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Q5. (If already voted by mail) And when did you send in your ballot? In the last week? Before the last week? Or have you not yet sent in your ballot? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ In the last week 45% 49% 42% 57% 54% 46% 34% 45% 44% 48% 40% 56% 42% 48% 38% 48% 46% 47% 44% Before last week 51% 49% 54% 37% 45% 50% 64% 52% 52% 49% 56% 40% 56% 46% 62% 47% 52% 51% 53% Not yet sent in ballot 2% 0%3% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 3% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% Don't know/Refused 2% 1%2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1%
Q6. If the 2020 U.S. Senate election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: (with already voted and leaners) Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Mark Kelly, the Democrat 50% 44%57% 59% 57% 46% 47% 45% 67% 64% 95% 6% 57% 60% 64% 41% 45% 56% 38% Martha McSally, the Republican 43% 49%38% 32% 38% 48% 48% 50% 25% 31% 2% 90% 35% 30% 29% 52% 49% 39% 58% Vol: Someone else 0% 0%0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Vol: Not voting for Senate 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% Don't know/Refused 6% 6%5% 8% 5% 6% 4% 4% 7% 6% 3% 3% 7% 9% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3%
Q7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Is that strongly or somewhat? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Strongly approve 36% 40%32% 20% 28% 40% 44% 42% 19% 27% 2% 77% 26% 25% 24% 45% 40% 32% 48% Somewhat approve 9% 11%7% 14% 12% 9% 4% 9% 10% 5% 2% 11% 13% 8% 10% 9% 8% 10% 9% Somewhat disapprove 7% 8% 6% 12% 9% 7% 4% 6% 9% 5% 5% 5% 11% 9% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% Strongly disapprove 45% 38%51% 50% 50% 41% 43% 40% 57% 59% 87% 4% 48% 53% 55% 36% 42% 49% 35% Don't know/Refused 4% 4%4% 5% 1% 3% 5% 3% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 3%
AZ102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 2 of 5 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,252 Arizona Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.0%
[Q8-Q11 ROTATED] Q8. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Donald Trump Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 35% 38%32% 17% 26% 40% 43% 40% 20% 30% 2% 76% 25% 22% 25% 42% 39% 29% 46% Somewhat favorable 11% 13% 8% 15% 13% 12% 6% 12% 9% 3% 2% 17% 12% 12% 9% 12% 10% 12% 12% Somewhat unfavorable 7% 7% 7% 13% 10% 6% 2% 5% 10% 10% 4% 3% 13% 11% 7% 5% 6% 8% 4% Very unfavorable 45% 38%51% 54% 49% 39% 44% 41% 57% 57% 91% 4% 46% 51% 56% 37% 42% 48% 36% Don't know/Refused 3% 3%2% 1% 2% 2% 5% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Q9. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Joe Biden Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 32% 25%38% 27% 29% 28% 40% 27% 44% 36% 72% 2% 26% 33% 44% 28% 28% 33% 23% Somewhat favorable 19% 18%20% 34% 27% 18% 8% 17% 27% 21% 25% 6% 27% 24% 20% 16% 17% 22% 14% Somewhat unfavorable 8% 11%6% 13% 9% 10% 4% 9% 6% 7% 1% 12% 12% 11% 8% 5% 8% 10% 9% Very unfavorable 38% 43%33% 24% 32% 42% 44% 44% 20% 30% 1% 80% 31% 26% 25% 47% 43% 33% 52% Don't know/Refused 3% 4%3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 4% 5% 1% 1% 4% 6% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Q10. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Mark Kelly Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 30% 25%35% 25% 26% 27% 38% 28% 38% 35% 65% 3% 26% 33% 42% 24% 27% 32% 25% Somewhat favorable 23% 23%23% 34% 33% 22% 12% 20% 30% 27% 28% 9% 32% 27% 24% 22% 20% 26% 17% Somewhat unfavorable 13% 17% 9% 15% 15% 15% 9% 15% 9% 9% 2% 23% 13% 11% 10% 12% 15% 14% 14% Very unfavorable 28% 29%27% 17% 18% 31% 35% 31% 16% 19% 1% 57% 22% 19% 19% 35% 30% 22% 38% Don't know/Refused 7% 7% 7% 9% 8% 5% 7% 6% 7% 10% 4% 7% 7% 11% 5% 6% 8% 5% 6%
