Aedes aegypti OX513A
Investigational Trial Protocol for the Evaluation of Efficacy
Evaluation of OX513A Aedes aegypti ability to transfer #OX513 rDNA construct by mating, resulting in the progeny having increased mortality.
Protocol July 2016 V12
Oxitec Ltd, 71 Innovation Drive, Milton Park, Oxfordshire, UK OX14 4RQ
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1 STATEMENT OF CONFIDENTIALITY This document contains confidential business information which is proprietary and the publication or disclosure of which would harm the legitimate business interests of Oxitec Ltd.
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2 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS/GLOSSARY OF TERMS IN THIS DOCUMENT
Abbreviation/Term Description ACL2 Arthropod Containment Level 2 CI Confidence interval DNA Deoxyribonucleic acid DsRed2 Fluorescent marker from Discosoma species EA Environmental Exp exponential FKMCD Florida Keys Mosquito Control District Functional Adulthood Adults that are fully eclosed and able to maintain flight are assumed to be fully functional in ability seek hosts for blood meal and mate in order to reproduce. Adults that die on eclosion or are fully eclosed but incapable of maintaining flight, are not considered to have reached functional adulthood. GLP Good Laboratory Practice GIS Geographical information System GPS Global Positioning Systems Ha Hectare Hr (s) Hour (s) HRU Hatch and Release Unit IRR Initial Release Rate Km Kilometre L1 First instar larvae L3 Third instar larvae LPS Larval Pupal Sorter Mating Fraction Proportion of local females that mate released OX513A relative to local males. Determined and monitored through counting the numbers of fluorescent larvae and non fluorescent larvae hatched from collected eggs from ovitraps. The proportion of fluorescent larvae relative to non fluorescent larvae is the ‘Mating fraction’. mL Millilitre NB Nota bene ( Note) PCR Polymerase Chain Reaction RH Relative Humidity RR Relative Risk rDNA Recombinant DNA QC Quality Control Site Area A designated area in which OX513A releases will take place comprising of both the TA and the UCA Sqrt Square root SOP Standard Operating Procedure TA Treatment Area
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efficacy claims relating to the use of OX513A Ae.aegypti for vector control purposes. Efficacy of the system will be demonstrated if the stated primary objectives are achieved.
8.1 Primary Objective part 1: To determine whether released OX513A mate with local females resulting in their progeny inheriting a copy of the #0X513 rDNA construct.
8.2 Primary Objective part 2: To determine whether progeny inheriting the #0X513 rDNA construct have the expected phenotype resulting in significantly increased mortality
.
8.3 Secondary Objective: To determine whether sustained release of OX513A males results in a statistically significant suppression (≥50% with 95% confidence interval (CI)) of the local populations of Ae.aegypti relative to an untreated comparator area.
The Primary Objective part 1 and 2 will be used to support the following proposed product claim; OX513A mates with females of wild Aedes aegypti in a population so that progeny carry a copy of the #0X513 rDNA construct and result in mortality of these #0X513 rDNA construct bearing progeny before they reach functional adulthood.
9 STANDARDS APPLIED TO THE CONDUCT OF THE STUDIES (GLP, INVESTIGATOR, OR OTHER) This field trial is conducted for the purpose of obtaining data on claim validation (i.e., animal drug efficacy) in the environment and will not conducted under GLP. Standards used will be suitable for the publication of the trial in the peer‐reviewed scientific literature of international standing.
10 STUDY SCHEDULE 10.1 Proposed date of initiation: Q3 2016, depending on FDA‐CVM review
10.2 Schedule of events: The schedule of study events is described in Table 1:
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Table 1: Overview of Study Schedule Event Method Timeframe PREPARATION PHASE Technology transfer Import eggs OX513A eggs shipped by air from Pre‐trial shipments for staff Oxitec UK laboratory to local rearing training in rearing/identification facility Maximum of for duration of trial. Establish local mass rearing Optimize rearing methodology to 4‐6 weeks local conditions Implement local mosquito Ovitraps deployed Minimum 8 weeks prior to population monitoring in Treatment rangefinder Area (TA) Untreated Comparator Area (UCA ) Ovitraps mimic natural oviposition sites. Proportion of ovitraps traps with eggs reflects adult Ae.aegypti density in population. BG‐ Sentinel adult traps will sample from 20 locations/week in each of TA and UCA. BG‐Sentinel adult traps attract host seeking adults. Numbers captured reflect adult population density. RANGEFINDER PHASE Obtain site specific estimate of Releases will be initiated for a period mating fraction achieved with a of (up to releases/week) known constant release rate of at a constant rate. Release will be a OX513A males. function of human population and Field derived egg sampling for estimated Ae.aegypti infestation primary objectives parts 1 and 2. level in treatment area at start of Data collected for the initiation of releases (Table 4). the Secondary objective (suppression phase). Release of OX513A males OX513A males to be released from predetermined GPS grid of release points to ensure even coverage of TA. Releases up to times/week
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Captured adults can be identified directly, allowing direct species identification and species specific population monitoring where species other than Ae.aegypti (eg. Ae albopictus) are/or expected to be present. Population density monitoring data collection for Secondary objective. POST TRIAL MONITORING After the cessation of releases following ovitraps are used for post‐trial cessation of release monitoring in the treatment area (TA immediately) for . Additional monitoring will be carried out for with an interim trapping by ovitraps period if fluorescence confirmed at the period. with an interim trap at if fluorescence is confirmed
10.3 Proposed date(s) of completion: Release phase will be from Table 1, not including the preparation phase) from the initiation of releases but may stop earlier if the primary and secondary objectives have been met. Analysis of data will be conducted throughout the study making it possible to determine if the primary and secondary objectives have been met before . If they have been met they will be recorded and a decision to stop the trial will be made by Study Director and Sponsor, in conjunction with FKMCD.
10.4 Post‐trial monitoring: After the cessation of releases, monitor will occur in the treatment area (TA), to maximise the likelihood of detection, immediately post‐trial. The monitoring tool will be ovitraps as they are more sensitive than adult traps and will also provide evidence of potential mating. Ovitraps will be set at the same trap density used in the trial and traps processed as discussed in Section 11.3 of the protocol. following the immediate post‐trial period, there will be an additional monitoring period of , where ovitraps at the same trap density used in the trial will be set in the treated area for , collected and screened using visual screening of larvae for fluorescence. If the visual fluorescence is in doubt, then samples will be shipped back to the UK for PCR analysis. If fluorescence is confirmed during this period, then a further screening will be conducted later, using the same techniques. If there is no fluorescence confirmed at the ‐trapping period, then the time‐point survey will not be conducted. A further screening will be
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conducted at following the immediate post‐trial period, regardless of whether fluorescence is confirmed at the trapping periods.
The periodic post‐trial monitoring will conclude at (past the initial ) as this will have covered a “mosquito season” which typically in the Florida Keys runs from May to November and therefore includes monitoring of the previous years’ egg bank.
We expect to detect fluorescent samples in the immediate period. The results of this post‐trial survey will be reported to FDA within of the last trap being collected and analysed for fluorescence. If during the course of the subsequent post‐trial monitoring at (conditional on fluorescence confirmation at ), and post continuous monitoring, fluorescence is confirmed from trap samples, Oxitec will notify FDA‐CVM within of results being confirmed. The OX513A line of Ae. aegypti mosquitoes carries a repressible dominant lethality trait that prevents progeny inheriting the #OX513 rDNA construct from surviving to functional adulthood in the absence of tetracycline. Therefore, OX513A mosquitoes are not expected to establish at the proposed trial site. FKMCD will continue to undertake routine mosquito control operations in the area as required, and OX513A insects are susceptible to the chemicals used in those control programs.
STUDY LOCATION AND DESIGN
The study will be conducted in Monroe County, Florida. The proposed release site is located within Monroe County, on Key Haven. All areas in the study fall within the Florida Keys Mosquito Control District (FKMCD) and may receive on‐going mosquito abatement measures independent of this study (please refer to 16.7 of this protocol)
10.5 A designated Site Area: (site for evaluation of OX513A) will be divided into two areas of similar size separated by a buffer zone as in Figure 1. The will form the Treatment Area (TA) and the Untreated Comparator Area (UCA) with the buffer area .
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Figure 1: Site Area for Investigational Use of OX513A
In summary the two blocks in the experiment are:
Treatment Area (TA) ‐ receives sustained release of OX513A males with a buffer zone . Untreated Comparator Area (UCA) ‐ receives no released OX513A males
The rationale for the study design and methodology along with additional background information are provided in the Supplementary Information Document (Appendix A).
10.6 Study Design: The study is designed to provide claim validation (Section 7), and will be conducted in two blocks as described above.
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Local larvae (non‐fluorescent)
10.9 Secondary Objective: To determine whether sustained release of OX513A results in a statistically significant suppression of the local populations of Ae.aegypti relative to UCA. 10.9.1 Null Hypothesis: Sustained release of OX513A will not affect the Ae.aegypti population in TA or will result in suppression of the Ae.aegypti population in the TA by relative to UCA. 10.9.2 Endpoint: Suppression of the Ae.aegypti population in the TA by relative to untreated population in UCA where the mean of multiple trap collections (Ovitraps and BG‐Sentinel adult traps) before suppression is compared with mean from a period, calculated as rolling average, from the suppression phase. 10.9.3 Experimental outline: Ovitrap and BG‐Sentinel adult trap surveys will be used to monitor the changing population densities of Ae.aegypti in TA and UCA. The population density of Ae.aegypti will be estimated before initiation of releases. Subsequent changes in relative population density between TA and UCA will be used to assess impact of sustained OX513A male releases on local population in the TA.
10.10 Replication in the study design: Primary objective (parts 1 and 2) will be assessed at level of individual insects. Secondary objective is assessed at the level of Ae.aegypti population density within the TA relative to UCA. There is no replication in the study because there is one contiguous treated area.
11 STUDY PROCEDURES 11.1 General procedures: 11.1.1 UK Egg Production: Sufficient eggs of homozygous OX513A for the conduct of the trial will be imported from Oxitec Ltd, UK by air and ground transport. It is anticipated that a maximum of shipment/week will be required for the duration of the trial and some pre‐trial shipments will be required to facilitate initial rearing optimization and staff training. The eggs are produced in the UK under regulated conditions for the use of genetically engineered organisms. The OX513A strain is subject to quality control procedures ) to ensure it remains homozygous for the introduced genes and there is no loss of phenotype. 11.1.2 Local Mass Rearing: Eggs will be received in a dedicated facility designed to Arthropod Containment Level 2 (ACL2) standards1 in Marathon, FL. Eggs will be
1http://online.liebertpub.com/toc/vbz/3/2 [accessed 29 Jan 2014]
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reared to functional adults for the study. Methods in the SOP’s may require optimization for specific local conditions during the preparation phase of the trial. Deviations from the procedures will be noted and addressed in SOP revisions. 11.1.3 Staff training: Staff will be trained on the SOP’s and mosquito species identification using taxonomic keys prior to the start of the trial in the preparation phase. 11.1.4 Mosquito release and dispersal: OX513A mosquitoes will be deployed in a systematic manner from a pre‐determined georeferenced grid of release points at regular time intervals, for even and consistent coverage of the TA. Release points will be spaced approximately apart, with a maximum spacing of , and releasesl wil occur up to 3 times per week. Release points will be georeferenced using Global Positioning Systems (GPS), and the TA mapped with spatial data incorporated into an appropriate Geographical Information System (GIS). 11.1.5 Numbers to be released: The release numbers will be proportional to the local population of Ae.aegypti and the initial rate will be determined from the Rangefinder phase (see section 12.2 for details) in order to achieve a target mating fraction . Target mating fraction is determined and monitored through counting the numbers of fluorescent larvae and non‐fluorescent larvae hatched from collected eggs from ovitraps. The proportion of fluorescent larvae to non–fluorescent larvae in the population is the ‘Mating Fraction’.
11.2 Adaptive management of release rates: Mating fraction allows release rates to be adapted to the local Ae.aegypti population. As the population declines the ratio of released OX513A to local males will increase, as will the mating fraction. Hence, a lower release rate can be used while maintaining mating fraction in the target range of ≥0.5. In the anticipated event of Ae.aegypti populations decreasing, release numbers may also be revised downward correspondingly (section 12.5). If there are rapid increases in the local Ae.aegypti populations associated with seasonality over the course of the study, the release rate may be sustained at the same rate or an increased to maintain the mating fraction≥ in larvae to achieve suppression of the local Ae.aegypti population. Monitoring procedures: Two trap types (Ovitraps and BG‐ Sentinel adult traps) will be used to monitor the Ae.aegypti population in TA and UCA. Ovitraps provide an indirect measure of female abundance allowing assessment of Ae.aegypti population density, without interference from released OX513A (see Supplementary Information, Appendix A for more details). Eggs will be collected, hatched and the resultant progeny analyzed as set out in this protocol (Sections 11.3.3 and 11.3.4) assuming the possible presence of mosquito species other than Ae.aegypti (e.g. Ae albopictus). BG‐Sentinel traps directly capture adults. Number of female Ae.aegypti will be assessed; reflecting local Ae.aegypti population density, without
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interference from OX513A released males. Ovitraps and BG‐Sentinel adult traps will be located predominately by domestic dwellings, although other sites may also be included. Consent for the placing and servicing of the traps will be obtained from the property owner/occupant. As far as possible, ovitraps and BG‐Sentinel adult traps will remain in same location for the duration of the study. However, it may be necessary to redeploy some traps within the same area, for example if property owner consent is removed. In this event traps will receive a new number corresponding to its revised location.
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11.3 Ovitrap: Ovitraps will monitor changes in relative abundance of local Ae.aegypti population between the TA and UCA and allow the collection of eggs for evaluation of mating between released OX513A males and local females. 11.3.1 Deployment: A minimum of ovitraps will be used in each area (TA and UCA) with a trap density of . All trapping locations will receive a unique number and be georeferenced using a GPS system. 11.3.2 Servicing: traps will be checked . Ovitraps will be serviced by water being topped up/replaced if needed. If necessary, the whole trap may be replaced. Each time traps are serviced oviposition substrate will be replaced with new one. Collected oviposition substrate will be labelled and transferred to the laboratory for further analysis on this schedule. 11.3.3 Ovitrap processing: Oviposition substrate will be examined for presence of Aedes eggs. As species and paternity identification is not possible at the egg stage, eggs will be matured by allowing them to dry at room temperature (range 20‐30°C) for before hatching. Hatch eggs by submerging oviposition substrate and eggs under water in individual pots identified by the ovitrap from which they were collected. 11.3.4 Larval screening for OX513A fluorescent marker: Ae.aegypti larvae (L1) will be visually screened for the presence of the fluorescent marker (Phuc et al. 20072) in eggs collected from ovitraps in TA and UCA during the study. Fluorescence is visible through a suitable fluorescent microscope (e.g. Leica MZ10F) with a DsRed2 filter set (e.g. Chroma) with excitation 520‐560 nm and emission 580+ nm) in a darkened room. Each larva will be scored as fluorescent or non‐ fluorescent. Fluorescent larvae will be assumed to be Ae.aegypti and non‐ fluorescent larvae subsequently identified as Ae.aegypti/Non Ae.aegypti from their morphological traits using taxonomic keys3. 11.3.5 Species identification of non‐fluorescent larvae: Larvae will be maintained at room temperature (range 20‐30°C) and will be provided with ground Tetramin® fish food ad libitum. Positive species identification of Ae.aegypti will be carried out at larval (L3 or above) and/ or adult stage from key morphological features, using taxonomic keys. 11.3.6 Calculation of Ovitrap index: Ovitrap index will be calculated as measure of abundance in TA and UCA:
2Phuc H, Andreasen M, Burton R, Vass C, Epton M, et al. (2007) Late‐acting dominant lethal genetic systems and mosquito control. BMC Biology 5: 11.
