DOCSLIB.ORG

Hyperbolic Criminals and Repeated Time-Inconsistent Misconduct

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Hyperbolic Criminals and Repeated Time-Inconsistent Misconduct Florida State University College of Law Scholarship Repository Scholarly Publications Summer 2007 Hyperbolic Criminals and Repeated Time-Inconsistent Misconduct Manuel A. Utset Florida State University College of Law Follow this and additional works at: https://ir.law.fsu.edu/articles Part of the Criminal Law Commons, and the Law and Economics Commons Recommended Citation Manuel A. Utset, Hyperbolic Criminals and Repeated Time-Inconsistent Misconduct, 44 HOUS. L. REV. 609 (2007), Available at: https://ir.law.fsu.edu/articles/574 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Scholarship Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Scholarly Publications by an authorized administrator of Scholarship Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. (3)UTSET.DOC 9/12/2007 4:15 PM ARTICLE HYPERBOLIC CRIMINALS AND REPEATED TIME-INCONSISTENT MISCONDUCT Manuel A. Utset* TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION .....................................................................611 II. THE NEOCLASSICAL THEORY OF CRIMINAL MISCONDUCT ....615 A. The Rational Choice Assumption .................................616 B. Choosing Socially Optimal Criminal Sanctions ..........617 C. Some Puzzles and Problems of the Neoclassical Approach .......................................................................619 1. The Puzzle of the Overdeterrence of Serial Offenders................................................................620 2. The Puzzle of Systematic Underdeterrence............622 3. The Overenforcement and Overdeterrence Puzzles ...................................................................625 III. AMODEL OF REPEATED TIME-INCONSISTENT MISCONDUCT ........................................................................626 A. Serial Misconduct and the Intertemporal Nature of Crime ............................................................627 1. Serial Misconduct and Future Well-Being............627 2. The Temporal Gap Between the Benefits and Costs of Crime........................................................629 3. Intertemporally Worthwhile Misconduct...............631 B. The Assumption that Long-Term Preferences Govern ...........................................................................632 * Charles W. Ehrhardt Professor, Florida State University College of Law. I would like to thank Robert Adler, Tony Anghie, Leslie Francis, Brian Galle, Erika George, Hillary Greene, Laura Kessler, Wayne Logan, Nancy McLaughlin, Daniel Medwed, Benjamin Priester, and Alice Ristroph. Special thanks to Denise Boineau. 609 (3)UTSET.DOC 9/12/2007 4:15 PM 610 HOUSTON LAW REVIEW [44:3 C. The Empirical Evidence Regarding Time- Inconsistent Preferences................................................633 D. Modeling Short-Run Impatience and Time- Inconsistency .................................................................638 E. Time-Inconsistent Misconduct ......................................642 F. Welfare Losses from Time-Inconsistent Misconduct.....645 G. Serial Time-Inconsistent Misconduct ...........................647 1. The Role of Incorrect Beliefs of Future Present-Bias...........................................................647 2. Entry Into and Exit from a Path of Serial Misconduct.............................................................649 3. Serial Time-Inconsistent Misconduct: A Numerical Example ...............................................652 H. Some Conclusions and Possible Objections ..................653 IV. LEGAL IMPLICATIONS OF TIME-INCONSISTENT MISCONDUCT:THE PUZZLES OF NEOCLASSICAL THEORY REVISITED.............................................................................656 A. The Systematic Underdeterrence Puzzle and Hyperbolic Offenders.....................................................656 B. Well-Tailored Deterrence: Targeting Present-Bias of Offenders .......................................................................657 1. The Incentives Asymmetry: Increasing Delayed Sanctions versus Reducing the Immediate Benefits from Misconduct ......................................658 2. Reducing Immediate Benefits from Misconduct....659 3. Increasing Immediate Costs of Misconduct...........660 4. The Potential Costs of the Time-Inconsistent Approach................................................................661 C. The Market for Commitment Devices and the Value of Default Devices..........................................................662 D. The Puzzle of Lawmakers Spending “Too Much” on Enforcement Efforts ......................................................664 E. The Puzzle of Higher Sanctions for Repeat Offenders..664 F. Time-Inconsistent Obedience and the Puzzle of Overly Compliant Offenders .........................................665 V. OTHER CRIMINAL LAW IMPLICATIONS OF TIME- INCONSISTENT MISCONDUCT ................................................668 A. Entry and Exit in Conspiracies ....................................668 1. Immediate Costs and Delays in Forming Conspiracies...........................................................669 2. The Problem of Exit: Immediate Punishment and Group Cohesiveness........................................671 B. Present-Bias and the Entrapment Defense...................671 (3)UTSET.DOC 9/12/2007 4:15 PM 2007] HYPERBOLIC CRIMINALS 611 C. Domestic Violence and Time-Inconsistent Exits...........673 D. Obstacles to Time-Inconsistent Explanations of Criminal Misconduct ....................................................674 VI. CONCLUSION.........................................................................676 I. INTRODUCTION Judges and legal scholars have little tolerance for offenders who plea an excuse or ask for reductions in sentences using self- control arguments.1 There are exceptions: the delusional, who acts out of an “irresistible impulse,” may be found not guilty by reason of insanity; the jealous spouse, “reasonably” provoked to murder while “in the heat of passion,” may have the charge reduced to involuntary manslaughter.2 This general skepticism of “weakness of will” arguments is not shared by criminologists, who have produced a large empirical literature showing that low self-control3 is a principal predictor of criminal misconduct.4 1. See, e.g., Stephen J. Morse, Culpability and Control, 142 U. PA. L. REV. 1587, 1599–1602 (1994) (arguing against giving too much weight to claims of impulsivity and loss of control in context of criminal excuses); Richard A. Posner, Rational Choice, Behavioral Economics, and the Law, 50 STAN. L. REV. 1551, 1568 (1998) (arguing that the criminal justice system should not be designed on the “assumption that the population of potential criminals is dominated by hyperbolic discounters” with self-control problems); see also ARISTOTLE,NICOMACHEAN ETHICS bk.VII (350 B.C.E.), reprinted in 2 THE COMPLETE WORKS OF ARISTOTLE:THE REVISED OXFORD TRANSLATION 1729, 1818 (Jonathan Barnes ed., 2nd prtg. 1985) (1984) (drawing a distinction between the more morally reprehensible weak-willed incontinent, who “after deliberating fail, owing to their passion, to stand by the conclusions of their deliberation,” and the more morally forgivable impetuous incontinent—“keen and excitable people” who “because of the violence of their passions do not wait on reason”). 2. See Parsons v. State, 2 So. 854, 866–67 (Ala. 1887) (stating that an irresistible impulse requires that an offender has “lost the power to choose between the right and wrong, and to avoid doing the act in question, as that his free agency was at the time destroyed” (emphasis omitted)); see also MODEL PENAL CODE § 210.3(1)(b) (2001) (explaining that criminal homicide will be downgraded to manslaughter when it “is committed under the influence of extreme mental or emotional disturbance for which there is reasonable explanation or excuse”). See generally Dan M. Kahan & Martha C. Nussbaum, Two Conceptions of Emotion in Criminal Law, 96 COLUM. L. REV. 269, 272–75 (1996) (discussing ways that emotions are treated in the criminal law); George Loewenstein, Out of Control: Visceral Influences on Behavior, 65 ORG.BEHAV.&HUM. DECISION PROCESSES 272, 272–73 (1996) (describing how hot psychological states can highjack a person’s ability to effectively deliberate and make rational choices). 3. As a general matter, “[s]elf-control problems arise from impulsive behavior” and occur when we “find ourselves making tempting choices against our own better judgment and self-interest.” Klaus Wertenbroch, Consumption Self-Control by Rationing Purchase Quantities of Virtue and Vice, 17 MARKETING SCI. 317, 318 (1998). 4. See MICHAEL R. GOTTFREDSON &TRAVIS HIRSCHI,AGENERAL THEORY OF CRIME 232 (1990) (arguing that self-control problems are, “for all intents and purposes, the individual-level cause of crime”); Travis C. Pratt & Francis T. Cullen, The Empirical (3)UTSET.DOC 9/12/2007 4:15 PM 612 HOUSTON LAW REVIEW [44:3 Criminologists posit that offenders with low self-control will often commit crimes while in the pursuit of “short-term, immediate pleasure,”5 ignoring the consequences of their actions on their future well-being.6 A growing empirical literature in economics suggests that people become increasingly impatient the closer that they get to an immediate payoff. Time-inconsistent preferences, or “hyperbolic discounting,”7 can lead people to experience “internal” intertemporal conflicts: they make repeated short-term decisions to yield to the transient lure of immediate gratification, notwithstanding their long-term preference to be patient.8 These hyperbolic
Load more

Recommended publications
  • When Does Behavioural Economics Really Matter?
