Warner Holds a Steady Lead in Virginia

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE September 26, 2014

INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

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Warner holds a steady lead in Virginia

Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's newest Virginia Senate poll finds a very steady race, with almost no change since the last survey we did there in the spring. Mark Warner leads Ed Gillespie 48/35, compared to a 49/35 advantage when we looked at the race in April.

Warner has a positive approval rating at 49/40. Meanwhile Gillespie is not proving to be a particularly appealing candidate- only 29% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 37% who view him negatively. Warner has a double digit advantage because he is winning over 17% of the Republican vote, while just 3% of Democrats are going for Gillespie. Warner is even slightly ahead with white voters at 44/43 and with seniors by a wider margin at 48/41, both groups that Democrats don't typically perform that well with.

“It’s unusual to poll a race and then wait six months and poll it again and find that nothing has changed,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But Mark Warner’s double digit lead in this race has proven to be very steady.”

The General Assembly and its Republican leadership are pretty unpopular with Virginia voters. The General Assembly overall has just a 28% approval rating, with 46% of voters disapproving of it. Democrats (22/52), independents (26/50), and narrowly even Republicans (36/37) all give the General Assembly poor marks. The Republicans leadership in particular is seen favorably by just 33% of Virginians to 47% with an unfavorable opinion. 72% of Virginians oppose budget cuts to K-12 education and teacher salaries, 64% oppose cuts to workforce development funding, 63% support continued tax relief on car sales, and 62% oppose cuts to higher education.

A couple of hotly debated issues over the last year play to Democrats' advantage in Virginia. 62% of voters support increasing the minimum wage to $10 an hour, compared to only 30% who are opposed. 90% of Democrats, 56% of independents, and even 37% of Republicans support the minimum wage increase. There's also 55/35 support for Medicaid expansion with 87% of Democrats supporting it, independents behind it by a 50/36 margin, and 25% of Republicans in favor.

PPP surveyed 625 likely voters on September 22nd and 23rd. The margin of error for the sample is +/-3.9 %. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.

Virginia Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Barack Obama’s job performance? of the Republican leadership in the Virginia General Assembly? Approve ...... 45% Approve ...... 33% Disapprove...... 50% Disapprove...... 47% Not sure ...... 6% Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Not sure ...... 19% Warner's job performance? Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Republican Speaker Bill Howell? Approve ...... 49% Favorable...... 27% Disapprove...... 40% Unfavorable ...... 37% Not sure ...... 10% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Not sure ...... 36% of Ed Gillespie? Q9 I’m going to read you a list of areas that might 29% be cut in Virginia’s budget. For each, please tell Favorable...... me whether you strongly support, somewhat Unfavorable ...... 37% support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose 34% cuts in that area. The first is K-12 education Not sure ...... and teacher salaries. Q4 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Mark Warner, Republican Ed Gillespie, and Strongly support...... 9% Libertarian Robert Sarvis. If the election was Somewhat support...... 15% today, who would you vote for? Somewhat oppose ...... 25% Mark Warner ...... 48% Strongly oppose...... 47% Ed Gillespie...... 35% Not sure ...... 5% 4% Robert Sarvis ...... Q10 The next is workforce development, including Undecided...... 12% community colleges and work training Q5 Combined horse race, with Sarvis supporters programs. asked if they lean Warner or Gillespie Strongly support...... 10% Mark Warner ...... 49% Somewhat support...... 20% Ed Gillespie...... 37% Somewhat oppose ...... 30% Not sure ...... 14% Strongly oppose...... 34% Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the 6% Virginia General Assembly is doing? Not sure ...... Approve ...... 28% Disapprove...... 46% Not sure ...... 26%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q11 The next is higher education. Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Maureen McDonnell? Strongly support...... 15% Favorable...... 7% Somewhat support...... 16% Unfavorable ...... 57% Somewhat oppose ...... 27% Not sure ...... 36% Strongly oppose...... 35% Q17 Do you agree or disagree with the guilty Not sure ...... 7% verdicts in Bob McDonnell’s recent trial? Q12 The last one is continued tax relief on car Agree ...... 50% sales. Disagree ...... 25% Strongly support...... 42% Not sure ...... 25% Somewhat support...... 21% Q18 What is your favorite Major League Baseball Somewhat oppose ...... 14% team: the Atlanta Braves, Baltimore Orioles, Strongly oppose...... 13% Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, New York Mets, New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, Not sure ...... 9% Washington Nationals, or someone else? Q13 Would you support or oppose raising the Braves ...... 16% minimum wage to $10 an hour? Orioles ...... 7% Support ...... 62% Red Sox...... 10% Oppose ...... 30% Cubs ...... 3% Not sure ...... 8% 3% Q14 Do you support or oppose accepting federal Mets...... funding to expand the state’s Medicaid Yankees ...... 10% program to provide health insurance to 400,000 Virginians who do not have health Phillies ...... 3% coverage? Nationals...... 22% 55% Support ...... Someone else...... 25% Oppose ...... 35% Not sure ...... 10% Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bob McDonnell? Favorable...... 23% Unfavorable ...... 47% Not sure ...... 30%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q19 Is your favorite NFL team the Atlanta Falcons, Q23 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Baltimore Ravens, Carolina Panthers, Dallas 53% Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, Philadelphia Woman ...... Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Man...... 47% Redskins, or someone else? Q24 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, Falcons ...... 4% press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. Ravens...... 2% Democrat ...... 36% Panthers ...... 3% Republican...... 34% Cowboys...... 12% Independent / Other...... 31% Packers...... 4% Q25 If you are white, press 1. If African-American, Eagles...... 3% press 2. If other, press 3. Steelers...... 8% White ...... 74% Redskins...... 32% African-American ...... 19% Someone else / No favorite...... 32% Other...... 7% Q20 Do you think the Washington Redskins should Q26 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to change their name, or not? 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. Think they should...... 21% 18 to 29...... 10% Think they should not...... 71% 30 to 45...... 24% Not sure ...... 8% Q21 In the last presidential election, did you vote for 46 to 65...... 44% Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Older than 65 ...... 22% Barack Obama...... 50% Q27 Mode Mitt Romney...... 45% Phone ...... 80% Someone else / Don't remember ...... 5% Internet ...... 20% Q22 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative? Very liberal...... 11% Somewhat liberal ...... 16% Moderate...... 29% Somewhat conservative...... 26% Very conservative ...... 18%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember Obama Approval Warner Approval Approve 45% 85% 2% 25% Approve 49% 82% 13% 40% Disapprove 50% 8% 96% 48% Disapprove 41% 9% 77% 35% Not sure 6% 7% 2% 27% Not sure 10% 9% 10% 25%

