LOWESTOFT SOUTH ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILE 2021 This Division comprises parts of Carlton & Whitton, & and Wards

www.suffolkobservatory.info 2 © Crown copyright and database rights 2021 Ordnance Survey 100023395

CONTENTS

▪ Demographic Profile: Age & Ethnicity ▪ Economy and Labour Market ▪ Schools & NEET ▪ Index of Multiple Deprivation ▪ Health ▪ Crime & Community Safety ▪ Additional Information ▪ Data Sources

3 ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILES: AN INTRODUCTION

These profiles have been produced to support elected members, constituents and other interested parties in understanding the demographic, economic, social and educational profile of their neighbourhoods. We have used the latest data available at the time of publication.

Much more data is available from national and local sources than is captured here, but it is hoped that the profile will be a useful starting point for discussion, where local knowledge and experience can be used to flesh out and illuminate the information presented here.

The profile can be used to help look at some fundamental questions e.g. • Does the age profile of the population match or differ from the national profile? • Is there evidence of the ageing profile of the county in all the wards in the Division or just some? • How diverse is the community in terms of ethnicity? • What is the impact of deprivation on families and residents? • Does there seem to be a link between deprivation and school performance? • What is the breakdown of employment sectors in the area? • Is it a relatively healthy area compared to the rest of the district or county? • What sort of crime is prevalent in the community?

A vast amount of additional data is available on the Observatory

www.suffolkobservatory.info

The Suffolk Observatory is a free online resource that contains all Suffolk’s vital statistics; it is the one-stop-shop for information and intelligence about Suffolk. Through data, reports and maps, the Suffolk Observatory provides a comprehensive picture of the County. It is a great source for useful facts and figures that can be used for writing reports and presentations, informing strategic and business planning, preparing funding applications or supporting academic research. Data is presented around the key themes of population, children and young people, health and social care, housing, crime and community safety, deprivation, economy and employment and environment. All areas of the county are covered, right down to district, electoral division, ward and parish level, with information easily accessible in a variety of formats. You can also build your own reports for custom areas.

Technical Notes: 1. Where electoral divisions do not exactly match the boundaries at which the data is available (e.g. ward, Output Area or Lower Super Output Area), we have adopted a “best-fit” approach to produce a dataset. 2. District, county and national level data is provided where possible to provide a context for comparisons. Where possible we have used the most recent district boundaries for comparison purposes, but in some cases it has been necessary to use the pre-2019 districts.

4 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE - AGE In mid-2019, the population of South stood at 19,635, an increase of 1.8% since the 2011 Census. The age structure of the component wards and the division as a whole is set out below.

Lowestoft South Carlton & Whitton Kirkley & Pakefield Oulton Broad Division All Ages 19,635 10,034 7,913 1,688 0-4 1,012 517 402 93 5-9 1,191 574 506 111 10-14 1,178 600 481 97 15-19 1,022 548 406 68 20-24 979 474 434 71 25-29 1,093 467 537 89 30-34 1,099 508 501 90 35-39 1,087 485 502 100 40-44 1,033 503 436 94 45-49 1,215 592 525 98 50-54 1,320 660 556 104 55-59 1,360 651 615 94 60-64 1,182 613 469 100 65-69 1,219 646 459 114 70-74 1,413 871 394 148 75-79 831 500 240 91 80-84 689 419 198 72 85-89 467 271 159 37 90+ 245 135 93 17

90+ 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

England - females - males Lowestoft South - females Lowestoft South - males

▪ The age pyramid for Lowestoft South shows a higher-than-average proportion of people aged 55 and over.

5 ▪ The most common age group in Lowestoft South is 70–74-year-olds followed by 55-59- year-olds. ▪ Like many parts of Suffolk there is a lower than average proportion of people of working age, particularly 20-39-year-olds.

ETHNICITY 100%

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0%

Lowestoft South Suffolk England

▪ According to the latest data (2011 Census), 97.3% (18,778) of the population of Lowestoft South are white, slightly above the county average. ▪ There are 516 (2.7%) people of minority ethnic origin in the division. ▪ Lowestoft South has a similar diversity profile to , and generally lower proportions of minority ethnic groups than Suffolk as a whole.

Total Asian and Black and Other All minority White White British Mixed Asian Black Ethnic people ethnic British British Group population Count Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Lowestoft South 19,294 18,778 97.3 18,365 95.2 248 1.3 159 0.8 81 0.4 28 0.1 516 2.7 East Suffolk 239,552 232,565 97.1 227,040 94.8 2,728 1.1 2,991 1.2 925 0.4 343 0.1 6,987 2.9 Suffolk 728,163 693,195 95.2 661,458 90.8 12,472 1.7 13,131 1.8 6,854 0.9 2,511 0.3 34,968 4.8 England 85.4 79.8 2.3 7.8 3.5 1.0 14.6

6 ECONOMY

There are 5,000 people employed in Lowestoft South.

20%

18%

16%

14%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%

Lowestoft South East Suffolk Suffolk England

▪ The health sector accounts for more than one in six jobs in Lowestoft South. ▪ Wholesale, retail and motor trades also provides a significant proportion of employment in the division (17% - similar to the level across East Suffolk, Suffolk county and England). ▪ Education, accommodation and food services and public administration are also important sectors in Lowestoft South, with these five sectors together accounting for two- thirds of employment in the division.

7 LABOUR MARKET

OUT-OF-WORK BENEFIT CLAIMANT RATE

9%

8%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%

Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20

Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20

Jan-18 Jun-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Jan-20 Jun-20 Jan-21

Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20

Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20

Aug-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Aug-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Aug-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Dec-20

May-18 May-19 May-20

Lowestoft South East Suffolk Suffolk England

▪ Lowestoft South saw a sharp increase in claimants of out-of-work benefits in the first half of 2020 as a result of the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. ▪ The out-of-work benefit claimant rate in Lowestoft South has been consistently around three to four percentage points higher than the East Suffolk and county averages. ▪ In percentage terms, around 8% of the working age population (aged 16-64) are claiming out-of-work benefits in Lowestoft South, compared to 4.9% across Suffolk.

8 SCHOOLS

SCHOOL INFORMATION

Schools in the Division

Average cohort size at:

Latest Latest Ofsted Ofsted

Status Date

Academy

Foundation

KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) Requires Dell Primary School Primary AS 52 53 0 0 21/06/2018 improvement Elm Tree Primary Requires Primary AS 49 45 0 0 03/10/2018 School improvement Phoenix St Peter Requires Primary AS 30 22 0 0 27/06/2018 Academy improvement Red Oak Primary Primary AS 57 49 0 0 Good 08/02/2017 School St Mary's Roman Primary AC 30 30 0 0 Good* 20/04/2015 Catholic Primary School Westwood Primary Primary AS 29 29 0 0 Good 23/02/2017 School East Point Academy Secondary AS 0 0 104 0 Good 12/10/2016 Warren School Special AS 0 6 7 0 Inadequate* 15/11/2017

Schools with catchments that overlap with the Division

Average cohort size at:

Latest Latest Ofsted Ofsted

Status Date

Academy

Foundation

KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) Requires Grove Primary School Primary AS 43 41 0 0 13/02/2019 improvement Requires Pakefield High School Secondary AC 0 0 177 0 26/04/2018 improvement*

Academy Status key: AS = Academy Sponsored, AC = Academy Converter, LA = LA Maintained, F = Free *The latest full inspection judgement does not relate to the current school

9 SCHOOL ATTAINMENT

Foundation Stage Profile (reception) % pupils achieving Good Level of Development (GLD) 100%

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0% 2017 2018 2019

Dell Primary School Elm Tree Primary School Phoenix St Peter Academy Red Oak Primary School St Mary's Roman Catholic Primary School Westwood Primary School Suffolk National

▪ Foundation Stage performance at Lowestoft South schools has varied somewhat over the past three years, but the general trend is for improving attainment levels. In 2019, attainment at four of the six schools in the division was above the national average. ▪ Westwood Primary is the only school in the division to have consistently seen the percentage of its pupils achieving a Good Level of Development at a higher level than the county and national average from 2017 to 2019. ▪ Average attainment of pupils at Elm Tree Primary School has been consistently below average during this period.

10 Key Stage 2 (age 11) % pupils achieving the Expected Level or better in Reading, Writing and Mathematics

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0% 2017 2018 2019

Dell Primary School Elm Tree Primary School Phoenix St Peter Academy Red Oak Primary School St Mary's Roman Catholic Primary School Westwood Primary School Suffolk National

▪ Key Stage 2 attainment at three Lowestoft South schools; Red Oak Primary, St Mary’s Roman Catholic Primary and Westwood Primary, has been consistently above the county and national averages over the last three years of available data. ▪ KS2 attainment at Elm Tree Primary and Phoenix St Peter Academy was below average in each year from 2017 to 2019. ▪ Attainment at Dell Primary School improved markedly in 2019 and matched the national average of 65% of pupils achieving the expected level or better in reading, writing and mathematics.

11 Key Stage 4 (GCSE) (age 16) % pupils achieving level 4-9 in English and Mathematics

80%

70%

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40%

30%

20%

10%

0% 2017 2018 2019

East Point Academy Suffolk National

▪ GCSE attainment at East Point Academy was above the county average in 2017 and 2018 but dipped in 2019. ▪ The latest results show just under half of pupils achieving level 4-9 in English and mathematics at the school, compared to 65% nationally and 62% in Suffolk.

12 NEET % (NOT IN EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT OR TRAINING)

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

2%

0%

Lowestoft South East Suffolk Suffolk

▪ In January 2021, 5.3% of 16–18-year-olds in Lowestoft South were classified as NEET (where current activity is known). ▪ NEET levels in Lowestoft South are consistently higher than the district and county averages, though the gap has reduced in the last couple of years.

13 INDEX OF MULTIPLE DEPRIVATION (IMD) 2019 (SEE MAP OVERLEAF)

The IMD combines a number of indicators, chosen to cover a range of economic, social and housing issues, into a single deprivation score for each small area in England. This allows each area to be ranked relative to one another according to their level of deprivation. Small areas (Lower Super Output Areas, average population 1,700) are most commonly described as being in 1 of 5 quintile bands. The bottom quintile represents the 20% of areas that are the most deprived in England; these are shaded pale yellow on the map. The top quintile represents the least deprived areas in England and is shaded dark blue. The Index is widely used to analyse patterns of deprivation, identify areas that would benefit from special initiatives or programmes and as a tool to determine eligibility for specific funding streams.

45%

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10%

5% % of population of % population by deprivation quintile residence of 0% Most deprived 20% Next most deprived Mid 20% Next least deprived Least deprived 20% 20% 20%

Lowestoft South East Suffolk England

▪ The IMD 2019 shows that deprivation levels in Lowestoft South are very varied, with parts of the division among each deprivation quintile, from the least deprived 20% in England to the most deprived 20%. ▪ Of the thirteen Lower Super Output Areas (LSOA) comprising the division, one is ranked in the top 20% least deprived LSOAs in the country, one is in the next best quintile, two are in the mid quintile, four are in the second most deprived quintile and five are in the most deprived quintile. ▪ This deprivation profile means that around 70% of the population of the division live in areas ranked among the 40% most deprived in England.

14 15 HEALTH

The local data used here is based on relatively small numbers. The confidence limits provide an indication of the reliability of the data. The 95% confidence intervals utilised on the chart provide a range within which there is 95% chance of the true result lying.

LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 86 84 82 80 78 76 74 72 70 Lowestoft South East Suffolk Suffolk England

Life expectancy at birth for males Life expectancy at birth for females

▪ Estimated life expectancy at birth in Lowestoft South are below the East Suffolk and Suffolk averages for both males and females. ▪ The life expectancy estimate for women is 81.4, compared to 83.8 in East Suffolk, 84.3 in Suffolk and 83.4 in England. ▪ For men, the estimated life expectancy at birth in Lowestoft South is 77.6, around 3 years below the average across the county. This is one of the lowest life expectancy estimates of any Suffolk division.

DEATHS, UNDER 75 YEARS, STANDARDISED MORTALITY RATIO 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Deaths from all causes, Deaths from all cancers, Deaths from circulatory Deaths from causes under 75 years under 75 years disease, under 75 years considered preventable (all ages) Lowestoft South Waveney Suffolk England ▪ In Lowestoft South, the estimated rate of deaths from all causes, cancer and circulatory disease is above the East Suffolk, Suffolk and England average. ▪ The standardised mortality ratio data shown here means that for every 100 early deaths from all causes across England as a whole, there are an estimated 122 comparable deaths in Lowestoft South. 16 CRIME & COMMUNITY SAFETY

90

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0 Lowestoft South East Suffolk Suffolk England

Burglary Criminal damage and arson Drugs Public order Shoplifting Other theft Vehicle crime Violence and sexual offences Other

▪ Crime levels are relatively high in Lowestoft South, with 83.5 crimes per 1,000 residents in the year to January 2021, more than the district and county averages of 59 and 66 respectively. ▪ The most commonly committed crimes in the division during this period fall under the category of violence and sexual offences. This is the case across the county and England as a whole. ▪ Rates of all types of crime are higher in Lowestoft South than the Suffolk average with the exception of burglary, shoplifting and vehicle crime.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Parishes in Division Lowestoft (part) Oulton Broad (part)

17 DATA SOURCES

Category Indicator Source

ONS 2019 mid-year population Quinary population table 2019 estimates

Demographic ONS 2019 mid-year population Population pyramid 2019 Profile estimates

Ethnicity 2011 ONS 2011 Census

ONS Business Register and Economy Employment by broad industrial sector 2019 Employment Survey via NOMIS Claimant count: The number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance plus those who claim Labour market DWP via NOMIS Universal Credit who are out of work (% 16-64 population) January 2018- February 2021 School information and attainment 2017-2019 Education % 16-18-year-olds NEET (Not in Employment, Suffolk County Council via the Education or Training) 2017-2021 Suffolk Observatory Ministry for Housing, Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation 2019 Communities and Local Government Health Life expectancy at birth 2013-2017 Public Health England Standardised mortality ratio for deaths from all causes, cancer and circulatory disease, (aged under 75), and death from causes considered Health preventable (all ages), 2013-2017. The Public Health England standardised mortality ratio is the ratio of observed deaths in the study group to expected deaths in the general population. Community Recorded crime rate per 1,000 resident Data.police.uk via the Suffolk Safety population February 2020 to January 2021 Observatory

For more data and information about Lowestoft South Electoral Division, see the Suffolk Observatory www.suffolkobservatory.info

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