    When does behavioural economics really matter? Ian McAuley, University of Canberra and Centre for Policy Development (www.cpd.org.au) Paper to accompany presentation to Behavioural Economics stream at Australian Economic Forum, August 2010. Summary Behavioural economics integrates the formal study of psychology, including social psychology, into economics. Its empirical base helps policy makers in understanding how economic actors behave in response to incentives in market transactions and in response to policy interventions. This paper commences with a short description of how behavioural economics fits into the general discipline of economics. The next section outlines the development of behavioural economics, including its development from considerations of individual psychology into the fields of neurology, social psychology and anthropology. It covers developments in general terms; there are excellent and by now well-known detailed descriptions of the specific findings of behavioural economics. The final section examines seven contemporary public policy issues with suggestions on how behavioural economics may help develop sound policy. In some cases Australian policy advisers are already using the findings of behavioural economics to advantage. It matters most of the time In public policy there is nothing novel about behavioural economics, but for a long time it has tended to be ignored in formal texts. Like Molière’s Monsieur Jourdain who was surprised to find he had been speaking prose all his life, economists have long been guided by implicit knowledge of behavioural economics, particularly in macroeconomics. Keynes, for example, understood perfectly the “money illusion” – people’s tendency to think of money in nominal rather than real terms – in his solution to unemployment.
    [Show full text]
  • PAPM 1000 Winter 2011 1
    PAPM 1000 Winter 2011 1 Carleton University Arthur Kroeger College of Public Affairs PAPM 1000: Introduction to Public Affairs and Policy Management Winter Term: History of Economic Thought Winter 2011 Instructor: Derek Ireland Wednesday: 14:35-16:25 (2:35-4:25 PM) Office: D199 Loeb Building C164 Loeb Building Phone: 613 747 9593 Office Hours: Wednesdays From 13:00 to 14:20 --Or Email: [email protected] Determined Through Emails with Student Course Objective The objective of the course is to provide an understanding of economic ideas and thinking, how these ideas have evolved and developed and been applied through many centuries, and the implications of economic ideas for past and current policy debates, analysis, development and management. What do we mean by economic ideas? Economic ideas are essentially the concepts, hypotheses, presumptions, guesses and initial thoughts on cause and effect relationships that have been identified, discussed and argued about by economic thinkers over the past decades and centuries. Some of these concepts, guesses and so on are then developed into economic theories which are applied and tested in theoretical and empirical research and policy analysis in our attempts to find answers to such questions as: . Why do consumers purchase what they do? . Why do businesses produce what they do and locate in one place rather than another? . Why do countries trade with each other and should there be more or less international trade in the future? . Why do some countries grow faster than others? . Why are the more advanced OECD countries expected by many economists to grow much more slowly in the future? .
