Integrating New Mobility into the Regional Transportation System of the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area
AQTr Symposium on New Mobility: Integration and Challenges February 2, 2017
Lisa Salsberg Director, Regional Planning
Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area
8 242 km2
6.6 million (2011) 9 million (2031)
4 levels of government 30 municipalities 9 municipal transit agencies
2 3 Who is Metrolinx?
Plan Build Operate Connect
4 Transportation in the GTHA by Numbers
5 Population Growth
3.5
2001 26% 10
3.0 2006 9
49% 2011 8 2.5 2041 7
2.0 6 47% 68% 5 1.5 4 Total Population (Millions) Total Population (Millions)
1.0 3 93% 90% 46% 2 0.5 1
0.0 0 Hamilton Halton Durham York Peel Toronto GTHA
6 Population Growth by Age
24% 0-19Youth (age 3-19) 22% 20-34Young Adults (age 20-34) 20% Middle Age 35-49(age 35-49) 18%
50-64Adults (age 50-64) 16%
65+Seniors (65+) 14% 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041
7 Employment Growth
3.5 600 Total Employment Office Employment 3.0 500
2.5 400
2.0
300
1.5
200 1.0 Total Employment (Millions)
Office Employment (Thousands) Employment Office 100 0.5
0.0 0 2006 2011 2016* 2031 2041 2006 2011 2016* 2031 2041 8 Toronto Rest of GTHA Downtown Rest of Toronto Rest of GTHA • *2016 data are estimated • Office Employment data: Hemson Consulting Ltd. • 2031 – 2041 Total Employment Data: Growth Plan for the GGH, schedule 3
8 Regional Transformation
Eglinton Crosstown Viva and MiWay Hurontario and Finch LRT 19 km BRT 53 km West LRT 31 km
Union Station Regional Express Rail PRESTO Modernization 150+km 2 million users, 11 agencies
9 Regional Express Rail
10 RER Service Concept: Weekday Rush Hour (Peak Direction)
EXISTING
11 RER Service Concept: Weekday Rush Hour (Peak Direction)
GO RER
12 RER Service Concept: Mid-Day, Evening & Weekend
EXISTING
13 RER Service Concept: Mid-Day, Evening & Weekend
GO RER
14 Future Travel Demand (a.m. peak)*
Total Trip Growth Total Auto Vehicle km Travelled AM PEAK TRIPS (MILLIONS)
5.0 17.6 M 24.0 M 11% 33% 2006 2031 4.0
18% 9%
3.0 Auto Vehicle km Travelled / Person 10% 18% 10% 16% 2.09 2.02 2.0 19% 71% 3% 73% 2006 2031 74% 1.0 71%
0.0 1991 2001 2011 2031 AUTO TRANSIT ACTIVE * Note: 2031 data assume implementation of currently funded rapid transit network. 15 Mode Share Trend to 2031 (a.m. peak)*
Between Regional Within any Between Regional Within Within Rest of Municipalities Regional Municipalities Downtown To Downtown Toronto and Rest of Toronto Municipality Mode Share 100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0% 1991 2001 2011 2031 1991 2001 2011 2031 1991 2001 2011 2031 1991 2001 2011 2031 1991 2001 2011 2031 1991 2001 2011 2031 3% 15% 45% 15% 60% 9%
2% 10% 30% 10% 40% 6% 1% 5% 15% 5% 20% 3% SHARE OF TOTAL TRIPS IN 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% THE REGION
* Note: 2031 data assume implementation of currently funded rapid transit network.
16 The Regional Transportation Plan
17 Updating the RTP
Metrolinx is required to review the GTHA multimodal regional transportation plan under the Metrolinx Act (2006) at least every ten years, in alignment with Ontario’s Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe.
