Daily Dossier December 28, 2018
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Daily Dossier December 28, 2018 Domestic Equity (% Change) Global Equity (% Change) Index 1 Day 1 Week 1 Year Index 1 Day 1 Week 1 Year S&P BSE Sensex 0.44 -1.71 5.59 Dow Jones 1.14 1.22 -6.60 S&P BSE 100 0.40 -1.68 0.68 Nikkei 3.88 -1.54 -12.37 S&P BSE 200 0.40 -1.72 -1.02 FTSE -1.52 -1.90 -13.59 Nifty 50 0.47 -1.57 2.76 SSE Composite Index -0.61 -2.10 -24.20 Nifty 100 0.43 -1.66 0.71 KOSPI 0.02 -1.54 -16.75 Nifty 200 0.42 -1.70 -1.42 HangSeng -0.67 -0.56 -13.92 Returns less than 1 year are absolute and greater than 1 year are compounded Returns less than 1 year are absolute and greater than 1 year are compounded annualized annualized Domestic Fixed Income (% Change) Domestic Commodity (% Change) Index 1 Day 1 Week 1 Year Index 1 Day 1 Week 1 Year ICRA Composite Gilt Index -15.80 9.29 7.85 Crude Oil (1 bbl) 8.38 -4.20 -15.78 ICRA Liquid Index 7.14 6.25 7.26 Gold (10 gm) 0.19 1.52 8.32 ICRA Composite Bond Fund 2569.28 15.74 6.04 Silver (1 kg) 1.61 2.40 -0.38 Index ICRA Composite AAA 33.03 23.47 3.60 Aluminium (1 kg) 0.00 -1.44 -5.60 Corporate Bond Index Returns less than 1 year are simple annualised and greater than 1 year are Returns are absolute compounded annualized Currency Data (RBI Reference Rate) Key Economic Indicators (In %) Index 27-Dec-18 20-Dec-18 27-Dec-17 Index Latest Previous INR / USD 70.33 70.28 64.16 WPI (Nov'18) 4.64 5.28 INR / EUR 80.02 80.05 76.23 CPI (Nov'18) 2.33 3.38 INR / GBP 88.98 88.85 85.84 IIP (Oct'18) 8.10 4.50 INR / 100 Yen 63.25 62.79 56.68 GDP (Q2 FY'19) 7.10 8.20 Quote of the day “Beware of little expenses; a small leak will sink a great ship." - Benjamin Franklin https://www.linkedin.com/company/icra-online-limited/ https://twitter.com/IcraOnline?s=80 Page | 1 of 4 Daily Dossier December 28, 2018 Equity Nifty 50 and Put Call Ratio Movement Advance Decline Ratio NSE BSE 10,900 1.42 Advance 961 1,336 Put/ Call Put/ 10,750 1.32 Decline 804 1,229 Nifty 50 Nifty Unchanged 107 182 10,600 1.22 21-Dec-18 23-Dec-18 25-Dec-18 27-Dec-18 Nifty 50 Spot Index Put Call Ratio Institutional Flow - Equity (₹ Cr.) Institutional Flow - Debt (₹ Cr.) Purchase Sales Net Purchase Sales Net FII Flows 1,846 1,989 -144 FII Flows 440 487 -47 MF Flows** 2,244 1,784 460 MF Flows** 9,800 6,722 3,078 DII Flows 2,872 3,010 -138 ** Data as on Dec 26, 2018 • Indian equity markets rose, following positive cues from Asian markets. Weakness in global crude oil prices also contributed to the upside. Buying interest found additional support from optimism over central government’s bank recapitalisation announcement. The government is expected release Rs. 286.15 billion before the end of this month towards a fresh tranche of funds to recapitalise state- run banks. Meanwhile, the expiry of monthly futures and options contracts added volatility, thereby restricting gains. • Key benchmark indices S&P BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 gained 0.44% and 0.47% to close at 35,807.28 and 10,779.80, respectively. S&P BSE Mid-Cap and S&P BSE Small Cap increased 0.32% and 0.31%, respectively. Debt G-Sec Yield Vs. Debt Market Traded Volume Liquidity Indicators (₹ Cr.) 27-Dec-18 26-Dec-18 27-Dec-17 7.80 110,000 G-Sec 31,874 39,171 45,535 Traded Volume Traded LAF 20,537 11,966 17,335 7.45 70,000 T-Bill 7,934 4,585 4,881 Call 27,351 16,039 18,226 Sec Yield Sec - G T-Repo 146,907 149,687 -- 7.10 30,000 27-Nov-18 07-Dec-18 17-Dec-18 27-Dec-18 10 Yrs G-Sec Traded Volume Policy Rates (in %) Top 5 traded G - Sec Volume Closing Change 27-Dec-18 20-Dec-18 27-Dec-17 Security (Rs. Cr.) Yield in BPS Reverse Repo 6.25 6.25 6.25 07.17 GS 2028 23,595 7.28 2 Repo 6.50 6.50 6.50 07.37 GS 2023 1,840 7.14 1 CRR 4.00 4.00 4.00 07.59 GS 2026 1,754 7.30 1 SLR 19.50 19.50 19.50 07.40 GS 2035 456 7.54 0 Bank Rate 6.75 6.75 6.75 06.68 GS 2031 247 7.47 1 • Bond yields inched up following the fall in rupee. Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper (7.17% GS 2028) rose 2 bps to close at 7.28% as compared with 7.26% in the previous session after trading in the range of 7.23% to 7.30%. • Banks’ borrowings under the repo window of the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) stood at Rs. 20,537 crore (gross) on Dec 27 compared with a borrowing of Rs. 22,786 crore (gross) on Dec 26. Sale of securities under RBI's reverse repo window stood at Rs. 10,820 crore on Dec 26. Page | 2 of 4 Daily Dossier December 28, 2018 Commodity and Currency Global Commodity Movement of USD/INR with Domestic Gold prices Category Current Prev Day % Change Rupee Vs. Gold Gold ($/oz) 1,275.13 1,266.90 0.65 33,500 76 USD Rupee per Silver ($/oz) 15.21 15.03 1.18 31,000 68 NYMEX Crude($/bbl) 44.43 45.99 -3.39 Gold (in Rs.)(in Gold Brent Crude($/bbl) 51.43 Closed NA 28,500 60 Baltic Dry Index Closed Closed NA 27-Dec-17 27-Apr-18 27-Aug-18 27-Dec-18 Gold (Rs.) USD/INR • Gold prices extended gains from the previous session on account of the rising uncertainty on global economic growth and the U.S. political unrest. Worries over the U.S. government shutdown and the persistent U.S.-China trade tension lifted the safe-haven demand for the bullion. • Brent crude prices edged lower on oversupply concerns and an expected fall in energy demand owing to global economic slowdown. Consistent rise in U.S. crude stockpiles and an increase in output from Saudi Arabia have been weighing down on the commodity. Mutual Fund Equity Debt Category 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Category 1 Month 6 Months 1 Year Large Cap -2.83 9.39 12.62 Liquid 7.36 6.46 6.74 Small/Mid Cap -14.29 9.92 20.25 Ultrashort Term 8.25 6.98 6.71 Diversified -5.58 9.89 14.12 Short Term 13.02 7.45 5.86 Balanced -3.49 9.07 13.17 Long Term 19.03 8.38 5.52 Gold Funds 7.48 6.35 2.06 Long Term Gilt 32.73 12.55 6.07 Note: 1. Equity: Less than 1 year return are absolute and greater than 1 year returns are CAGR; 2. Debt: Less than 1 year return are simple annualised and greater than 1 year returns are CAGR; 3. Category as per MFI Explorer • According to media reports, data from the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) showed that total gross direct premiums collected by non-life insurers for the period Apr-Nov 2018 jumped 13.24% to Rs. 1,087.26 billion from Rs. 960.1 billion collected in the similar period last year. The data also showed that private non-life insurers recorded a stunning growth of 23.40%, while state-owned insurers registered a miniscule increase of 2.26% in the period under consideration. Event Calendar Events for December 2018 Event Date Event Date Nikkei India Manufacturing PMI (Nov 18) 3-Dec-18 Index of Industrial Production (Oct 18) 12-Dec-18 Fifth Bi-monthly Monetary Policy Statement for 2018-19 5-Dec-18 Wholesale Price Index (Nov 18) 14-Dec-18 Nikkei India Services PMI (Nov 18) 5-Dec-18 Forex Reserves 28-Dec-18 Consumer Price Index (Nov 18) 12-Dec-18 Index of Eight Core Industries (Nov 18) 31-Dec-18 Note: All the data of the newsletter are sourced from MFI Explorer, BSE, CCIL, MCX, NSDL, NSE, RBI, SEBI, Thomson Reuters Eikon Page | 3 of 4 Daily Dossier December 28, 2018 Other Offerings MFI Explorer Complete fund analytics on your desktop MFI Portfolio Tracker Accurate portfolio valuation and return computation for mutual fund portfolios Factsheet and Scorecard Comprehensive performance statistics and fund details Product Note Everything about a fund explained in a lucid and visually appealing manner Newsletter Periodic updates from global and domestic capital markets Datafeed and Web tool Exhaustive data sets to power your system and array of calculators for your portal Contact Us Saugat Acharya Atul Sharma Eshna Basu +91 98209 74940 +91 96191 12544 +91 96747 11671 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Disclaimer: All information contained herein is obtained by ICRA Online Limited (“ICRON”) from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind.