James C. Rovella, Commissioner Department of Emergency Services and Public Protection Regina Y. Rush-Kittle, Deputy Commissioner Governor Division of Emergency Management and Homeland Security William J. Hackett, Director HURRICANE ISAIAS UPDATE FROM DESPP/DEMHS AT NOON JULY 31ST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST

ISAIAS REMAINS A HURRICANE AS THE STORM MOVES INTO PRIMARY HAZARDS CURRENT NHC FORECAST …LIKELY TO THREATEN THE CAROLINA’S AND TS Strong TS Hurricane Cat 3 Hurricane EARLY NEXT WEEK… Sustained Winds:20 ‐ 30 MPH NAVGEM ‐ Tues EURO ‐ Wed 2:00 PM T.S. Gusts to: 30 ‐ 40 MPH 2:00 PM Cat I GFS ‐ Tues 3:00 AM Cat I 2:00 AM At 11:00 AM Hurricane Isaias was located near 21.7 N 74.5 W or T.S. Fay approximately 295 miles southeast of Nassau in the Bahamas. Isaias Waves and Rip Currents Minor Moderate Major NHC Official 5‐Day ForecastT.S. Wind has maximum sustained winds of 75 MPH and is moving to the New London: 2 – 4 Ft 2:00 PM Tuesday AfternoonArrival Times northwest at 16 MPH. 8:00 PM The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is forecasting that Isaias will Location High Tide Sat Level (NGVD) Minor Mod Major move thru the Bahamas today and Saturday and brush the east coast New London: 2:32 AM 2.6 Feet Canadian ‐ Mon of Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon as a category I Bridgeport: 4:20 AM 5.0 Feet hurricane. Isaias is then forecast to turn to the north northeast and 8:00 PM T.D. brush the outer banks of early Tuesday morning. The Stamford: 4:21 AM 5.4 Feet official forecast weakens Isaias back down to a strong tropical storm as Isaias moves just southeast of (20 miles off the southeast HAZARDS TIMING FOR WIND GUSTS AND MAXIMUM RAINFALL RATESMAJOR MODEL FORECASTS… coast) around midnight Tuesday evening. Rainfall Model Closest Approach Intensity 1.50”/hr DARKNESS DAYLIGHT NHC DAR 7:00 PM TuesKNESS T.S. On the official forecast track our state can expect the potential for 1.00”/hr Canadian 8:00 PM on Mon T.D. tropical storm conditions (wind gusts in a 40 - 60 MPH range especially 0.50”/hr EURO S.E. CT Wed 2 PM T.S. in southeastern CT) to enter the state Tuesday around 6:00 PM in the NAVGEM 2:00 PM on Tues Cat I evening. This timing will likely continue to change as we get closer to 0.00”/hr the time of impact so keep tuned to media and NWS information Wind Gusts GFS Eastern CT Tues 3:00 AMCurrent Cat I 60 mph sources. The storm will also likely be accompanied by heavy rain (4” – Hurricane Isaias 6”) and moderate coastal flooding which may inundate many low lying 50 mph coastal roads and some structures. 8:00 AM Friday Time 40 mph Sustained Winds 80 MPH The Department of Emergency Services and Public Protection Division 30 mph of Emergency Management and Homeland Security will continue to Today 12 am 3am 6 am 9am Noon 3pm 6pm 9pm Midnight 3am 6 am 9 am | This Morning | This Afternoon | This Evening | Saturday Morning closely monitor the progress of Isaias. Another update will be sent out at Saturday at Noon. Closest Approach In: 117 Hours T.S. Winds In: 111 Hours State EOC: Activated