Commissioning Draft Update Adult locality profiles: / area Main overlap with West Mid Beds PBC and minor overlap into Horizon PBC

Total population (2001): Central Ampthill/Flitwick Total male female total 0-15 11,480 5,840 5,650 50,190 16-64 35,010 17,690 17,320 151,860 65+ 6,880 3,070 3,830 31,620 85+ 740 240 520 3,480 All ages 53,360 26,600 26,800 233,660 Source: 2001 Census. Numbers are rounded and may not add up exactly.

The 2007 population estimate for this area is 56,220. It is not possible to split this by age and gender.

Age profile:

Ampthill/Flitwick 21.5% 65.6% 12.9%

Central 21.5% 65.0% 13.5% Bedfordshire

0-15 16-64 65+ Source: 2001 Census

Ethnicity

Not white 2.6% Largest ethnic Number of groups people

White British 50,030 (93.7%) White Other 1,325 (2.5%) White Irish 645 (1.2%) Indian 240 (0.5%) Chinese 200 (0.4%) Mixed: white and 145 (0.3%) black Caribbean Mixed: white and 140 (0.3%) Asian All other ethnicities 570 (1.1%) White 97.4%

Source: 2001 Census Percentage of population whose ethnic group is not ‘white’, by age 5

Ampthill / Flitwick

4

3 %

2

1

0 Total population 0 -15 16 - pensionable age Pensionable age +

Source: 2001 Census

Home ownership

Rate of home ownership, by age group

100 Ampthill / Flitwick 90 Central Bedfordshire

80

70

60

% 50

40

30

20

10

0 All people 50 - 59 60 - 64 65 - 74 75 - 84 85+ Source: 2001 Census. Note: These figures include shared ownership

Unemployment in this locality was 1.9% of the working age population in January 2010. This was equal to 690 people. Unemployment for Central Bedfordshire as a whole was 3.0%. (Source: Jobseeker’s Allowance Claimant Count) Deprivation

In Central Bedfordshire, no small areas are within the worst 20% in using the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD). In the Ampthill / Flitwick locality, one small area, Flitwick East 400, is the eighth most deprived in Central Bedfordshire, and is in the worst 10-20% in the .

In addition, 31% of older people in Flitwick East 400 live in income deprived households.

Notes on deprivation: • The index of multiple deprivation (IMD) calculates overall deprivation at small area level for the whole of England. • Older people’s deprivation is measured using the income deprivation affecting older people index (IDAOPI), also at small area level. • The small areas used to calculate deprivation (both IMD and IDAOPI) are called lower super output areas (LSOAs). There are 154 small areas in Central Bedfordshire. Each contains around 1,500 people. • Small areas are identified using the ward name and a three digit code.

Additional Information From Social Care, Health & Housing

Ampthill/ Flitwick Over Over 75 Population

10000

8000

6000

4000

Population 2000

0 2009/Baseline 2015 Forecast 2020 Forecast 2025 Forecast 2030 Forecast Timeline

Percentage of Population Over 75

20.0%

15.0% Central Bedfordshire 10.0% Ampthill/Flitwick

Population 5.0%

0.0% 2009/Baseline 2015 Forecast 2020 Forecast 2025 Forecast 2030 Forecast Timeline

The over 75 population in Ampthill/Flitwick represents 25% of the total over 75 population across Central Bedfordshire.

Within Amptill/Flitwick the over 75 population represents a slightly lower proportion of the total population (5.9%) than than the overall Central Bedfordshire average (6.4%). The over 75 population across Central Bedfordshire is predicted to double in size by 2030. 1

2009 Baseline - Care Capacity as a % of over 75 population

30.0% 25.0% 20.0% Central Bedfordshire 15.0% Ampthill/Flitwick 10.0%

Units/Beds 5.0% 0.0% % Residential % Nursing Care % Sheltered % Extra Care % Total Care Beds Beds Housing Units Housing Units Capacity Care Type

Central Bedfordshire Care Capacity by Type

10,000 8,000 Extra Care Housing Units 6,000 Sheltered Housing Units 4,000 Nursing Care Beds

Beds/Units 2,000 Residential Care Beds - 2009/Baseline 2015 2020 2025 2030 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Timeline

At present there is supported housing capacity in Central Bedfordshire for 1 in 4 of the over 75 population with the majority being sheltered housing. If we want to maintain the same level of supported housing we would need to provide an additional 4000 beds/units/alternative services across Central Bedfordshire with just under a 1000 of these within Ampthill/Flitwick.

Total Care Capacity as % of Over 75 Population - Keep for profiles

24.5%

24.0%

23.5% Central Bedfordshire 23.0% Ampthill/Flitw ick Units/Beds 22.5%

22.0% 2009/Baseline 2015 Forecast 2020 Forecast 2025 Forecast 2030 Forecast Timeline

The overall capacity of supported housing in Ampthill/Flitwick is only slightly lower (22.9%) than the overall Central Bedfordshire Average (23.9%) with a higher than average proportion of sheltered housing and a lower than average proportion of all other types.

Future Priorities Given this analysis, the proposed priorities for this area are the development of extra care housing to address the imbalance in residential, nursing and extra care housing.

1 Source: POPPI