3Taxonomonic keys: http://fmel.ifas.ufl.edu/key/ [accessed 31 July 2014]
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11.5.6 Before pupation begins, examine pots daily. 11.5.7 If dead individuals are present, collect each individual separately into a 1.5mL microcentrifuge tube containing 0.5mLs 70% ethanol. Label each tube with the cohort description and date. Store at ≤‐15°C. Record the numbers of dead larvae and dead pupae. 11.5.8 Once pupation begins, examine pots daily: Pick all live pupae from each pot and transfer into an eclosion container such as a weigh boat (100mL) assigned to that pot. Each day live pupae should be added to this eclosion container. Place the eclosion container into the adult cage assigned to that pot. If dead individuals are present in the rearing container or the eclosion container, collect each individual separately into a microcentrifuge tube containing 0.5mLs 70% ethanol. Label each tube with the pot description and date. Store at ≤‐15°C. Record the numbers of dead larvae, dead pupae and live pupae. 11.5.9 Once eclosion begins, examine cages daily: Collect any dead adults, including those on the surface of the eclosion container and place individually into a microcentrifuge tubes containing 0.5mLs 70% ethanol. Label each tube with the cohort description and date. Store at ≤‐15°C 11.5.10 Terminate the experiment after pupation begins: From rearing pots collect remaining dead and live larvae/pupae and store individually in microcentrifuge tubes containing 70% ethanol at ≤‐15°C. Remove the eclosion container from the cage. Count and record the number of dead pupae and dead adults on the surface of the water. Store individually in microcentrifuge tubes containing 70% ethanol at ≤‐15°C. Count and record the number of dead adults on the bottom of the cage, and non‐functional adults. Store individually in microcentrifuge tubes containing 70% ethanol at ≤‐15°C. Freeze cage at ≤‐15°C until adults are dead. Count and collect remaining adults (functional adults). Store individually in microcentrifuge tubes containing 70% ethanol at ≤‐15°C.
The recording category definitions for mortality are in Table 3 below:
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Table 3: Recording Categories for Mortality from Larval Rearing/Eclosion Dead larvae Larvae that die
Dead Pupae Pupae that die in rearing pot or eclosion
container, including those partially eclosed
Dead adults on Fully eclosed adults that have died on the water surface of the water in the eclosion container. Dead adults in Fully eclosed adults that have left eclosion cage container and subsequently died.
Live larvae at end Live larvae at end of study
of study
Live pupae at end Live pupae at end of study of study Non‐functional Fully eclosed live adults that are unable to adults maintain flight
Functional adults Fully eclosed live adults able to maintain flight
11.6 PCR Analysis of Mosquito Larvae and Adults: 11.6.1 Ship samples collected as part of the ‘Testing Pre‐Functional‐Adult Mortality’ to Oxitec Ltd. UK. NB: Samples will be shipped double contained in accordance with all governing regulations. 11.6.2 Carry out DNA extractions according to Oxitec Ltd SOP: New Genomic DNA extraction using Purelink Genomic DNA Kit by Invitrogen (Appendix E) 11.6.3 Carry out PCR analysis according to Oxitec Ltd SOP: OX513A Quality Control Protocol for Colony Genotyping (Appendix B) Record the genotype of each insect with respect to OX513A alleles. Results will confirm the presence or absence of #OX513 rDNA construct in the test groups and the zygosity of #OX513 rDNA construct in the samples. The majority of sample genotypes are expected to be either local or hemizygous (OX513A:local) resulting from the mating of released OX513A males with local females.