2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember Gillespie Favorability Senate Favorable 29% 9% 53% 15% Mark Warner 48% 84% 10% 33% Unfavorable 37% 56% 17% 30% Ed Gillespie 35% 3% 74% 20% Not sure 34% 35% 31% 55% Robert Sarvis 4% 4% 4% 14% Undecided 12% 10% 13% 34%

2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember Senate Leaners VAGA Approval Mark Warner 49% 86% 10% 33% Approve 28% 21% 37% 22% Ed Gillespie 37% 3% 76% 30% Disapprove 46% 54% 38% 45% Not sure 14% 11% 14% 37% Not sure 26% 26% 25% 32%

2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember VAGA GOP Howell Favorability

Leadership Approval Favorable 27% 8% 48% 24% Approve 33% 7% 63% 27% Unfavorable 37% 64% 7% 33% Disapprove 47% 77% 14% 45% Not sure 36% 28% 45% 43% Not sure 19% 15% 23% 28%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember K-12 Cuts Workforce Devel. Cuts Strongly support 9% 7% 12% 7% Strongly support 10% 8% 12% 5% Somewhat support 15% 10% 21% 2% Somewhat support 20% 15% 29% 2% Somewhat oppose 25% 22% 29% 18% Somewhat oppose 30% 29% 30% 43% Strongly oppose 47% 58% 33% 57% Strongly oppose 34% 45% 22% 34% Not sure 5% 3% 5% 17% Not sure 6% 4% 7% 17%

2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember Higher Edu. Cuts Continued Car Tax

Relief Strongly support 15% 8% 22% 14% Strongly support 42% 33% 53% 39% Somewhat support 16% 10% 22% 16% Somewhat support 21% 25% 16% 34% Somewhat oppose 27% 24% 31% 23% Somewhat oppose 14% 18% 12% 8% Strongly oppose 35% 50% 19% 29% Strongly oppose 13% 15% 13% 8% Not sure 7% 8% 5% 18% Not sure 9% 10% 7% 11%

2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember Support/Oppose $10 Support/Oppose

