Volume 1 CENTER FOR STUDIES IN DEMOGRAPHY & ECOLOGY June 10, 2005 CSDE 2005

Wolfram Latsch gets the “Last Word” from seniors and a new role at CSDE

New Core Directors This spring Wolfram Latsch was omy, and economic history. are here to help chosen by UW's Class of 2005 as CSDE is happy to announce the you! their favorite lecturer during their appointment of Dr. Wolfram CSDE is proud to announce time at the University. The prize: Latsch as the new CSDE Train- the promotion of four staff Latsch then gave the “Last Word” members to the position of ing Director. Dr. Latsch will take core director: lecture at the alumni Association. over from current director, Mark You can read his address at: • Biodemography Core Ellis, who has been awarded a http://jsis.artsci.washington.edu/ - Eleanor Brindle Guggenheim Fellowship and will LastWord.pdf Latsch, an econo- take a leave of absence for the • Computing Core mist, has been at UW since 2003 – Matthew Weatherford next year. In 2004, Latsch was in the Jackson School of Interna- awarded the International Net- In addition to his duties as train- • Information Core tional Studies. Many of our stu- ing director, Latsch will take on – Lisa Jenschke Stephens work for Economic Methods prize dents already know him as the for the most original contribution the responsibility of CSDE semi- • Statistical Core instructor of the popular CSDE nar coordinator for the 2005- – Cori Mar by a young scholar in the field of 595 special topics course economic methodology for his 2006 academic year. The seminar We look forward to working “Sustainability: People, Institu- series will be organized around with you all! work “Androids and Agents: Do tions, Knowledge and the Envi- we need a Non-Computational the broad theme of Population, ronment,” a course that closely Development, Environment. Economics?” Journal of Economic reflects his interest in develop- Inside this issue: Methodology 10:3, September ment economics, political econ- 2003.

Mark S. Handcock testifies 2 in Gubernatorial Election Contest Dr. Sara Curran accepts position at UW Faculty Accomplishments: 2 The Numbers Dr. Sara Curran has accepted a gender. She is writing a book, joint faculty appointment be- Shifting Boundaries, Transforming CSDE Computing keeps 3 tween the Evans School of Public Lives: Globalization, Gender and getting better Affairs, and the Jackson School of Family Dynamics in Thailand, International Studies, beginning which analyzes how migration New Summer Course: 3 in Fall 2005. Dr. Curran received and education transformed Thai Hierarchical Linear Models her Ph.D. from the University of society between 1984-2000. With

New CSDE Fellows & 3 North Carolina in 1994 and is a grant from the Mellon Founda- Postdocs currently Assistant Professor of tion, she is collaborating with Teaching Sociology, Journal of Inter- Sociology at Princeton University. colleagues from ICRW and IPSR national Women's Studies, and Beginning of the year 4 to research adolescent migration Journal of Marriage and the Family. orientation for grad Curran’s research focuses on in Thailand. She has authored students internal migration in developing Please join us in welcoming Dr. work that has appeared in Demog- Perseverance pays off 4 countries, family demography, Curran to the University, and to raphy, Population and Development environment and population, and CSDE. Review, Social Science Research, CSDE 2005 Page 2

In the news: Mark S. Handcock testifies in State Gubernatorial Election Contest

Professor Mark S. Handcock invalid voters statewide. In addi- opinion and found the Republi- (Statistics) was called to testify tion, Handcock noted that can team's expert testimony inad- regarding the validity of the "proportional reduction" is not a missible and no grounds for over- method of proportional deduc- method "generally accepted in the turning the election. State tion proposed by the Republicans scholarly literature." Handcock to remove the votes of invalid testified that the statistical chance The reports of the Democrats’ voters from the election vote to- that Rossi would have won under statistical experts Professors Chris tals. Of the 2.8 million votes cast, proportional deduction under a Adolph and Mark S. Handcock fewer than 3000 were claimed to range of scenarios was less than can be found at: http:// be invalid*. Republican candidate one in 10,000. Reading from his www.secstate.wa.gov/ for governor, Dino Rossi, chal- decision, Judge John Bridges con- documentvault/499.pdf and “Handcock testified lenged election results after losing cluded, "With respect to propor- http://www.secstate.wa.gov/ the final hand recount by 129 tional deduction, the court con- documentvault/509.pdf. Com- that the statistical votes to Christine Gregoire. After cludes that an election such as this plete information about the trial months of depositions, the trial, should not be overturned because can be found at http:// chance that Rossi which Republicans hoped would one judge picks a number and www.secstate.wa.gov/elections/ result in the election being over- applies a proportional deduction recount.aspx#ec. would have won under turned, began Monday, May 23, analysis. To do so within the *These were votes cast in the name of 2005. Handcock gave testimony context of the facts of this case proportional deduction deceased voters, those who voted twice, that neither the list of invalid would constitute the ultimate act and felons who voted illegally. under a range of voters proposed by the Republi- of judicial egotism and judicial cans, nor that proposed by the activism that neither the voters, scenarios was less Democrats, nor the combination Mr. Rossi or Ms. Gregoire should of the two would comprise a statis- condone." The decision, issued than one in 10,000.” tically representative sample of the June 6th, followed Handcock's