AZ102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 3 of 5 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,252 Arizona Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.0%
Q11. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Martha McSally Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 25% 27%22% 15% 15% 28% 31% 28% 14% 21% 3% 53% 17% 18% 18% 30% 27% 22% 32% Somewhat favorable 21% 23%19% 19% 25% 24% 18% 22% 19% 10% 5% 34% 23% 14% 16% 24% 24% 20% 24% Somewhat unfavorable 14% 16%12% 26% 19% 11% 8% 12% 19% 21% 19% 5% 18% 21% 16% 10% 12% 15% 10% Very unfavorable 33% 27%39% 31% 33% 31% 37% 32% 40% 38% 67% 3% 34% 38% 44% 27% 31% 36% 28% Don't know/Refused 7% 7% 7% 9% 7% 6% 7% 6% 8% 10% 6% 5% 8% 10% 6% 8% 7% 6% 6%
Q12. How worried are you that rising temperatures from global warming will have a significant impact on your life? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, not at all worried? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Hisp/ Ind/ Rest of Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Latino Other Dem Rep Other Phoenix Pima Rest Maricopa with BA+ without BA+ Very worried 34% 27%40% 43% 37% 26% 36% 30% 43% 46% 65% 6% 35% 38% 46% 28% 30% 36% 26% Somewhat worried 24% 24% 24% 32% 28% 24% 15% 23% 29% 17% 25% 19% 27% 32% 25% 18% 22% 26% 21% Not too worried 18% 20%17% 13% 17% 22% 18% 21% 15% 4% 7% 29% 18% 14% 12% 22% 21% 20% 22% Not at all worried 23% 28%18% 12% 17% 26% 30% 25% 12% 32% 3% 46% 19% 15% 16% 31% 25% 18% 30% Don't know/Refused 1% 1%1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1%
AZ102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 4 of 5 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,252 Arizona Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.0%
Nature of the Sample Arizona Likely Voters
Gender Male 48% Female 51% Age 18 to 29 15% 30 to 44 21% 45 to 64 33% 65 and older 28% Race/Ethnicity White 66% Hispanic/Latino 21% Other 10% Party Identification Democrat 30% Republican 33% Independent/Other 34% Region Phoenix 19% Pima 16% Rest 24% Rest of Maricopa 41% Race & Education Whites with Bachelor's degree or higher 27% Whites with less than Bachelor's degree 37% Education High school or less 25% Some College 37% Bachelor's degree 23% Graduate degree 14% 2016 Vote Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 38% Other 6% Didn't vote 22% Party Registration Democrat 34% Republican 38% Independent/Other 28%
AZ102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 5 of 5 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 27-31, 2020 1,451 Florida Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.2%
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, not at all likely to vote, or have you already vot Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ Almost certain 20% 22% 18% 16% 21% 24% 16% 23% 12% 16% 10% 29% 21% 13% 21% 18% 22% 18% 23% 21% 25% Very likely 9% 6% 11% 19% 12% 7% 5% 7% 9% 15% 7% 7% 11% 15% 8% 5% 8% 11% 9% 7% 6% Somewhat likely 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not very likely 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not at all likely 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% Already voted 69% 70% 69% 62% 66% 68% 77% 69% 77% 68% 82% 63% 66% 70% 70% 75% 69% 71% 66% 72% 67% Don't know/Refused 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: (with already voted and leaners) Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ Joe Biden, the Democrat 47% 45% 50% 60% 57% 39% 48% 40% 78% 55% 91% 8% 47% 57% 36% 61% 43% 56% 44% 49% 35% Donald Trump, the Republican 44% 47% 41% 28% 29% 56% 46% 54% 11% 33% 4% 90% 37% 29% 52% 29% 51% 36% 47% 45% 59% Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian 2% 2% 1% 4% 5% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% 0% 2% 2% Howie Hawkins of the Green Party 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% Vol: Someone else 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Vol: Not voting for President 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 6% 5% 6% 4% 8% 3% 5% 3% 8% 9% 3% 2% 9% 12% 6% 5% 4% 6% 7% 3% 2%