Min. Wage Accepting Medicaid Funds Support 62% 90% 31% 57% Support 55% 87% 16% 70% Oppose 30% 7% 56% 32% Oppose 35% 7% 69% 17% Not sure 8% 4% 13% 11% Not sure 10% 6% 15% 12%

Favorability Favorability Favorable 23% 8% 40% 27% Favorable 7% 5% 10% 2% Unfavorable 47% 65% 29% 20% Unfavorable 57% 63% 52% 34% Not sure 30% 27% 31% 53% Not sure 36% 32% 38% 64%

2012 Vote 2012 Vote Barack Mitt Someone else / Barack Mitt Someone else / Base Obama Romney Don't remember Base Obama Romney Don't remember Agree w/ McDonnell Fave MLB Team

Guilty Verdicts? Braves 16% 15% 17% 21% Agree 50% 70% 30% 37% Orioles 7% 6% 9% - Disagree 25% 8% 45% 18% Red Sox 10% 8% 9% 28% Not sure 25% 22% 25% 45% Cubs 3% 4% 2% 2% Mets 3% 5% 2% - Yankees 10% 10% 9% 10% Phillies 3% 3% 3% 4% Nationals 22% 26% 19% 10% Someone else 25% 22% 29% 26%

Change Their Name? Falcons 4% 5% 4% 4% Think they should 21% 37% 4% 11% Ravens 2% 2% 2% 5% Think they should not 71% 52% 91% 69% Panthers 3% 3% 3% - Not sure 8% 11% 4% 19% Cowboys 12% 14% 10% 14% Packers 4% 4% 4% - Eagles 3% 3% 4% 2% Steelers 8% 9% 6% 8% Redskins 32% 30% 35% 27% Someone else / No 32% 31% 32% 40% favorite

Ideology Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Obama Approval Warner Approval Approve 45% 87% 77% 60% 14% 10% Approve 49% 86% 69% 64% 31% 11% Disapprove 50% 7% 14% 34% 81% 88% Disapprove 41% 9% 15% 24% 61% 80% Not sure 6% 6% 8% 7% 5% 2% Not sure 10% 5% 15% 12% 8% 8%

Ideology Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Gillespie Favorability Senate Favorable 29% 16% 12% 16% 42% 52% Mark Warner 48% 85% 78% 61% 25% 9% Unfavorable 37% 56% 52% 48% 23% 15% Ed Gillespie 35% 4% 10% 16% 57% 78% Not sure 34% 28% 36% 36% 35% 32% Robert Sarvis 4% 2% 2% 7% 4% 3% Undecided 12% 8% 10% 15% 14% 10%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Ideology Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Senate Leaners VAGA Approval Mark Warner 49% 86% 79% 65% 25% 11% Approve 28% 31% 8% 22% 40% 36% Ed Gillespie 37% 5% 10% 20% 57% 80% Disapprove 46% 47% 62% 51% 35% 41% Not sure 14% 9% 10% 16% 18% 10% Not sure 26% 22% 30% 27% 26% 24%

Leadership Approval Favorable 27% 3% 11% 15% 41% 54% Approve 33% 17% 7% 19% 48% 69% Unfavorable 37% 81% 59% 47% 15% 4% Disapprove 47% 70% 73% 59% 33% 12% Not sure 36% 16% 30% 38% 44% 42% Not sure 19% 13% 19% 22% 19% 19%

Ideology Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative K-12 Cuts Workforce Devel. Cuts Strongly support 9% 4% 8% 8% 12% 12% Strongly support 10% 11% 7% 7% 14% 9% Somewhat support 15% 16% 7% 10% 17% 25% Somewhat support 20% 9% 9% 19% 25% 33% Somewhat oppose 25% 14% 25% 25% 25% 31% Somewhat oppose 30% 20% 32% 34% 28% 31% Strongly oppose 47% 62% 55% 50% 44% 27% Strongly oppose 34% 54% 46% 36% 27% 19% Not sure 5% 3% 5% 7% 3% 5% Not sure 6% 6% 6% 4% 5% 8%

Relief Strongly support 15% 11% 7% 12% 18% 22% Strongly support 42% 31% 33% 37% 52% 53% Somewhat support 16% 9% 13% 10% 22% 24% Somewhat support 21% 24% 20% 28% 15% 19% Somewhat oppose 27% 16% 23% 31% 26% 34% Somewhat oppose 14% 26% 19% 13% 10% 11% Strongly oppose 35% 61% 47% 39% 27% 13% Strongly oppose 13% 18% 17% 9% 16% 9% Not sure 7% 3% 9% 8% 7% 7% Not sure 9% 1% 12% 12% 6% 8%