    [Show full text]
  • Tying Odysseus to the Mast: Evidence from a Commitment Savings Product in the Philippines*
    TYING ODYSSEUS TO THE MAST: EVIDENCE FROM A COMMITMENT SAVINGS PRODUCT IN THE PHILIPPINES* NAVA ASHRAF DEAN KARLAN WESLEY YIN We designed a commitment savings product for a Philippine bank and im- plemented it using a randomized control methodology. The savings product was intended for individuals who want to commit now to restrict access to their savings, and who were sophisticated enough to engage in such a mechanism. We conducted a baseline survey on 1777 existing or former clients of a bank. One month later, we offered the commitment product to a randomly chosen subset of 710 clients; 202 (28.4 percent) accepted the offer and opened the account. In the baseline survey, we asked hypothetical time discounting questions. Women who exhibited a lower discount rate for future relative to current trade-offs, and hence potentially have a preference for commitment, were indeed significantly more likely to open the commitment savings account. After twelve months, average savings balances increased by 81 percentage points for those clients assigned to the treatment group relative to those assigned to the control group. We conclude that the savings response represents a lasting change in savings, and not merely a short-term response to a new product. I. INTRODUCTION Although much has been written, little has been resolved concerning the representation of preferences for consumption over time. Beginning with Strotz [1955] and Phelps and Pollak [1968], models have been put forth that predict individuals will exhibit more impatience for near-term trade-offs than for future trade-offs. These models often incorporate hyperbolic or quasi- * We thank Chona Echavez for collaborating on the field work, the Green Bank of Caraga for cooperation throughout this experiment, John Owens and the USAID/Philippines Microenterprise Access to Banking Services Program team for helping to get the project started, Nathalie Gons, Tomoko Harigaya, Karen Lyons and Lauren Smith for excellent research and field assistance, and three anony- mous referees and the editors.
    [Show full text]
  • Evaluación Referencias Generales Referencias Adicionales
    Desarrollo Económico CIDE — División de Economía Fernanda Márquez-Padilla Salón: a determinar [email protected] Horario de clase: Martes y jueves, 9.00h Primavera 2017 Horario de atención en oficina: a determinar Evaluación La evaluación del curso se basará en la presentación de un artículo de investigación, la elaboración de un dictamen para un artículo de investigación (referee report), un examen parcial y un examen final. La nota final se calculará con base en los siguientes porcentajes: Presentación en clase 15% Fecha por determinar Dictamen de artículo 15% Entrega en clase el martes 23 de mayo Primer parcial 30% Jueves 16 de marzo Examen final 40% Martes 30 de mayo Referencias generales Debraj Ray. Development economics. Princeton University Press, 1998 (DE) Abhijit Vinayak Banerjee, Roland Benabou, and Dilip Mookherjee. Understanding poverty. Oxford University Press, 2006 (UP) Referencias adicionales Joshua D Angrist and Jörn-Steffen Pischke. Mostly harmless econometrics: An empiri- cist’s companion. Princeton university press, 2008 (MHE) Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson. Why nations fail: The origins of power, prosperity, and poverty. Crown Business, 2012 Abhijit Banerjee and Esther Duflo. Poor economics: A radical rethinking of the way to fight global poverty. PublicAffairs, 2012 Angus Deaton. The great escape: health, wealth, and the origins of inequality. Princeton University Press, 2013 1 1 Introducción DE Capítulo 2 UP Capítulo 1 Abhijit V. Banerjee and Esther Duflo. The economic lives of the poor. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(1):141–168, March 2007. doi: 10.1257/jep.21.1.141. URL http: //www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.21.1.141 2 Causas inmediatas del desarrollo económico 2.1 Capital físico DE—Capítulo 3 Infraestructura Taryn Dinkelman.
    [Show full text]
  • NAVA ASHRAF Email: [email protected]
    Updated November 28, 2018 NAVA ASHRAF Email: [email protected] http://www.lse.ac.uk/economics/people/facultyPages/NavaAshraf.aspx ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2016 – present Professor, Department of Economics, London School of Economics (LSE) 2010 – 2016 Associate Professor, Harvard Business School, Negotiation, Organizations and Markets Unit 2005 – 2010 Assistant Professor, Harvard Business School, Negotiation, Organizations and Markets Unit PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATIONS 2016 – present Research Director, Marshall Institute, London School of Economics (LSE) 2016 – present Fellow, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) 2016 – present Co-Director, Psychology and Economics Programme, STICERD (LSE) 2016 – present Editor, Economica 2016 – present Founding Associate, Economic Research on Identity, Norms and Narrative (ERINN) 2014 – present Lead Academic, International Growth Centre program on Zambia (IGC) 2014 – present Fellow, Bureau for Research and Economic Analysis of Development (BREAD) Previously: Affiliate (2006 - 2014) 2005 – present Affiliated Professor, M.I.T. Jameel Poverty Action Lab (J-PAL) 2008 – 2016 Faculty Research Fellow (LS), National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) EDUCATION 2005 Ph.D. Economics, Harvard University Dissertation: Essays at the Intersection of Development and Behavioral Economics 2003 M.A., Economics, Harvard University 1998 B.A., High Honors, Economics, International Relations, Stanford University PUBLISHED AND FORTHCOMING PAPERS Ashraf, Nava, Natalie Bau, Nathan Nunn and Alessandra Voena. “Bride Price and Female Education.” Forthcoming: Journal of Political Economy. Ashraf, Nava and Oriana Bandiera. 2018. “Social Incentives in Organizations.” Annual Review of Economics 10: 439-463. Ashraf, Nava, and Oriana Bandiera. 2017. “Altruistic Capital.” American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 107(5). 1 Updated November 28, 2018 Ashraf, Nava, Erica Field, Giudy Rusconi, Alessandra Voena, and Roberta Ziparo.
