The Jokowi Era: Introducing The Jokowi Cabinet, The Prabowo Opposition, And The Possible Impact on Business
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Roy Morgan Indonesia: Special Post-Election Poll October 2014
Discover your edge Roy Morgan Research in Indonesia
•Since 2004 conducting the largest consumer survey in Indonesia
•6450+ respondents every quarter; 26,000+ respondents every year
•Conducted in the 17 largest provinces – 22 top cities, 22 secondary cities, rural areas
•Representing 87% of the Indonesian population aged 14 and over
•Clients from telecommunications, banking, retail, automotive, media, FMCG, ad agencies…
•The Special Poll in October covered all 34 provinces, a total of 2600+ respondents aged 17+
Discover your edge PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES MOST LIKELY TO VOTE FOR
Discover your edge Actual Election Result vs Roy Morgan Oct’14
60% Jokowi (Joko Widodo) Prabowo Subianto Other
53% 51% 50% (52) 47%
(48) 40%
31%
30%
20% 18%
10%
0% Actual Result Oct'14
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,321 Discover your edge Presidential Candidates Most Likely to Vote For: Top 10 51.0% 51.8% Jokowi (Joko Widodo) 44.6% 35.2% 31.5% 48.2% Prabowo Subianto 14.7% 17.7% 4.0%
Jusuf Kalla 4.2% 4.1% 2.9% Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post Aburizal Bakrie 11.0% 14.6% 2.1% Jun'14 Oct'14 Wiranto 6.8% 7.6% 1.8%
Dahlan Iskan 3.0% 4.9% 1.6% Hatta Rajasa 2.3% 2.7% 0.8% Surya Paloh 1.5% 1.6% 0.8%
Mahfud MD 1.5% 3.2% 0.8%
Anies Rasyid Baswedan 0.5% 0.8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,321 Discover your edge Presidential Candidates Most Likely to Vote For: Next 8 0.6%
Megawati Sukarnoputri 3.0%
0.5%
Yusril Ihza Mahendra 1.9%
0.5%
Ani Yudhoyono 1.4% Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post 0.4% Gita Wirjawan 0.7% Jun'14 Oct'14 0.3%
Sri Sultan Hamengkubuwono X 0.6%
0.2%
Pramono Edhie Wibowo 0.2%
0.1%
Sri Mulyani Indrawati 0.1%
0.04%
Djoko Suyanto 0.2%
0.3%
Other 1.9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,321 Discover your edge VOTING INTENTION
Discover your edge Voting Intention: Parliamentary, Top 7
45%
40.2% 40% 36.6%
35%
30%
25%
19.7% 20% 17.0% 13.7% 15% 12.3%
9.6% 10% 8.5%
4.3% 4.8% 4.5% 5% 4.4% 2.6% 2.0%
0% PDIP Partai Gerindra Partai Golkar Partai Demokrat PAN PKS PPP
Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post Oct'13
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,374 Discover your edge Voting Intention: Parliamentary, Next 5
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5.6% 5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 2.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0% 0% 0% Partai Hanura PKB Partai NasDem PBB PKPI Other
Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post Oct'13
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,374 Discover your edge Actual Result vs Roy Morgan Oct’14 Data
45% Actual Result Oct'14 40.2% 40%
35%
30%
25%
19.7% 20% 19.0%
14.8% 15% 12.3% 11.8% 10.2% 10% 8.5% 9.0% 7.6% 6.8% 6.5% 6.7% 5.3% 4.8% 5% 4.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0% PDIP Partai Partai Partai PAN PKS PPP Partai PKB Partai PBB PKPI Gerindra Golkar Demokrat Hanura NasDem
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,374 Discover your edge IS INDONESIA HEADING IN THE RIGHT/WRONG DIRECTION?
Discover your edge Is Indonesia Heading in The Right/Wrong Direction? 80% Right direction Wrong direction
70% 66.9% 65.9%
60% 55.3% 54.7%
50%
44.7% 45.3% 40%
34.1% 30% 33.1%
20%
10%
0% Mar'14 Pre Mar'14 Post Jun'14 Oct'14
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source Indonesia October 2014 (National) Base: Total Population 17+ n= 2,551 Discover your edge Thank You
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