Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 374 Likely Voters in the 2020 Republican Primary Field Dates
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Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 374 Likely Voters Field Dates: February 23-26, 2020 in the 2020 Republican Primary OVERAL PARTY L REGISTRATION GENDER AGE CATEGORIES Ind / Overall Rep Other Male Female 18 to 44 45 to 59 60+ UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 374 200 174 211 163 55 126 193 Favorables - Donald Trump Favorable 82% 77% 86% 81% 84% 81% 79% 89% Unfavorable 12% 17% 9% 12% 12% 12% 15% 8% Heard of / Undecided 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 5% 3% Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Refused (not read) % 1% % % % 0% 1% % Total 374 147 227 196 178 121 148 106 Favorables - Bill Weld Favorable 24% 28% 21% 21% 27% 27% 22% 24% Unfavorable 55% 43% 62% 55% 54% 38% 62% 64% Heard of / Undecided 10% 9% 10% 8% 11% 8% 12% 8% Never heard of 11% 19% 7% 15% 8% 28% 4% 3% Refused (not read) % % 0% % 0% 0% 0% % Total 374 147 227 196 178 121 148 106 Favorables - Charlie Baker Favorable 50% 59% 45% 49% 52% 56% 47% 49% Unfavorable 36% 33% 38% 36% 36% 34% 40% 33% Heard of / Undecided 11% 8% 13% 11% 10% 5% 13% 15% Never heard of 3% 1% 4% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% Refused (not read) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 374 147 227 196 178 121 148 106 Favorables - Mitt Romney Favorable 27% 37% 21% 25% 29% 35% 26% 20% Unfavorable 64% 54% 71% 63% 65% 58% 67% 67% Heard of / Undecided 8% 8% 8% 11% 5% 6% 7% 12% Never heard of 1% % 1% % 1% % 0% 2% Refused (not read) % % 0% % 0% 0% 0% % Total 374 147 227 196 178 121 148 106 Favorables - Bill Barr Favorable 40% 36% 42% 43% 36% 38% 35% 47% Unfavorable 15% 18% 13% 18% 11% 14% 18% 11% Heard of / Undecided 15% 12% 17% 18% 12% 14% 12% 20% Never heard of 31% 33% 29% 22% 40% 34% 34% 22% Refused (not read) % 1% 0% % 0% 0% 1% 0% Total 374 147 227 196 178 121 148 106 Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org Page 1 of 20 Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 374 Likely Voters Field Dates: February 23-26, 2020 in the 2020 Republican Primary OVERAL L AGE AND GENDER RACE Women White / Men age age 18- Men age Women Caucasia Overall 18-44 44 45+ age 45+ n All others UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 374 41 14 170 149 332 23 Favorables - Donald Trump Favorable 82% 85% 75% 79% 86% 84% 67% Unfavorable 12% 9% 19% 14% 10% 11% 18% Heard of / Undecided 5% 6% 6% 6% 3% 4% 15% Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% 1% % % 0% Total 374 77 43 119 134 343 19 Favorables - Bill Weld Favorable 24% 14% 50% 26% 20% 24% 15% Unfavorable 55% 42% 31% 64% 62% 54% 55% Heard of / Undecided 10% 12% 0% 6% 15% 10% 1% Never heard of 11% 32% 19% 4% 4% 11% 29% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% % 0% % 0% Total 374 77 43 119 134 343 19 Favorables - Charlie Baker Favorable 50% 52% 63% 48% 48% 50% 43% Unfavorable 36% 36% 31% 36% 37% 36% 32% Heard of / Undecided 11% 8% 0% 14% 14% 12% 2% Never heard of 3% 5% 6% 2% 1% 2% 24% Refused (not read) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 374 77 43 119 134 343 19 Favorables - Mitt Romney Favorable 27% 29% 46% 23% 24% 26% 51% Unfavorable 64% 61% 54% 65% 68% 65% 47% Heard of / Undecided 8% 10% 0% 12% 6% 9% 1% Never heard of 1% % 0% % 1% % 2% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% % 0% % 0% Total 374 77 43 119 134 343 19 Favorables - Bill Barr Favorable 40% 46% 23% 41% 40% 41% 23% Unfavorable 15% 10% 20% 23% 9% 14% 21% Heard of / Undecided 15% 18% 8% 17% 14% 15% 10% Never heard of 31% 26% 48% 19% 38% 30% 46% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% 1% 0% % 0% Total 374 77 43 119 134 343 19 Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org Page 2 of 20 Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 374 Likely Voters Field Dates: February 23-26, 2020 in the 2020 Republican Primary OVERAL L EDUCATION LEVEL INCOME RANGES Some High college, College School or no graduate Advance $25k to < $75k to < Overall less degree (BA/BS) d degree < $25k $75k $150k $150k + UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 374 83 96 121 68 31 85 110 77 Favorables - Donald Trump Favorable 82% 79% 89% 82% 77% 63% 95% 87% 74% Unfavorable 12% 15% 6% 13% 18% 36% 4% 10% 14% Heard of / Undecided 5% 7% 4% 5% 5% 0% 1% 3% 11% Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Refused (not read) % 0% 1% % 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% Total 374 56 99 128 85 25 74 121 101 Favorables - Bill Weld Favorable 24% 14% 16% 31% 29% 27% 14% 22% 31% Unfavorable 55% 51% 64% 51% 51% 54% 56% 53% 55% Heard of / Undecided 10% 21% 5% 6% 13% 8% 9% 14% 8% Never heard of 11% 14% 14% 12% 7% 11% 20% 11% 6% Refused (not read) % % 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 374 56 99 128 85 25 74 121 101 Favorables - Charlie Baker Favorable 50% 32% 49% 62% 49% 50% 33% 52% 57% Unfavorable 36% 48% 39% 26% 37% 35% 45% 41% 29% Heard of / Undecided 11% 14% 9% 9% 14% 3% 16% 6% 14% Never heard of 3% 6% 2% 3% 0% 12% 7% 1% % Refused (not read) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 374 56 99 128 85 25 74 121 101 Favorables - Mitt Romney Favorable 27% 27% 12% 28% 44% 45% 19% 22% 38% Unfavorable 64% 62% 74% 65% 51% 55% 70% 71% 52% Heard of / Undecided 8% 10% 13% 7% 5% 0% 10% 7% 9% Never heard of 1% 1% 1% % 0% 0% % 0% 1% Refused (not read) % % 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 374 56 99 128 85 25 74 121 101 Favorables - Bill Barr Favorable 40% 24% 50% 43% 36% 26% 46% 36% 44% Unfavorable 15% 21% 10% 11% 19% 18% 6% 17% 17% Heard of / Undecided 15% 17% 16% 13% 14% 21% 21% 14% 8% Never heard of 31% 38% 23% 34% 31% 36% 27% 32% 30% Refused (not read) % 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% Total 374 56 99 128 85 25 74 121 101 Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org Page 3 of 20 Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 374 Likely Voters Field Dates: February 23-26, 2020 in the 2020 Republican Primary OVERAL FAV: FAV: FAV: L REGIONS TRUMP WELD BAKER Western Outer Boston / / Central Southeas Boston Inner Favorabl Favorabl Favorabl Overall MA t MA Suburbs Suburbs e e e UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 374 115 59 132 68 302 89 194 Favorables - Donald Trump Favorable 82% 77% 93% 83% 81% 100% 60% 74% Unfavorable 12% 21% % 11% 14% 0% 27% 19% Heard of / Undecided 5% 2% 7% 6% 4% 0% 12% 7% Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Refused (not read) % % 0% 0% 1% 0% % 1% Total 374 94 63 139 78 308 90 188 Favorables - Bill Weld Favorable 24% 27% 17% 21% 32% 17% 100% 43% Unfavorable 55% 48% 58% 62% 48% 61% 0% 43% Heard of / Undecided 10% 7% 7% 11% 12% 10% 0% 9% Never heard of 11% 18% 18% 6% 9% 12% 0% 6% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% 0% % % 0% % Total 374 94 63 139 78 308 90 188 Favorables - Charlie Baker Favorable 50% 57% 32% 50% 59% 45% 89% 100% Unfavorable 