FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 8, 2011
INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)
QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312
Bingaman safe, Johnson Dems’ only threat in open seat race
Raleigh, N.C. – New Mexico Senator Jeff Bingaman generally cruises to re-election, and if he chooses to go for a sixth term, he would start off as a heavy favorite. But there has been some speculation he will instead retire. In his stead, Democrats should still be in strong shape to hold his seat unless popular former Governor Gary Johnson declines a run for president to make a bid for Congress’ upper chamber instead.
With a 56-27 approval-disapproval margin, Bingaman is more popular at home than all but four of the 77 colleagues which PPP has measured in the last year or so. This strong favor with his voters gives Bingaman formidable odds to walk to re-election, even against Johson, whose 44-32 favorability rating makes him considerably the best liked of the non-Bingaman candidates, and who is almost equally popular with Democrats, Republicans, and independents.
Johnson comes closest to beating the incumbent, yet still trails, 51-40. By comparison, Rep. Steve Pearce lags Bingaman, 57-34, and Rep. Heather Wilson trails, 56-37. The Republicans all do what would make them far more competitive in almost any other state: they at least match the incumbent in party unity and take more of his voters from him than he does of theirs. But the Democrats’ 26-point turnout advantage and independents’ Democratic leanings make these matchups blowouts. Bingaman wins unaffiliated voters’ support by 7 points over Johnson, 28 over Wilson, and 30 over Pearce.
If Bingaman retires, prospective replacements Reps. Martin Heinrich and Ben Ray Lujan would also post strong leads against Pearce and Wilson (53-38 and 50-39 for Heinrich and 49-37 and 48-40 for Lujan). But Heinrich would narrowly lag Johnson, 43-44, and Lujan would fall behind, 40-45. Heinrich and Lujan lose more of their voters to the Republicans than does Bingaman, but they post double-digit leads with independents, except when Lujan faces Johnson, who takes independents by eight points.
“Jeff Bingaman is a near lock for reelection,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Gary Johnson could be competitive in an open seat situation but whether some of his unorthodox views would allow him to get the Republican nomination is a different question.”
PPP surveyed 545 New Mexico voters from February 4th to 6th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] New Mexico Survey Results
Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q7 If the candidates for US Senate next year were of Gary Johnson? Democrat Jeff Bingaman and Republican Gary Johnson, who would you vote for? Favorable...... 44% Jeff Bingaman...... 51% Unfavorable ...... 32% Gary Johnson ...... 40% Not sure ...... 24% Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeff Undecided...... 9% Bingaman’s job performance? Q8 If the candidates for US Senate next year were 56% Democrat Jeff Bingaman and Republican Approve ...... Steve Pearce, who would you vote for? Disapprove...... 27% Jeff Bingaman...... 57% Not sure ...... 17% Steve Pearce ...... 34% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Martin Heinrich? Undecided...... 9% 39% Q9 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Favorable...... Democrat Jeff Bingaman and Republican Unfavorable ...... 34% Heather Wilson, who would you vote for? Not sure ...... 28% Jeff Bingaman...... 56% Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Heather Wilson ...... 37% of Ben Ray Lujan? Undecided...... 7% 36% Favorable...... Q10 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Unfavorable ...... 34% Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Gary Johnson, who would you vote for? Not sure ...... 30% 43% Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Martin Heinrich...... of Steve Pearce? Gary Johnson ...... 44% Favorable...... 35% Undecided...... 14% Unfavorable ...... 44% Q11 If the candidates for US Senate next year were 21% Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Not sure ...... Steve Pearce, who would you vote for? Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Heather Wilson? Martin Heinrich...... 53% 38% Favorable...... 39% Steve Pearce ...... 10% Unfavorable ...... 45% Undecided...... Not sure ...... 16%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q12 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Q17 Would you describe yourself as a liberal, Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican moderate, or conservative? Heather Wilson, who would you vote for? Liberal...... 23% Martin Heinrich...... 50% Moderate...... 46% Heather Wilson ...... 39% Conservative...... 32% Undecided...... 11% Q18 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Q13 If the candidates for US Senate next year were 54% Democrat Ben Ray Lujan and Republican Gary Woman ...... Johnson, who would you vote for? Man...... 46% Ben Ray Lujan ...... 40% Q19 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent Gary Johnson ...... 45% or identify with another party, press 3. 15% Undecided...... Democrat ...... 55% Q14 If the candidates for US Senate next year were 29% Democrat Ben Ray Lujan and Republican Republican...... Steve Pearce, who would you vote for? Independent/Other...... 16% Ben Ray Lujan ...... 49% Q20 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If other, press 3. Steve Pearce ...... 37% Hispanic...... 39% Undecided...... 14% 53% Q15 If the candidates for US Senate next year were White ...... Democrat Ben Ray Lujan and Republican Other...... 8% Heather Wilson, who would you vote for? Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to Ben Ray Lujan ...... 48% 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. Heather Wilson ...... 40% 18 to 29...... 12% Undecided...... 12% 24% Q16 Who did you vote for President in 2008? 30 to 45...... 46 to 65...... 44% John McCain...... 39% Older than 65 ...... 20% Barack Obama...... 55% Someone Else/Don't Remember...... 6%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Barack Someone Else/Don't John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Johnson Favorability Bingaman Approval Favorable 44% 47% 42% 38% Approve 56% 24% 80% 44% Unfavor able 32% 23% 39% 27% Disapprove 27% 56% 7% 13% Not s ur e 24% 29% 19% 35% Not s ur e 17% 20% 13% 43%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Barack Someone Else/Don't John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Heinrich Favorability Lujan Favorability Favorable 39% 14% 57% 26% Favorable 36% 10% 54% 38% Unfavor able 34% 57% 18% 23% Unfavor able 34% 58% 18% 24% Not s ur e 28% 28% 25% 51% Not s ur e 30% 32% 28% 37%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Barack Someone Else/Don't John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Pearce Favorability Wilson Favorability Favorable 35% 64% 15% 36% Favorable 39% 66% 19% 44% Unfavor able 44% 15% 65% 35% Unfavor able 45% 17% 67% 22% Not s ur e 21% 21% 21% 29% Not s ur e 16% 17% 14% 34%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Barack Someone Else/Don't John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bingaman/Johnson Bingaman/Pearce Jeff Bingaman 51% 16% 78% 37% Jeff Bingaman 57% 17% 87% 43% Gary Johnson 40% 74% 15% 40% Steve Pearce 34% 72% 8% 30% Undecided 9% 10% 7% 23% Undecided 9% 12% 5% 26%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Barack Someone Else/Don't John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bingaman/Wilson Heinrich/Johnson Jeff Bingaman 56% 15% 88% 36% Martin Heinrich 43% 11% 66% 31% Heather Wilson 37% 77% 8% 36% Gary Johnson 44% 77% 21% 37% Undecided 7% 8% 4% 28% Undecided 14% 12% 13% 32%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Barack Someone Else/Don't John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bas e McCain Obam a Remember He inr ich/Pe ar ce Heinrich/Wilson Martin Heinrich 53% 14% 83% 30% Martin Heinrich 50% 9% 80% 42% Steve Pearce 38% 76% 10% 36% Heather Wilson 39% 79% 11% 35% Undecided 10% 10% 7% 34% Undecided 11% 12% 9% 23%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Barack Someone Else/Don't John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Lujan/Johnson Lujan/Pearce Ben Ray Lujan 40% 8% 64% 31% Ben Ray Lujan 49% 9% 79% 34% Gary Johnson 45% 80% 22% 32% Steve Pearce 37% 79% 9% 26% Undecided 15% 13% 15% 37% Undecided 14% 12% 12% 40%
2008 Vote Ideology
John Barack Someone Else/Don't Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e McCain Obam a Remember Johnson Favorability Lujan/Wilson Favorable 44% 38% 43% 50% Ben Ray Lujan 48% 9% 78% 36% Unfavor able 32% 47% 31% 24% Heather Wilson 40% 80% 12% 26% 16% 26% 26% Undecided 12% 11% 10% 39% Not s ur e 24%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bingaman Approval Heinrich Favorability Approve 56% 80% 65% 26% Favorable 39% 61% 43% 16% Disapprove 27% 6% 16% 58% Unfavor able 34% 14% 26% 58% Not s ur e 17% 14% 20% 17% Not s ur e 28% 25% 31% 26%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Lujan Favorability Pearce Favorability Favorable 36% 56% 38% 19% Favorable 35% 10% 25% 68% Unfavor able 34% 13% 30% 56% Unfavor able 44% 69% 49% 16% Not s ur e 30% 31% 32% 26% Not s ur e 21% 21% 25% 15%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Wilson Favorability Bingaman/Johnson Favorable 39% 12% 34% 64% Jeff Bingaman 51% 82% 58% 19% Unfavor able 45% 79% 44% 21% Gary Johnson 40% 13% 31% 72% Not s ur e 16% 8% 21% 15% Undecided 9% 5% 11% 9%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bingaman/Pearce Bingaman/Wilson Jeff Bingaman 57% 96% 64% 19% Jeff Bingaman 56% 93% 63% 19% Steve Pearce 34% 4% 24% 71% He athe r Wils on 37% 6% 27% 74% Undecided 9% - 12% 10% Undecided 7% 1% 10% 7%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Heinrich/Johnson Heinrich/Pearce Martin Heinrich 43% 73% 49% 11% Martin Heinrich 53% 90% 61% 14% Gary Johnson 44% 17% 34% 78% Steve Pearce 38% 4% 26% 79% Undecided 14% 10% 18% 11% Undecided 10% 6% 13% 7%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Heinrich/Wilson Lujan/Johnson Martin Heinrich 50% 87% 56% 14% Ben Ray Lujan 40% 69% 41% 17% He athe r Wils on 39% 6% 31% 75% Gary Johnson 45% 17% 41% 72% Undecided 11% 6% 13% 11% Undecided 15% 15% 18% 12%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Lujan/Pearce Lujan/Wilson Ben Ray Lujan 49% 86% 54% 15% Ben Ray Lujan 48% 85% 52% 17% Steve Pearce 37% 2% 28% 76% He athe r Wils on 40% 6% 33% 74% Undecided 14% 12% 18% 9% Undecided 12% 9% 15% 10%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Johnson Favorability Bingaman Approval Favorable 44% 41% 47% Approve 56% 60% 51% Unfavorable 32% 33% 32% Dis appr ove 27% 21% 33% Not s ur e 24% 26% 21% Not s ur e 17% 19% 16%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Heinrich Favorability Lujan Favorability Favorable 39% 38% 39% Favorable 36% 36% 36% Unfavorable 34% 30% 38% Unfavorable 34% 30% 39% Not s ur e 28% 32% 23% Not s ur e 30% 34% 25%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Pearce Favorability Wilson Favorability Favorable 35% 34% 37% Favorable 39% 35% 43% Unfavorable 