Faculty Accomplishments: The Numbers

Four of our junior affiliates were bly prolific and successful this $9.4 million in direct costs). In memoriam: promoted to Associate Professor year. For our 2004-2005 Center CSDE is administering six of George Immerwahr, 95 with tenure this year: Mick Cun- progress report, we were able to these new grants for a total of Despite his advancing years, ningham (Sociology, WWU), submit a list of 222 publications $487,538 in direct costs, and is George Immerwahr, a local Darryl Holman (Anthropology), and 95 working papers as evi- the lead unit in 15 of the pending demographer, could often be seen at the CSDE Kathleen O’Connor dence of our affiliates’ productiv- grants worth $6,546,760 (direct seminar keeping abreast of (Anthropology), and Katherine ity. Perhaps even more impressive costs). Our off-campus affiliates at the latest research. George also continued to publish Stovel (Sociology). In addition is the list of new and proposed Battelle, and participate in public Lewayne Gilchrist (Social Work) research our affiliates are under- University and the University of discourse on demographic issues right up to this year. has been given an Endowed Pro- taking. Our on-campus affiliates Victoria hold another 14 new This past March, at the age fessorship in Social Work Practice have been awarded 10 new grants grants, of which 8 are from NIH, of 95, George passed away. He will be much missed by and Women’s Health. Congratu- this year (over $4.7 million in and have five pending grants for the CSDE community for his lations to all of you! direct costs), and another twenty- an additional $4,417,913 (direct passion and public service. three grants are pending (over costs). CSDE faculty have been incredi- Volume 1 Page 3

CSDE Computing keeps getting better

CSDE Computing received an James Kitts of Sociology stepped Mosix cluster and provided re- influx of new resources this year in and secured for us double the placement nodes for many of the from various sources. Our grants amount of hardware for the same aging systems. This new hardware, from the Student Technology Fee grant dollars. In addition, he and as well as the upgrade to the new- (STF) allow us to upgrade and his students have agreed to help est Debian Linux distribution, will extend our software offerings, as us get a deep discount on the revitalize this resource critical to well as replace several lab systems software we will need in order to our compute-intensive research CSDE Computing Core and one of our Windows File run it. Thank you to all the folks affiliates. Thanks, Professor Mor- Servers. CSDE also received who put in efforts and testimoni- ris! funds from the Arts and Sciences als, and to Professor Kitts and his Please note: The Computing Server Initiative allowing us to students for further sweetening Core will be working all weekend replace the other Windows File the deal! June 11-12 to update and improve Server. After the transition to the The CSDE Mosix cluster was our computing resources. Please “...James Kitts of new file servers, we will have tri- started several years ago with seed make a note that all CSDE com- pled our disk capacity on CSDE- money from a grant run by Mar- puting (both Unix and Windows) Sociology stepped in FS1 and CSDE-FS2. Thank you tina Morris. The original hard- will be down for the weekend. STF and Arts & Sciences! STF has ware has been really showing its Please log out and shut down your also provided money for a Win- age, and we have lost 3 nodes in computers for the weekend. and secured for us dows Simulation Cluster. This was the last year and a half. Martina Thanks! already very exciting to us when has again come to the aid of the double the

