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Coevolution of Parasite Virulence and Host Mating Strategies Coevolution of parasite virulence and host mating strategies Ben Ashbya,1 and Michael Bootsa,b aBiosciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Cornwall Campus, Penryn, Cornwall, TR10 9EZ, United Kingdom; and bIntegrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720 Edited by Joan E. Strassmann, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, and approved September 1, 2015 (received for review April 29, 2015) Parasites are thought to play an important role in sexual selection potential importance of parasite-mediated sexual selection may and the evolution of mating strategies, which in turn are likely to have been overstated. Although Knell recognized the importance be critical to the transmission and therefore the evolution of para- of feedback for selection in the host, it is hard to intuit the con- sites. Despite this clear interdependence we have little under- sequences of the full coevolutionary interaction (i.e., feedback in standing of parasite-mediated sexual selection in the context of both directions). If, for example, disease-avoidance behavior reciprocal parasite evolution. Here we develop a general coevolu- leads to the evolution of less harmful parasites that subse- tionary model between host mate preference and the virulence of a quently weaken the need for choosiness, will the system remain in sexually transmitted parasite. We show when the characteristics of a stable state, or will selection favor more harmful parasites? Here, both the host and parasite lead to coevolutionarily stable strategies we theoretically explore the full dynamical coevolution of mate or runaway selection, and when coevolutionary cycling between choice and parasite virulence. We show that coevolution can high and low levels of host mate choosiness and virulence is lead to fluctuating selection (cycling) and stable strategies at possible. A prominent argument against parasites being involved intermediate levels of mate choice and virulence, and therefore in sexual selection is that they should evolve to become less virulent prevent the loss of parasite-mediated sexual selection. Fur- when transmission depends on host mating success. The present thermore, we show how optimal virulence and choosiness is study, however, demonstrates that coevolution can maintain stable critically dependent on a range of other host and parasite traits. host mate choosiness and parasite virulence or indeed coevolution- ary cycling of both traits. We predict that choosiness should vary Modeling inversely with parasite virulence and that both relatively long and We model the spread of a sexually transmitted parasite in a se- short life spans select against choosy behavior in the host. The rially monogamous population, where disease causes a reduction model also reveals that hosts can evolve different behavioral in host reproductive success but does not increase mortality (we responses from the same initial conditions, which highlights refer to the reduction in host reproductive success as “virulence”) difficulties in using comparative analysis to detect parasite- (Methods). We assume that hosts are able to detect the health of mediated sexual selection. Taken as a whole, our results empha- prospective partners and preferentially choose mates that show size the importance of viewing parasite-mediated sexual selection fewer signs of disease. This is reasonable given that parasites can in the context of coevolution. reduce mating success and can be detected directly (e.g., ectopar- asites) or indirectly (e.g., visible lesions) (1, 2, 9, 25), and that – host parasite coevolution | mate choice | virulence | precopulatory displays sometimes involve exposure of cloaca or transmission avoidance | sexually transmitted infection genitalia, which may reveal signs of disease (7). There is also a precedent for individuals to prefer healthy social contacts, relying ince Hamilton and Zuk (1) first proposed that parasitism on visual, behavioral, or olfactory cues to determine the condition Smay explain the existence of secondary sex traits such as the of other individuals (26–28). We explore a variety of functional peacock’s tail, there has been considerable interest in the role forms that are involved in mate choice (Supporting Information), that parasites play in sexual selection and the evolution of mating – strategies (2 19). A prominent theory, known as the transmission- Significance avoidance hypothesis, posits that secondary sex traits, and more generally, mating strategies, have evolved to limit the risk of It is well understood that parasitism may help to explain the contracting an infection (10). Although this theory emphasizes the evolution of mating strategies, but host behavior is, in turn, importance of parasites