Min. Wage Accepting Medicaid Funds Support 62% 96% 84% 76% 41% 27% Support 55% 91% 78% 70% 33% 16% Oppose 30% 1% 10% 17% 52% 56% Oppose 35% 6% 15% 19% 54% 70% Not sure 8% 3% 6% 7% 7% 17% Not sure 10% 3% 7% 10% 13% 14%

Favorability Favorability Favorable 23% 6% 12% 16% 34% 41% Favorable 7% 9% 7% 4% 7% 10% Unfavorable 47% 73% 59% 53% 38% 21% Unfavorable 57% 66% 58% 63% 58% 38% Not sure 30% 21% 30% 30% 28% 38% Not sure 36% 26% 35% 33% 35% 52%

Guilty Verdicts? Braves 16% 20% 10% 16% 21% 15% Agree 50% 75% 69% 53% 37% 32% Orioles 7% 10% 12% 4% 4% 12% Disagree 25% 8% 11% 21% 35% 42% Red Sox 10% 10% 13% 9% 11% 6% Not sure 25% 17% 20% 26% 28% 26% Cubs 3% 2% 5% 3% 4% 1% Mets 3% - 3% 4% 2% 7% Yankees 10% 12% 11% 9% 8% 9% Phillies 3% - 4% 3% 6% 1% Nationals 22% 22% 23% 27% 19% 19% Someone else 25% 23% 20% 26% 26% 29%

Change Their Name? Falcons 4% 16% 2% 2% 3% 4% Think they should 21% 38% 45% 27% 8% - Ravens 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% Think they should not 71% 57% 47% 57% 89% 95% Panthers 3% 1% 1% 4% 4% 2% Not sure 8% 5% 8% 17% 3% 5% Cowboys 12% 10% 16% 14% 10% 13% Packers 4% - 4% 6% 2% 3% Eagles 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% Steelers 8% 11% 8% 7% 7% 8% Redskins 32% 21% 31% 30% 37% 36% Someone else / No 32% 41% 36% 30% 31% 29% favorite

Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Obama Approval Warner Approval Approve 45% 51% 38% Approve 49% 53% 46% Disapprove 50% 44% 56% Disapprove 41% 36% 46% Not sure 6% 6% 6% Not sure 10% 12% 8%

Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Gillespie Favorability Senate Favorable 29% 23% 35% Mark Warner 48% 53% 43% Unfavorable 37% 37% 37% Ed Gillespie 35% 29% 43% Not sure 34% 40% 27% Robert Sarvis 4% 3% 6% Undecided 12% 16% 8%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Senate Leaners VAGA Approval Mark Warner 49% 54% 45% Approve 28% 25% 32% Ed Gillespie 37% 30% 45% Disapprove 46% 45% 48% Not sure 14% 17% 10% Not sure 26% 30% 21%

Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man VAGA GOP Howell Favorability

Leadership Approval Favorable 27% 23% 31% Approve 33% 27% 41% Unfavorable 37% 40% 34% Disapprove 47% 50% 44% Not sure 36% 37% 36% Not sure 19% 23% 15%

Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man K-12 Cuts Workforce Devel. Cuts Strongly support 9% 9% 10% Strongly support 10% 8% 12% Somewhat support 15% 13% 16% Somewhat support 20% 21% 20% Somewhat oppose 25% 23% 26% Somewhat oppose 30% 28% 32% Strongly oppose 47% 50% 43% Strongly oppose 34% 37% 31% Not sure 5% 5% 4% Not sure 6% 6% 6%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Higher Edu. Cuts Continued Car Tax

Relief Strongly support 15% 9% 21% Strongly support 42% 35% 50% Somewhat support 16% 16% 16% Somewhat support 21% 24% 18% Somewhat oppose 27% 30% 25% Somewhat oppose 14% 15% 13% Strongly oppose 35% 36% 34% Strongly oppose 13% 15% 12% Not sure 7% 9% 5% Not sure 9% 10% 7%

Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Support/Oppose $10 Support/Oppose

Min. Wage Accepting Medicaid Funds Support 62% 69% 54% Support 55% 59% 50% Oppose 30% 22% 40% Oppose 35% 30% 42% Not sure 8% 9% 7% Not sure 10% 12% 8%

Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Bob McDonnell Maureen McDonnell

Favorability Favorability Favorable 23% 19% 29% Favorable 7% 4% 10% Unfavorable 47% 45% 49% Unfavorable 57% 54% 60% Not sure 30% 37% 23% Not sure 36% 42% 30%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Agree w/ McDonnell Fave MLB Team

Guilty Verdicts? Braves 16% 17% 16% Agree 50% 48% 53% Orioles 7% 5% 10% Disagree 25% 23% 27% Red Sox 10% 10% 9% Not sure 25% 29% 20% Cubs 3% 3% 3% Mets 3% 5% 1% Yankees 10% 8% 11% Phillies 3% 4% 3% Nationals 22% 22% 23% Someone else 25% 26% 24%

Gender Gender Base Woman Man Base Woman Man Fave NFL Team Should Redskins

Change Their Name? Falcons 4% 2% 6% Think they should 21% 24% 18% Ravens 2% 2% 3% Think they should not 71% 67% 75% Panthers 3% 2% 4% Not sure 8% 9% 8% Cowboys 12% 13% 12% Packers 4% 5% 2% Eagles 3% 2% 4% Steelers 8% 9% 7% Redskins 32% 32% 32% Someone else / No 32% 33% 31% favorite

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other Obama Approval Warner Approval Approve 45% 84% 11% 36% Approve 49% 79% 19% 48% Disapprove 50% 9% 86% 58% Disapprove 41% 10% 69% 45% Not sure 6% 7% 3% 7% Not sure 10% 11% 12% 7%

Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other Gillespie Favorability Senate Favorable 29% 8% 53% 26% Mark Warner 48% 85% 17% 40% Unfavorable 37% 58% 17% 35% Ed Gillespie 35% 3% 68% 37% Not sure 34% 35% 30% 38% Robert Sarvis 4% 1% 4% 8% Undecided 12% 11% 11% 16%

Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other Senate Leaners VAGA Approval Mark Warner 49% 85% 18% 42% Approve 28% 22% 36% 26% Ed Gillespie 37% 4% 69% 40% Disapprove 46% 52% 37% 50% Not sure 14% 11% 13% 17% Not sure 26% 27% 26% 24%

Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other VAGA GOP Howell Favorability

Leadership Approval Favorable 27% 10% 47% 24% Approve 33% 8% 65% 28% Unfavorable 37% 67% 12% 29% Disapprove 47% 77% 14% 50% Not sure 36% 23% 41% 47% Not sure 19% 15% 21% 22%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other K-12 Cuts Workforce Devel. Cuts Strongly support 9% 9% 10% 10% Strongly support 10% 8% 11% 10% Somewhat support 15% 8% 22% 15% Somewhat support 20% 16% 28% 18% Somewhat oppose 25% 23% 27% 24% Somewhat oppose 30% 27% 26% 38% Strongly oppose 47% 54% 37% 48% Strongly oppose 34% 46% 23% 33% Not sure 5% 6% 5% 3% Not sure 6% 3% 12% 2%

Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other Higher Edu. Cuts Continued Car Tax

Relief Strongly support 15% 8% 20% 17% Strongly support 42% 32% 49% 47% Somewhat support 16% 10% 20% 18% Somewhat support 21% 24% 18% 22% Somewhat oppose 27% 23% 33% 25% Somewhat oppose 14% 19% 12% 11% Strongly oppose 35% 51% 18% 35% Strongly oppose 13% 15% 12% 13% Not sure 7% 7% 9% 5% Not sure 9% 9% 10% 7%

Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other Support/Oppose $10 Support/Oppose

Min. Wage Accepting Medicaid Funds Support 62% 90% 37% 56% Support 55% 87% 25% 50% Oppose 30% 6% 50% 36% Oppose 35% 9% 61% 38% Not sure 8% 3% 13% 8% Not sure 10% 4% 14% 13%

Favorability Favorability Favorable 23% 9% 39% 23% Favorable 7% 3% 13% 5% Unfavorable 47% 61% 32% 46% Unfavorable 57% 63% 47% 60% Not sure 30% 30% 29% 32% Not sure 36% 34% 39% 35%

Party Party Independent Independent Base Democrat Republican / Other Base Democrat Republican / Other Agree w/ McDonnell Fave MLB Team