Q3. (If didn't already vote) Regardless of whether you intend to vote in the November general election, would you vote in person on Election Day, vote in person before Election Day, or vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ In person on Election Day 54% 56% 53% 34% 49% 55% 67% 61% 43% 40% 56% 63% 47% 36% 63% 62% 58% 50% 51% 51% 66% In person before Election Day 30% 31% 30% 44% 33% 36% 15% 29% 20% 40% 19% 31% 37% 42% 27% 20% 29% 27% 32% 41% 23% Vote by mail 12% 11% 13% 22% 15% 6% 15% 8% 37% 16% 24% 5% 13% 6% 6% 16% 9% 19% 15% 5% 9% Don't know/Refused 5% 3% 4% 0% 3% 2% 3% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1% 3% 17% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% 2%
Q4. (If already voted) Did you vote in person early or did you vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ In person 52% 53% 52% 55% 57% 60% 41% 49% 53% 60% 42% 65% 54% 48% 60% 58% 53% 45% 49% 50% 48% By mail 47% 46% 48% 45% 42% 40% 58% 50% 46% 40% 57% 34% 46% 52% 40% 42% 45% 52% 51% 50% 50% Haven't voted yet 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 0% 2%
FL102720 Crosstabs.xlsx 1 of 4 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 27-31, 2020 1,451 Florida Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.2%
Q5. (If already voted by mail) And when did you send in your ballot? In the last week? Before the last week? Or have you not yet sent in your ballot? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ In the last week 27% 29% 24% 37% 25% 34% 21% 25% 31% 30% 21% 33% 32% 30% 25% 36% 21% 32% 24% 31% 21% Before last week 71% 69% 73% 63% 75% 64% 77% 72% 64% 70% 77% 64% 67% 70% 70% 59% 78% 66% 75% 65% 77% Not yet sent in ballot 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 3% 3% 3% 0% 2% 3% 1% 0% 4% 5% 0% 1% 2% 4% 2%
Q6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Is that strongly or somewhat? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ Strongly approve 37% 41% 35% 19% 24% 49% 40% 46% 11% 28% 4% 79% 29% 25% 46% 24% 43% 30% 43% 37% 51% Somewhat approve 9% 10% 8% 15% 12% 8% 7% 9% 4% 11% 3% 10% 13% 8% 11% 8% 9% 9% 7% 10% 9% Somewhat disapprove 4% 4% 5% 9% 9% 2% 3% 3% 12% 6% 5% 2% 7% 6% 4% 7% 2% 4% 6% 5% 2% Strongly disapprove 44% 41% 47% 53% 49% 38% 46% 39% 66% 48% 84% 8% 43% 51% 35% 55% 42% 53% 38% 45% 35% Don't know/Refused 5% 4% 6% 4% 7% 3% 3% 3% 7% 6% 3% 2% 7% 11% 4% 5% 4% 4% 6% 3% 3%
[Q7-Q8 ROTATED] Q7. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Donald Trump Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 34% 37% 32% 16% 21% 43% 39% 43% 10% 23% 3% 73% 26% 22% 43% 21% 40% 27% 37% 32% 49% Somewhat favorable 13% 13% 13% 19% 16% 13% 10% 13% 5% 18% 4% 16% 19% 13% 14% 14% 14% 12% 11% 14% 12% Somewhat unfavorable 6% 6% 6% 12% 8% 5% 3% 4% 15% 8% 7% 2% 8% 8% 4% 12% 3% 5% 7% 5% 2% Very unfavorable 43% 41% 45% 52% 49% 36% 45% 39% 62% 47% 83% 8% 41% 49% 36% 50% 40% 50% 39% 46% 35% Don't know/Refused 5% 4% 4% 1% 5% 3% 2% 2% 8% 5% 3% 1% 6% 9% 3% 3% 3% 6% 6% 2% 2%
Q8. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Joe Biden Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 30% 26% 33% 23% 26% 25% 41% 25% 54% 32% 68% 3% 21% 32% 24% 32% 31% 37% 25% 29% 24% Somewhat favorable 20% 21% 19% 37% 33% 17% 9% 16% 28% 25% 23% 8% 30% 24% 18% 29% 14% 24% 19% 22% 12% Somewhat unfavorable 9% 10% 9% 10% 13% 10% 7% 11% 3% 8% 3% 12% 13% 6% 12% 9% 10% 6% 10% 10% 12% Very unfavorable 36% 39% 34% 27% 24% 44% 39% 45% 12% 27% 3% 75% 30% 25% 44% 27% 40% 29% 39% 37% 50% Don't know/Refused 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 8% 3% 2% 7% 13% 3% 3% 4% 5% 7% 3% 3%
FL102720 Crosstabs.xlsx 2 of 4 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 27-31, 2020 1,451 Florida Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.2%
Q9. How worried are you that rising sea levels from global warming will have a significant impact on your life? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, not at all worried? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Afr Amer Hisp/ Ind/ Miami- Tampa Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White /Black Latino Dem Rep Other Dade North Orlando Rest Southeast Bay with BA+ without BA+ Very worried 24% 19% 30% 37% 29% 20% 23% 20% 23% 40% 45% 6% 23% 40% 16% 29% 20% 27% 24% 24% 19% Somewhat worried 30% 32% 28% 36% 35% 29% 26% 29% 40% 27% 37% 20% 35% 26% 27% 27% 30% 34% 31% 34% 26% Not too worried 19% 18% 19% 16% 19% 20% 17% 21% 17% 13% 11% 25% 21% 14% 21% 27% 19% 16% 17% 19% 22% Not at all worried 25% 30% 20% 11% 17% 27% 32% 28% 17% 19% 6% 47% 20% 13% 33% 17% 28% 21% 25% 23% 31% Don't know/Refused 3% 1% 3% 0% 0% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 7% 2% 0% 3% 2% 2% 0% 2%
FL102720 Crosstabs.xlsx 3 of 4 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 27-31, 2020 1,451 Florida Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.2%
Nature of the Sample Florida Likely Voters
Gender Male 48% Female 52% Age 18 to 29 11% 30 to 44 20% 45 to 64 33% 65 and older 32% Race/Ethnicity White 60% Afr Amer/Black 11% Hispanic/Latino 20% Party Identification Democrat 32% Republican 34% Independent/Other 31% Region Miami-Dade 11% North 17% Orlando 10% Rest 25% Southeast 16% Tampa Bay 22% Race & Education Whites with Bachelor's degree or higher 23% Whites with less than Bachelor's degree 37% Education High school or less 31% Some College 32% Bachelor's degree 22% Graduate degree 13% 2016 Vote Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 38% Other 6% Didn't vote 18%
FL102720 Crosstabs.xlsx 4 of 4 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-31, 2020 1,862 Pennsylvania Likely Voters MOE +/- 2.4%
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, not at all likely to vote, or have you already voted? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ Almost certain 47% 49%46% 44% 51% 52% 42% 49% 36% 34% 61% 52% 40% 55% 49% 51% 38% 44% 46% 56% 44% 53% Very likely 17% 19%16% 18% 20% 18% 11% 17% 21% 11% 22% 18% 17% 21% 18% 17% 12% 16% 25% 14% 14% 18% Somewhat likely 1%1%1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1%2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 2% Not very likely 0%0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not at all likely 0%0%0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% Already voted 33% 30%36% 36% 26% 28% 46% 32% 40% 54% 15% 28% 42% 21% 30% 30% 47% 39% 26% 27% 41% 27% Don't know/Refused 1%0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: (with already voted and leaners) Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ Joe Biden, the Democrat 49% 44%54% 62% 44% 45% 53% 46% 71% 90% 8% 48% 59% 31% 47% 39% 75% 57% 35% 40% 58% 39% Donald Trump, the Republican 43% 47%40% 32% 46% 48% 41% 48% 19% 6% 89% 36% 33% 62% 45% 56% 17% 34% 52% 52% 36% 56% Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian 2%3%1% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2% 2% 0%1% 7% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% Vol: Someone else 0%0%0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% Vol: Not voting for President 0%1%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 5%5%5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 4% 7% 3%2% 7% 7% 5% 4% 4% 6% 6% 7% 5% 4% 3%
Q3. (If didn't already vote) Regardless of whether you intend to vote in the November general election, would you vote in person on Election Day, vote in person before Election Day, or vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ In person on Election Day 90% 91%90% 83% 91% 93% 91% 93% 79% 85% 96% 89% 87% 94% 90% 95% 74% 91% 96% 90% 92% 93% In person before Election Day 3% 4%3% 6% 3% 4% 2% 2% 11% 6%1% 5% 4% 1% 4% 0% 11% 5% 0% 2% 3% 2% Vote by mail 5% 4%7%12% 5% 3% 5% 5% 8% 9%3% 6% 8% 4% 4% 3% 14% 3% 3% 6% 5% 5% Don't know/Refused 1%1%1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0%0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1%
