The Jokowi Era: Introducing The Jokowi Cabinet, The Prabowo Opposition, And The Possible Impact on Business

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Roy Morgan : Special Post-Election Poll October 2014

Discover your edge Roy Morgan Research in Indonesia

•Since 2004 conducting the largest consumer survey in Indonesia

•6450+ respondents every quarter; 26,000+ respondents every year

•Conducted in the 17 largest provinces – 22 top cities, 22 secondary cities, rural areas

•Representing 87% of the Indonesian population aged 14 and over

•Clients from telecommunications, banking, retail, automotive, media, FMCG, ad agencies…

•The Special Poll in October covered all 34 provinces, a total of 2600+ respondents aged 17+

Discover your edge PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES MOST LIKELY TO VOTE FOR

Discover your edge Actual Election Result vs Roy Morgan Oct’14

60% Jokowi () Other

53% 51% 50% (52) 47%

(48) 40%

31%

30%

20% 18%

10%

0% Actual Result Oct'14

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,321 Discover your edge Presidential Candidates Most Likely to Vote For: Top 10 51.0% 51.8% Jokowi (Joko Widodo) 44.6% 35.2% 31.5% 48.2% Prabowo Subianto 14.7% 17.7% 4.0%

Jusuf Kalla 4.2% 4.1% 2.9% Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post 11.0% 14.6% 2.1% Jun'14 Oct'14 6.8% 7.6% 1.8%

Dahlan Iskan 3.0% 4.9% 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 0.8%

Mahfud MD 1.5% 3.2% 0.8%

Anies Rasyid Baswedan 0.5% 0.8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,321 Discover your edge Presidential Candidates Most Likely to Vote For: Next 8 0.6%

Megawati Sukarnoputri 3.0%

0.5%

Yusril Ihza Mahendra 1.9%

0.5%

Ani Yudhoyono 1.4% Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post 0.4% Gita Wirjawan 0.7% Jun'14 Oct'14 0.3%

Sri X 0.6%

0.2%

Pramono Edhie Wibowo 0.2%

0.1%

Sri Mulyani Indrawati 0.1%

0.04%

Djoko Suyanto 0.2%

0.3%

Other 1.9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,321 Discover your edge VOTING INTENTION

Discover your edge Voting Intention: Parliamentary, Top 7

45%

40.2% 40% 36.6%

35%

30%

25%

19.7% 20% 17.0% 13.7% 15% 12.3%

9.6% 10% 8.5%

4.3% 4.8% 4.5% 5% 4.4% 2.6% 2.0%

0% PDIP Partai Gerindra Partai Partai Demokrat PAN PKS PPP

Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post Oct'13

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,374 Discover your edge Voting Intention: Parliamentary, Next 5

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5.6% 5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 2.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0% 0% 0% Partai Hanura PKB Partai NasDem PBB PKPI Other

Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post Oct'13

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,374 Discover your edge Actual Result vs Roy Morgan Oct’14 Data

45% Actual Result Oct'14 40.2% 40%

35%

30%

25%

19.7% 20% 19.0%

14.8% 15% 12.3% 11.8% 10.2% 10% 8.5% 9.0% 7.6% 6.8% 6.5% 6.7% 5.3% 4.8% 5% 4.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0% PDIP Partai Partai Partai PAN PKS PPP Partai PKB Partai PBB PKPI Gerindra Golkar Demokrat Hanura NasDem

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,374 Discover your edge IS INDONESIA HEADING IN THE RIGHT/WRONG DIRECTION?

Discover your edge Is Indonesia Heading in The Right/Wrong Direction? 80% Right direction Wrong direction

70% 66.9% 65.9%

60% 55.3% 54.7%

50%

44.7% 45.3% 40%

34.1% 30% 33.1%

20%

10%

0% Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post Jun'14 Oct'14

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,551 Discover your edge Thank You

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