36% 33% 48% 39% 24% 42% 6% 0% Heard of / Undecided 11% 7% 19% 9% 12% 10% 3% 0% Never heard of 3% 3% % 2% 5% 2% 2% 0% Refused (not read) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 374 94 63 139 78 308 90 188 Favorables - Mitt Romney Favorable 27% 37% 14% 22% 36% 18% 62% 42% Unfavorable 64% 58% 73% 68% 56% 75% 30% 53% Heard of / Undecided 8% 5% 13% 9% 7% 6% 9% 4% Never heard of 1% % % 1% % % 0% 1% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% 0% % % 0% % Total 374 94 63 139 78 308 90 188 Favorables - Bill Barr Favorable 40% 36% 45% 43% 33% 45% 30% 39% Unfavorable 15% 18% 17% 12% 13% 13% 20% 16% Heard of / Undecided 15% 9% 24% 18% 10% 14% 11% 9% Never heard of 31% 38% 14% 26% 43% 29% 39% 35% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% % Total 374 94 63 139 78 308 90 188 Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org Page 4 of 20 Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 374 Likely Voters Field Dates: February 23-26, 2020 in the 2020 Republican Primary OVERAL L REP PRIMARY W LEANERS Overall Trump Weld Unsure UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 374 308 49 6 Favorables - Donald Trump Favorable 82% 96% 12% 59% Unfavorable 12% 3% 69% 2% Heard of / Undecided 5% 2% 18% 37% Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% Refused (not read) % 0% 1% 3% Total 374 310 51 6 Favorables - Bill Weld Favorable 24% 16% 69% 56% Unfavorable 55% 64% 12% 5% Heard of / Undecided 10% 9% 9% 37% Never heard of 11% 11% 11% 3% Refused (not read) % % 0% 0% Total 374 310 51 6 Favorables - Charlie Baker Favorable 50% 45% 77% 61% Unfavorable 36% 41% 13% 0% Heard of / Undecided 11% 11% 4% 39% Never heard of 3% 2% 6% 0% Refused (not read) 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 374 310 51 6 Favorables - Mitt Romney Favorable 27% 17% 90% 5% Unfavorable 64% 75% 6% 56% Heard of / Undecided 8% 8% 4% 37% Never heard of 1% 1% % 3% Refused (not read) % % 0% 0% Total 374 310 51 6 Favorables - Bill Barr Favorable 40% 45% 13% 0% Unfavorable 15% 11% 34% 56% Heard of / Undecided 15% 15% 11% 39% Never heard of 31% 29% 43% 5% Refused (not read) % 0% 0% 0% Total 374 310 51 6 Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org Page 5 of 20 Massachusetts Statewide Poll of 374 Likely Voters Field Dates: February 23-26, 2020 in the 2020 Republican Primary OVERAL PARTY L REGISTRATION GENDER AGE CATEGORIES Ind / Overall Rep Other Male Female 18 to 44 45 to 59 60+ UNWEIGHTED COUNT Unweighted count 374 200 174 211 163 55 126 193 If the 2020 Republican primary for Donald Trump 82% 72% 89% 83% 81% 73% 83% 90% President were held today, for whom would Bill Weld 14% 20% 9% 14% 13% 21% 12% 7% you vote? Some other candidate 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% Would not vote % 1% 0% % % 0% 1% 0% Don't Know / Refused 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 5% 2% 2% Total 374 147 227 196 178 121 148 106 Even though you say you are undecided -- Donald Trump 38% 2% 96% 38% 38% 0% 100% 67% which way are you leaning as of today? Bill Weld 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Some other candidate 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 5% Would not vote 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Don't Know / Refused 61% 96% 4% 62% 61% 100% 0% 28% Total 10 6 4 4 6 5 2 2 REP PRIMARY WITH LEANERS Donald Trump 83% 72% 90% 84% 82% 73% 85% 92% Bill Weld 14% 20% 9% 14% 13% 21% 12% 7% Some other candidate 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2%