When the Dutch Disease met the French Connection: Oil, Macroeconomics and Forests in Gabon When the Dutch Disease met French Connection: Oil, Macroeconomics and Forests WhenWhen thethe DutchDutch DiseaseDisease metmet thethe FrenchFrench Connection:Connection: Oil,Oil, MacroeconomicsMacroeconomics andand ForestsForests inin GabonGabon Sven Wunder Report prepared for the CIFOR-CARPE-USAID project ‘The impact of macroeconomic and agricultural policies on forest conditions in Gabon’ Sven Wunder Untitled-7 1 1/12/04, 2:20 PM When the Dutch Disease met the French Connection: Oil, Macroeconomics and Forests in Gabon Sven Wunder Economist, Ph.D., D.Sc.
[email protected] Report prepared for the CIFOR-CARPE-USAID project ‘The impact of macroeconomic and agricultural policies on forest conditions in Gabon’ Cover photos by Christian Cossalter and Caltex © 2003 by Center for International Forestry Research All rights reserved. Published in 2003 Cover design by Eko Prianto and Yahya Sampurna Published by Center for International Forestry Research Office address: Jalan CIFOR, Situ Gede, Sindangbarang, Bogor 16680, Indonesia Mailing address: P.O. Box 6596 JKPWB, Jakarta 10065, Indonesia Tel.: +62 (251) 622622; Fax: +62 (251) 622100 E-mail:
[email protected] Web site: http://www.cifor.cgiar.or Table of contents 1 INTRODUCTION 1 2 FORESTS AND DEFORESTATION 5 2.1 Historical trends 5 2.2 Current forest loss 7 3 MACROECONOMIC TRENDS 14 4 THE COMPETITIVENESS OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY 20 4.1 Agriculture 20 4.2 Forestry 22 4.3 Trade policy impacts 24 4.4 A