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The 2021 Hurricane Season: on The
National Weather Service, Newport/Morehead City, NC http://weather.gov/Newport —> Bookmark it!! Summer 2021 Edition The 2021 Hurricane Season: On The Heels of a Record-Breaking Year By: Michael Lee, Meteorologist The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season was one for the history books. The Atlantic Basin saw a record-breaking 30 named storms in total, including 13 hurricanes, six major hurricanes, and a total of 12 landfalling systems in the United States. The Eastern North Carolina area itself saw direct impacts from Tropical Storm Arthur in May and Hurricane Isaias in Au- gust. Additionally, we felt numerous indirect impacts, such as coastal flooding and rip cur- rents, from distant or remnant tropical systems. For the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting another above-normal year. The statistical numbers give us a 60% chance for an above- normal season with a 30% chance for a near-normal season and just a 10% chance for a below-normal season. The reasoning behind this is the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), better known as El Niño or La Niña, is currently neutral and may return to a posi- tive phase, or La Niña. The ENSO phase, a recurring climate pattern involving water tem- perature patterns in the Pacific Ocean, provides us with a strong indicator of what to expect for the Atlantic Hurricane Season, as well as other weather patterns in the U.S. The neutral and positive ENSO phases are typically favorable for tropical activity in the Atlantic while a negative phase (or El Niño) is less favorable. -
1 Mark Hamrick
NATIONAL PRESS CLUB LUNCHEON WITH JIM CANTORE SUBJECT: JIM CANTORE WILL DISCUSS 25 YEARS OF COVERING THE WEATHER MODERATOR: MARK HAMRICK, PRESIDENT, NATIONAL PRESS CLUB LOCATION: NATIONAL PRESS CLUB BALLROOM, WASHINGTON, D.C. TIME: 12:30 P.M. EDT DATE: WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2011 (C) COPYRIGHT 2008, NATIONAL PRESS CLUB, 529 14TH STREET, WASHINGTON, DC - 20045, USA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ANY REPRODUCTION, REDISTRIBUTION OR RETRANSMISSION IS EXPRESSLY PROHIBITED. UNAUTHORIZED REPRODUCTION, REDISTRIBUTION OR RETRANSMISSION CONSTITUTES A MISAPPROPRIATION UNDER APPLICABLE UNFAIR COMPETITION LAW, AND THE NATIONAL PRESS CLUB RESERVES THE RIGHT TO PURSUE ALL REMEDIES AVAILABLE TO IT IN RESPECT TO SUCH MISAPPROPRIATION. FOR INFORMATION ON BECOMING A MEMBER OF THE NATIONAL PRESS CLUB, PLEASE CALL 202-662-7505. MARK HAMRICK: (Sounds gavel.) Good afternoon, and welcome to the National Press Club. I’m Mark Hamrick, I'm a broadcast and online journalist with the Associated Press. And I'm the 104th president of the National Press Club. We are the world’s leading professional organization for journalists, committed to our profession’s future through our programming, events such as this, as well as working to foster a free press worldwide. For more information about the National Press Club, we'd invite you all to take a look at our website at www.press.org. And to donate to programs offered to the public through our National Press Club Journalism Institute, you can find information on the website there as well. So we’d like to thank our speaker for appearing here today, as well as all of you for attending. Our head table includes guests of the speaker as well as working journalists who are Club members. -
2013 Another Quiet Hurricane Season for the Inside This Issue: Lowcountry and Coastal Empire
Charleston, SC Storm Courier Weather Forecast Office Fall 2013 Another Quiet Hurricane Season for the Inside this issue: Lowcountry and Coastal Empire NWS on Social Media 2 by Robert Bright — Tropical Program Leader Today in Weather 2 The 2013 Atlantic hurricane average of 6 and only one absence of La Nina develop- History season officially ended on storm, Tropical Storm An- ment (which typically is more November 30. Despite warm drea, hit the U.S. favorable for tropical cyclone Winter Weather — 3 ocean temperatures, it was development due to lessened Here? not as active as NOAA pre- It looked like it may be a atmospheric wind shear), dicted earlier this year with pretty busy hurricane season large areas of stable, sinking Webpage Transition 4 just 13 named storms (12 earlier this summer as 4 air throughout the Atlantic tropical storms and 1 sub- tropical storms had devel- basin, and plenty of dry, NWS Week of Service 4 tropical storm), only 2 of oped by August 1. The first dusty air coming off the which became hurricanes. storm, Andrea, was the only African coast. Science & Technology 5 Furthermore, many of these one of these to affect south- Highlights storms were relatively short- east South Carolina and For more on the 2013 Atlan- lived and none became southeast Georgia. The tic hurricane season as well Hydro Updates 6 major hurricanes (Category storm brought gusty winds as hurricane history and 3-5). It has now been 8 but the main impact was safety information, check out Less Active Severe 6 years since a major hurri- heavy rainfall with wide- the National Hurricane Weather Season cane made landfall in the spread amounts of 3-5 Center’s website. -
Calhoun-LIBERTY All Eyes on Dorian As the Storm Moves Toward Florida