A review of The Big Move at this time allows Metrolinx to:
• Evaluate and incorporate evidence-based research, new analysis and innovative approaches • Assess progress, change and the impacts of committed provincial investments on the region’s transportation system • Continue to strengthen our relationships with stakeholders by advancing and aligning the provincial, regional and local priorities that together can achieve the shared vision for the GTHA’s transportation system
18
The Next Regional Transportation Plan
Congestion management Active Creating safer, Parking strategies transportation more complete streets strategies
Urban freight Expanded transportation Public education Supporting sustainable demand management regional growth
New mobility Frequent transit System Selective rapid transit options service management expansion
19 New Mobility at Metrolinx
First-Mile/Last- Mile Shuttle Business Case Oct 2013 Review of Regional Transportation Plan (RTP)
Autonomous Vehicle Consumer Autonomous Vehicles Municipal Engagement Milton Dynamic Study & Focus Sharing the Road Groups (Ryerson) Transit Pilot Sep 2016 Apr 2016 Technical Report Aug 2016 Discussion Paper for the Next RTP New Mobility Aug 2016 Shared Mobility Municipal Shared Mobility Technical Report Aug 2016 Engagement Request for Workshop Information Nov 2016 Jul 2015
2016 GO Rail Shared Mobility Station Access Strategy, Pilots and Plan Dec 2016 Projects
UP Express Ground Transportation Partnership Jan 2017
20 RTP Discussion Paper
Partnerships with Technical Background Papers Academic Researchers • Active Transportation Needs and • Access to Regional Opportunities Transit • Goods Movement Issues and • Journeys to School and Opportunities Work • Mobility Hub Profiles and • Factors Influencing Indicators Transit Use • New Mobility Services Trends • Regional Intermodal and Implications Demand Modelling • Social Equity Analysis • Transportation Demand • Transit Needs and Opportunities Management • Transportation Demand • Transit Equity Read the Discussion Paper Management Needs and • Health and Transit Access metrolinx.com/theplan Opportunities • Walkability at GO Stations • Screening Process • Barriers to Active • Draft Updated Vision, Goals & Transportation Objectives • Children’s Independent • Land Use Context Mobility 21 • Shared Mobility Shared Mobility
Sharing the Road: The Promise and Perils of Shared Mobility in the GTHA (Mowat Centre) “Shared mobility offers the GTHA a number of significant positive opportunities that policymakers should seize. However, doing so will require a willingness to explore new ways of doing business.”
22 New Mobility Trends and Implications
Key Findings: Shifts in thinking will be required: • Vision for region • Public plan-deliver model • Designing around the user • Role of public sector in protecting public interest • Data stewardship • Anticipating change
23 New and Emerging Business Models
Traditional Services uberHOP Bus Route uberSUV Taxi uberX Private Driver
uberSELECT Carpool
uberBLACK Paratransit
uberTAXI Food Delivery
uberASSIST Parking
uberWAV Bikeshare
uberEATS Carshare
24 We Work in a Challenging Environment
25 Ridesourcing Regulations: GTHA
Uber Service Area (Dec 2016)
26 Challenges and Opportunities
Analytics, Models, Theory Data Sharing Access/Equity Seamless Travel
First and Last Mile
27 GO Rail Station Access Plan
• Takes into consideration the Provincial commitment to RER – Reflects increase in service, the addition of new stations, and the associated increase in ridership
• Recommends limiting parking expansion and shifting towards more sustainable modes of access to accommodate and encourage ridership growth – Walking, transit, cycling, carpooling, pickup/drop off)
28 GO Stations Today
Lack of Walkability Suburban Station: Urban Station: Lincolnville GO Hamilton GO
Current passenger Pick-up/Drop off Station Parking at Capacity
29 Station Access is Key to RER Success
Average Weekday Riders* and Customers travelling to GO Mode Share stations (2015)
30 Scenarios Evaluated
1. Business-As-Usual, which prioritizes long term parking expansion while nominally supporting other modes 2. Incremental Change, which limits parking expansion and incrementally shifts focus to growing other modes 3. Big Changes and Partnerships, which restricts parking expansion and aggressively shifts the focus to growing other modes
Preferred Scenario: Incremental Change • Maximizes ridership; provides economic value and strikes a balance between competing priorities and mandates of regional transit service and local context and service.