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subjective, based on the judgement of the Study Director. Ae.aegypti INITIAL INFESTATION LEVEL will be categorised as VERY LOW, LOW, MEDIUM, or HIGH (as described in Table 4).
12.2.2 Calculation of the Rangefinder Release rate: Rangefinder Release rate = Human population density * treatment area estimated infestation level as in Table 4:
Table 4: Guideline Minimum Initial Release Rate (OX513A males/person/week) according to Estimated Infestation Level.
Initial Ovitrap Minimum infestation Index Release Rate (IRR) per level of person in treatment area Ae.aegypti HIGH
MEDIUM
LOW VERY LOW
12.3 Suppression phase: the objective of the suppression phase of the trial is sustained release of OX513A resulting in a statistically significant suppression of the local populations of Ae.aegypti relative to untreated comparator area thereby gathering data for the Secondary objective of the study. Additionally, field collected eggs will be used to examine Primary Objective parts 1 and 2 if insufficient were collected during the range finder phase.
12.3.1 A mating fraction is estimated to be sufficient to suppress the target population of Ae.aegypti relative to untreated comparator area. This is based on models of mosquito population dynamics giving elimination thresholds as 0.13‐0.574 and previous experience from field release of OX513A in Grand Cayman and Brazil, which gave suppression of local Ae.aegypti populations with a mating fraction of .
4Dye C (1984) Models for the population dynamics of the yellow fever mosquito, Aedes aegypti. Journal of Animal Ecology 53:247‐268. Harris AF, et al. (2011) Field performance of engineered male mosquitoes. NatBiotechnol 29(11):1034‐1037. Phuc H, et al. (2007) Late‐acting dominant lethal genetic systems and mosquito control. BMC Biology 5: 11.
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12.3.2 Additional ovitraps outside the Site Area. Additional ovitraps not already proposed in the protocol, will be placed outside the designated Site Area as described in the protocol (Section 11.3). To detect migration of OX513A mosquitoes outside of the Site Area, we propose to monitor urban areas with ovitraps
Figure 2 shows the proposed areas, which will include parts of the Florida Keys Community College, the hospital and an area of the golf course that are in closest proximity to the perimeter of the proposed TA in Key Haven.
If during the course of the monitoring fluorescence is confirmed from trap samples, Oxitec will notify FDA‐CVM within of the confirmation. The OX513A line of Ae. aegypti mosquitoes carries a repressible dominant lethality trait that prevents progeny inheriting the #OX513 rDNA construct from surviving to functional adulthood in the absence of tetracycline. Additionally, FKMCD will continue to undertake routine mosquito control operations in the area as required, and OX513A insects are susceptible to the chemicals used in those control programs.
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fraction is calculated from total fluorescent over non‐fluorescent larvae recovered for TA over these .
12.5 Ongoing adaptive management of release rates: Mating fraction will be evaluated every during suppression phase. Release rates will be adjusted according to Table 5 to ensure mating fraction is maintained in target range . In the anticipated event of Ae.aegypti populations decreasing, a corresponding increase in mating fraction will result and therefore release numbers may also be revised downward according to Table 5. If release rate needs to be changed the revised release rate NC will be calculated as described in Section 11.2, with values for mating fraction (PR) and release rates (NR) derived from previous 6‐8 week assessed period instead of rangefinder phase.
Table 5: Adaptive Management of Release Rate based on Mating Fraction
Mating Fraction Release rate adjustment Increase release rate Maintain release rate Reduce release rate* (optional) * Decision is based on logistical considerations including rate of suppression desired, and number of insects available for release.
12.5.1 Releases will occur up to times a week using the adaptive release rate calculated to achieve the Mating Fraction target range. Releases will last up to but may stop earlier if Primary and Secondary objectives have been met.