Q4. (If already voted) Did you vote in person early or did you vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ In person 15% 15%14% 19% 19% 13% 11% 13% 19% 15% 9% 14% 19% 12% 7% 12% 22% 15% 15% 11% 16% 10% By mail 85% 85%85% 81% 81% 86% 89% 87% 80% 85% 89% 86% 81% 88% 93% 88% 78% 84% 85% 89% 84% 89% Haven't voted yet 0%0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 0%0%1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
PA102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 1 of 3 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-31, 2020 1,862 Pennsylvania Likely Voters MOE +/- 2.4%
Q5. (If already voted by mail) And when did you send in your ballot? In the last week? Before the last week? Or have you not yet sent in your ballot? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ In the last week 34% 36%32% 31% 38% 37% 31% 34% 35% 31% 44% 35% 14% 41% 27% 44% 22% 48% 39% 35% 33% 36% Before last week 64% 62%65% 67% 60% 62% 66% 64% 61% 67% 52% 63% 83% 59% 71% 52% 77% 51% 59% 63% 66% 62% Not yet sent in ballot 1%1%1% 3% 2% 0% 1% 1% 3% 0%2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 5% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% Don't know/Refused 1%1%1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 3% 1% 1%
Q6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Is that strongly or somewhat? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ Strongly approve 35% 38%32% 20% 35% 40% 35% 39% 15% 4% 74% 28% 25% 53% 38% 42% 12% 27% 39% 45% 27% 46% Somewhat approve 10%13%8% 11% 13% 10% 7% 11% 6% 3% 15% 14% 12% 9% 11% 13% 6% 9% 15% 9% 10% 12% Somewhat disapprove 6% 6%6%10% 6% 5% 4% 6% 8% 6%3%10% 4% 4% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% Strongly disapprove 45% 40%51% 56% 41% 41% 51% 42% 65% 85% 6% 43% 55% 30% 42% 35% 70% 52% 33% 36% 55% 34% Don't know/Refused 4%4%4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 7% 2%2% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 4% 4% 2%
[Q7-Q8 ROTATED] Q7. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Donald Trump Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 33% 36%31% 17% 33% 37% 36% 37% 14% 4% 71% 24% 23% 51% 34% 41% 13% 27% 37% 42% 24% 45% Somewhat favorable 13%16%10% 15% 16% 14% 7% 13% 9% 4% 19% 18% 13% 11% 16% 14% 7% 11% 17% 14% 13% 13% Somewhat unfavorable 6% 7%5% 7% 9% 6% 4% 6% 10% 6%3%12% 4% 5% 7% 6% 6% 8% 7% 5% 7% 5% Very unfavorable 45% 39%51% 59% 40% 41% 49% 43% 61% 85% 6% 43% 56% 31% 41% 35% 70% 51% 32% 37% 54% 36% Don't know/Refused 3%2%3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 6% 2%1% 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 3% 3% 1%
Q8. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Joe Biden Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 28% 22%33% 16% 18% 29% 41% 25% 41% 56% 4% 19% 34% 17% 28% 21% 42% 33% 16% 21% 30% 23% Somewhat favorable 23% 24%24% 47% 27% 19% 13% 22% 33% 33% 8% 32% 25% 16% 21% 20% 34% 25% 23% 22% 27% 19% Somewhat unfavorable 10%12%9% 16% 12% 10% 7% 11% 5% 4% 15% 16% 11% 12% 11% 13% 6% 9% 13% 11% 11% 11% Very unfavorable 34% 39%30% 19% 38% 39% 34% 38% 15% 5% 71% 28% 28% 50% 38% 40% 12% 26% 40% 43% 29% 44% Don't know/Refused 5%3%4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 3% 6% 2%2% 5% 2% 6% 2% 6% 6% 6% 8% 3% 3% 3%
Q9. Tell me whether you support or oppose: The underground oil or natural gas extraction process known as fracking Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Allegheny Phil South- Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Co Central East Northeast Philadelphia Suburbs Central West with BA+ without BA+ Support 52% 61%45% 36% 51% 60% 55% 57% 33% 26% 83% 52% 51% 67% 52% 63% 27% 45% 58% 62% 48% 62% Oppose 27% 24%31% 46% 30% 24% 21% 27% 33% 46% 7% 29% 31% 20% 28% 21% 40% 32% 23% 19% 36% 21% Don't know/Refused 20% 15%24% 18% 20% 16% 24% 16% 34% 28% 10% 19% 18% 13% 20% 17% 33% 23% 18% 19% 16% 16%