Guilty Verdicts? Braves 16% 14% 23% 12% Agree 50% 66% 32% 51% Orioles 7% 6% 9% 7% Disagree 25% 10% 44% 22% Red Sox 10% 10% 10% 9% Not sure 25% 23% 24% 26% Cubs 3% 4% 2% 4% Mets 3% 4% 2% 4% Yankees 10% 13% 7% 8% Phillies 3% 2% 4% 4% Nationals 22% 23% 21% 22% Someone else 25% 24% 21% 31%

Change Their Name? Falcons 4% 3% 8% 2% Think they should 21% 37% 6% 19% Ravens 2% 1% 3% 2% Think they should not 71% 50% 89% 75% Panthers 3% 3% 4% 2% Not sure 8% 13% 5% 6% Cowboys 12% 17% 11% 9% Packers 4% 3% 2% 6% Eagles 3% 2% 2% 5% Steelers 8% 8% 8% 7% Redskins 32% 32% 37% 27% Someone else / No 32% 31% 26% 40% favorite

Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other Obama Approval Warner Approval Approve 45% 36% 79% 39% Approve 49% 45% 66% 45% Disapprove 50% 60% 13% 44% Disapprove 41% 46% 21% 38% Not sure 6% 4% 7% 16% Not sure 10% 9% 14% 17%

Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other Gillespie Favorability Senate Favorable 29% 33% 15% 22% Mark Warner 48% 44% 71% 30% Unfavorable 37% 34% 49% 37% Ed Gillespie 35% 43% 10% 28% Not sure 34% 33% 36% 41% Robert Sarvis 4% 4% - 20% Undecided 12% 10% 18% 22%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other Senate Leaners VAGA Approval Mark Warner 49% 45% 71% 37% Approve 28% 27% 36% 13% Ed Gillespie 37% 45% 10% 28% Disapprove 46% 49% 36% 43% Not sure 14% 10% 18% 35% Not sure 26% 23% 29% 45%

Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other VAGA GOP Howell Favorability

Leadership Approval Favorable 27% 29% 23% 15% Approve 33% 39% 18% 21% Unfavorable 37% 33% 48% 42% Disapprove 47% 45% 56% 49% Not sure 36% 38% 29% 43% Not sure 19% 16% 26% 30%

Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other K-12 Cuts Workforce Devel. Cuts Strongly support 9% 9% 8% 12% Strongly support 10% 9% 9% 15% Somewhat support 15% 16% 7% 21% Somewhat support 20% 23% 13% 11% Somewhat oppose 25% 24% 29% 16% Somewhat oppose 30% 32% 24% 23% Strongly oppose 47% 46% 49% 45% Strongly oppose 34% 31% 44% 46% Not sure 5% 4% 7% 5% Not sure 6% 5% 8% 6%

Relief Strongly support 15% 14% 18% 11% Strongly support 42% 44% 41% 36% Somewhat support 16% 17% 10% 20% Somewhat support 21% 20% 28% 20% Somewhat oppose 27% 32% 13% 20% Somewhat oppose 14% 17% 5% 10% Strongly oppose 35% 32% 43% 41% Strongly oppose 13% 12% 17% 17% Not sure 7% 5% 16% 8% Not sure 9% 7% 10% 19%

Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other Support/Oppose $10 Support/Oppose

Min. Wage Accepting Medicaid Funds Support 62% 56% 86% 55% Support 55% 48% 86% 38% Oppose 30% 35% 8% 36% Oppose 35% 41% 12% 38% Not sure 8% 9% 6% 9% Not sure 10% 11% 1% 24%

Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other Bob McDonnell Maureen McDonnell

Favorability Favorability Favorable 23% 29% 5% 17% Favorable 7% 7% 6% 6% Unfavorable 47% 48% 50% 26% Unfavorable 57% 61% 45% 42% Not sure 30% 23% 45% 57% Not sure 36% 32% 48% 51%

Guilty Verdicts? Braves 16% 15% 26% 8% Agree 50% 49% 61% 28% Orioles 7% 7% 7% 6% Disagree 25% 29% 10% 23% Red Sox 10% 9% 9% 17% Not sure 25% 21% 29% 49% Cubs 3% 3% 5% - Mets 3% 3% 6% 3% Yankees 10% 11% 7% 5% Phillies 3% 4% - 4% Nationals 22% 21% 23% 30% Someone else 25% 27% 18% 26%

Race Race African- African- Base White American Other Base White American Other Fave NFL Team Should Redskins

