2018 NFL DRAFT SCOUTING REPORT JANUARY 14, 2018 Scouting Report: QB Jeremiah Briscoe, Sam Houston *Our QB grades can and will change as more information comes in from Pro Day workouts, leaked Wonderlic test results, etc. We will update ratings as new info becomes available. Jeremiah Briscoe is the back-to-back (2016-2017) FCS Walter Payton Award winner (the FCS Heisman equivalent). That’s a pretty impressive feat. The accolade earned him an invite to the East-West Shrine Bowl game…which surprised me because I thought he might get a Senior Bowl nod with the kind of hardware Briscoe had won, and with the excitement FCS’s Carson Wentz brought a few years ago…and with the Senior Bowl missing out on Jimmy Garoppolo in their first pass (invited him late as a fill-in). But Briscoe did not get tapped for Mobile. I was interested in watching this tape because I had already scouted South Dakota State QB prospect Chris Streveler, the runner-up to Briscoe for the Walter Payton Award in 2017…and Streveler was not a bad QB prospect at all. I thought Briscoe might be on par with Streveler, or better…considering his awards. I had some hope going into this tape session and quickly realized why Briscoe isn’t getting Senior Bowl attention -- it’s because he’s not a very good QB prospect. Sure, Briscoe racked stats in the FCS, but that’s a pox on the FCS…because Briscoe leaves a lot to be desired as a quarterback. He has the right size…6′3″/220 (East-West Shrine measurements). He has a very strong arm…was a baseball pitcher coming up and displays powerful passing velocity. The good times end there. Briscoe has a terrible throwing motion/delivery. [R1] He throws a football a lot like a shortstop making a toss to 1st base. Kinda sidearm with a sideways baseball torque versus an over-the-top delivery. If the throwing motion was terrific nonetheless, it probably wouldn’t matter…because my notes on his games are filled with him throwing passes too wide and too low too often. He doesn’t seem to have the touch needed for the position. He was an experienced, award-winning QB going into his senior year and posted a measly 57.9% completion rate in 2017. It seems inconceivable…until you watch him throw. Briscoe is a talented enough athlete with a strong enough arm that it works in the FCS, obviously, but I don’t think it works at the next level at all. Briscoe plays QB like a baseball player…just making instinctual throws with bad mechanics, with baseball mechanics. Like a baseball player swinging a golf club for the first time…more baseball style/instinct than true golf swing. That’s Briscoe to me…has some tools but really doesn’t have ‘it’ for playing QB at the next level. Everything ‘looks’ wrong when I watch him play. Briscoe seems like a good kid, and because of his size and arm strength he’ll get a look by NFL scouts but he’s far too raw to break through the low odds of a late-draft pick FCS guy changing his mechanics and College Football Metrics| 1 2018 NFL DRAFT SCOUTING REPORT JANUARY 14, 2018 becoming polished buried on the low end of the NFL depth chart. Too flawed. Not enough tools to work with here to get excited about for the NFL. Jeremiah Briscoe, Through the Lens of Our QB Scouting Algorithm: When I drop this following statistical tidbit, it’s all you’ll need to know to realize there’s nothing here for the next level… Briscoe racked a lot of numbers in the regular season the past two years, but he’s also gone to the playoffs each of the last two seasons. The team has been obliterated in the first round each time, and Briscoe’s numbers in those playoff games were: 29-for-51 for 289 yards, 1 TD/3 INTs = 2017 v. North Dakota State 13-for-44 for 143 yards, 0 TD/2 INTs = 2016 v. James Madison 44.2% Comp. Pct., 216.0 yards, 0.5 TDs/2.5 INTs per game = Playoff averages 2016-2017 This is the two-time FCS Heisman winner? Measurables projections… 6’3.0/225 = as measured at the East-West Shrine practice week 9.1” hands, 31.0” arm-length = as measured at the East-West Shrine practice week Briscoe is not much of a runner. He projects as a 5.0 40-time +/--. College Football Metrics| 2 2018 NFL DRAFT SCOUTING REPORT JANUARY 14, 2018 The Historical QB Prospects to Whom J. Briscoe Most Compares Within Our System: Our system compares Briscoe to random FCS and D2 prospects of the past who never made a dent in the NFL. QB- QB Yr College H W adj adj Yds adj adj Score Comp per Pass Pass Pct Comp per TD Per INT 3.575 Briscoe, Jeremiah 2018 Sam Houston St 75.0 220 53.3% 14.9 14.2 29.3 4.959 Padron, Kyle 2013 E. Washington 75.2 232 55.7% 13.7 22.9 36.3 0.690 Partridge, Travis 2014 Mo Western 74.6 234 50.8% 12.8 16.6 23.0 2.082 Mason, Deaunte 2013 Alabama A&M 74.1 210 53.1% 11.2 25.4 33.2 -0.971 Buechel, Dillon 2017 Duquesne 75.3 211 51.2% 13.1 25.7 22.4 -3.198 Jenkins, Eli 2017 Jacksonville St 72.6 210 47.2% 14.9 21.6 32.8 *“Adj” = A view of adjusted college output in our system…adjusted for strength of opponent. **A score of 8.5+ is where we see a stronger correlation of QBs going on to become NFL good to great. A scouting score of 9.5+ is rarefied air—higher potential for becoming great to elite. QBs scoring 6.0–8.0 are finding more success in the new passing era of the NFL (2014–on). Depending upon the system and surrounding weapons, a 6.0–8.0 rated QB can do fine in today’s NFL—with the right circumstances…but they are not ‘the next Tom Brady’ guys, just NFL-useful guys. College Football Metrics| 3 2018 NFL DRAFT SCOUTING REPORT JANUARY 14, 2018 2018 NFL Draft Outlook: Because of his Walter Payton Awards, Briscoe will probably get the standard ‘late round pick’ label. As much as I think he should not be drafted, anytime the NFL sees ‘big arm’…it’s a siren call. Likely a 6th- or 7th-round pick. If I were an NFL GM, I don’t have Briscoe seriously on my board. You want a great FCS QB talent…anyone could have had Kyle Sloter last year. They all whiffed on him. NFL Outlook: Will get a UDFA tryout, may hang around camp as an arm and then will be cut and probably put on a practice squad to see if anyone can do anything with his strong arm…and then in a year or two, he’ll drift from our collective awareness. Copyright Statement Copyright at date and time signed below by R.C. Fischer All rights reserved. All content is for entertainment purposes only and TFA is not responsible or liable for personal adverse outcomes nor are any game results or forecasting guaranteed. Past results do not predict future outcomes. We are not held liable for any personal loses incurred. We are solely here to produce and provide content for recreational purposes. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods, without the prior written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical reviews and certain other noncommercial uses permitted by copyright law. For permission requests, email the publisher at [email protected] Signature__________________________________________ Date_____________________1/14/2018 College Football Metrics| 4 .