44% 41% 47% Unfavorable 45% 48% 41% Not s ur e 21% 25% 17% Not s ur e 16% 16% 16%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Bingaman/Johnson Bingaman/Pearce Jeff Bingaman 51% 54% 48% Jeff Bingaman 57% 59% 54% Gary Johns on 40% 35% 45% Steve Pearce 34% 30% 40% Unde cide d 9% 11% 7% Unde cide d 9% 11% 6%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Bingaman/Wilson Heinrich/Johnson Jeff Bingaman 56% 59% 53% Martin Heinrich 43% 48% 36% He athe r Wils on 37% 35% 40% Gary Johns on 44% 38% 51% Unde cide d 7% 6% 8% Unde cide d 14% 15% 13%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Heinrich/Pearce Heinrich/Wilson Martin Heinrich 53% 54% 51% Martin Heinrich 50% 52% 48% Steve Pearce 38% 35% 41% He athe r Wils on 39% 36% 43% Unde cide d 10% 11% 8% Unde cide d 11% 12% 10%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Lujan/Johnson Lujan/Pearce Ben Ray Lujan 40% 42% 37% Ben Ray Lujan 49% 48% 50% Gary Johns on 45% 40% 51% Steve Pearce 37% 35% 40% Unde cide d 15% 18% 12% Unde cide d 14% 17% 10%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Wom an Man Johnson Favorability Lujan/Wilson Favor able 44% 44% 43% 46% Ben Ray Lujan 48% 51% 46% Unfavorable 32% 37% 27% 25% He athe r Wils on 40% 35% 44% Not s ur e 24% 19% 30% 29% Unde cide d 12% 14% 10%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bingaman Approval Heinrich Favorability Approve 56% 77% 19% 50% Favor able 39% 52% 10% 42% Dis appr ove 27% 10% 61% 21% Unfavorable 34% 22% 58% 30% Not s ur e 17% 13% 19% 28% Not s ur e 28% 26% 32% 28%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Lujan Favorability Pearce Favorability Favor able 36% 50% 8% 37% Favor able 35% 22% 68% 22% Unfavorable 34% 23% 59% 28% Unfavorable 44% 57% 15% 49% Not s ur e 30% 27% 32% 35% Not s ur e 21% 21% 17% 29%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Wilson Favorability Bingaman/Johnson Favor able 39% 24% 66% 39% Jeff Bingaman 51% 75% 13% 41% Unfavorable 45% 60% 17% 43% Gary Johnson 40% 21% 79% 34% Not s ur e 16% 16% 17% 17% Undecided 9% 5% 9% 26%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bingaman/Pearce Bingaman/Wilson Jeff Bingaman 57% 83% 8% 55% Jeff Bingaman 56% 82% 10% 53% Steve Pearce 34% 12% 82% 25% Heather Wilson 37% 16% 82% 28% Undecided 9% 5% 10% 20% Undecided 7% 3% 8% 19%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Heinrich/Johnson Heinrich/Pearce Martin Heinrich 43% 61% 8% 44% Martin Heinrich 53% 76% 8% 56% Gary Johnson 44% 27% 82% 33% Steve Pearce 38% 16% 86% 24% Undecided 14% 12% 11% 24% Undecided 10% 8% 6% 20%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Heinrich/Wilson Lujan/Johnson Martin Heinrich 50% 73% 6% 50% Ben Ray Lujan 40% 60% 8% 29% Heather Wilson 39% 18% 85% 28% Gary Johnson 45% 28% 83% 37% Undecided 11% 9% 9% 21% Undecided 15% 12% 9% 34%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Lujan/Pearce Lujan/Wilson Ben Ray Lujan 49% 73% 6% 44% Ben Ray Lujan 48% 72% 5% 46% Steve Pearce 37% 15% 86% 24% Heather Wilson 40% 17% 85% 33% Undecided 14% 12% 7% 31% Undecided 12% 11% 9% 20%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e His panic White Othe r Bas e His panic White Othe r Johnson Favorability Bingaman Approval Favorable 44% 52% 39% 40% Approve 56% 68% 47% 54% Unfavorable 32% 32% 32% 33% Disapprove 27% 19% 33% 19% Not s ur e 24% 16% 29% 28% Not s ur e 17% 13% 20% 26%
Race Race
Bas e His panic White Othe r Bas e His panic White Othe r Heinrich Favorability Lujan Favorability Favorable 39% 43% 35% 42% Favorable 36% 47% 27% 38% Unfavorable 34% 31% 37% 22% Unfavorable 34% 27% 40% 28% Not s ur e 28% 26% 28% 36% Not s ur e 30% 25% 33% 35%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e His panic White Othe r Bas e His panic White Othe r Pearce Favorability Wilson Favorability Favorable 35% 28% 41% 36% Favorable 39% 30% 46% 32% Unfavorable 44% 50% 40% 35% Unfavorable 45% 53% 39% 45% Not s ur e 21% 22% 19% 29% Not s ur e 16% 17% 15% 23%