    [Show full text]
  • Learning in the Household∗
    Learning in the Household∗ John J. Conlony Malavika Mani Gautam Rao Matthew Ridley Frank Schilbach May 25, 2021 Abstract We study social learning between spouses using an experiment in Chennai, India. We vary whether individuals discover information themselves or must instead learn what their spouse discovered via a discussion. Women treat their ‘own’ and their husband’s information the same. In sharp contrast, men’s beliefs respond less than half as much to information that was discovered by their wife. This is not due to a lack of communication: husbands put less weight on their wife’s signals even when perfectly informed of them. In a second experiment, when paired with mixed- and same-gender strangers, both men and women heavily discount their teammate’s information relative to their own. We conclude that people have a tendency to underweight others’ information relative to their own. The marital context creates a countervailing force for women, resulting in a gender difference in learning (only) in the household. Keywords: information, gender, communication, social learning, experiment ∗We thank workshop audiences at ASSA, Berkeley, Harvard, MIT, Northeastern, UNC, Warwick, Zurich and the Workshop on Subjective Beliefs for helpful comments and feedback. We also thank Nava Ashraf, Ned Augenblick, Oriana Bandiera, Rafael Batista, Leonardo Bursztyn, Arun Chan- drasekhar, Katie Coffman, Stefano DellaVigna, Ben Golub, David Laibson, Shengwu Li, Ulrike Mal- mendier, Madeline McKelway, Michel Maréchal, Sendhil Mullainathan, Tommy O’Donnell, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Matthew Rabin, Chris Roth, Dmitry Taubinsky and David Yanagizawa-Drott for help- ful suggestions and comments. We thank Sangeetha Ramanathan and the entire team at the Behavioral Development Lab in Chennai for excellent research assistance.
    [Show full text]
  • Behavioral Economics and the Effects of Psychology on the Stock Market Justin L
    State University of New York College at Buffalo - Buffalo State College Digital Commons at Buffalo State Applied Economics Theses Economics and Finance 5-2017 Behavioral Economics and the Effects of Psychology on the Stock Market Justin L. Nagy [email protected] Advisor Dr. Theodore Byrley First Reader Dr. Theodore Byrley Second Reader Dr. Frederick Floss Third Reader Dr. Xingwang Qian Department Chair Dr. Frederick Floss To learn more about the Economics and Finance Department and its educational programs, research, and resources, go to http://economics.buffalostate.edu/. Recommended Citation Nagy, Justin L., "Behavioral Economics and the Effects of Psychology on the Stock Market" (2017). Applied Economics Theses. 24. https://digitalcommons.buffalostate.edu/economics_theses/24 Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.buffalostate.edu/economics_theses Part of the Behavioral Economics Commons Behavioral Economics and the Effects of Psychology on the Stock Market By Justin L. Nagy An Abstract of a Thesis In Applied Economics and Finance Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree, of Master of Arts 2017 Buffalo State College State University of New York Department of Economics and Finance i Abstract of Thesis Behavioral Economics and the Effects of Psychology on the Stock Market The purpose of this thesis is to study the contributions behavioral economics and finance have had on the understanding on how the stock market works. The idea that psychology plays a role in influencing the stock market can be dated back to Adam Smith who wrote about individual’s behavior in his work Theory of Moral Sentiments. It wasn’t until the latter half of the 20th century that behavioral economics became accepted as a counter to Eugene Fama’s widely accepted theory of Efficient Market Hypothesis.
