Hampshire County Council Sufficiency Update s1

` Hampshire County Council Sufficiency Update

Area: Winchester City Council

Period: 1 October – 31 December 2014 Report by: Colin Skinner (Business Support Officer) on behalf of Debra McAndrew Childcare development co-ordinator

[email protected] or tel:02380 650034

Executive summary

Area demographic profile This information is provided by the Local Development Team and indicates projected changes in the demographic profile in the area. Statistical data is augmented by local knowledge and from networking with agencies and settings. Percentage growth numbers below have been rounded to the nearest whole number.

Number and ages of children

The overall child population of Winchester is set to show a substantial increase by 2020 – increasing by 10% for children aged 2 and 12% aged 3&4 whilst Hampshire as a whole is projected to decrease by 2% for children aged 2 and increase by only 2% for children aged 3&4.

Within Winchester there is projected to be a significant variation in ward areas, broadly reflected by the housing growth areas highlighted in the section below. Significant growth in the wards of Boarhunt & Southhwick, Owslelbury & Curdridge, and Sparsholt are indicated with likely demand on childcare places presenting opportunities for childcare development.

By contrast the Itchen Valley, Colden Common & Twyford and parts of central Winchester are forecast to have lower numbers of children than present.

Source: http://www3.hants.gov.uk/factsandfigures/population-statistics/pop-estimates/small- area-pop-stats.htm

Housing Developments

New housing is planned for an area known as Barton Farm (north of Winchester). This will include 2000 new homes with enabling works currently underway. In addition there are proposals for 3,500 houses as part of the North Whiteley Strategic Development Area and the Waterlooville and Denmead area which straddles the Havant and Winchester borders where housing developments are well underway (1,354 homes in Denmead).

A detailed breakdown of housing developments in the area can be found by accessing the Hampshire Land Supply Mapper tool on the link below: http://linkeddata.hants.gov.uk/land-supply-mapper/map.html

Lone parent families accessing Working Tax Credit

Take up of the childcare element of Working Tax Credit by low income families in Hampshire is 16.5%, slightly lower than the England average of 17.4%. Take up in Winchester is 14.8%, considerably lower than the Hampshire and England averages. The low take up may be attributable to either a high proportion of families being ineligible for this element of the tax credit, because they are single-earner couples, because they do not use any childcare, or because they use unregistered childcare such as family and friends.

Source: http://www3.hants.gov.uk/child_poverty_needs_assessment_2011.pdf

The latest information available shows that 350 lone parents in Winchester are claiming benefits, but this does not include those that may also be claiming Employment Support Allowance - ESA (figure therefore does not include all lone parents). This represents 0.5% of the working age group. Hampshire’s overall figure has a lone parent representation (excluding those that may also be claiming ESA) which stands at 0.8%.

Source: https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/1946157310/report.aspx#tabempunemp

Employment profiles and income

There has been a decrease in unemployment numbers since the last quarter across the council area with the figures shown in the Hampshire Labour Market Bulletin for November 2014 standing at 428 JSA claimants, a reduction of 8 since the August 2014 bulletin. Winchester’s NEET figure (not in education, employment or training) for 16-18 year olds currently stands at 91, 3.53% of this age range (Hants figure is estimated to be 1,284 and 4.12%).

Source: http://www3.hants.gov.uk/factsandfigures/figures- economics/hants_labour_market.htm

Childcare places analysis (balance sheet)

This data is produced by the Local Development Team from known changes in the childcare market that have occurred in the period. Please also see information in the data set tables below which give the detail. For the purposes of transparency where no details of childcare places have been provided an allocation of 3 childcare places for a Childminder and 1 childcare place for a Home childcarer has been allocated. The figure under each provider type in the end column provides the overall net growth or loss for the full year in each sector.

Provider Total Total Total Total Net type (this number number of number number of growth/ qtr. and for of registered of registered loss of year) providers places providers spaces places gained gained (if lost lost (if this last known) known) qtr. Childminders 0 0 4 20 -20

Home 0 0 5 NK NK childcarers

Day Nursery 2 105 0 0 +105

Pre-school 0 0 0 0 0

Holiday 0 0 0 0 0 Playscheme

ASC (may 2 30+ 0 0 30+ inc BC) Total 115+

Availability of places

Data sets

New provision

This data comprises settings that have completed registration in the period. A mix of new provision is recorded this quarter with Holiday Play Schemes and Day places predominant.

Ward Postcode Age Registered Type of setting range places DN/PS/Hol Playscheme/ ASC/CM/Home childcarers Kings Worthy SO23 7LB NK NK ASC St Barnabas SO22 6EE 2 – 5 30 DN St John and All SO23 0ET 0 – 7 75 DN Saints The Alresfords SO24 9BS 5 – 7 30 ASC

Under three’s new provision This is based on the places known that have been developed for under threes in the period. The places information will have been extracted from the above table.

Ward Postcode Registered Comment baby places (0- 2)

Comment: There would be some provision for under 3’s within the newly registered provision but exact numbers are not known.