Race Race
Bas e His panic White Othe r Bas e His panic White Othe r Bingaman/Johnson Bingaman/Pearce Jeff Bingaman 51% 67% 41% 41% Jeff Bingaman 57% 67% 50% 55% Gary Johnson 40% 26% 50% 39% Steve Pearce 34% 22% 43% 35% Undecided 9% 7% 9% 20% Undecided 9% 11% 7% 10%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e His panic White Othe r Bas e His panic White Othe r Bingaman/Wilson Heinrich/Johnson Jeff Bingaman 56% 73% 46% 44% Martin Heinrich 43% 50% 37% 43% Heather Wilson 37% 23% 47% 38% Gary Johnson 44% 34% 52% 34% Undecided 7% 4% 7% 18% Undecided 14% 15% 11% 23%
Race Race
Bas e His panic White Othe r Bas e His panic White Othe r Heinrich/Pearce Heinrich/Wilson Martin Heinrich 53% 63% 44% 57% Martin Heinrich 50% 63% 41% 42% Steve Pearce 38% 26% 47% 30% Heather Wilson 39% 25% 49% 40% Undecided 10% 10% 8% 12% Undecided 11% 12% 9% 18%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e His panic White Othe r Bas e His panic White Othe r Lujan/Johnson Lujan/Pearce Be n Ray Lujan 40% 51% 31% 42% Be n Ray Lujan 49% 59% 41% 48% Gary Johnson 45% 33% 55% 41% Steve Pearce 37% 26% 46% 35% Undecided 15% 16% 14% 17% Undecided 14% 15% 13% 17%
Race Age
Bas e His panic White Othe r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Lujan/Wilson Johnson Favorability Be n Ray Lujan 48% 62% 39% 45% Favorable 44% 52% 35% 49% 39% Heather Wilson 40% 25% 50% 40% Unfavorable 32% 27% 34% 31% 37% Undecided 12% 13% 11% 15% Not s ur e 24% 21% 31% 20% 24%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bingaman Approval Heinrich Favorability Approve 56% 61% 49% 60% 53% Favorable 39% 48% 34% 41% 34% Dis appr ove 27% 24% 22% 26% 35% Unfavorable 34% 27% 38% 31% 37% Not s ur e 17% 15% 29% 14% 12% Not s ur e 28% 24% 28% 28% 30%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Lujan Favorability Pearce Favorability Favorable 36% 33% 34% 38% 37% Favorable 35% 36% 25% 38% 40% Unfavorable 34% 33% 32% 33% 39% Unfavorable 44% 36% 46% 43% 46% Not s ur e 30% 33% 34% 29% 24% Not s ur e 21% 27% 28% 19% 13%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Wilson Favorability Bingaman/Johnson Favorable 39% 33% 37% 37% 48% Jeff Bingaman 51% 48% 51% 53% 48% Unfavorable 45% 48% 49% 46% 37% Gary Johnson 40% 33% 40% 39% 46% Not s ur e 16% 18% 15% 17% 14% Unde cide d 9% 18% 9% 8% 6%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bingaman/Pearce Bingaman/Wilson Jeff Bingaman 57% 52% 59% 59% 53% Jeff Bingaman 56% 58% 59% 57% 50% Steve Pearce 34% 33% 32% 34% 39% He athe r Wils on 37% 36% 34% 35% 44% Unde cide d 9% 15% 9% 7% 8% Unde cide d 7% 6% 7% 7% 6%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Heinrich/Johnson Heinrich/Pearce Martin Heinrich 43% 52% 44% 41% 39% Martin Heinrich 53% 61% 57% 52% 44% Gary Johnson 44% 33% 44% 43% 50% Steve Pearce 38% 27% 37% 37% 46% Unde cide d 14% 15% 12% 15% 11% Unde cide d 10% 12% 6% 11% 10%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Heinrich/Wilson Lujan/Johnson Martin Heinrich 50% 55% 53% 51% 41% Ben Ray Lujan 40% 39% 40% 43% 34% He athe r Wils on 39% 36% 37% 37% 49% Gary Johnson 45% 33% 44% 46% 52% Unde cide d 11% 9% 10% 12% 10% Unde cide d 15% 27% 16% 12% 14%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Lujan/Pearce Lujan/Wilson Ben Ray Lujan 49% 45% 54% 50% 41% Ben Ray Lujan 48% 56% 49% 49% 42% Steve Pearce 37% 33% 31% 39% 44% He athe r Wils on 40% 34% 38% 37% 49% Unde cide d 14% 21% 15% 11% 15% Unde cide d 12% 9% 13% 13% 9%
February 4-6, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 545 New Mexico voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988