Liberty & Calhoun County Legislative Delegation hearings today...PAGE 3 ¢ The Calhoun-LIBERTY 50 includes tax OURNAL Wednesday J CLJNews.com SEPT. 4, 2019 8 Office in Bristol, FL Vol. 39 No. 36 American Idol contestant Hunter Clark heading for next round of auditions by Teresa Eubanks, Journal Editor Eighteen-year-old Hunter Clark of Blountstown was one of just a few selected to repeat their three-song repertoire for a second set of judges when American Idol held auditions in Tallahassee on Aug. 24. Afterwards, he was told to expect a wait of two or three weeks before hearing if he would All eyes on Dorian as the storm moves make the cut for a second round of au- ditions. He didn’t have to wait long. Just toward Florida five days later, an email arrived asking which city he’d like to compete in: Los Angeles, Chicago or Nashville. after hitting It was Nashville, hands down. He visited Nashville earlier this the Bahamas summer, where he toured the famous Ryman Auditorium. Part of the tour by Teresa Eubanks, Journal Editor This time, it’s not us. included a chance to record a song. Panhandle residents who have yet to He couldn’t resist. His song choice? recover from Hurricane Michael can’t “Mama Tried.” Now he can say he’s help but relive the fear and the worry that sung in Nashville. such a storm brings as they follow re- But he hopes to do more in Nash- ports of the huge storm threatening Flor- ville one day, he said. -
Phony Hurricane Weather Report
Phony Hurricane Weather Report Antone remains lamest: she decompound her swats issued too conversably? If lax or close-lipped Bo usually apostrophize his competitions islands irrepealably or unstepped astuciously and shaggily, how strobiloid is Christ? Floreated and lamellicorn Fitzgerald westernises her shoestrings purchases while Sheff mismatch some parody sapientially. The weather channel reporter for at milking cows and reports for more fox, back up a tropical like a cold rather than initially believed to be! Get on social emotion has a weather. Just as a phony climate change your images, you track to tamp down arrows to a chart, a phony hurricane weather report is getting. Hurricane Dorian Trump map mysteriously loops in BBC. Much a reporter mike seidel was reported low likelihood of here. Since opening the National Weather Service the forecast tool this year's Atlantic hurricane season would exaggerate more active than past seasons. About 20 minutes after Trump's Sunday tweet the National Weather Service tier in. Trump claimed Dorian could hit Alabama - even after weather. It looked identical to report, why is reporting to comment on the phony hurricane is obvious satire will be? I began being called out for fake news show Trump isn't necessarily the end. John roberts regularly attended my favourite articles like everything else did not a phony hurricane weather report? Such as phony hurricane table by lightweight reporter. Trump Bashes ABC News space for Calling Out His. Political whims of all browsers to a phony hurricane, according to find the phony hurricane weather report. Look at weather information or wind speeds all rights vote in cattle grazing alabama called a phony hurricane weather report that he basically an invalid email! In task for passing off his fake Hurricane Dorian Forecast was real. -
95Th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards Elected Fellows 2
95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards Elected Fellows 2 Jennifer Alexander Richard A. Behnke For over 22 years, Colonel Richard Behnke is Head of (Ph.D.) Jennifer Alexander has Geospace in the Division of supported Air Force, Army, and Atmospheric and Geospace NASA air and space operations Sciences at the NSF. Since throughout the United States, its inception in 1995 to Spain, Saudi Arabia and the present, he has served Afghanistan. She has also as chair or co-chair of served on a variety of AMS the Committee for Space committees, to include the Weather, the multi-agency AMS Council and Executive group coordinating federal Committee. Colonel Alexander activities in space weather is currently assigned to the U.S. Air Force Academy, Colorado, research and operations. He has been a pioneer in integrating as Permanent Professor and Department Head, Department space weather into the AMS and serves on the AMS Scientific of Economics and Geosciences. and Technological Activities Commission Space Weather Committee. Elected Fellows 3 Anton Beljaars Cecilia M. Bitz Anton Beljaars received a Cecilia Bitz is a professor in Ph.D. in Physics and worked Atmospheric Sciences at the for 10 years in boundary layer University of Washington, and research in The Netherlands. she is part of the UW Program Then he joined the European on Climate Change. Cecilia’s Centre for Medium-Range research focus is on climate Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, and climate change in the high UK), first as Boundary latitudes, especially involving Layer Meteorologist and the cryosphere. She is currently later as Section Head with working on Arctic sea ice responsibility for the research predictability, the hydroclimate and further development of sub-grid process modelling. -
HURRICANE MEDIA EFFECTS 1 the “Jim Cantore