    [Show full text]
  • Policy and Choice: Public Finance Through the Lens of Behavioral
    advance Praise For POLICY and CHOICE Mullai Congdon • Kling “Policy and Choice is a must-read for students of public finance. If you want to learn N William J. Congdon is a research director in Traditional public ἀnance provides a powerful how the emerging field of behavioral economics can help lead to better policy, there is atha the Brookings Institution’s Economic Studies framework for policy analysis, but it relies on a nothing better.” program, where he studies how best to apply model of human behavior that the new science , Harvard University, former chairman of the President’s Council of N. GreGory MaNkiw N behavioral economics to public policy. Economic Advisers, and author of Principles of Economics of behavioral economics increasingly calls into question. In Policy and Choice economists Jeἀrey R. Kling is the associate director for William Congdon, Jeffrey Kling, and Sendhil economic analysis at the Congressional Budget “This fantastic volume will become the standard reference for those interested in understanding the impact of behavioral economics on government tax and spending Mullainathan argue that public ἀnance not only Office, where he contributes to all aspects of the POLICY policies. The authors take a stream of research which had highlighted particular can incorporate many lessons of behavioral eco- agency’s analytic work. He is a former deputy ‘nudges’ and turn it into a comprehensive framework for thinking about policy in a nomics but also can serve as a solid foundation director of Economic Studies at Brookings. more realistic world where psychology is incorporated into economic decisionmaking. from which to apply insights from psychology Sendhil Mullainathan is a professor of This excellent book will be widely used and cited.” to questions of economic policy.
    [Show full text]
  • Adam Smith, Behavioral Economist
    Journal of Economic Perspectives—Volume 19, Number 3—Summer 2005—Pages 131–145 Adam Smith, Behavioral Economist Nava Ashraf, Colin F. Camerer and George Loewenstein n The Wealth of Nations, published in 1776, Adam Smith famously argued that economic behavior was motivated by self-interest. But 17 years earlier in 1759, I Smith had proposed a theory of human behavior that looks anything but self- interested. In his first book, The Theory of Moral Sentiments, Smith argued that behavior was determined by the struggle between what Smith termed the “passions” and the “impartial spectator.” The passions included drives such as hunger and sex, emotions such as fear and anger, and motivational feeling states such as pain. Smith viewed behavior as under the direct control of the passions, but believed that people could override passion-driven behavior by viewing their own behavior from the perspective of an outsider—the impartial spectator—a “moral hector who, looking over the shoulder of the economic man, scrutinizes every move he makes” (Grampp, 1948, p. 317).1 1 A long-standing dispute has raged over whether Adam Smith’s view of human motivation as expressed in The Theory of Moral Sentiments complements or contradicts the view of human motivation expressed in The Wealth of Nations. Although much has been written about “das Adam Smith problem” of reconciling these texts, most modern Smith scholarship asserts that there is no essential contradiction between the texts. As the editors of the Glasgow Edition of the Works and Correspondence of Adam Smith edition of The Theory of Moral Sentiments write (Raphael and Macfie, 1976, p.
