SWS MEDIA RELEASE: 12 OCTOBER 2018 page 1 of 3

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SWS survey on senatorial preferences reported in Inquirer.net (10/12/2018) was sponsored by Mr. Alde Joselito Pagulayan

Social Weather Stations

In reference to the October 12, 2018 Inquirer.net article, “Tale of 2 SWS surveys on same period: Different ‘Magic 12’” (https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1042130/tale-of-2-sws-surveys-on- same-period-different-magic-12), SWS is disclosing the survey question's sponsor (Mr. Alde Joselito Pagulayan), pertinent results and technical details, for the benefit of the public. The Senatorial Preferences question, sponsored by Mr. Alde Joselito Pagulayan ([email protected]), was implemented within the Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report survey, fielded on September 15-23, 2018. The survey asked, “Kung ang eleksiyon ay gaganapin ngayon, sino ang pinakamalamang ninyong iboboto bilang mga SENADOR NG PILIPINAS? Narito po ang listahan ng mga pangalan ng mga . Maaari po kayong pumili ng hanggang 12 pangalan.” (SHOW LIST) [If elections were to take place today, whom would you most probably vote for as SENATORS of the PHILIPPINES? Here is a list of names of candidates. You can mention up to 12 names]. (SHOW LIST) In a list of 39 names, the survey found leading with 52% of intended votes for Senator nationwide, followed by (46%), (37%), and (31%) [Table 1]. Tied in 5th and 6th places were and , each with 30%, followed closely by at 7th with 29%. Completing the circle of twelve were: 8. (26%), 9. Sara Duterte-Carpio (24%), and 10-12. Imee Marcos, Mar Roxas and (22% each). Not far from the borderline were 13-16. Bato Dela Rosa, Serge Osmeña, JV Ejercito and Robin Padilla (19% each). Following the top 16 were 17. Herbert Bautista (16%), 18. Ramon “Bong” Revilla, Jr. (15%), 19. TG Guingona (12%), 20. (11%), and 21-22. and Gloria Macapagal Arroyo (10% each). pr20181012b - SWS confirms Senatorial Preferences item for Mr Alde Pagulayan (media release).docx

SWS MEDIA RELEASE: 12 OCTOBER 2018 page 2 of 3

The rest of the names in the list obtained single-digit proportions: 23-24. Freddie Aguilar and Agot Isidro (7% each), 25. Rex Gatchalian (6%), 26. Harry Roque (5%), 27-30. Jiggy Manicad, Maria Lourdes Sereno, Karlo Nograles and Martin Romualdez (4% each), 31-35. Neri Colmenares, Erin Tañada, Dong Mangudadatu, Gary Alejano and Raffy Alunan (3% each), 36- 39. Joey Lina, Albee Benitez, Greco Belgica and Jim Paredes (2% each). Six percent did not choose any of the names in the list.

Survey background The September 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from September 15-23, 2018 using face-to-face interviews of 1,500 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 600 in Balance Luzon, and 300 each in Metro , Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national percentages, ±4% for Balance Luzon, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao). The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates. SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations.

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pr20181012b - SWS confirms Senatorial Preferences item for Mr Alde Pagulayan (media release).docx

SWS MEDIA RELEASE: 12 OCTOBER 2018 page 3 of 3

Table 1 SENATORIAL PREFERENCES: PHILIPPINES, SEP 2018 [1/2] (List of candidates sponsored by Mr. Alde Joselito Pagulayan) Count Count Rank % (in 000) Rank % (in 000) Poe, Grace 1 52 33,233 Ejercito, JV 13-16 19 11,919 Villar, Cynthia 2 46 29,688 Padilla, Robin 13-16 19 11,882 Cayetano, Pia 3 37 23,586 Bautista, Herbert 17 16 10,353 Binay, Nancy 4 31 19,744 , Ramon Jr. 18 15 9,530 Lapid, Lito 5-6 30 19,060 Guingona, TG 19 12 7,749 Pimentel, Koko 5-6 30 18,975 Tolentino, Francis 20 11 7,370 Estrada, Jinggoy 7 29 18,281 Go, Bong 21-22 10 6,620 Angara, Sonny 8 26 16,519 Arroyo, Gloria Macapagal 21-22 10 6,401 Duterte-Carpio, Sara 9 24 15,613 Aguilar, Freddie 23-24 7 4,732 Marcos, Imee 10-12 22 14,412 Isidro, Agot 23-24 7 4,393 Roxas, Mar 10-12 22 14,058 Gatchalian, Rex 25 6 3,938 Aquino, Bam 10-12 22 13,897 Roque, Harry 26 5 2,988 Dela Rosa, Bato 13-16 19 12,069 Manicad, Jiggy 27-30 4 2,869 Osmeña, Serge 13-16 19 11,961 Sereno, Maria Lourdes 27-30 4 2,751

Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report September 15-23, 2018 National Survey

SENATORIAL PREFERENCES: PHILIPPINES, SEP 2018 [2/2] (List of candidates sponsored by Mr. Alde Joselito Pagulayan) Count Rank % (in 000) Nograles, Karlo 27-30 4 2,332 Romualdez, Martin 27-30 4 2,265 Colmenares, Neri 31-35 3 2,237 Tañada, Erin 31-35 3 2,211 Mangudadatu, Dong 31-35 3 2,190 Alejano, Gary 31-35 3 1,813 Alunan, Raffy 31-35 3 1,798 Lina, Joey 36-39 2 1,556 Benitez, Albee 36-39 2 1,360 Belgica, Greco 36-39 2 1,146 Paredes, Jim 36-39 2 1,039 Undecided + 6 3,656

Third Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report September 15-23, 2018 National Survey

pr20181012b - SWS confirms Senatorial Preferences item for Mr Alde Pagulayan (media release).docx