New Summer Course: Hierarchical Linear Models amount of hardware for the New Statistics Core Director Cori often employed in demographic amples of multi-level model analy- Mar and Statistical Programmer research, since study populations sis using several software packages same grant dollars.” Anita Rocha will offer a two-day, are commonly organized into like R, HLM, and SAS. If you are non-credit course on Hierarchical hierarchies, like children within interested but cannot attend these Linear Models. The course is families and houses within dates, please contact Dr. Mar tentatively scheduled for July 19- neighborhoods. This 2-day course ([email protected]). 20. Hierarchical linear models will include theoretical presenta- (a.k.a. Multi-level models) are tions and practical, hands-on ex- And the winner is… CSDE Fellows & Postdocs Spring Quarter Challenge winner Martina Morris will Faced with a highly competitive We wish you all a productive and search Center) on mathematical donate her prize to the CSDE small grant fund for group of candidates, CSDE is enjoyable fellowship! modeling. students. proud to announce the selection New & Current CSDE Postdocs: Ylva Hernland (Anthropology) The year-end Department of six new fellows: works with Bettina Shell-Duncan Winner is Anthropology. The Laith J. Abu-Raddad and Susan department will receive a Courtney Schultz (Anthropology) on FGC in Senegal and The Gam- L. Cassels are both part of an funded RA for one quarter Giedrus Balzys (Economics) bia. during 2005-2006. Ann McCall-Taylor (Geography) interdisciplinary appointment to Mary Shenk (PhD in Anthropol- Siobhan Cully (Anthropology) build a scientific program be- ogy from UW) studies evolution- Suzanne Eichenlaub (Sociology) tween CSDE, CFAR (Harborview ary models of marriage and Jennifer Hook (Sociology) Medical Center) and SCHARP (Fred Hutchinson Cancer Re- parenting .

Beginning of the year orientation for grad students

Would you like your graduate students to learn more about: — Library resources, literature searches, and Endnote? — Statistics programming in R & SAS? — How to locate and work with datasets? — Grants for dissertation and field research? — Biomarker assays and biological specimen collection? — Computing resources for research and presentations? CENTER FOR STUDIES IN DEMOGRAPHY & ECOLOGY — Demography resources and opportunities? The Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology would like to offer a short intro- 206 Raitt Hall University of Washington duction to our services for graduate students in your department. We can coordinate , WA, U.S.A. 98195-3412 with your orientation schedule in the Fall Quarter to visit your department and speak briefly about the many services we provide. For more information, contact Lisa Phone: (206) 616-7743 Fax: (206) 616-8135 Jenschke Stephens by telephone (543-9525) or email ([email protected]). Email: [email protected] Online: http://csde.washington.edu/

Perseverance pays off

Congratulations to our students on all PhDs: Arif Mamun has accepted a job as Dissertation Fellowship), David Nolin of their hard-won achievements! Mary Shenk (Anthropology) Researcher at Mathematica Policy (NSF), Karma Norman (NOAA), Ismael Vaccaro Ribo (Anthropology) Research, Inc. in Washington, D.C. Brooke Scelza (NSF & Fulbright), MAs: Deborah Schechter (Wellesley Centers Laura Brandt (Economics) Completed Fieldwork: Award/Grants: for Women), Shedra Amy Snipes Courtney Carothers (Anthropology) Geoff Kushnick (1-year dissertation Jerusha Achterberg (CSSS Travel (NSF), Katya Stepanova (PAA – Nikolas Pharris-Ciurej (Sociology) fieldwork in Sumatra) Grant), Meherun Ahmed (Storer Judged Superior poster), Ismael Vac- Dawn Neill (dissertation field work in Award), Emily Brunson (NSF), Court- caro (Postdoc - Universidad Nacional Minor Area Exam: Fiji ) ney Carothers (NSF & Wenner Autonoma de Mexico), Laura Zanotti Amy Bailey (Sociology) Gren), Masako Fujita (Global Part- (NSF) Jobs: ners, Chester Fritz Fellowship, & General Exams: Jamie Goodwin-White accepted a Research Council Canada), Jamie Meherun Ahmed (Economics) position as an Academic Research Goodwin-White (Best Student Paper – Courtney Carothers (Anthropology) Fellow in Migration in the School of AAG & IPGC), Arif Mamun (Ensley Thank you all for letting us know Brooke Scelza (Anthropology) Social Sciences at the University of Dissertation Fellowship, Storer what you have been doing! Katya Stepanova (Economics) Southampton. Award), Dawn Neill (Graduate School

Charlie Hirschman will pass PAA presidential torch on to Alberto Palloni in 2006

What is it like to be PAA President? "It has been a lot of fun, and I have enjoyed almost every aspect of the position. Presenting my presidential address to a huge audience, including my colleagues, friends, and family, was my most memorable experience, but I also enjoyed the planning for the meetings and working with colleagues from all around the country and the world. But once in lifetime was enough, and I am looking forward to being a past president." Charlie Hirschman, Sociology