    [Show full text]
  • Who Is “Behavioral”? Cognitive Ability and Anomalous Preferences
    Whois“Behavioral”? Cognitive Ability and Anomalous Preferences Daniel J. Benjamin∗ Sebastian A. Brown Harvard University Harvard University Jesse M. Shapiro University of Chicago and NBER April 2006 Abstract In this paper, we ask whether variation in preference anomalies is related to variation in cognitive ability. Evidence from a new laboratory study of Chilean high school students shows that small-stakes risk aversion and short-run discounting are less common among those with higher standardized test scores, although anomalies persist even among the highest-scoring individuals. The relationship with test scores does not appear to result from differences in parental education or wealth. A laboratory experiment shows that reducing cognitive resources using a “cognitive load” manipulation tends to exacerbate small-stakes risk aversion, with similar but statistically weaker effects on short-run impatience. Explicit reasoning about choice seems to reduce the prevalence of these anomalies, especially among the less skilled. Survey evidence suggests that the role of cognitive ability may extend to adult behaviors that are related to small-stakes risk preference and short-run time preference. JEL classification: J24, D14, C91 Keywords: cognitive ability, risk aversion, time preference, bounded rationality ∗A previous version of this paper circulated under the title “Does Cognitive Ability Reduce Psychological Bias?” We are grateful to Nick Barberis, Gary Becker, Colin Camerer, Andrew Caplin, Chris Chabris, Keith Chen, Judy Chevalier, Steve Cicala, Stefano Della Vigna, Erik Eyster, Ray Fair, Shane Frederick, Ezra Friedman, Sean Gailmard, DanGilbert,EdGlaeser,JoshGottlieb,DeanKarlan,LisaKahn,EmirKamenica,ShacharKariv,LarryKatz,Miles Kimball, Botond Köszegi, David Laibson, Dan Levin, Steve Levitt, John List, Barry Nalebuff, Emily Oster, Sharon Oster, Matthew Rabin, Al Roth, Andrei Shleifer, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Tobacman, Georg Weizsäcker, Leeat Yariv, Richard Zeckhauser and seminar participants at Harvard University, U.C.
    [Show full text]
  • Peter H. Huang Harold E. Kohn Chair Professor of Law James Beasley
    Emotional Impact Analysis EMOTIONAL IMPACT ANALYSIS IN FINANCIAL REGULATION: GOING BEYOND COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS* Peter H. Huang** Harold E. Kohn Chair Professor of Law James Beasley Law School Temple University 1719 North Broad Street Philadelphia, PA 19122 E-mail: [email protected] Phone: (215) 204-9836 Fax: (215) 204-1185 Abstract: This Article advocates that financial regulators analyze, measure, and take into account the emotional impacts of their policie s and procedures. Examples of emotional impacts are investor confidence, process concerns, and overall market or social mood. Investor confidence or trust in securities markets, process concerns about how much securities regulators actually deliberate over proposed rules, and financial anxiety or investment stress affect and are affected by financial economic variables, such as consumer debt, consumer expenditures, consumer wealth, corporate investment, initial public offerings, and securities market demand, liquidity, prices, supply, and volume. Cost-benefit analysis does not quantitatively consider interdependencies between regulations’ emotional impacts and their financial outcomes. Emotional impact analysis does. This Article addresses general conceptual and measurement issues about emotional impact analysis. Because financial regulations affect investors’ confidence, process concerns, and social moods , this Article analyzes how financial regulators can quantitatively analyze emotional impacts of their regulations. * Thanks to Chris Anderson, Bob Clark, Susan Franck, Joe
    [Show full text]
  • Can Higher Prices Stimulate Product Use? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Zambia
    American Economic Review 100 (December 2010): 2383–2413 http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi 10.1257/aer.100.5.2383 = Can Higher Prices Stimulate Product Use? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Zambia By Nava Ashraf, James Berry, and Jesse M. Shapiro* The controversy over how much to charge for health products in the developing world rests, in part, on whether higher prices can increase use, either by target- ing distribution to high-use households a screening effect , or by stimulating use psychologically through a sunk-cost (effect. We develop) a methodology for separating these two effects. We implement the methodology in a field experiment in Zambia using door-to-door marketing of a home water purification solution. We find evidence of economically important screening effects. By contrast, we find no consistent evidence of sunk-cost effects. JEL C93, D12, I11, M31, O12 ( ) Nonprofit approaches to the distribution of health products in developing countries are often grouped into “social marketing” and “public health” categories, with the former emphasizing retail sales and the latter emphasizing free distribution through health clinics. Advocates of the public health approach often object to the use of prices to mediate distribution. Critics of pricing argue that “charging people for basic health care... is unfair,”1 and that fees ensure that goods [ ] only reach “the richest of the poor.”2 Advocates of pricing counter that “when products are given away free, the recipient often does not value them or even use them.”.3 The latter argument is commonly interpreted to mean that higher prices cause greater prod- uct use through a sunk-cost effect Richard Thaler 1980; Erik Eyster 2002 .
    [Show full text]