Change Their Name? Falcons 4% 4% 6% 2% Think they should 21% 21% 21% 21% Ravens 2% 2% 2% 2% Think they should not 71% 74% 61% 64% Panthers 3% 3% 1% 5% Not sure 8% 5% 19% 14% Cowboys 12% 11% 19% 13% Packers 4% 3% 6% - Eagles 3% 3% 2% 4% Steelers 8% 6% 12% 7% Redskins 32% 34% 25% 31% Someone else / No 32% 34% 26% 34% favorite

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Base 29 45 65 than 65 Base 29 45 65 than 65 Obama Approval Warner Approval Approve 45% 45% 44% 47% 41% Approve 49% 41% 47% 52% 50% Disapprove 50% 50% 46% 49% 55% Disapprove 41% 31% 41% 41% 43% Not sure 6% 4% 10% 4% 4% Not sure 10% 28% 12% 7% 7%

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Base 29 45 65 than 65 Base 29 45 65 than 65 Gillespie Favorability Senate Favorable 29% 32% 28% 27% 32% Mark Warner 48% 45% 45% 50% 48% Unfavorable 37% 33% 25% 42% 44% Ed Gillespie 35% 24% 36% 35% 41% Not sure 34% 35% 48% 31% 25% Robert Sarvis 4% 7% 3% 4% 4% Undecided 12% 24% 15% 10% 8%

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Base 29 45 65 than 65 Base 29 45 65 than 65 Senate Leaners VAGA Approval Mark Warner 49% 47% 46% 52% 49% Approve 28% 36% 30% 25% 27% Ed Gillespie 37% 28% 36% 37% 43% Disapprove 46% 25% 44% 51% 50% Not sure 14% 25% 18% 11% 8% Not sure 26% 39% 26% 24% 23%

Leadership Approval Favorable 27% 30% 32% 22% 28% Approve 33% 40% 35% 29% 38% Unfavorable 37% 39% 36% 37% 37% Disapprove 47% 34% 49% 50% 46% Not sure 36% 30% 33% 41% 34% Not sure 19% 26% 16% 21% 16%

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Base 29 45 65 than 65 Base 29 45 65 than 65 K-12 Cuts Workforce Devel. Cuts Strongly support 9% 10% 9% 6% 15% Strongly support 10% 15% 10% 7% 13% Somewhat support 15% 9% 15% 13% 20% Somewhat support 20% 16% 20% 21% 22% Somewhat oppose 25% 28% 15% 28% 28% Somewhat oppose 30% 34% 29% 30% 29% Strongly oppose 47% 41% 55% 50% 32% Strongly oppose 34% 32% 33% 40% 26% Not sure 5% 12% 6% 3% 5% Not sure 6% 3% 8% 3% 10%

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Base 29 45 65 than 65 Base 29 45 65 than 65 Higher Edu. Cuts Continued Car Tax

Relief Strongly support 15% 16% 19% 11% 16% Strongly support 42% 40% 42% 42% 45% Somewhat support 16% 12% 16% 14% 21% Somewhat support 21% 24% 24% 21% 17% Somewhat oppose 27% 26% 24% 28% 29% Somewhat oppose 14% 8% 12% 17% 15% Strongly oppose 35% 35% 28% 43% 27% Strongly oppose 13% 7% 18% 14% 11% Not sure 7% 11% 12% 4% 8% Not sure 9% 22% 5% 6% 12%

Min. Wage Accepting Medicaid Funds Support 62% 73% 64% 61% 56% Support 55% 58% 51% 57% 53% Oppose 30% 21% 26% 33% 33% Oppose 35% 38% 37% 34% 36% Not sure 8% 7% 9% 6% 11% Not sure 10% 5% 12% 10% 11%

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Base 29 45 65 than 65 Base 29 45 65 than 65 Bob McDonnell Maureen McDonnell

Favorability Favorability Favorable 23% 27% 19% 22% 28% Favorable 7% 6% 14% 4% 6% Unfavorable 47% 33% 47% 52% 42% Unfavorable 57% 40% 44% 65% 61% Not sure 30% 40% 34% 26% 29% Not sure 36% 55% 42% 31% 33%

Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Base 29 45 65 than 65 Base 29 45 65 than 65 Agree w/ McDonnell Fave MLB Team