Proposed provision

This is data known to the Local Development Team. It is likely that these provisions have made application to Ofsted.

Ward Postcode Age range Register Type of setting ed DN/PS/Hol places Playscheme/ ASC/CM/Home childcarers Compton and SO18 2FP 5 – 7 2 CM Otterbourne St Barnabas SO22 4DT 2 1 HC The Alresfords SO24 9UR 5 - 7 1 HC

Comment: Information was acquired from Ofsted but exact numbers are not always provided. Potential expansion of existing provision is not detailed as providers no longer need to seek permission from Ofsted and will provide places according to demand and regulations of staff ratios and qualified staff as indicated in the statutory early years foundation stage.

Provision under threat of closure

This is data known to the Local Development Team. It indicates areas where childcare operations are known to have difficulty and may be under threat of closure for market or sustainability reasons.

Ward Postcode Age range Registered Type of setting places DN/PS/Hol Playscheme/ ASC/CM/Home childcarers

Comment: There is no known provision under threat of closure at this time.

Provision closed This data provided by Local Development Team of known closures of childcare operations in the period. Ward Postcode Age range Registered Type of setting places DN/PS/Hol Playscheme/ ASC/CM/Home childcarers Cheriton and Bishops SO24 0AS 0 – 7 6 CM Sutton Denmead PO7 6UX NK NK HC Kings Worthy SO23 7PH 0 - 7 2 CM Kings Worthy SO23 7PQ 0 – 7 6 CM St Barnabas SO22 5NT NK NK HC St John and All Saints SO23 0QQ NK NK HC St Paul SO22 6SB NK NK HC Wonston and SO21 2QW NK NK HC Micheldever Wonston and SO21 2QX 0 – 7 6 CM Micheldever

Comment: Most activity has been within the home childcarers sector where there have been a few closures as detailed above. However one Holiday Playscheme also closed.

EYE - two year old offer This is based on the settings that are approved to take two year olds in the relevant wards in which the eligible 2 year olds live.

Ward Setting Max No. No of funded 2 yr Postcode Children old Children

Bishops Waltham Lilypad Pre-school SO32 24 3 Cheriton and Busy Bees Pre-school SO24 26 3 Bishops Sutton Cherry Tress Pre-school SO24 18 0 Meon Springs Montessori SO24 28 1 Colden Common Colden Common Pre-school SO21 26 0 and Twyford Little Wizards Pre-school SO21 24 1 Rainbow Playgroup SO21 24 1 Compton and Compton and Shawford PS SO21 24 0 Otterbourne Making Miracles Hursley SO21 26 1 Yellow Dot Day Nursery SO53 62 0 Yellow Dot Nursery SO21 86 0 Denmead Busy Bee Pre-school PO7 40 0 Denmead Daycare PO7 26 2 Denmead Pre-school PO7 30 0 The Old School House PS PO7 22 1 Droxford, Soberton Hambledon Pre-school PO7 26 2 and Hambledon Harwood Day Nursery PO7 47 1 Itchen Valley The Itchen Valley Montessori SO21 26 2 Kings Worthy Kings Worthy Pre-school SO23 32 2 Woodhams Farm Day Nursery SO23 84 0 Littleton and Harestock Pre-school SO22 24 0 Harestock Henry’s Kindergarten SO22 47 0 Littleton Pre-school SO22 26 0 Rainbows End Playgroup SO22 18 1 Olivers Battery and Badger Farm Pre-school SO22 26 5 Badger Farm Oliver’s Battery Pre-school SO22 18 1 Owslebury and Durley Ladybirds Pre-school SO32 20 1 Curdridge Fairthorne Manor Day Nursery SO30 89 1 Hopscotch DN (Botley) SO32 100 0 Shedfield Fairlands Nursery School SO32 80 3 Waltham Chase Pre-school SO32 26 4 Sparsholt Farley Nursery SO21 70 0 St Barnabas Lanterns Nursery School SO22 30 6 Triangle Pre-school SO22 30 0 St Bartholomew Hartley House Montessori SO23 26 4 Kingsmead Day Nursery SO23 59 0 The Riverside Nursery School SO23 59 2 St John and All All Saints Pre-school SO23 26 3 Saints Casa dei Bambini SO23 40 3 St John’s Pre-school SO23 26 3 St Luke Stanmore St Luke’s Playgroup SO22 26 0 The Carroll Centre and Poppins SO22 8 8 St Paul Maples Day Nursery SO22 124 1 West Downs Day Nursery SO22 68 3 Swanmore and Earlybirds Pre-school PO17 16 2 Newtown Swanmore Pre-school SO32 26 1 The Greenery Nursery School SO32 38 5 Upper Meon Valley The Valley Pre-school SO32 24 2 Wickham Monkey Puzzle Day Nursery PO17 36 0 Wickham Pre-school PO17 30 6 Wonston and Micheldever and Stratton Pre- Micheldever school SO21 24 0 South Wonston Nursery SO21 26 0

Comment: 54 out of 72 (75%) settings within Winchester are now able to offer places for funded 2 year olds. The Local Development Team is encouraging all good and outstanding settings to become registered with SfYC to take eligible 2 year olds.