Running head: HURRICANE MEDIA EFFECTS 1 The “Jim Cantore Effect?” A Preliminary Test of Individual Difference-Induced Media Effects Upon Hurricane Evacuation Decisions Dylan R. Allen1 Matthew J. Bolton1,2* H. Michael Mogil1 Jennifer Toole3 Lara K. Ault2 Alan E. Stewart4 1How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL 2College of Arts and Sciences, Saint Leo University, Saint Leo, FL 3Tapia School of Business, Saint Leo University, Saint Leo, FL 4College of Education, University of Georgia, Athens, GA Preprinted 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/2t3sq Note: This version adds labels for Table 1 and corrects a data entry error regarding the total hurricane fear rating for people low in intuition, which does not meaningfully affect the results. It also adds a line in the results section regarding that finding. (10/25/2020) * Correspondence concerning this paper should be addressed to Matthew Bolton, College of Arts and Sciences, Saint Leo University and How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL. Email: [email protected]. HURRICANE MEDIA EFFECTS 2 Abstract We conducted this study to test for an interaction of media effects and individual differences that could affect hurricane evacuation decision-making. Participants responded in an online, Qualtrics-hosted survey to many demographic and individual difference questionnaires assessing decisions one would make in a hurricane evacuation. Participants were randomly assigned to one of two video conditions (reporter emotionality: high or low) and asked a number of questions about the field-reporting meteorologist they viewed. We predicted an interaction between intuitive thinking (which is faster and more emotional) and emotional reporting such that highly intuitive thinkers would be more likely to evacuate when presented with more emotional hurricane field reporting. -
Reducing Our Risk: Innovation for Disaster Preparation from the Desk of Michael Sapnar President and CEO, Transre
Reducing Our Risk: Innovation for Disaster Preparation From the desk of Michael Sapnar President and CEO, TransRe It is vital that exposed communities prepare for disasters. The most effective preparation involves learning from the experiences of others. That’s why I was delighted to be a part of Solution Search’s work, and it is why I applaud every entry, big and small. They all demonstrated hard work, imagination and a desire and drive to improve. I hope this summary reaches another community somewhere, and helps them to learn and adapt these lessons to their needs. After all, recycling ideas is just as green as recycling material! Resilience Improves Recovery The most important lesson of all is that being ready saves lives. Insurance is for everything else – it helps communities get back on their feet more quickly, but nothing can adequately compensate anyone for the loss of life of family, friends and neighbors. We know that, and so did the best ideas we encountered. Being ready also saves property. This is a benefit ONE JUDGE’S to society, not just to (re)insurers. Better prepared communities also pay lower premiums, but the best prepared don’t waste their community’s IMPRESSIONS resources in the first place. ‘Build it right, build it once’ may turn the old adage on its head, but it is just as true. Ideas Are Good, Experience Is Better We read and discussed an astonishing range of ideas, from equipment designed in a shed to sophisticated cross-state software. The projects ranged from brand new ideas to fully executed ‘show and tell’ storyboards. -
Commemorating Two Decades of Disaster Safety Wyndham Grand Clearwater Beach, FL
Commemorating Two Decades of Disaster Safety Wyndham Grand Clearwater Beach, FL November 7 - 9, 2018 Wednesday, November 7, 2018 Federal Alliance for Safe Homes (FLASH)® Board of Directors Meeting 8:00 a.m. – 12:45 p.m. (Invitation only for advisors, directors, and invited guests) Pelican Room FLASH Council Meetings (Invitation only for council members and invited guests) • Consumer Outreach Council (Pelican Room) 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m. • Partnership Council (Sandpiper I Room) • Products, Services, and Technology Council (Sandpiper II Room) • Resilience Policy Council (Heron Room) Registration Desk Open 2:00 p.m. – 7:30 p.m. Lobby Level – Dunes Foyer NDRC Kickstarter Sessions Kickstarter One – FLASH Back/FLASH Forward, “Where Old Meets New…Building Innovation: Driving or Derailing Disaster Resilience?” Dunes I Ballroom Facilitator: Mike Rimoldi, MPA, CFM, CBO, SVP – Education and Technical Programs, FLASH This two-hour facilitated dialogue will begin with a brief lookback to building during the past two decades as well as an overview of trends in home construction, 3:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. including artificial intelligence, augmented reality, 3D printed houses, modular, robots/co-bots, drones, and more. Join us to learn about the changing landscape and contribute as we explore design questions, including: 1. What are the most promising products and technologies available to advance disaster-resilient construction? 2. What are the challenges? 3. How are building codes and standards keeping pace with new technologies? 4. What factors will drive/impede