31 First and Last Mile
32 Request for Information (RFI)
“Shared mobility and on-demand services: Understanding applications to the GTHA” • Posted to MERX December 12, 2015 - January 12, 2016 14 Respondents • Gather information from service • Microtransit / demand-responsive providers on new and emerging transit (4) transportation solutions in shared • ridesharing (3) mobility and on-demand services • Carsharing (3) • aggregator (2) • Gain an understanding into emerging • P2P parking (1) business models and how they can • autonomous bus (1) help support local transit and FMLM
33 RFI Results
• Results provided a snapshot of the operating models of service providers and details on partnerships with municipalities and transit agencies: • Réseau de Transport de Longueuil carpooling in Quebec • Carpool Program, San Francisco Bay Area, and Longueil, Quebec • Ridesourcing to Transit: Los Angeles • Kansas City Microtransit • Provided additional information on real-world applications of services, including: • FMLM to compliment transit • Service in low-density areas • long-range and daily commuters • support an emergency ride home programs
34 Shared Mobility Ecosystem Carpooling Ride-Sourcing Microtransit On-Demand or Routing On-Demand On-Demand Fixed Route Drivers Non-professional Non-professional Professional Legal Legal: Municipal by-laws and Municipal decisions and Considerations Public Vehicles Act, 1990 regulations Public Vehicles Act, 1990 Typical Vehicle 1-4 Passengers 1-4 Passengers 4-14 Passengers Occupancy Vehicle Type Personal Vehicle Personal Vehicle Personal Vehicle Typical Trip ~10-75 km ~5km ~3-8km Length
Examples
35 Town of Milton: Dynamic Transit Pilot
2001 31,471
2006 53,889
2011 84,362
36 36 Opportunity Knocked
Parking Utilization Across GO Network
“Loblaws threatens to tow Milton GO commuters using grocery parking lot” - Milton Canadian Champion, 7 Mar 2014
“Petition for more GO station parking gaining momentum” - Milton Canadian Champion, 25 Nov 2014
37 Next Gen of Demand-Response
38 Convergence
• Growth • Trial pressures • Put on-demand product • AM shuttle mobility to the test
+ +
• Software dev. • Shuttle buses • Project • Payments • Brand umbrella management • Taxis • Operating • Marketing support • GO Co-Fare
39 How it Worked
Morning: 06:00 – 08:25 Evening: 16:45 – 20:25
40 How it Worked
Request Options Select Trip View Schedule Pick-up Alert
41
41 Ridership
Avg. Bookings / day Avg. Bookings / day 85 (Nov to March) 62 (June to March)
42 Key Features
Vehicle Type
Door-to-station Hub-to-station
Book same day $$$ $$
Book early $$ $
43 Results: Customer Survey
Level of Satisfaction with Pilot Service “Please keep this service going. Very (1 – 10) useful to many “I'm a fan and have commuters.” recommended the service to friends who don’t want to buy a second car just to get to the station”
“Saves me “I really like the a long walk service primarily to the for the price.” station.”
44 Results: Customer Survey
Access mode to Milton GO station, Main reason for choosing to use prior to the pilot service pilot service
45 Key Learnings
Booking Times - Advance booking improved efficiency of routing software and can be incentivized through fare structure Pricing - Customers are willing to pay more for a highly convenient premium service Vehicle Size - Need flexibility with vehicle choices and able to adapt demand and customer needs Customer Experience - Customer needs and expectations should be considered while designing the system Station Access - Seamless integration with traditional transit is important for program success
46 Key Learnings
Station Design Community Design
Transit Only Access
GO Connect Thompson Road Stop New Urbanist Cul-de-sac Bus Lane
Park and Ride PRESTO Reader Access Mega-block Grid • Low traffic congestion GO Transit Bay Milton Transit Bay Platform (3) (6) • Dedicated access • Space for waiting location • Short walk to/from trains
47 Ground Transport Provider (UP Express)
• Expression of Interest issued on Jan 3, 2017 seeking a ground transportation provider • Seeks a FMLM solution for airport travellers to access UP Express • Partner to provide revenue in exchange for marketing and promotional activities • Announcement possible in March 2017
48 Convergence
Payment and Pricing Green Energy IoT Mobility-as-a-Service
Seamless and User-centered On-Demand Autonomous Vehicles
49 “The more people use shared modes, the more likely they are to use public transit, own fewer cars, and spend less on transportation overall”
- American Public Transit Association and the Shared Use Mobility Centre
50 Thank you!
51