in determining mating strategies, it is clear critical to the transmission and therefore the evolution of para- that different mating strategies will have an impact on infectious sites. Despite this clear reciprocity, we lack a coevolutionary theory disease transmission and therefore influence parasite evolution. of mate choice and parasite virulence. We show how coevolution However, despite this clear interdependence we lack a coevolu- leads to a wide range of dynamics, including cycling and stable tionary theory of mating strategies that captures reciprocal adap- strategies, and that this resolves a key criticism of the role of par- tations by both species. asites in mate choice: that parasites will evolve to be avirulent, thus Sex can leave individuals at risk of infection due to sustained reducing their impact on mating strategies. Coevolution also leads close contact with sexual partners or through the transfer of genetic to new predictions for the role of several host and parasite traits on material (20). Hence, sexually transmitted infections, which are selection for mate choice that will guide future experimental and commoninbothplants(21)andanimals(22),arelikelytobeakey comparative work. factor in the evolution of mating strategies. Furthermore, sexually transmitted infections typically exhibit different epidemiological Author contributions: B.A. designed research; B.A. performed research; B.A. analyzed dynamics (17, 23) and disease outcomes (e.g., sterility rather than data; and B.A. and M.B. wrote the paper. mortality; ref. 22) to other infectious diseases. In an important The authors declare no conflict of interest. paper, Knell (11) suggested that sexually transmitted infections will This article is a PNAS Direct Submission. evolve to become less harmful to hosts that experience selection for See Commentary on page 13139. disease-avoidance traits, which in turn will reduce sexual selection 1To whom correspondence should be addressed. Email: [email protected]. in the host. Because this has been overlooked in studies that only This article contains supporting information online at www.pnas.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10. consider host evolution (1, 10, 14, 15, 24), it would appear that the 1073/pnas.1508397112/-/DCSupplemental. 13290–13295 | PNAS | October 27, 2015 | vol. 112 | no. 43 www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1508397112 Downloaded by guest on September 26, 2021 but here we focus on a power law relationship (Eq. 1). We assume AB that there is a positive relationship between the transmission rate 1 1 SEE COMMENTARY ðβÞ of the parasite and the extent of damage caused to the host, g=0 resulting in a loss of fecundity for infected individuals. Such re- lationships are typically used to study the evolution of virulence in g=3 lethal infections (29–31), and are supported by strong evidence from a number of systems (32, 33). Few studies have directly g=6 at equilibrium Proportion infected looked for transmission-virulence relationships among parasites Proportion infected 0 0 that reduce host fecundity rather than increase mortality, al- 0 003 0 01 though Ebert et al. (34) found a negative relationship between Time Strength of mate choice, g reproduction by a bacterial parasite (Pasteuria ramosa) and the CD 1 1 fecundity of its host (Daphnia magna). 1 Disease-associated reductions in fecundity may be interpreted as cycles cycles direct harm to reproductive tissues, as in the case of Chlamydia or gonorrhea infections that cause pelvic inflammatory disease, or a general reduction in parental health that lowers the number of Virulence, 1-f Virulence, 1-f surviving offspring (e.g., smaller clutch size or reduced investment at equilibrium Proportion infected per offspring). The fecundity ðfÞ of infected individuals is given by 0 0 0 0 02 0 02 f = expð−ηβÞ,whereη mediates the strength of the relationship Strength of mate choice, g Strength of mate choice, g with parasite transmissibility (β) (the fecundity of uninfected hosts is 1). We use a decelerating trade-off between the transmission rate Fig. 1. Epidemiological dynamics and equilibrium prevalence of infection in and virulence because fecundity cannot decrease below zero. the deterministic and stochastic models. (A and B) Mate choice reduces both However, the results are consistent for an accelerating trade-off the rate at which disease spreads and the equilibrium prevalence of in- fection. (A) Time series showing the proportion of the host population in- (Supporting Information). For the sake of simplicity, we assume that fected during the course of an epidemic for different levels of mate choice, mate choice is based on the perceived fecundity of prospective g.(B) The proportion of the population infected at the unique (locally asymp- partners
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