12.6 Post‐trial monitoring After the cessation of releases, Oxitec proposes to monitor the treatment area (TA), to maximise the likelihood of detection, weekly for a period of immediately post‐ trial. The monitoring tool will be ovitraps as they are more sensitive than adult traps and will also provide evidence of potential mating. Ovitraps will be set at the same trap density used in the trial and traps processed as discussed in Section 12.3 of the protocol.
following the immediate post‐trial period, there will be an additional monitoring period of , where ovitraps at the same trap density used in the trial will be set in the treated area for , collected and screened using visual screening of larvae for fluorescence. If the visual fluorescence is in doubt, then samples will be shipped back to the UK for PCR analysis. If fluorescence is
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confirmed during this period, then a further screening will be conducted later, i.e. at following the post‐trial period, using the same techniques. If there is no fluorescence confirmed at the ‐trapping period, then the time‐point survey will not be conducted. A further screening will be conducted at following the immediate post‐trial period, regardless of whether fluorescence is confirmed at the trapping periods.
We propose to conclude the periodic post‐trial monitoring at as this will have covered a “mosquito season” which typically in the Florida Keys runs from May to November and therefore includes monitoring of the previous years’ egg bank.
We expect to detect fluorescent samples in the immediate period. The results of this post‐trial survey will be reported to FDA within of the last trap being collected and analysed for fluorescence. If during the course of the subsequent post‐trial monitoring at and post continuous monitoring, fluorescence is confirmed from trap samples, Oxitec will notify FDA‐CVM within of results being confirmed. The OX513A line of Ae. aegypti mosquitoes carries a repressible dominant lethality trait that prevents progeny inheriting the #OX513 rDNA construct from surviving to functional adulthood in the absence of tetracycline. Therefore, OX513A mosquitoes are not expected to establish at the proposed trial site. FKMCD will continue to undertake routine mosquito control operations in the area as required, and OX513A insects are susceptible to the chemicals used in those control programs.
13 DISPOSAL OF UNUSED INSECTS Unused insects and recaptured insects not required for further analysis will be sealed in leak‐ proof containers for appropriate disposal (e.g. autoclaving or freezing at ≤‐15oC for >12 hours) and then disposal via clinical or biohazard waste disposal.
14 OTHER VARIABLES TO BE RECORDED 14.1 Weather Data: A weather station will be located in the vicinity of the Site Area to record weather during the course of the study. Metrological data recorded will include temperature, rainfall, wind speed and direction. 14.2 Sex Sorting Efficiency: Physical sex separation at the pupal stage is used to remove females from OX513A males. A minimum of pupae will be checked from every batch prior to release. If numbers of females exceed the batch will be resorted and only released if ≤ females are detected according to Appendices F and G Sex Sorting of Pupae for Release and Sex Sorting Criteria for Release). Therefore, estimated percentage of females in every
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batch released, and total number released will be recorded and compiled in final report. 14.3 Alternate mosquito control activities: Mosquito abatement measures may be applied independently of this study by FKMCD in TA and UCA. If these measures are used they will be recorded and included in the final report. 14.4 Community engagement: Communication will be maintained with vector control operatives (FKMCD staff) to address any concerns that might arise in the Site Area during the period of the trial.
15 DATA ANALYSIS 15.1 Primary Objective part 1: To determine whether released OX513A mate with local females resulting in their progeny inheriting a copy of the #OX513 rDNA construct. Ovitrapping will be used to collect eggs from Site Area (TA and UCA). Visual fluorescent screening will be used as primary method for assessing genotype of Ae.aegypti progeny collected from TA and UCA. Fluorescence will indicate presence of the #OX513 rDNA construct. Fluorescent screening cannot distinguish between hemizygous and homozygous individuals for #OX513 rDNA construct. PCR analysis on a subset (those used for assessment of pre‐functional‐adult mortality in Section 11.5) of fluorescent insects will be conducted to differentiate homozygous from hemizygous insects. Detection of OX513A hemizygous progeny from field will serve as the metric to determine the ability of OX513A males to mate with local females in field. The metric for primary objective part 1 will be encompassed in the determination of Primary objective part 2, where fluorescent larvae collected from field will subsequently be reared and genotyped (Section 11.5). As long as fluorescent larva, subsequently confirmed by PCR as being hemizygous, is detected the null hypothesis will be rejected. Samples for PCR will be stored in 70% ethanol and shipped to the UK for the analysis.