Guilty Verdicts? Braves 16% 9% 27% 15% 10% Agree 50% 45% 54% 52% 45% Orioles 7% 3% 5% 9% 8% Disagree 25% 14% 23% 23% 37% Red Sox 10% 11% 7% 8% 14% Not sure 25% 41% 24% 24% 18% Cubs 3% 2% 6% 1% 4% Mets 3% - 4% 3% 5% Yankees 10% 18% 2% 11% 11% Phillies 3% - 4% 4% 3% Nationals 22% 23% 20% 22% 24% Someone else 25% 34% 24% 26% 20%

Change Their Name? Falcons 4% 3% 7% 4% 2% Think they should 21% 17% 20% 24% 18% Ravens 2% - 2% 2% 4% Think they should not 71% 71% 69% 70% 74% Panthers 3% - 5% 2% 4% Not sure 8% 11% 11% 6% 8% Cowboys 12% 29% 12% 10% 10% Packers 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% Eagles 3% - 2% 5% 2% Steelers 8% 2% 7% 10% 7% Redskins 32% 18% 30% 32% 41% Someone else / No 32% 42% 34% 32% 27% favorite

Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Obama Approval Warner Approval Approve 45% 44% 46% Approve 49% 51% 44% Disapprove 50% 51% 43% Disapprove 41% 45% 24% Not sure 6% 4% 11% Not sure 10% 5% 32%

Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Gillespie Favorability Senate Favorable 29% 30% 24% Mark Warner 48% 50% 41% Unfavorable 37% 41% 23% Ed Gillespie 35% 39% 21% Not sure 34% 30% 53% Robert Sarvis 4% 5% 3% Undecided 12% 7% 35%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Senate Leaners VAGA Approval Mark Warner 49% 51% 43% Approve 28% 27% 30% Ed Gillespie 37% 41% 21% Disapprove 46% 53% 20% Not sure 14% 8% 36% Not sure 26% 20% 50%

Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet VAGA GOP Howell Favorability

Leadership Approval Favorable 27% 26% 31% Approve 33% 34% 30% Unfavorable 37% 39% 30% Disapprove 47% 51% 34% Not sure 36% 36% 40% Not sure 19% 15% 36%

Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet K-12 Cuts Workforce Devel. Cuts Strongly support 9% 11% 1% Strongly support 10% 11% 4% Somewhat support 15% 16% 8% Somewhat support 20% 21% 17% Somewhat oppose 25% 26% 22% Somewhat oppose 30% 29% 34% Strongly oppose 47% 43% 60% Strongly oppose 34% 34% 36% Not sure 5% 4% 8% Not sure 6% 5% 9%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Higher Edu. Cuts Continued Car Tax

Relief Strongly support 15% 17% 4% Strongly support 42% 49% 18% Somewhat support 16% 16% 17% Somewhat support 21% 18% 34% Somewhat oppose 27% 27% 28% Somewhat oppose 14% 14% 16% Strongly oppose 35% 34% 38% Strongly oppose 13% 13% 16% Not sure 7% 6% 13% Not sure 9% 7% 16%

Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Support/Oppose $10 Support/Oppose

Min. Wage Accepting Medicaid Funds Support 62% 60% 70% Support 55% 53% 62% Oppose 30% 33% 19% Oppose 35% 37% 28% Not sure 8% 7% 11% Not sure 10% 10% 9%

Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Bob McDonnell Maureen McDonnell

Favorability Favorability Favorable 23% 25% 18% Favorable 7% 6% 10% Unfavorable 47% 48% 41% Unfavorable 57% 60% 43% Not sure 30% 27% 41% Not sure 36% 33% 47%

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Agree w/ McDonnell Fave MLB Team

Guilty Verdicts? Braves 16% 17% 14% Agree 50% 52% 44% Orioles 7% 8% 4% Disagree 25% 28% 14% Red Sox 10% 9% 11% Not sure 25% 20% 42% Cubs 3% 3% 5% Mets 3% 4% 3% Yankees 10% 10% 6% Phillies 3% 3% 5% Nationals 22% 23% 19% Someone else 25% 23% 32%

Mode Mode Base Phone Internet Base Phone Internet Fave NFL Team Should Redskins

Change Their Name? Falcons 4% 5% 2% Think they should 21% 21% 21% Ravens 2% 2% 2% Think they should not 71% 72% 66% Panthers 3% 3% 2% Not sure 8% 7% 12% Cowboys 12% 11% 17% Packers 4% 3% 5% Eagles 3% 3% 4% Steelers 8% 7% 10% Redskins 32% 34% 25% Someone else / No 32% 32% 33% favorite

September 22-23, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 625 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988