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The concept of adaptive phenotypic polymorphism in evolutionary theory

Olof Leimar, Stockholm University

Polymorphic outcomes in evolutionary games

A. Conditional strategy - genetic monomorphism B. Mixed or randomized strategy - can be limit of A (Harsanyi) C. Genetic polymorphism - a version of B?

(exemplified by the Hawk-Dove game)

• Is there a unifying perspective? – Push the concept of a conditional strategy as far as it can go – Study evolutionary games in structured Two traditions in evolutionary theory

The phenotypic gambit genetics • Adaptationism • Explicit evolutionary dynamics • • Single- or multi- models • history theory • Quantitative genetics

The phenotypic gambit emphasizes evolutionary equilibria

Population genetics emphasizes

The traditions differ in their view on genetic polymorphism

Phenotypic gambit: genetic polymorphism is an example of imperfect (for instance because of constraints) : genetic polymorphism is an important issue in itself Can the traditions be united under a single umbrella? Some forgotten ideas about polymorphism

The Dobzhansky - Cain & Sheppard - Fisher debate ? Dobzhansky (1951) Genetics and the origin of species Polymorphism as such is frequently adaptive; polymorphism enables a species to exploit the environment more efficiently (referring to genetic polymorphism) Cain & Sheppard (1954) The theory of adaptive polymorphism “This interesting theory may be correct, but it is not clear what is meant by one population being more highly adapted than another to a particular environment” Fisher (1958) Polymorphism and • "I would not have alluded to this storm in a tea-cup, but for the circumstance that I mean to put forward some ideas on this problem of the possible of polymorphisms" • Dobzhansky is essentially right, but the idea traces back to "a little-known book of nearly a hundred years ago, called The Origin of Species" • "I propose to suggest that one way of making this intricate system intelligible to the human mind is by the analogy of games of skill, or to speak somewhat more pretentiously, of the Theory of Games" (referring to species interactions, like those between predator and prey) • Balanced polymorphism can be viewed as a randomized strategy in a game Genetic polymorphism regarded as a randomized strategy Dobzhansky (1951) on adaptive polymorphism

"... polymorphism within a species, or any other kind of diversity of sympatric forms, increases the efficiency of the exploitation of the resources of the environment by the living matter. A single , no matter how versatile, could hardly function with maximal efficiency in all environments. Hence, natural selection has preserved a of , more or less specialized to render the organism efficient in a certain range of the existing environments." perspective

Alternative Members of a population fall Phenotypic polymorphism into two or more fairly distinct categories (morphs) with respect to some of their traits

Three systems of determination genetic environmental random (combinations possible)

• Look for general evolutionary theory of phenotype determination – Important idea: genetic variation can act as an adaptive cue for phenotype determination Phenotypic polymorphism

Levins, 1968, Changing Environments • Basic idea: advantage from specialization – compared to generalist phenotype • An advantage can arise in different ways – varied environments (in space or time), local frequency dependence, competitive character displacement

• Good to match phenotype to conditions – this is the basic idea for both adaptive and local genetic adaptation

Hoplothrips Ambystoma Sketch of phenotype determination

morph 1 genetic recent genotype cue selection switching device

environment environmental cue morph 2

Developmental switching genotypic environmental random (combinations) Switching can be adaptive Sketch of phenotype determination

morph 1 genetic recent genotype cue selection switching device

environment environmental cue morph 2

• Genetic variation can act as adaptive cue for switching – predictor of the coming selective conditions

• Environmental variation can act as adaptive cue in the same manner

• Random variation – produced by switching device – component of genetic or environmental variation – can regulate morph frequencies Genetic variation as input to a strategy?

Alleles at polymorphic locus coding for switching device

morph 1 genetic recent genotype cue selection switching device

environment environmental cue morph 2

From the point of view of adaptation of the switching device, environmental and genetic cues may play similar roles

Consequences of genetic variability at certain loci can be seen as input to a developmental switch Simplest possible example: two selective conditions (two habitats) and binary cues

Habitats 1 and 2: Low and High predation risk

Pi proportion of patches with habitat i z1 z2 alternative phenotypes sik survival in habitat i of zk y binary environmental cue

ui probability y = i in habitat i m rate of migration

Non-overlapping generations, haploid genetics Each individual observes independent copy of cue

• reproduction in each patch • observation of cue and then development • trait-based selection • density regulation to carrying capacity • migration through dispersal pool

Assume s11 = s22 = 1, s12 = s21 = s, u1 = u2 = u z1 z2 Invasion analysis

Eigenvalue problem for invasion of mutant into resident population " >1

"w1 = (1# m1)r1w1 + m1r2w2

"w2 = m2r1w1 + (1# m2)r2w2 "

si = mutant survival, si = resident survival ! !

Example P1 = P2 = 0.5 ! resident is environmental determination environmental mutant is z1 (specialist on habitat 1) !

s1 =1, s2 = s, s1 = s2 = u + (1" u)s

Normalization: P1w1 + P2w2 =1 genetic Pw + P w s ! " = rPw + r P w " = 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 u + (1# u)s Leimar, Hamm!e rstein and Van Dooren (2006)

! ! Conditional strategy interpretation

An individual has a “genetic cue locus”, with at most two , and another locus coding for a “switching device”

Switching devices:

Se pure environmental phenotype determination Sg pure genetic phenotype determination S1ge develop z1 when 1 is present at cue locus, otherwise use environmental determination S2ge develop z2 when allele 2 is present at cue locus, otherwise use environmental determination A strategy is uninvadable if no other strategy is better at predicting coming selective conditions (habitat)

General problem of a binary choice based on two binary cues

E-cue G-cue Se Sg S1ge S2ge 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Claim: The evolutionary outcome can be interpreted as an optimal decision rule based on environmental and genetic cues Next example: alternative male mating types

Habitats 1 and 2: Low and High population density

Pi proportion of patches with habitat i S F alternative phenotypes (Searcher, Fighter) fi probability of fighting interaction in habitat i V value of winning C injury cost of losing a fight x male growth rate (potential fighting ability) p(x,y) probability of winning for x against y m rate of migration

p(x,y) = 0.5 [1 + u (x - y)] x and y are iid uniform on (0,1) u is a payoff relevance parameter

Strategy: become F when x > xk xk is a threshold for switching Possible outcomes: Searcher Fighter • a single threshold x0 Hoplothrips • genetic polymorphism x1, x2 x Some results for the male 2 x0 mating example

Depending on the parameters, we can have x1 • a single evolutionarily stable threshold x0 (pure environmental determination)

• a genetic polymorphism with x1, x2 at 0 and 1 (pure genetic determination)

• a genetic polymorphism with 0 < x1, x2 < 1 (combined environmental and genetic)

Interpretation:

The environmental cue x can inform a male abut how likely he is to win a fight Frequency in each habitat of x1

With genetic polymorphism, a male’s genotype can be though of as a habitat cue

Different cues (like environmental and genetic) may predict different aspects of coming selective conditions

Leimar, McNamara and Cuthill, in prep. Summary and conclusion

• A developmental machinery can evolve to make efficient use of both genetic and environmental cues • The availability of a genetic cue depends on the selective maintenance of polymorphism at genetic cue loci • The presence of this polymorphism need not be guided by the well-being of the organism • Nevertheless, both genetic and environmental phenotype determination can be viewed as conditional strategies

Fully resolves the polymorphism debate from the 1950’s

Genetic variation can play a part in an adaptive device for the organism

Genetic polymorphism can be integrated into the phenotypic gambit