15.1.1 Null hypothesis: released OX513A males will fail to mate with local females in environment resulting in progeny not inheriting the #OX513 rDNA construct. 15.1.2 Outcome: Primary Objective part 1 will be met if null hypothesis is rejected by detection of OX513A hemizygous progeny from field collected eggs by fluorescence and PCR methods.
15.2 Primary Objective part 2: To determine whether the progeny inheriting the #0X513 rDNA construct have the expected phenotype resulting in significantly increased mortality whereby there is at least a increase in the proportion of the OX513A progeny dying before they reach functional adulthood compared to progeny from the local Ae.aegypti. The test statistic will be a function of the proportion of larvae not developing to functional adults. We will test the hypothesis that larvae inheriting
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#0X513 rDNA construct from released males are as likely as local mosquitoes to die before reaching functional adults. The mortality of each larva will be assumed independent of all others, as they are reared at a low density to avoid intraspecific competition, thus the comparison is a straightforward comparison of binomial proportions. The observed relative risk (RR) is the ratio of the proportion of larvae hemizygous for the #0X513 rDNA construct dying before becoming functional adults relative to the proportion of local larvae dying before becoming functional adults. Thus
RR = (XO/NO)/(XL/NL)
where:
NO = sample size of larvae hemizygous for the #0X513 rDNA construct
NL = sample size of local larvae
XO =number of larvae hemizygous for the #0X513 rDNA construct observed to die before reaching functional adulthood
XL = number of local larvae observed to die before reaching functional adulthood
To test the null hypothesis that there is less than or equal to a increase in mortality in the progeny inheriting the #OX513 rDNA construct relative to local comparator larvae without rDNA construct, a log‐binomial model will be used, with genotype (#OX513 rDNA construct vs. local comparator larvae without #OX513 rDNA construct) as a fixed effect and cohort as a random effect. In this model, the estimate for the genotype effect corresponds to an estimate of log(RR), and an approximate 95% confidence interval (CI) for RR can be obtained by exponentiating the limits of the 95% CI for the genotype effect. The null hypothesis is rejected if the estimated RR is greater than and the 95% CI for RR derived from the analysis does not include .
Model will include analysis of cohort effects in line with the study design.
Primary Objective part 2 will be achieved if the null hypothesis is rejected:
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15.2.1 Null hypothesis: Progeny inheriting the #OX513 rDNA construct will have the same probability of mortality before reaching functional adulthood as local comparator larvae or will have the probability of mortality before reaching functional adulthood increased by less than or equal to relative to local comparator larvae without #OX513 rDNA construct. 15.2.2 Outcome: Null hypothesis will be rejected if the ratio of the probability of mortality of OX513A (hemizygous) larvae from field ovitrap collection before reaching functional adulthood in the absence of tetracycline over the probability of mortality of the local Ae.aegypti larvae before reaching functional adulthood is significantly greater than , as judged by the 95% confidence interval.
15.3 Secondary Objective: Sustained release of OX513A males results in a statistically significant suppression of the local populations of Ae.aegypti relative to untreated comparator area. Two trapping methods are used in this analysis; ovitraps and BG‐Sentinel adult traps to provide a measure of female Ae.aegypti abundance. Similar analysis will be used for both resulting in a Relative Ovitrap Index and Relative Adult Density. 15.3.1 Calculation of Relative Ovitrap Index: The test statistic will be the Relative Ovitrap Index where at a given time point of trap collection: