CCoonnssttiittuueennccyy PPrrooffiillee BBeellffaasstt SSoouutthh
September 2010
Using the latest data available through the Northern Ireland Neighbourhood Information Service (NINIS) www.ninis.nisra.gov.uk, this report provides an up-to-date statistical profile of the Constituency of Belfast South. It includes information on the demographics of people living in Belfast South as well as key indicators of Health, Education, the Economy, Employment, Housing, Crime and Poverty. For each indicator, this profile presents: • The most up-to-date information available for Belfast South; • How this compares with Northern Ireland as a whole; • The ranking of the Constituency; and • Information on the lowest and highest ranking wards where available.
This report presents a statistical profile of the Constituency of Belfast South which comprises of the 19 wards shown below.
0 Shaftesbury 10 Musgrave 1 Woodstock 11 Newtownbreda 2 Ravenhill 12 Galwally 3 Blackstaff 13 Upper Malone 4 Botanic 14 Finaghy 5 Windsor 15 Beechill 6 Ballynafeigh 16 Cairnshill 7 Stranmillis 17 Minnowburn 8 Rosetta 18 Knockbracken 9 Malone
2 BELFAST SOUTH: KEY FACTS
Demographics • An estimated 91,500 people live in Belfast South, the Constituency with the 7th lowest population in 2008. • The greatest proportion (52.0%) of people living in Belfast South are of Protestant community background (41.4% were of Catholic, 6.6% other). • Belfast South has higher proportion of people in the 15 – 34 year age band compared to Northern Ireland as a whole.
Health • Life expectancy in Belfast South is 76.6 years for males and 81.8 years for females.
Compared to Northern Ireland as a whole, Belfast South has a higher: • Death rate due to cancer. • Rate of cancer diagnosis. • Hospital admission ratio due to self harm.
Compared to Northern Ireland as a whole, Belfast South has a lower: • Death rate due to respiratory and circulatory disease. • Proportion of people in receipt of at least one disability-related benefit. • Teenage birth rate. • Prevalence of coronary heart disease, hypertension, hyperthyroid, obesity, diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease for those attending GPs in Belfast South.
Education • A higher proportion of post-primary pupils have a Statement of Special Educational Need compared to all Northern Ireland pupils (18.4% vs. 14.9%), the Constituency with the 4 th highest proportion of pupils with a SEN. • A much higher proportion of Belfast South school leavers achieve at least two A- Levels compared to all Northern Ireland school leavers – the Constituency with the highest proportion of school leavers achieving this level. • A higher proportion of Belfast South school leavers achieve at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C compared to all Northern Ireland school leavers – the Constituency with the 2nd highest proportion of school leavers achieving this level.
The Economy • Belfast South was the Constituency that received the 2 nd highest amount of financial assistance from Invest NI in 2008/09 totalling £21.0 million.
3 • A lower proportion ‘Invest NI Start a Business’ participants from Belfast South were offered financial assistance compared to the Northern Ireland figure, the Constituency with the 4 th lowest proportion.
Employment • 99,360 employee jobs are located in Belfast South. Belfast South has a lower proportion of jobs in manufacturing and construction and a higher proportion of jobs in services compared to all employee jobs in Northern Ireland. • In 2009, Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4 th highest number of redundancies with a total of 443 redundancies in the area.
Housing • There are 42,180 properties in Belfast South. Belfast South has a higher proportion of terraced properties and apartments and a lower proportion of detached properties compared to Northern Ireland. • In 2008, 959 new planning applications were received for Belfast South. • A slightly lower proportion of planning applications were approved in Belfast South when compared to the proportion of Northern Ireland approvals.
Crime Compared to the Northern Ireland rates, Belfast South has: • A much higher overall crime rate – the Constituency with the highest rate. • Higher rates of violent rime (highest rate) burglary (highest rate), theft (highest rate) and criminal damage (3rd highest rate). • A higher rate of anti-social behaviour incidents (2 nd highest rate).
Poverty • Belfast South has the 5 th highest proportion of people (20%) living in the most deprived Super Output Areas in Northern Ireland. • A lower proportion of people in Belfast South are claiming at least one benefit.
2010 Westminster Election Results • 59,524 people eligible to vote, 57.4% turnout – slightly higher than Northern Ireland turnout of 56.7%. • SDLP candidate Alasdair McDonnell won the Belfast South seat.
2007 Assembly Election Results • 48,923 people were eligible to vote, the turnout at 62.0% turnout was similar to the Northern Ireland figure of 62.3%. • The SDLP won 2 seats. The DUP, UUP, Sinn Féin and Alliance won 1 seat each.
4
Table of Contents
Section Indicator Page
Demographics Population Size, Community Background, Age Profile 6
Health Life Expectancy of males and females 8 Death due to Cancer, Respiratory Disease, Circulatory 10 Disease, Suicide and Undetermined Intent Cancer Diagnoses 14 Hospital Admissions due to Self Harm 15 Mood and Anxiety Disorders 16 Disability-Related Benefit Claimants 17 Births to Teenage Mothers 18 Quality Outcomes Framework – Disease Prevalence 20
Education Statement of Special Educational Need 21 Highest Qualifications of School Leavers 22 Participation in Further Education 24 Participation in Higher Education 25
The Economy Invest NI Assistance 26 Invest NI Start a Business Programme 27
Employment Employee jobs (based on employer address) 29 Employee jobs by Sector (based on employer address) 30 Redundancies 31 Unemployment Claimant Count 32
Housing Housing Type 33 Planning Applications and Decisions 34
Crime Overall Crime 36 Violent Crime, Burglary, Theft, Criminal Damage 37 Anti-social Behaviour Incidents 38
Deprivation Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 39 & Poverty Benefit Claimants 41
Election 2010 Westminster Election Results 44 Results 2007 Assembly Election Results 45
5
1. DEMOGRAPHICS This section presents information on the population size, community background and age profile of those living in Belfast South.
Population Size As at June 2008, an estimated 91,500 people live in Belfast South, representing 5.2% of the Northern Ireland population (Source: NISRA, Mid-Year Estimates) .
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 7th lowest population.
Community Background Just over half (52.0%) of people living in Belfast South are of Protestant community background, 41.4% are of Catholic community background while the remainder are of other or no community background (Source: Census 2001 ).
Age profile of Belfast South Belfast South has a lower proportion of people aged under 16 compared to all of Northern Ireland (16.2% vs. 21.5%) and a higher proportion of people in the 15 – 34 year band. There is little difference in the proportion of people aged 60 and over living in Belfast South and the Northern Ireland figure (18.4% vs. 19.2%).
Belfast South is the Constituency with the lowest proportion of people aged under 16 years and the 8th lowest proportion of people aged 60 and over.
Chart 1: Age Profile of the population in 5 year age bands, June 2008
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% population of the total 4
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0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+ Age Band
Northern Ireland Belfast South Source: Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA), Mid-Year Estimates
6 2. HEALTH This section presents information on a wide range of key indicators of health. These are: • Life Expectancy of males and females (page 8);
• Standardised Death Rates due to Cancer, Respiratory Disease, Circulatory Disease (page 10);
• Deaths due to Suicide and Undetermined Intent (page 13);
• Cancer Diagnoses (page 14);
• Hospital Admissions due to Self Harm (page 15);
• Mood and Anxiety Disorder Prescriptions (page 16);
• Disability-related Benefit Recipients (page 17);
• Births to teenage mothers (page 18) and
• The prevalence of disease as reported through the Quality Outcomes Framework (page 20): o Coronary Heart Disease o Heart Failure o Stroke o Hypertension o Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease o Hypothyroid o Cancer o Mental Health o Asthma o Dementia o Atrial Fibrilation o Obesity o Diabetes Mellitus o Epilepsy o Chronic Kidney Disease o Learning Disabilities
7 Life Expectancy of Males The life expectancy 1 of males (2006-2008) living in Belfast South is estimated to be 76.6 years.
There is little difference in the life expectancy of males living in Belfast South and that of all Northern Ireland males which stands at 76.4 years.
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 9th lowest male life expectancy.
The life expectancy of males is lowest in the ward of Ballynafeigh, Blackstaff, Botanic, Shaftesbury, Windsor, Woodstock, Beechill and Minnowburn where it is less than 75 years.2 In the remaining 11 wards the life expectancy of males is greater than the Northern Ireland average but less than 85 years.
Chart 2: Life expectancy of males, 2006-2008
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65 Life Expectancy in Life years Expectancy 60
55
st th nd rd ry n m ne a m o im w ro tri r er tri We Nor Foyle y el nt Do Valley Down t t Ir t South An ngf A An n s ra th h n th fas fas th dond t l & Armagh Mid Ulster & S T er St on y Belfast East th East Upper Bann L Sou aga Nor Bel Be West Tyrone h Belfa Sou t Nor L Nor Newr nag a Eas Ferm Source: Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency, Northern Ireland Neighbourhood Information Service (NISRA, NINIS), (Department of Health, Social Services and Public Safety (DHSSPS))
1 Calculated using the no. of deaths (General Register Office) and mid-year estimates (NISRA). 2 Ward level data is presented using ranges as the small number of deaths at various age groups does not support robust calculation of an exact life expectancy value at this geographic level.
8 Life Expectancy of Females The life expectancy 3 of females (2006-2008) living in Belfast South is estimated to be 81.8 years.
As with males, there is little difference in the life expectancy of females living in Belfast South and that of all Northern Ireland females which stands at 81.3 years.
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 8th highest female life expectancy.
The life expectancy of females is lowest in the wards of Rosetta, Cairnshill, Knockbracken, Botanic, Shaftesbury, Windsor, Woodstock and Beechill where it is greater than 75 but less than the NI average.4 Life expectancy of females is highest in the wards of Musgrave, Stranmillis and Galwally. In the remaining 8 wards the life expectancy of females is greater than the Northern Ireland average but less than 85 years.
Chart 3: Life expectancy of females, 2006-2008
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65 Life Expectancy in years 60
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t h le e er m ry ne im t ri nn lley ort oy ro ls own t Wes N F yron reland D Ba ngford Va st st T Ty h An fast East rt th per ra an fa fa st Mid U r St g East AntrimSouth Down Bel No Up Bel Bel We South AntrBelfast South No La Northern I Newry & Armagh East Londonder managh & S er F Source: NISRA, NINIS (DHSSPS)
3 Calculated using the no. of deaths (General Register Office) and mid-year estimates (NISRA). 4 Ward level data is presented using ranges as the small number of deaths at various age groups does not support robust calculation of an exact life expectancy value at this geographic level.
9 Standardised Death Rates The standardised death rates 5 due to cancer, respiratory disease and circulatory disease presented here. Standardisation allows for comparison between Constituencies having taken the characteristics of the populations into account i.e. age and sex profiles.
Standardised Death Rates due to Cancer The standardised death rate due to cancer in Belfast South is 212 per 100,000 persons.
The death rate due to cancer in Belfast South is higher than the Northern Ireland rate of 208 per 100,000 persons.
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 9th lowest death rate due to cancer.
Information on death rates due to cancer is not available at ward level.
Chart 4: Standardised death rates due to Cancer per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
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(per 100,000 persons) 100,000 (per 100
Standardised cancer death rate death Standardised cancer 50
0
n n ster ord Foyle Tyrone Ireland per Ban gan Valley Mid Ul Strangf lfast Northlfast West Up North Down South Dow Belfast East East Antrim La North Antrim West South BelfastAntrim South Be Be Northern East Londonderry Newry & Armagh
Fermanagh & S Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (General Register Office (GRO))
5 Rates are based on the number of deaths provided by the General Register Office and 2004 - 2008 Mid-Year Estimates provided by NISRA.
10 Standardised Death Rates due to Respiratory Disease The standardised death rate due to respiratory disease in Belfast South is 98 per 100,000 persons.
The death rate due to respiratory disease in Belfast South is lower than the Northern Ireland rate of 106 per 100,000 persons.
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 2nd lowest death rate due to respiratory disease.
Information on death rates due to respiratory disease is not available at ward level.
Chart 5: Standardised Death rates due to Respiratory Disease per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
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(per 100,000 persons) 100,000 (per 100
50
Standardised respiratory disease death rate death disease Standardised respiratory 0
nd rim wn er ntrim Foyle Ant Tyrone ndonderry Mid Ulst Strangford st Antrimlfast North Upper Bann North Down North South Do Lagan Valley Belfast East West Ea Be Belfast West Belfast South South A gh & S Tyrone st Lo Northern Irela Ea Newry & Armagh ermana F
Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)
11 Standardised Death Rates due to Circulatory Disease The standardised death rate due to circulatory disease in Belfast South is 253 per 100,000 persons.
The death rate due to circulatory disease is lower in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rate of 266 per 100,000 persons.
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 2nd lowest death rate due to circulatory disease.
Information on death rates due to circulatory disease is not available at ward level.
Chart 6: Standardised death rates due to Circulatory Disease per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
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(per 100,000 persons) 100,000 (per 100
50
Standardised circulatory disease death rate death circulatory disease Standardised 0
wn nd outh Foyle Antrim Tyrone Strangforduth Antrim ndonderry & ArmaghMid Ulster North Do Upper Bann BelfastNorth East SouthLagan Down ValleyEast Antrim West Belfast ryNorth Belfast West Belfast S So gh & S Tyrone Northern Irela East Lo New
Fermana
Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)
12 Deaths due to Suicide and Undetermined Intent During the period 2004-2008, there were 67 deaths as a result of suicide and undetermined intent 67 in Belfast South. This equates to an average rate of 15 per 100,000 persons per annum.
There is little difference in the average death rate due to suicide and undetermined intent for Belfast South and the Northern Ireland rate of 13 per 100,000 persons.
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 8 th highest death rate due to suicide and undetermined intent.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 7: Average death rate due to suicide and undetermined intent per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
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15
Average rate Average 10
5
0
n h ord alley trim rim own ster East Foyle
gan V Strangf ast South Mid Ul lfast Westlfast North North Down East AntBelfastUpper SouthBan D La North AntrimSouth tAn Londonderry Belf West Tyrone Be Be Northern Ireland Eas Newry & Armag
Fermanagh & S Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)
6 The information is aggregated data from the GRO death files, which are gathered when deaths are registered at the Registrar’s Office. 7 Death where the intention of the victim is not clear.
13 Cancer Diagnoses In 2007, there were 416 new incidences of cancer 89 diagnosed for Belfast South. This equates to a rate of 453 per 100,000 persons.
The rate of cancer diagnosis was higher for Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rate of 439 per 100,000 persons.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 6 th highest rate of cancer diagnosis.
During the period 2003-2007, the average rate of diagnosis per 100,000 persons was lowest in the wards of Botanic (148), Cairnshill (218), and Stranmillis (246) and highest in Minnowburn (688), Shaftesbury (604) and Upper Malone (603). 10
Chart 8: Rate of diagnosis of all cancers per 100,000 persons by Constituency (excluding non-melanoma skin cancer), 2007
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200 Rate of Diagnosis Rate
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le r ry e h y d th st st y te im e or im u a o s er r f tr o orth F d nt n E Down Ul n Tyrone A Vall S Antrim t We N t th o n A t s th Downst u d Armagth a h st a lfas o Mid n & g Strang rt fas a lfa e S o Upper elBann E e Nor B Lo West Sou La N B B Belf st a Northern Ireland E Newry
Fermanagh & S Tyron
Source: NISRA, NINIS, Northern Ireland Cancer Registry (calculated by DHSSPS)
8 Excluding non-melanoma skin cancer 9 Data on cancer incidence are available from multiple sources, primarily pathological records, hospital discharges and death registrations from the General Registrar Office (GRO). This data is captured electronically, collated and quality assured on a regular basis to provide a population- based registry of cancer incidence for Northern Ireland. Tumour details are collected on cancer diagnoses according to the International Classification of Diseases, tenth revision (ICD10). 10 Ward rates calculated using 2005 mid-year estimates provided by NISRA.
14 Hospital Admissions due to Self Harm For the period 2005-2009, the standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm 11 in Belfast South stood at 108. Ratios are calculated to allow comparison of areas or groups to the NI average which is set to 100.
The standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm is higher in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland ratio of 100. This is true for both males (109 compared to 100) and females (108 compared to 100).
Belfast South is the Constituency with the 6th highest standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 9: Standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm by Constituency, 2005-2009
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Hospital Hospital admission ratio 50
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y rd h e m ne ter o wn nn st tri o o oyle orth gf mag Ba Ea N An Uls n Down F t d h Ar Irelandt South er th S Tyr th Antrim rth D n s as r Mi Stra ut & er lfast & est Tyrone y No h Upp Lagan Vall No h East AntrimW So Belf BelfastBe West g Sou Belfa Nort East Londonderry Newr rmana e F
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Northern Ireland Hospitals Patients Administration System, DHSSPS)
11 The data is based upon the number of admissions due to self-harm provided by the Hospital Information Branch.
15 Mood and Anxiety Disorder Prescriptions As at April 2008, an estimated 11.1% of people in Belfast South were on prescribed drugs for mood and anxiety disorders.12
There was little difference in the proportion of people in Belfast South estimated to be on prescribed drugs for mood and anxiety disorders and the Northern Ireland estimate of 11.5%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 9 th highest proportion of people estimated to be on prescribed drugs for mood and anxiety disorders.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 10: Estimated proportion of people on prescribed drugs for Mood and Anxiety Disorders by Constituency, April 2008
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n ry h h st t ne lley w im ord yle Percentage prescribed moodprescribed Percentage drugs and (%) anxiety ro rone ag tr f o Do y n reland F Ea Ulster nder Sout ng I t t Wes t North h o t T Arm st ra n S Ty d uth Down t st Antrim lfas as Mid ort n & rth A o S a er & N y o S elfa E h Upper BeBann elf h Lagan Va Wes r N B South Antrim B Belfas st Lo w ort a e N E N
Fermanag
Source: NISRA, NINIS (GP practice prescription data for anxiolytic and anti-depressant drugs, DHSSPS)
12 The number of individuals suffering from mood or anxiety disorders is estimated using prescription data by GP practice for anxiolytic and anti-depressant drugs. This data is then attributed to geographical area using the GP practice list.
16 Disability-Related Benefit Recipients In February 2010, there were 11,061 people in receipt of at least one disability- related benefit in Belfast South.13 This equates to 12.1% of all constituents being in receipt of such benefits.
A slightly lower proportion of people living in Belfast South were in receipt of disability-related benefits compared to the Northern Ireland figure of 14.6%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th lowest proportion of disability- related benefit recipients.
The lowest proportions of disability-related benefit recipients were concentrated in the wards 14 of Stranmillis (4.4%), Cairnshill (6.8%) and Malone (7.0%) and the highest proportions were concentrated in the wards of Shaftesbury (25.1%), Minnowburn (24.2%) and Blackstaff (19.3%).
Chart 11: Proportion of people in receipt of Disability-related Benefits by Constituency, 2010
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5 Proportion in (%) of DB receipt
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n n e w ley m th im m st l st o l tri u ford erry own a ster y e D d yrone E l Antr D rmagh Fo W n Va on T th d U A t Tyrone st a th d S u a uth An Strangr ast Antri o Mi & lfast Northlf North ag o o E & S Belfast Upper yBan e L S Belfast So N h Wes Be B ag Northern Ireland n Newr East Lona erm F
Source: NISRA, NINIS, (Analytical Services Unit, Department for Social Development (DSD))
13 The information is aggregated data from IAD 100% scans of Attendance Allowance, Disability Living Allowance, Incapacity Benefit and Severe Disablement Allowance data at 1992 ward level. 14 Ward rates are calculated from total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.
17 Births to Teenage Mothers
Proportion of all births which are to teenage mothers In 2008, there were 57 births to teenage mothers from Belfast South. Births to teenage mothers account for 4.9% of all births in the Constituency, although it is worth noting that this figure is influenced by the number of teenagers in the area and so the teenage birth rate (see over) is more accurate for the purposes of comparison between areas.
A lower proportion of Belfast South births were to teenage mothers compared to the Northern Ireland figure which of 5.6%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8th highest proportion of all births being to teenage mothers.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 12: Proportion of all births which are to teenage mothers by Constituency, 2008
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4 Proportion of all births (%) 2
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n wn ster one own ord est Foyle Antrim Ireland Mid Ul Strangf lfast Northlfast W North Do South D BelfastUpper East Ban East Antrim West Tyr South LaganAntrim Valley NorthBelfast South Be Be Northern Newry & Armagh East Londonderry
Fermanagh & S Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)
18 Teenage Birth rate In 2008, the teenage birth rate of Belfast South stood at 11 per 1,000 female persons aged 13-19 years.
The teenage birth rate was lower for Belfast South than the overall Northern Ireland rate of 17 per 1,000 female persons aged 13-19 years.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 2nd lowest teenage birth rate.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 13: Teenage Birth Rate per 1,000 females aged 13-19 years by Constituency, 2008
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10 Birth rate to teenage mothers to teenage Birth rate 5
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t n ord ster alley Foyle Ban th Down Mid Ul Strangf gan V lfast Northlfast West North Down Sou East Antrim Belfast UpperEas West TyroneBelfast South North AntrimLa South Antrim t LondonderryBe Be Northern Ireland Newry & Armagh Eas
Fermanagh & S Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)
19 Quality Outcomes Framework – Disease Prevalence The Quality Outcome Framework (QOF) is a system used to remunerate general practices; disease prevalence data per 1,000 patients is collected and then used within the QOF to deliver a more equitable distribution of payments in the light of different workloads that practices face.15
As at 31 March 2009, there was a lower prevalence of coronary heart disease, hypertension, hypothyroid, obesity, diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease amongst patients whose GP practice is located in the Belfast South area compared to GP practices across all of Northern Ireland.
Table 1: Disease Prevalence per 1,000 patients as reported through QOF, 2009 Belfast South All Northern Ireland Patients Patients No. Prevalence No. Prevalence Coronary Heart Disease 3,543 34 75,278 41 All Heart Failure Patients 779 8 13,903 8 Stroke 1,656 16 31,063 17 Hypertension 11,383 110 225,093 122 Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease 1,419 14 29,099 16 Hypothyroid 2,465 24 57,599 31 Cancer 1,159 11 20,741 11 Mental Health 1,056 10 14,407 8 Asthma 5,498 53 104,527 56 Dementia 500 5 9,971 5 Atrial Fibrilation 1,293 12 23,827 13 Obesity (Patients aged 16+) 7,455 85 165,956 113 Diabetes Mellitus (Patients aged 17+) 3,210 37 65,066 45 Epilepsy (Patients aged 18+) 709 8 13,983 10 Chronic Kidney Disease (patients aged 18+) 2,317 27 55,150 39 Learning Disabilities (Patients aged 18+) 300 4 6,912 5
Lower than NI* * by more than 3 Source: NISRA, NINIS (Payment Calculation and Analysis System, DHSSPS)
15 A full set of QOF data tables and explanation of the QOF can be found at http://www.dhsspsni.gov.uk/index/hss/gp_contracts/gp_contract_qof.htm.
20 3. EDUCATION This section presents information on: • Post-primary pupils with a Statement of Special Educational Need • The highest qualifications of school leavers and • Participation in Further and Higher Education.
Statement of Special Educational Needs In 2008/09, 18.4% of Belfast South post-primary pupils had a Statement of Special Educational Need (SEN) at stages 1-4.
A higher proportion of Belfast South post-primary pupils had a SEN at stages 1-4 compared to the Northern Ireland proportion of 14.9%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th highest proportion of pupils with a SEN at stages 1-4.
The lowest proportions of pupils with a SEN at stages 1-4 were concentrated in the wards of Stranmillis (10.0%), Galwally (11.5%) and Finaghy (12.2%). The highest proportions of pupils with a SEN at stages 1-4 were concentrated in Minnowburn (41.0%), Shaftesbury (34.4%), Blackstaff (31.3%).
Chart 14: Proportion of post-primary pupils with a SEN by Constituency, 2008/09
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5 Proportion (%) with 1-4 SEN stages
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n ster ord Foyle
Mid Ul Strangfgan Valley lfast Northlfast West East Antrim Upper Ban North Down South Down & S Tyrone Belfast East North Antrim South Antrim La ry & Armagh West Tyrone Belfast South Be Be Northern Ireland East Londonderry New
Fermanagh
Source: NISRA, NINIS (School Census, Department of Education (DE))
21 Highest Qualifications of School Leavers
School leavers achieving at least two A-levels In 2008/09, 65.9% of Belfast South school leavers achieved at least two A-levels.
A much higher proportion of pupils from Belfast South left school with at least two A-levels when compared to the overall Northern Ireland average of 50.6%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest proportion of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels.
The lowest proportions of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels were concentrated in the wards of Shaftesbury (5.6%, 3 pupils), Woodstock (9.7%, 3 pupils) and Blackstaff (15.0%, 3 pupils). The highest proportions of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels were concentrated in Stranmillis (92.6%), Malone (92.1%) and Finaghy (87.9%).16
Chart 15: Proportion of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels by Constituency, 2008/09
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Proportion achieving level (%) 10
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n y t d y n r e er w an trim agh trim as for land o one uth B n e all lst o North r nder m t E Ir Down V Foyle U A Ar ang h Tyrone Tyr r n an t id S lfast ppe St g M orth D e U y & East Antrim Belfas ther Sout a N & B Belfast West North Londor South An L Wes Belfast S st a Nor E New rmanagh Fe
Source: NISRA, NINIS (School Leavers Survey, DE)
16 Note care should be taken in drawing conclusions from these figures due to the low numbers involved
22 At least five GCSEs at grades A*-C In 2008/09, 76.8% of Belfast South school leavers achieved at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C.17
A higher proportion of Belfast South school leavers achieved at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C as their highest level of attainment compared to the Northern Ireland average of 70.1%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 2 nd highest proportion of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C.
The lowest proportions of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C were concentrated in the wards of Blackstaff (15.0%, 3 pupils), Woodstock (25.8%) and Shaftesbury (29.6%). The highest proportions of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C were were concentrated in the wards of Stranmillis (98.1%), Cairnshill (96.1%) and Malone (95.5%).
Chart 16: Proportion of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*- C by Constituency, 2008/09
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Proportion achieving level (%) 10
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h e rd rry er trim Foyle
ast Northast Westlfast East Strangfo Mid Ulst uth Downan Valley Be Upper Bann East Antrim So North Down Belf Belf North Antrim West TyroneSouth An Lag Belfast South Northern Ireland East LondondeNewry & Armag
Fermanagh & South Tyron
Source: NISRA, NINIS (School Leavers Survey, DE)
17 Note that this figure includes those who left school with at least two A-levels
23 Participation in Further Education In 2007/08, there were 7,703 students from Belfast South enrolled in further education.18 This equates to 10.0% of constituents aged 16 and over being enrolled in further education.
There was little difference in the proportion of people aged 16 and over living in Belfast South who are enrolled in further education and the Northern Ireland figure of 10.2%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8th highest proportion of people aged 16 and over enrolled in further education.
Further education participation rates were lowest in the wards of Stranmillis (5.3%), Knockbracken (5.8%) and Galwally (5.9%) and highest in the wards of Ballynafeigh (12.6%), Blackstaff (11.7%) and Woodstock (11.5%).
Chart 17: Proportion of those aged 16+ enrolled in FE by Constituency, 2007/08
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2 Proportion aged 16+ enrolled in FE (%) FE in enrolled 16+ aged Proportion 0
m th th t n im i ter rry wn ast one and es alley s or o ou el ow ntr ntr Foyle D rmagh A Tyr t rth D S A Strangford rth A gan V Mid Ul o & as o elfast NN elfast E & elfast Wouth y E N B h elfast Srthern Ir Upper Bann S West Tyroner South AntrimLa t LondondeB g B B a o as n N E New ma Fer
Source: NISRA, NINIS (FE Enrolment data, Department for Employment and Learning)
Of all Belfast South students enrolled, 13.6% were full time and 86.4% were part time students, while 54.4% were female and 45.6% were male. In total, 48.7% of those enrolled in further education were mature students.19
18 Further Education can be defined as post-secondary education that is distinct from the education offered in universities. 19 Mature Student in further education defined as those aged 26 and over.
24 Participation in Higher Education In 2007/08, there were 4,215 students from Belfast South enrolled in higher education.20 This equate to 5.5% of constituents aged 16 and over being enrolled in higher education.
There was little difference in the proportion of Belfast South people aged 16 and over who are enrolled in higher education and the Northern Ireland figure of 4.5%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest proportion of people aged 16 and over enrolled in higher education.
Higher education participation rates were lowest in the wards of Woodstock (1.9%), Blackstaff (2.0%) and Minnowburn (2.2%) and highest in the wards of Malone (9.2%), Musgrave (6.7%), Rosetta (6.4%) and Finaghy (6.4%).
Chart 18: Proportion of those aged 16+ enrolled in HE by Constituency, 2007/08
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2 Proportion aged 16+ enrolled in HE (%) HE in enrolled 16+ aged Proportion 0 n im ne rim ow ro lley yle t y a o outh ntr ntrim F S angford A st A r th fast East rth D S T a St Mid Ulster or el No & E Upper Bann N B h South Down rthern Ireland West Tyrone Belfast BelfastNorth West South An t Londonderry Lagano V Belfast as N E Newry & Armagh ermanag F
Source: NISRA, NINIS (HE Enrolment data, DEL)
Of all Belfast South students enrolled, 58.5% were full time and 41.5% were part time students, while 56.6% were female and 43.4% were male. In total, 45.8% of those enrolled in higher education were mature students.21
20 Higher Education can be defined as education at a higher level than secondary school, usually provided in universities. 21 Mature Student in Higher Education defined as those aged 25 and over.
25 4. THE ECONOMY This section presents information on financial assistance provided by Invest NI as well as information on those completing and subsequently being offered financial assistance through its Start a Business Programme.
Invest NI Assistance In 2008/09, Invest NI provided £21.0 million in financial assistance to companies in Belfast South, accounting for 14.6% of all assistance provided in Northern Ireland during that period.
Companies in Belfast South received the 2 nd highest amount of financial assistance in 2008/09.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 19: Invest NI assistance in £m provided to companies by Constituency, 2008/09
35
30
25
20
15
10 Assistance (£ million) (£ Assistance
5
0
n ord rim ster Foyle th Antrim per Ban Strangf lfast Westgan Valley Mid Ul lfast North North DownUp West Tyrone North AntrimBe La East Ant Be South Down Belfast East gh & S TyroneSou Belfast South East Londonderry Newry & Armagh
Fermana
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Invest NI)
26 Start a Business Programme
Participation in the Start a Business Programme In 2008/09, 165 people from Belfast South completed the Invest NI Start a Business Programme.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8 th lowest number of people completing this programme.
The lowest numbers of participants who completed the training were from Upper Malone (1). Minnowburn (3), Newtownbreda (4), and Finaghy (4). The highest numbers were from Windsor (18), Ravenhill (15), Stranmillis (14) and Malone (14).
Chart 20: Number of Invest NI Start a Business Programme participants by Constituency, 2008/09
350
300
250
200
150
No of No participants 100
50
0
n t e d h y n w rth r im gh m o yl r a lle ann ter a derry rone ls Fo ngfo m B t Wes t N a t Sout V Ty U tr t Ant Ar n don th Dow id orth Do as as as & u lf lf S on o M N e Belfast Easte Eas ry S Upper B B South Antrim Belf Laga t L North AntriWest ew N Eas
Fermanagh & South Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Invest NI)
27 Financial Assistance offered to those who completed the Start a Business programme Of those who completed the Start a Business Programme, 36.4% Belfast South participants (60 people) were subsequently offered financial assistance.
A lower proportion of Belfast South participants were subsequently offered financial assistance compared to the Northern Ireland figure of 49.3%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th lowest proportion of participants who were offered financial assistance.
Chart 21: Proportion of Invest NI Start a Business Programme participants who were offered financial assistance by Constituency, 2008/09
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
Proportion offered assistance (%) Proportionassistance offered 10
0
th n own ster rone oyle North F rn Ireland gan Valley Strangford lfast Mid Ul lfast West North Down East AntrimBelfast East Upper SouthBan D North Antrim West Tyrone La Belfast BeSou South Antrim Be wry & Armagh Northe Ne East Londonderry
Fermanagh & S Ty
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Invest NI)
28 5. EMPLOYMENT This section presents information on the number of employee jobs and employee jobs by sector; the number of redundancies in Belfast South and the unemployment claimant count.
Employee jobs As at 3 September 2007, there were 99,360 employee jobs 22 located in Belfast South, representing 14.0% of all employee jobs in Northern Ireland.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest the number of employee jobs located in the area.
The lowest concentrations of employee jobs were in the wards of Cairnshill (71), Minnowburn (302) and Knockbracken (308) and the highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (53,903), Botanic (11,921) and Blackstaff (8,649) although these figures are based on job location not home address and so variations between wards will depend on the nature of the ward - rural, residential or industrial.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 22: No. of employee jobs by Constituency, September 2007
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000 No. of employee jobs employee of No.
20000
0 e r ry t h e r e gh im n rone as l rim uth own ro lst t ort o ntr D y West rma N A T onde t Ty Antrim st E Foy t t d-U d S h rth uth Down lfa & A o es StrangfordMi lfas & rt gan Valley lfas East N a Upper Bann W So Be gh No L Be South An Be st Lon Belfast S Ea Newry rmana e F
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Census of Employment, Department of Enterprise, Trade and Investment (DETI))
22 The Census of Employment is conducted every two years by means of a postal enquiry of all NI employers and a full response is sought in order to obtain an accurate count of the number of employee jobs at the Census date. It collects information on employees only (the self-employed are excluded) and counts the number of jobs rather than the number of people in these jobs.
29 Employee jobs by Sector In 2007, 96.3% of employee jobs in Belfast South were in the services sector, 1.9% were in construction and 1.5% were in manufacturing.
A higher proportion of employee jobs in Belfast South were in services compared to the proportion of all Northern Ireland jobs which stood at 80.6%.
A lower proportion of employee jobs in Belfast South were in manufacturing compared to the proportion of all Northern Ireland jobs which stood at 12.3%.
A lower proportion of employee jobs in Belfast South were in construction compared to the proportion of all Northern Ireland jobs which stood at 6.2%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest proportion of jobs in the services sector, the 2 nd lowest in construction and the lowest in manufacturing.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 23: Employee jobs by sector and Constituency, 2007
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
r n te ord ls own alley Foyle
Mid-U S Tyrone gan V Strangf lfast North lfast West South DEast Antrim Upper Ban Belfast East North Down North Antrim West TyroneLa South Antrim Be Be Belfast South Northern Ireland East Londonderry Newry & Armagh
Fermanagh &
Other Construction Manufacturing Services Source: NISRA, NINIS (Census of Employment, DETI)
30 Redundancies In 2009, there were 443 redundancies 23 in Belfast South, representing 9.6% of all redundancies made in Northern Ireland (please note that this refers to location of business rather than employee home).
The Constituency of Belfast South had the 4th highest number of redundancies in 2009.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 24: No. of redundancies by Constituency, 2009
800
700
600
500
400
300
No. No. of redundancies 200
100
0
ord rim wn rth outh oyle F Tyrone Antrim Ant t West Strangf ndonderryMid Ulster st Antrim North Do Upper Bann West North South Down Lagan ValleyBelfast BelfasNo Ea Belfast East South gh & S Tyrone Belfast S East Lo Newry And Armagh Fermana
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Claimant Count Section, DETI)
23 While the figures provided are likely to be an underestimate of total job losses, it is not possible to quantify the extent of the shortfall. Subject to the criteria mentioned above, employers must notify the Department of Enterprise, Trade and Investment of (a) redundancies proposed and (b) redundancies confirmed. Since all proposed redundancies do not actually take place, the confirmed total provides a better indication of real job losses. Proposed redundancies are notified to the Department using the Advance Notification - HR1 Form. Redundancies do not necessarily equate to job losses, for example, employees who do not qualify for a redundancy package, those on temporary contracts, will not be incorporated into the redundancy figures.
31 Unemployment Claimant Count During the period January – December 2009, there were 2,371 people claiming unemployment-related benefits 24 in Belfast South. This equates to 3.8% of all working age constituents claiming such benefits.
There was little difference in the proportion of working age people claiming unemployment-related benefits in Belfast South and the Northern Ireland figure of 4.5%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 6th lowest proportion of unemployment-related benefit claimants.
The proportion of working age people claiming unemployment-related benefits was lowest in the wards of Stranmillis (1.4%), Knockbracken (1.5%) and Cairnshill (1.6%) and highest in the wards of Blackstaff (8.8%), Shaftesbury (8.6%) and Woodstock (6.7%).
Chart 25: Proportion of working age people claiming unemployment- related benefits by Constituency, 2009
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Unemployment-related benefit claimants (%) claimants benefit Unemployment-related 0
n d h e y ey st ne n g r th e st ll wn a wn a im r yl e a o o an lster tr o ntrim E yro ntrim B rel ma n yron N Fo V A T A r I r T n st d U n A st fa S pe r st a ga orth D Strangford p Mi f N & est el Bel h North South DU rthe Ea W La South Belfastg South o B Belfast W na N a Newry & A East Londonder
Ferm
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Claimant Count, DETI)
24 The Claimant Count records the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits. 'Claimants' include the severely disabled claimants, but exclude students seeking vacation work and the temporarily stopped. The claimant count consists of all people claiming JSA at Jobcentre Plus local offices. They must declare that they are out of work, capable of, available for and actively seeking work during the week in which their claim is made.
32 6. HOUSING This section presents information on housing type within Belfast South as well as information on planning applications and decisions in the area.
Housing type In 2008, there were 42,180 properties in Belfast South, representing 5.9% of all properties in Northern Ireland.
A higher proportion of properties in Belfast South were terraced compared to the Northern Ireland figure (43.3% compared to 30.5%), accounting for the highest proportion of properties in the area. A higher proportion of properties in Belfast South were apartments compared to Northern Ireland as a whole (18.1% vs. 8.1%).
There was little difference in the proportions of semi-detached properties in Belfast South and the Northern Ireland figure (24.2% vs. 25.2%).
A lower proportion of properties in Belfast South were detached compared to the Northern Ireland figure (14.3% compared to 36.3%), accounting for the lowest proportion of properties in the area.
Charts 26 and 27: Housing type, 2008
Belfast South Northern I reland
8.1% 18.1%
30.5%
43.3%
14.3% 36.3%
24.2% 25.2%
Apartments Detached Terraced Semi-detached
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Valuation List, Land and Property Services)
33 Planning applications and decisions
Planning applications In 2008/09, there were 959 new planning applications received, representing 4.7% of all Northern Ireland applications received.25
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 7th lowest number of planning applications in 2008/09.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 28: Number of planning applications by Constituency, 2008/09
2500
2000
1500
1000
500 No. of applications received
0
r est ast wn wn oyle outh F Antrim Tyrone lfast North Strangford ndonderry & Armagh Mid Ulste North Do lfast SUpper Bann Belfast BeW Belfast EastE Antrim Lagan Valley North West South Do Be South Antrim gh & S Tyrone East LoNewry
Fermana
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Planning Service, Department of Environment (DoE))
25 Applications received also include withdrawn applications.
34 Planning Decisions Decisions were made on a total of 1,214 26 planning applications for the Belfast South area during 2008/09, 91.5% of which were approved. 27
A slightly lower proportion of applications were approved for Belfast South compared to the Northern Ireland total of 94.2% all decided applications.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4 th lowest proportion of approvals in 2008/09.
This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 29: Proportion of planning applications approved by Constituency, 2008/09
98
96
94
92
90
88 Proportion (%) approved 86
84
d n own ord ster Foyle West East Down Armagh lfast Northlfast lfast South Strangf Mid Ul gan Valley BelfastEast AntrimSouth D North Upper Ban Be Be Be t Londonderry South Antrim La West TyroneNorth Antrim Northern Irelan Eas Newry &
Fermanagh & S Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Planning Service, DoE)
26 Note that the number of decisions is higher than the number of planning applications received as this includes applications from previous years. 27 Excludes withdrawn applications. The number and per cent of applications approved is based on the number of decisions issued in the same year.
35 CRIME This section presents information on the overall recorded crime rate in Belfast South and breaks this down further into violent crime, burglary, theft and criminal damage. Information on anti-social behaviour rates is also presented in this section. These figures relate to where the offence occurred rather than where the offender was from.
Overall Crime rate In 2009/10, a total of 11,226 offences were recorded in Belfast South, representing 10.3% of all offences recorded in Northern Ireland. This equates to an overall crime rate of 12,269 per 100,000 persons.
The overall crime rate for Belfast South was much higher than the Northern Ireland rate of 6,149 per 100,000 persons.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest crime rate.
Overall crime rates were lowest in the wards of Cairnshill (1,538), Galwally (1,786) and Knockbracken (2,345) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (62,705), Botanic (27,874) and Blackstaff (16,009).
Chart 30: Crime rate per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2009/10
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
Overall Crime rate Crime Overall 4000
2000
0 d d r e n h n t ry r e wn n im ley w g s st rth th o tr l o la ann a er e o u lst ro ma B E d U D y n Va D r Ire Foyle n W N So h T h st t t trangfo rt t A A rn do st o st s ut & fa n fas fas S Mid e a o uth Antrim e pper el o l l fa N E S o ry U B el W Lagan S North Antrim rth Be Be B o st L N a New E
Fermanagh & S Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Notifiable Offences Recorded, Police Service for Northern Ireland (PSNI))
36 Crime Rates by type - violent crime, burglary, theft and criminal damage
Rates of violent crime, burglary, theft and criminal damage were higher in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rates.
Table 2: Crime Rates by type of crime, 2009/10 Belfast South Northern Ireland Rate Rank* Rate Violent Crime 3,480 1 1,865 Burglary 1,572 1 709 Theft 4,031 1 1,499 Criminal Damage 2,233 3 1,490 *1=highest crime rate, 18=lowest crime rate Source: NISRA, NINIS
Violent Crime In 2009/10, the violent crime rate for Belfast South was 3,480 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Violent crime rates were lowest in the wards of Galwally (249), Cairnshill (399) and Knockbracken (451) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (21,516), Botanic (7,955) and Blackstaff (4,084).
Burglary In 2009/10, the burglary rate for Belfast South was 1,572 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Burglary rates were lowest in the wards of Knockbracken (301), Cairnshill (342) and Beechill (480) and highest in the wards of Botanic (4,944), Shaftesbury (3,353) and Ravenhill (1,818).
Theft In 2009/10, the theft rate for Belfast South was 4,031 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Theft rates were lowest in the wards of Cairnshill (285), Galwally (374) and Upper Malone (679) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (25,171), Botanic (6,959) and Blackstaff (5,935).
Criminal Damage In 2009/10, the criminal damage rate for Belfast South was 2,233 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Criminal damage rates were lowest in the wards of Cairnshill (370), Knockbracken (451) and Galwally (540) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (8,533), Botanic (6,156) and Blackstaff (3,185).
37 Anti-social Behaviour In 2009/10, there were 7,052 incidents of anti-social behaviour in Belfast South. This equates to a rate of 7,707 anti-social behaviour incidents per 100,000 persons.
The rate of anti-social behaviour incidents is much higher in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rate of 4,625 per 100,000 persons.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 2 nd highest rate of anti-social behaviour incidents.
Anti-social behaviour incident rates were lowest in the wards of Galwally (1,329), Cairnshill (1,481) and Knockbracken (1,563) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (32,608), Botanic (17,591) and Woodstock (8,753).
Chart 31: Rates of Anti-social Behaviour Incidents per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2009/10
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
Rate per 100,000 persons per 100,000 Rate 2000
1000
0
y d e st n m ry th h n lle nn a a r est lster a own a l e D E re W Nort rmagh Down V r B Foyle nd Sou t Tyro d U A h Antrim st o S t an h pe fa StrangfordMi & g p ern I uth Antri nd lfast fas & y Sou North U East AntrimBel h o el West Tyroner La Nort S Lo Be BelfastB gh w st e Nort a na N E erma F
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Anti-social behaviour incidents, PSNI)
38 7. DEPRIVATION AND POVERTY This section presents information from the Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 and on the number of people claiming benefits.
Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure The Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure (NIMDM) 2010 identifies small concentrations of multiple deprivation across Northern Ireland. Summaries at Constituency level consisting of five measures are also produced. The following contains the summary information for Belfast South.
Extent Belfast South has an Extent of 20%. This means that 20% of people living in Belfast South live in the most 28 deprived Super Output Areas 29 in Northern Ireland. Belfast South is the Constituency ranked 5th most deprived in terms of Extent.
Income Deprivation Scale The Income Deprivation Scale shows that there are 17,502 people in Belfast South experiencing Income Deprivation ( defined as being in receipt of income- related benefits/tax credits) . Belfast South is the Constituency ranked 15 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation.
Percentage of the total population Income Deprived 19% of those living in Belfast South are income deprived. Belfast South is ranked 13 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation.
Employment Deprivation Scale The Employment Deprivation Scale shows that 5,473 people in Belfast South are experiencing employment deprivation ( defined as being in receipt of employment-related benefits or on a government training programme) . Belfast South is ranked 16 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation.
Percentage of working age population Employment Deprived 9% of working age people in Belfast South are employment deprived. Belfast South is ranked 17 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation.
28 Most deprived is defined as within the first 30% most deprived areas, including all of the population in the 10% most deprived SOAs, and a proportion of the population from the next two deciles (i.e. the next 20%) on a sliding scale. 29 A geography designed for the collection of small area statistics with similar population sizes.
39 Table 3: NIMDM 2010 for the Constituency of Belfast South Measure Score Rank* Extent (%) 20 5 Income Deprived Scale 17,502 15 % of total population Income Deprived 19 13 Employment Deprived Scale 5,473 16 % of working age population Employment Deprived 9 17 *1=most deprived, 18=least deprived Source: NISRA, NINIS (NIMDM 2010)
Deprivation within Belfast South The most deprived areas in Belfast South were covered the wards of Shaftesbury and parts of Blackstaff, Botanic, Woodstock which were ranked in the 10% most deprived areas in Northern Ireland.
The least deprived areas in Belfast South covered the wards of Galwally, Knockbracken, Malone, Stranmillis and parts of Beechill, Cairnshill, Finaghy and Upper Malone which were which are ranked in the 10% least deprived areas in Northern Ireland.
40 Benefit Claimants As at April 2010, there were 24,398 people in Belfast South were claiming at least one benefit. This equates to 31.8% of all constituents aged 16 and over claiming at least one benefit.
A lower proportion of people aged 16 and over from Belfast South were claiming at least one benefit compared to the Northern Ireland proportion of 37.6%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the lowest proportion of benefit claimants.
The lowest proportions of benefit claimants were concentrated in the wards of Stranmillis (16.4%), Botanic (16.7%) and Cairnshill (17.5%) and the highest proportions were concentrated in the wards of Minnowburn (44.5%), Shaftesbury (41.9%) and Blackstaff (37.8%). 30
Chart 32: Proportion of the people aged 16+ claiming at least one benefit by Constituency, February 2010
60
50
40
30
20
10 Proportion claiming (%) benefits
0
th y r rim ast ou Foyle Ant Tyrone st Antrim StrangfordMid Ulste ndonderry & Armagh South DownEa North DownUpper Bann Belfast E Belfast S South AntrimLagan Valle North West BelfastBelfast North West Northernst IrelandLo Ea Newry
Fermanagh & S Tyrone
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Social Security Benefits data, Department for Social Development (DSD))
30 Ward figures calculated as a proportion of total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.
41 Income support As at February 2010, there were 3,999 people claiming Income Support in Belfast South. This equates to 6.5% of all working age constituents claiming this benefit.
A slightly lower proportion of working age people were claiming Income Support in Belfast South compared to the Northern Ireland figure of 8.0%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8 th lowest proportion of the working age people claiming Income Support.
The lowest proportions of Income Support claimants were concentrated in the wards 31 of Knockbracken (0.5%), Stranmillis (0.6%) and Cairnshill (0.9%). The highest proportions were concentrated in the wards of Shaftesbury (14.6%), Woodstock (10.1%) and Blackstaff (9.0%).
Chart 33: Proportion of working age population claiming Income Support by Constituency, February 2010
25
20
15
10
Proportion claiming IS (%) 5
0
nd ast est derry rone Irela Foyle Tyrone Antrim Ty an Valley st Antrim Strangford Mid Ulster ndon & Armagh North Down Upper Bann Lag Ea North South Down Belfast E West BelfastBelfast North W South Antrim gh & S Belfast South Northern East Lo Newry
Fermana
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Social Security Benefits data, DSD)
31 Ward figures calculated as a proportion of total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.
42 Housing Benefit As at May 2009, there were 7,705 people claiming Housing Benefit in Belfast South. This equates to 10.1% of all constituents aged 16 and over claiming this benefit.
There was little difference in the proportion of people living in Belfast South claiming Housing Benefit and Northern Ireland figure of 10.0%.
Belfast South was the Constituency with the 6th highest proportion of Housing Benefit claimants.
The lowest proportions of Housing Benefit claimants were concentrated in the wards of Cairnshill (1.0%), Stranmillis (1.1%) and Knockbracken (1.4%) while the highest proportions were concentrated in Shaftesbury (26.3%), Woodstock (20.7%) and Blackstaff (17.9%).32
Chart 34: Proportion of those aged 16 and over claiming Housing Benefit by Constituency, May 2009
25
20
15
10
Proportion claiming (%) HB 5
0
n ord ster Foyle Tyrone per Banrn Ireland gan Valley StrangfMid Ul lfast Westlfast North North Down South DownEast Antrim Up Belfast East La South Antrim North Antrim Belfast WestSouth Tyrone Be Be Northe Newry & Armagh East Londonderry
Fermanagh & S
Source: NISRA, NINIS (Housing Benefit data, Northern Ireland Housing Executive, aggregated by DSD)
32 Ward figures calculated as a proportion of total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.
43 9. ELECTION RESULTS This section presents information on the 2010 Westminster Election Results and the 2007 Assembly Election Results.
2010 Westminster Election Results In Belfast South, 59,524 people were eligible to vote in the 2010 Westminster Elections. 34,186 valid votes were cast, a turnout of 57.4%.33 Turnout for Belfast South was slightly higher than the Northern Ireland turnout of 56.7%. The SDLP received the majority of votes in the Constituency with 14,026 votes. As a result, Alasdair McDonnell, was elected to represent Belfast South.
Chart 35: 2010 Westminster Election Results
3%
15% Alasdair McDonnell, SDLP
Jimmy Spratt, DUP
41% Paula Bradshaw, Ulster Conservatives and Unionists - 17% New Force Anna Lo, Alliance
Adam McGribbon, Green Party
24%
Candidate (*elected) 1st pref votes Party Alasdair McDonnell* 14,026 Social Democratic & Labour Party Jimmy Spratt 8,100 Democratic Unionist Party Paula Bradshaw 5,910 Ulster Conservatives and Unionists - New Force Anna Lo 5,114 Alliance Adam McGribbon 1,036 Green Source: The Electoral Office for Northern Ireland
33 Excludes invalid votes, n = 173
44 2007 Assembly Election Results In Belfast South, 48,923 people were eligible to vote in the 2007 Assembly Elections. 30,344 valid votes were cast, a turnout of 62.0%. Turnout for Belfast South was similar to the Northern Ireland turnout of 62.3%. The SDLP won 2 seats while the DUP, UUP, Sinn Féin and the Alliance Party won 1 seat each.
Chart 36: 2007 Assembly Election Results
3% 13%
28%
SDLP DUP 14% UUP Sinn F Alliance Green Party
19% 23%
Candidate (*elected) 1st pref Votes Party Jimmy Spratt* 4,762 Democratic Unionist Party (DUP). Alasdair McDonnell* 4,379 SDLP (Social Democratic & Labour Party) Alex Maskey* 3,996 Sinn Féin Anna Lo* 3,829 Alliance Carmel Hanna* 3,748 Social Democratic & Labour Party (SDLP) Michael McGimpsey* 2,647 Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) Christopher Stalford 2,035 DUP Esmond Birnie 1,804 UUP Bobby Stoker 1,122 UUP Brenda Cooke 737 Green Andrew Park 410 Progressive Unionist Party (PUP) David Hoey 298 UK Unionist Party James Barbour 248 Socialist Party Patrick Joseph Lynn 123 Workers Party Roger Lomas 108 Conservative Rainbow George 66 Make Politicians History Charles Smyth 22 Procapitalism Geoffrey Wilson 10 Independent Source: The Electoral Office for Northern Ireland
45
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