Nature of the Sample
PA102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 2 of 3 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-31, 2020 1,862 Pennsylvania Likely Voters MOE +/- 2.4%
Pennsylvania Likely Voters
Gender Male 47% Female 52% Age 18 to 29 14% 30 to 44 22% 45 to 64 35% 65 and older 25% Race/Ethnicity White 79% Non-White 16% Party Identification Democrat 38% Republican 35% Independent/Other 23% Region Allegheny Co 11% Central 12% East 14% Northeast 9% Philadelphia 11% Philadelphia Suburbs 22% South-Central 7% West 14% Race & Education Whites with Bachelor's degree or higher 31% Whites with less than Bachelor's degree 47% Education High school or less 33% Some College 27% Bachelor's degree 23% Graduate degree 15% 2016 Vote Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 39% Other 5% Didn't vote 18%
PA102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 3 of 3 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,253 Wisconsin Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.2%
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, not at all likely to vote, or have you already vote Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ Almost certain 26% 28%24% 31% 30% 24% 22% 27% 16% 18% 36% 24% 24% 24% 26% 20% 23% 34% 26% 25% 28% Very likely 16% 18%14% 15% 16% 20% 12% 16% 13% 6% 25% 15% 3% 21% 15% 12% 12% 28% 16% 7% 21% Somewhat likely 1% 1%0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not very likely 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not at all likely 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Already voted 56% 51%61% 51% 51% 54% 65% 56% 66% 75% 38% 59% 72% 53% 55% 65% 64% 36% 55% 67% 50% Don't know/Refused 1% 2%1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1%
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: (with already voted and leaners) Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ Joe Biden, the Democrat 52% 47%56% 57% 54% 47% 54% 51% 67% 97% 4% 59% 74% 46% 44% 70% 46% 40% 55% 62% 45% Donald Trump, the Republican 41% 45%37% 36% 38% 47% 39% 43% 21% 2% 94% 29% 22% 48% 45% 18% 44% 53% 38% 34% 47% Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian 3% 3%2% 5% 5% 2% 1% 2% 6% 1% 1% 6% 1% 2% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% Vol: Someone else 1% 0%0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% Vol: Not voting for President 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 4% 4%4% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3% 6% 0% 1% 5% 2% 3% 7% 7% 6% 2% 3% 2% 4%
Q3. (If didn't already vote) Regardless of whether you intend to vote in the November general election, would you vote in person on Election Day, vote in person before Election Day, or vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ In person on Election Day 82% 86%76% 68% 86% 86% 86% 84% 54% 69% 87% 82% 73% 84% 76% 54% 89% 88% 80% 81% 86% In person before Election Day 11% 9% 14% 26% 8% 8% 9% 10% 33% 20% 8% 11% 9% 8% 17% 30% 9% 6% 13% 12% 8% Vote by mail 5% 3%7% 5% 4% 6% 4% 5% 11% 8% 4% 5% 8% 6% 4% 11% 2% 5% 4% 5% 5% Don't know/Refused 2% 2%3% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 10%2% 3% 5% 0% 1% 3% 2% 2%
Q4. (If already voted) Did you vote in person early or did you vote by mail? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ In person 39% 43%36% 37% 37% 42% 38% 39% 43% 35% 51% 39% 22% 47% 40% 43% 41% 27% 46% 40% 37% By mail 58% 55%61% 62% 60% 55% 61% 59% 56% 63% 48% 58% 71% 52% 59% 56% 55% 72% 54% 56% 61% Haven't voted yet 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 2% 1%3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 7% 1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 0% 4% 2%
WI102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 1 of 3 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,253 Wisconsin Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.2%
Q5. (If already voted by mail) And when did you send in your ballot? In the last week? Before the last week? Or have you not yet sent in your ballot? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ In the last week 24% 27%21% 33% 25% 27% 18% 23% 28% 16% 44% 24% 18% 28% 18% 31% 29% 25% 19% 21% 24% Before last week 74% 73%75% 67% 71% 71% 79% 75% 70% 81% 54% 76% 81% 70% 79% 67% 69% 68% 79% 77% 73% Not yet sent in ballot 0% 0%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't know/Refused 2% 0%4% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 0% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 7% 2% 2% 3%
Q6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Is that strongly or somewhat? Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ Strongly approve 33% 36%30% 25% 33% 39% 31% 34% 20% 2% 78% 22% 18% 36% 42% 17% 33% 47% 30% 25% 38% Somewhat approve 10% 11% 9% 13% 10% 12% 8% 10% 11% 1% 15% 12% 5% 14% 12% 10% 13% 6% 9% 11% 10% Somewhat disapprove 4% 5%3%10% 4% 5% 1% 4% 4% 3% 1% 8% 5% 3% 2% 3% 6% 3% 5% 4% 4% Strongly disapprove 48% 42%54% 49% 50% 42% 54% 48% 57% 91% 4% 53% 69% 44% 38% 62% 43% 39% 53% 58% 43% Don't know/Refused 5% 5%4% 3% 3% 3% 5% 4% 8% 2% 1% 5% 4% 3% 6% 7% 4% 5% 4% 2% 4%
[Q7-Q8 ROTATED] Q7. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Donald Trump Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 32% 36%28% 23% 28% 38% 31% 33% 15% 2% 78% 18% 14% 36% 38% 18% 32% 42% 30% 23% 38% Somewhat favorable 12% 14%10% 16% 14% 12% 10% 11% 14% 1% 15% 17% 9% 11% 14% 9% 16% 12% 10% 12% 11% Somewhat unfavorable 6% 6%6% 10% 7% 8% 2% 6% 6% 6% 1% 12% 5% 6% 5% 6% 8% 6% 7% 6% 7% Very unfavorable 47% 41%53% 50% 51% 40% 53% 47% 63% 90% 5% 51% 69% 42% 37% 64% 42% 39% 51% 58% 41% Don't know/Refused 3% 2%3% 1% 0% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3%
Q8. I´m going to read a few names of people or organizations in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each? Joe Biden Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Party ID Region Race/Education Non- Ind/ Fox Milwaukee Milwaukee Whites Whites Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White White Dem Rep Other Dane East River City Suburbs North West with BA+ without BA+ Very favorable 30% 23%36% 23% 24% 26% 41% 30% 38% 70% 2% 22% 37% 28% 25% 35% 27% 29% 31% 36% 26% Somewhat favorable 24% 26%23% 36% 29% 22% 18% 24% 33% 26% 6% 41% 38% 21% 19% 34% 23% 17% 25% 28% 22% Somewhat unfavorable 9% 11%8% 14% 10% 11% 6% 9% 8% 2% 14% 11% 7% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% Very unfavorable 33% 37%30% 26% 35% 39% 31% 35% 15% 1% 77% 24% 16% 39% 42% 15% 36% 41% 32% 26% 40% Don't know/Refused 4% 3%4% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 7% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3%
WI102620 Crosstabs.xlsx 2 of 3 The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute October 26-30, 2020 1,253 Wisconsin Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.2%
Nature of the Sample Wisconsin Likely Voters
Gender Male 49% Female 51% Age 18 to 29 14% 30 to 44 20% 45 to 64 35% 65 and older 28% Race/Ethnicity White 87% Non-White 11% Party Identification Democrat 30% Republican 31% Independent/Other 33% Region Dane 10% East 18% Fox River 10% Milwaukee City 8% Milwaukee Suburbs 20% North 15% West 20% Race & Education Whites with Bachelor's degree or higher 30% Whites with less than Bachelor's degree 56% Education High school or less 30% Some College 34% Bachelor's degree 23% Graduate degree 12% 2016 Vote Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% Other 6% Didn't vote 11%
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