There are currently 85 funded 2 year old children in Winchester settings and 1 more in the care of a childminder.

42 children have been approved for funding this quarter.

Children Centres Two year old support offer includes integrated support from the Children Centres as detailed below;

Name Postcode Ward Lanterns Nursery School SO22 St Barnabas Little Petals/ Happy Valley/ Merry-Go- PO17 Wickham Round Children's Centre Sparklers/ The Carroll Children's SO22 St Luke Centre Sparklers/ The Carroll Children's SO23 St John and All Saints Centre

Ofsted data This includes the data on the Ofsted outcomes for the district.

Type of Outstanding Good Requires Inadequate Compliant settings improvement Childminders 2 1 0 0 0 Preschools 1 0 0 0 0 Day Nursery 1 1 1 0 0 Holiday & ASC 0 1 0 0 0

Comment: Pre-schools and nurseries that have an Ofsted rating below ‘good’ are supported by the Services for Young Children (SfYC) Local Development Team to improve on all aspects of their practise identified at inspection as requiring improvement. Childminders are supported by PACEY (Professional Association for Childcare and Early Years) as a commissioned service of SfYC.

Development of provision for Special Needs

Hampshire Services for Young Children (SfYC) Inclusion Team is committed to ensuring that all eligible children are able to attend an early years or childcare setting irrelevant of any disability or additional support need. Ideally this would happen in the child’s local setting or parents choice of setting, however where a child’s needs cannot be met by this provider the team will work with the Children & Families Information Team (CFIT) to support the identification of an appropriate alternative.

The Inclusion Team use a range of resources to attempt to ensure that all settings are able to provide quality care for all children. This includes outreach support from one of the contracted expert providers, support from the Portage Service and training or support groups.

ChIF is now only available to settings with no financial reserves when supporting children with severe/profound support needs.

This quarter (last Quarter) 56 (125) children have been supported by an Area Inclusion Coordinator (69 fewer than last quarter). A total of 14 children have received SEN funding this quarter, five of whom were two year olds and nine aged three and four. 8 settings have received Early Years Outreach.

The Early Communication Support Service (ECSS) updated information is no longer available with the phase out of this service during Q3.

Development of Childminder provision There are 122 childminders within the Winchester City Council area of which 35 (29%) are approved to deliver early years education for funded two, three and four year olds. This is an increase of three in the quarter. Not withstanding the gain in EYE places, overall the number of child-minders registered places has declined by 20 as seven child-minders no longer practicing ceased their registrations.

Development of out of school/holiday provision

One Holiday Playscheme closed during the last quarter but two opened with a net gain of 40 places.

Parental demand

Parental demand for EYE places in the wards around central Winchester remains high with increased demand for eligible two year old places. Most established and popular early years settings in these areas operate to full capacity. It has been noted that summer term is when some settings are not able to offer all children their full entitlement of 15 hours.

The Childrens Information team outreach has been able to support all families that wanted to secure a childcare place this quarter.

The rural area of Hambledon has been a challenge for out of school childcare. The areas of Stanmore and Winnall have identified limited childminder offers on Fridays. The commissioned service PACEY is aware and is working to develop more childminder provision in these areas.

Grant funding Ward Postcode Type of Registered Type of grant places setting FDC/SC/OS C/CM

No grants were awarded this quarter.

Conclusion on places for the year

There has been 115 places gained in the area this period. There has been an overall net gain in places across all sectors for the year except within the Home Childcarers sector. Growth has been particularly high for Holiday Playscheme places.

Settings that are not operating all day have been encouraged to review their opening times to consider extending their hours to provide increased early years education places to meet growing demand, particularly as a result of the 2 year old offer. Some settings have been reluctant to become approved to take funded two year olds as they already have high pressure on places for three and four year olds. . Three more group settings have become approved this quarter (making a total of 48 (66%) out of 72 now approved to take eligible 2 year olds). Some settings are however limiting their offer to take children from 2 years 6 months (or 9 months) which means that some families with younger eligible 2 year olds have struggled to access a place. The Local Development Team is working with settings to address these issues.

The Childcare Development Coordinator continues to secure additional provision in the areas of highest demand, (Stanmore and Winnall) and there is new provision that will open during the next few months.

It is however expected that some further development in the priority growth areas with the creation of new places through two year old funded capital developments are expected by the end of the year.

Other areas where there will be new housing over future years are also promoted as areas for consideration in developing new childcare places. These areas include Barton Farm (north of Winchester), North Whiteley and Denmead (west of Waterlooville).

PACEY continue to work with existing childminders to extend their services in areas of unmet demand. All newly registered childminders are now able to apply to become approved for early years education funding for eligible two, three, and four year old children.