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Home , Abdullah Hammoud, Abraham Aiyash, Alex Garza, Andrea Schroeder, Andrew Beeler, Andrew Fink

2020 August Primary Election Results

Overview: Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, the state witnessed

its largest ever primary election voter turnout with 2.5 million voters casting ballots, more than 1.5

million of which were cast by mail. Public Affairs Associates analyzed each of the 110 State House

district races, providing a look toward November in what is anticipated to be a tight race for the House

majority.

1ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 12,373 Latricia Lanier 2,568

General Election Outlook:

Capturing over 70% of the vote in both the 2017 special election and 2018 midterm, Rep. Tenisha Yancey will have no issue capturing the general election victory this November in the Democratic stronghold. Rep. Yancey is currently the House Tax Policy Committee’s Democratic Vice Chair, while also serving on the Judiciary and Transportation Committees.

2ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 9,792 Mayra Rodriguez 2,628 Taylor Harrell 4,402

General Election Outlook:

After soundly defeating a formidable primary challenger, Rep. Joe Tate should cruise to reelection, capturing 73.5% of the vote in the 2018 general election. Rep. Tate is currently a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

3RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 4,745 Anita Vinson 191 Donavan McKinney 2,771 China Cochran 2,275 Al Williams 2,221 John Cromer 520 Art Tyus 468 Keith McMurty 467 Steven Lett 120

General Election Outlook: Two years after seeking the Governor’s office, the big spending former gubernatorial candidate Shri Thanedar finally punched his ticket to Lansing as the third district representative, capitalizing on high name ID and a wide field of candidates splintering the predominantly African American district’s electorate. Another district dominated by Democratic voters, the race for the seat was essentially determined in the Democratic primary.

4TH DISTRICT Results:

Term Beginning January 2021:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 5,352 Howard Weathington 331 Michele Oberholtzer 1,946 Tawanna Simpson 1,520 Tonya Myers Phillips 1,419 Delorean Holmes 1,003 Shabab Ahmed 835 Christopher Collins 656 Frazier Kimpson 519 Abraham Shaw 254 Anthony Ali 150 Sigmunt John Szczepkowski 148 Gregory Reyner 97 Darwood Navarro 63

Remainder of current term:

Democratic Primary Total Abraham Aiyash 5,208 Michele Oberholtzer 2,023 Tawanna Simpson 1,729 Tonya Myers Phillips 1,446 Delorean Holmes 1,071 Shabab Ahmed 853 Christopher Collins 742 Abraham Shaw 266 Sigmunt John Szczepkowski 165 Anthony Ali 152 Gregory Reyner 104 General Election Outlook:

The August primary decided the representative for two separate terms, one to fill the remainder of Rep. Isaac Robinson’s term following his tragic passing, the other for the term beginning in January. Abraham Aiyash prevailed in both, and the Hamtramck Democrat is the favorite to represent the safe Democratic seat.

5TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Cynthia Johnson 4,857 Harold Day 205 Rita Ross 2,119 Jermaine Tobey 491

General Election Outlook:

Handily defeating Rita Ross in a rematch of the 2018 Democratic primary’s top two finishers, a race decided by only 9 votes, Rep. Cynthia Johnson will have no trouble with the Republican nominee in this safe Democratic district. Rep. Johnson is the House Oversight Committee’s current Democratic Vice Chair while also serving on the Committees on Agriculture and Families, Children, and Seniors.

6TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Tyrone Carter 8,163 Nichole Ivy Neal 2,624 David Palmer 2,273

General Election Outlook:

Without a general election opponent, Rep. Tyrone Carter secured his second term by winning the Democratic primary. Rep. Carter currently serves on the House Committees on Education, Energy, and Military, Veterans, and Homeland security.

7TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Helena Scott 5,500 Ronald Cole 128 Cynthia Thornton 2,769 Bernard Thompson 2,308 Lee Yancy 1,581 Anistia Thomas 1,579 Elene Robinson 716 Nyda Bentley 576

General Election Outlook:

Helena Scott, the Democratic Party Black Caucus Vice Chair and 14th Congressional District Chair, is the overwhelming favorite to succeed Rep. LaTanya Garret following the decisive Democratic primary victory. A longtime community activist, Ms. Scott has waged unsuccessful bids for the and Detroit City Council in the past.

8TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Stephanie Young 7,485 Teresa Gorak 238 Reggie Reg Davis 5,208 George Etheridge 2,640 Anthony Bradford 1,380

General Election Outlook:

In the race to replace term limited Rep. Sherry Gay-Dagnogo, Detroit Community Education Commission Executive Director Stephanie Young captured the most votes in a competitive four-way Democratic primary, all but guaranteeing her spot in Lansing.

9TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 4,996 James Stephens 309 Roslyn Ogburn 3,437 Marc Cummings 2,032 Nicole Elcock 717

General Election Outlook: One of the state’s more intriguing primaries, Democratic incumbent Karen Whitsett received a strong rebuke from party officials after praising President Trump’s publicization of the controversial drug hydroxychloroquine, which she touted as instrumental in her fight against COVID-19. Accepting an invitation to meet with President Trump at the White House, Rep. Whitsett’s seat appeared to be in jeopardy. Ultimately however, Rep. Karen Whitsett prevailed against three primary challengers, likely securing her second term in the safe democratic district. Rep. Whitsett is currently a member of the House Committees on Tax Policy and Insurance.

10TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 5,252 Cathy Alcorn 1,694 Brenda Hill 4,118 Kevin Harris 3,683 Diajah Ruffin 1,422 Tyson Kelley 1,347 Marcus Cummings 1,088 Steele Hughes 737 Valli Smith 204 General Election Outlook:

The daughter of former state representative and Wayne County Commissioner Phil Cavanagh, Mary Cavanagh will follow in her father’s footsteps after edging seven other Democratic primary opponents in the safe Democratic district.

11TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 11,544 James Townsend 4,156

General Election Outlook:

Expect little drama this November, Rep. Jewell Jones should cruise to reelection in this safe Democratic district. Rep. Jones is currently the Democratic Vice Chair for the House Committee on Military, Veterans, and Homeland Security while also serving on the Regulatory Reform Committee.

12TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 9,054 Michelle Bailey 4,277 Edward Martell 2,023 Derrick Gyorkos 762

General Election Outlook:

Staving off two primary challengers, Rep. Alex Garza will have little difficulty this November in a district he won by over a 30% margin in 2018. Rep. Garza is a member of the House Committees on Agriculture, Local Government and Municipal Finance, and Regulatory Reform this session.

13TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Tulio Liberati 4,997 Megan Frump 5,361 Bill Colovos 3,866 Timothy Estheimer 3,209

General Election Outlook:

The younger brother of term limited Rep. , Tulio is a heavy favorite to represent his brother’s district, who never won by a margin ` of less than 20% in the general election. The Allen Park Democrat is a first time candidate who owns his own construction company.

14TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 8,840 Darrel Stasik 4,571 Senan Saleh 1,542

General Election Outlook:

Another safe Democratic district, there is no reason to expect anything other than a resounding victory for Rep. Clemente in November. Seeking her third and final term, Rep. Clemente is currently a member of the House Committees on Health Policy, Financial Services, and Transportation.

15TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 10,304 Carla O’Neill 3,347

General Election Outlook:

Seeking his third term in the legislature, Rep. Hammoud should easily defeat his Republican opponent this November. Rep. Hammoud serves on the House Appropriations Committee this session.

16TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Kevin Coleman 12,455 Emily Bauman 3,512 Josephine Brown 1,156

General Election Outlook:

Very little suspense in this race, with the Democratic nominee winning by around a 30% margin in recent cycles. Rep. Coleman is currently the Democratic Vice Chair for the House Committee on Communications and Technology while also serving on the Insurance and Agriculture Committees.

17TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Christopher Slat 4,376 7,747 Scott Cramton 2,632

General Election Outlook:

While the district elected a Democratic representative by a nearly 20% margin in 2014, Rep. Bellino posted double digit margins of victory in the 2016 and 2018 general elections. Although the state of the presidential race could affect this down-ballot seat, as of now Rep. Bellino remains the favorite. Rep. Bellino is the current House Energy Committee Chairman while also serving on the Financial Services, Insurance, and Transportation Committees.

18TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 9,722 Michael Babat 2,775 Christopher Jeffery 2,007 Christine Timmon 2,771 Patrick Biange 1,657 Brian Hakola 1,933

General Election Outlook:

While a razor thin margin may require additional time to determine his general election opponent, Rep. Kevin Hertel has no reason to sweat either Republican candidate in this safe Democratic district. Rep. Hertel is a member of the House Ways and Means Committee for the 2019-2020 session.

19TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 14,709 Martha Ptashnik 5,870 Penny Crider 4,856 Regina Gargus 651 General Election Outlook:

A district formerly represented by current Michigan Republican Party Chairwoman Laura Cox, Rep. Laurie Pohutsky (left) defeated her 2018 general election opponent by less than 250 votes. A top Republican target this cycle, expect significant spending on both sides with Republicans nominating high school math teacher Martha Ptashnik (right).

20TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 14,541 John Lacny 6,553 Laura Roush 4,594

General Election Outlook:

Ousting a Republican incumbent by a narrow margin (less than 3%), Rep. Matt Koleszar remains the favorite to retain his seat. Rep. Koleszar is currently a member of the House Committees on Education and Health Policy.

21ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 12,222 Laurel Hess 3,446 Ethan Petzold 5,243 James Chapman 1,243 James Nangle 998 Jessica Sohoza 978 Harold Bullock 771

General Election Outlook:

A district that current Rep. Kristy Pagan won by around 20% in her last two elections, expect Canton Democrat Ranjeev Puri to easily defeat his Republican opponent in the general election. Mr. Puri currently works for Fiat Chrysler and held a role in the Obama Presidential campaigns.

22ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 4,557 Steven Warner 2,667 Ryan Nelson 2,327 Jeff Bonnell 2,548 Michael Anderson 1,996

General Election Outlook:

A Democratic stronghold, Roseville City Clerk Richard Steenland should have no trouble keeping this seat blue with current Rep. term limited. Mr. Steenland also served on the Roseville City Council and as Mayor Pro Tem, with a career in public service spanning back to 1993.

23RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 12,363 John Poe 8,965

General Election Outlook:

Capturing the district by less than a single percentage point in 2016, Rep. Darrin Camilleri went on to win by 13% in 2018 and remains the favorite against first time candidate and law enforcement officer John Poe. Rep. Camilleri currently serves as the Democratic Vice Chair for the House Committees on Education and is also a member of the Oversight and Commerce and Tourism Committees.

24TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Michelle Woodman 6,093 Steve Marino 9,861 Alex Bronson 3,182 William Revoir 1,920

General Election Outlook:

After fending off a primary challenge, Rep. Steve Marino is unlikely to be defeated in a district he carried by double digits in the 2016 and 2018 general elections. Rep. Marino currently serves as the Chairman of the House Commerce and Tourism Committee, Republican Vice Chair of the Local Government and Municipal Finance Committee, and is also a member of the Committees on Elections and Ethics, and Military, Veterans and Homeland Security.

25TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 10,147 Paul M. Smith 3,060 Adam Wiley 2,681 Jasmine Early 2,552

General Election Outlook:

Although the district’s voters supported President Trump in 2016, Republicans have had little success in this state house district and Rep. Nate Shannon remains the favorite. Rep. Shannon currently serves on the House Education and Transportation Committees.

26TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Jim Ellison 15,611 Chris Meister 3,906 Barbara Barber 1,741

General Election Outlook:

Another safe Democratic district, Rep. Jim Ellison will have no issue securing his third term this November. Rep. Ellison is the current Democratic Vice Chair for the Committee on Local Government and Municipal Finance while also serving on the House Health Policy and Tax Policy Committees.

27TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 10,613 Elizabeth Goss 3,592 Kevin Kresch 4,031 Crystal Bailey 2,406 Kelli Williams 2,333 Matt Stoel 2,181 Robert Lathrop 399 Dan Tuck 239 Martin Tutwiler 220 General Election Outlook:

With Democratic voters comprising the majority of the district’s electorate, the real competition for the seat occurred in the primary. With high school social studies teacher and Oak Park City Council member Regina Weiss dominating the field, it is almost certain that she will be representing the 27th district next session.

28TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 8,316 Stephen Colegio 3,120 William Massad 1,160 Clifford Frost 1,748

General Election Outlook:

Election drama is more likely to occur in the Democratic primary than the general in this safe Democratic district, and Rep. Lori stone should easily capture victory this November. Rep. Stone serves on the House Committees on Education, Financial Services, and Health Policy for this session.

29TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 10,862 Dave Sullivan 1,670 Vernon Molnar 1,285

General Election Outlook:

Little to discuss here, no primary challenge and a district that has supported the Democratic candidate by wide margins, Rep. Brenda Carter is a lock to return to Lansing next session. Rep. Carter currently serves on the House Committees on Education, Insurance, and Families, Children, and Seniors.

30TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Michael Chebab 6,770 8,354

General Election Outlook:

With neither candidate facing primary opponents, both have had their sights set towards November. Although, despite the favorable environment for Democrats in 2018, Republican candidates won up and down the ballot in this district, meaning Rep. Diana Farrington remains the favorite heading into the general. Rep. Farrington serves as the current Chairwoman of the House Financial Services Committee and is also a member of the Judiciary, Regulatory Reform, Tax Policy and Families, Children & Seniors Committees.

31ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total William Sowerby 6,300 Lisa Valerio-Nowc 4,338 Michelle Robertson 4,685 Austin Negpipe 2,878

General Election Outlook:

After staving off the same opponent from the 2018 primary, Rep. William Sowerby remains the heavy favorite in a rematch with the 2018 general election opponent he defeated by almost 20%. Rep. Sowerby serves as the Democratic Vice Chair for the Natural Resources and Outdoor Recreation Committee and is also a member of the Education and Local Government and Municipal Finance Committees this session.

32ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Justin Boucher 6,651 7,605 Brandon Mikula 4,331

General Election Outlook:

After soundly defeating her primary opponent, Rep. Pamela Hornberger will have no trouble defending her seat in a district she has won by margins of over 20% in the last two general elections. Rep. Hornberger serves as Chairwoman of the House Education Committee, Republican Vice Chair for the Appropriations Subcommittee on School Aid and Department of Education while also sitting on the Elections and Ethics and Health Policy Committees for the 2019-2020 session.

33RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Olu Jabari 7,296 Jeff Yaroch 13,690

General Election Outlook:

Another safe Republican seat, little drama is expected in a district Rep. Jeff Yaroch has carried by around 30% each of the previous two cycles. Rep. Yaroch is currently a member of the Appropriations Committee.

34TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 7,281 James Miraglia *results pending Arthur Woodson 1,360 Claudia Perkins- 1,202 Milton DelTonya Burns 514 Diana Phillips 454

General Election Outlook:

After dominating a five-way Democratic primary, Rep. Cynthia Neeley is certain to continue representing one of the state’s most solidly Democratic districts. Rep. Neeley currently serves on the House Committees on Tax Policy, Insurance, and Regulatory Reform.

35TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Kyra Bolden 23,555 Daniela Davis 2,936 Shadia Martini 2,574

General Election Outlook:

A Democratic stronghold, Rep. Kyra Bolden received an impressive amount of support in the primary, virtually guaranteeing a second term. Rep. Bolden currently serves on the House Ways and Mean and Judiciary Committees.

36TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Robert Murphy 5,949 Douglas Wozniak 15,624

General Election Outlook:

Representing an overwhelmingly conservative district with no primary opponent, it is safe to say Rep. Douglas Wozniak will be returning to Lansing next session. Rep. Wozniak is as a member of the Communications & Technology, Families, Children & Seniors, Health Policy, Commerce and Judiciary Committees this session.

37TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 8,991 Mitch Swoboda 6,664 Michael Bridges 5,634 Randy Bruce 3,814

General Election Outlook:

With the support of Sen. Jeremy Moss, the Michigan AFL-CIO, and other prominent liberal groups, Samantha Steckloff posted a resounding victory in the Democratic primary, making her a lock to replace term limited House Minority Leader .

38TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Kelly Breen 7,051 Chase Turner 7,300 Megan McAllister 6,907 Sreenivas Cherukuri 2,730 Krista Spencer 1,771 General Election Outlook:

In what is expected to be an incredibly competitive general election, Democratic nominee and attorney Kelly Breen (left) will square off with Chase Turner to succeed term limited Rep. . Turner, elected to the 11th Congressional District Republican Executive Committee, served as Lena Epstein’s Field Director during her 2018 campaign. A district that may decide the House majority, expect to see a considerable amount of resources dedicated to this contest.

39TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Julia Pulver 12,597 9,773 General Election Outlook:

Perceived as one of House Democrats’ best pickup opportunities, Rep. Ryan Berman (right) faces a stiff challenge from registered nurse Julia Pulver in a district carried by virtually all Democratic candidates on the ballot in 2018, including , , and Debbie Stabenow. Rep. Berman currently serves as the Republican Vice Chair for the House Regulatory Reform Committee and is also a member of the Financial Services, Insurance, and Judiciary Committees.

40TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 18,817 Kendra Cleary 10,635

General Election Outlook:

Flipping a Republican held seat by a double digit margin of victory in 2018, Rep. Mari Manoogian is a lock to retain the suburban Oakland County seat. Rep. Manoogian serves on the House Committees on Commerce and Tourism, Energy, and Military, Veterans, and Homeland Security.

41ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 13,793 Andrew Sosnoski 4,952 Evan Agnello 4,720

General Election Outlook:

Another midterm pickup for Democrats, Rep. Padma Kuppa is likely to retain the Oakland County seat this November. Rep. Kuppa currently serves on the House Committees on Energy, and Local Government and Municipal Finance.

42ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Donnie Bettes 10,056 15,494

General Election Outlook:

Situated in the Republican bastion of Livingston County, this solid red district guarantees a second term for Rep. Ann Bollin. Rep. Bollin serves on the House Appropriations Committee this session.

43RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Nicole Breadon 10,312 12,493

General Election Outlook:

A district President Trump carried by a 20% margin in 2016, while winning her own race by 13% in 2018, Rep. Andrea Schroeder is a safe bet to maintain her seat come November. Rep. Schroeder serves as the Republican Vice Chair on the House Financial Services Committee and is also a member of the Commerce & Tourism, Oversight, Energy Policy and Tax Policy Committees for the current session.

44TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Denise Forrest 9,207 14,530

General Election Outlook:

Defeating his 2018 general election opponent by around 15% in a district President Trump won by almost 30% in 2016, Rep. Matt Maddock is very likely to retain his seat in November. Rep. Maddock is currently a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

45TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Barb Anness 7,314 10,831 Brendan Johnson 5,535 General Election Outlook:

The seat of term limited House Regulatory Reform Committee Chairman Michael Webber is likely to be on the Democrat’s wish list. Supporting President Trump by a 7% margin before narrowly supporting Gretchen Whitmer, this is another important race to watch in the battle for the House majority. Both parties boast impressive candidates, with Rochester Hills City Council President Mark Tisdel (right) representing the Republicans while Rochester Community Schools Board Member Barb Anness (left) captured the Democratic nomination.

46TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Jody LaMacchia 8,934 John Reilly 13,683

General Election Outlook:

A district dominated by Republican candidates in even the most unfavorable environments, Jody LaMacchia poses little threat to Rep. John Reilly’s bid for a third term. Rep. Reilly is the Republican Vice Chair for the House Oversight Committee and is also a member of the Committees on Commerce and Tourism, Education, and Natural Resources and Outdoor Recreation this session.

47TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Adam Smiddy 7,066 Robert Bezotte 9,587 Meghan Reckling 7,243 Yvonne Black 530 Zachary Dyba 518

General Election Outlook:

Robert Bezotte, a retired Livingston County Sherriff and current Livingston County Commissioner, bested Livingston County Republican Chairwoman Meghan Reckling in what was essentially a two horse race. The district of term limited House Health Policy Chairman Hank Vaupel, expect Bezotte to defeat his general election opponent by a wide margin, as Vaupel won each of his three general elections by a 30-40% margin.

48TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Sheryl Kennedy 10,824 David Martin 4,226 Andalib Odulate 1,050 Sherri Cross 2,271

General Election Outlook:

While President Trump carried the district by about 9% in 2016, Democrats have had a lot of success in the district, with recent State House, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House candidates all capturing the majority of votes, including Rep. Sheryl Kennedy’s 9% margin of victory in the 2018 general election. With Democratic primary turnout nearly doubling that of Republicans, it’s hard to imagine Genesee County Commissioner David Martin pulling the upset. Rep. Kennedy currently serves on the House Appropriations Committee.

49TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total John Cherry 13,318 Bryan Lutz 3,018

General Election Outlook:

A Democratic stronghold in the Flint area, Rep. John Cherry will have no issue easily defeating his general election opponent, winning by a margin of almost 45% in 2018. Rep. Cherry is a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

50TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 9,729 Christina Fitchett-Hickinson 2,445 Raymond Freiberger 2,609 Lynne Freiberger 2,192 Lynn S. Hukee 1,573

General Election Outlook:

Another area where President Trump overperformed relative to the district’s partisan composition, this district is unlikely to flip given the incumbency advantage, even assuming a strong performance from President Trump. Despite President Trump’s narrow victory in the district, Rep. Tim Sneller prevailed by about 5% in 2016, then expanding the margin of victory to about 15% in 2018. Rep. Sneller serves as the Democratic Vice Chair for the Transportation Committee and is also a member of the Energy and Insurance Committees for the 2019-2020 session.

51ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Brad May 5,204 11,666 Connor Wallace 4,109

General Election Outlook:

A safe Republican district that even gets a boost from President Trump’s popularity with independent blue collar voters in the area, Rep. Mike Mueller is a safe bet to retain his seat. Rep. Mueller serves as the Republican Vice Chair for the House Committee on Military, Veterans and Homeland Security and the Agriculture Committee. Additionally, Rep. Mueller is a member of the House Energy and Health Policy Committees.

52ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 18,797 Greg Marquis 4,848 Melanie Weidmayer 4,099

General Election Outlook:

Rep. Lasinski should cruise to victory in a district she won by margins of 8% in 2016 and 20% in 2018. Rep. Lasinski is the Democratic Vice Chair on the House Energy Committee, while also serving on the Insurance and Tax Policy Committees for the current session.

53RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 21,137 Jean Holland 1,015 Sam Larson 2,051

General Election Outlook:

Current House Minority Floor Leader Yousef Rabhi is certain to secure his third term in the Ann Arbor based district that contains much of the University of Michigan’s student body, winning with 86.9% of the vote in the 2018 general election. Rep. Rabhi is a member of the House Committees on Government Operations and Insurance.

54TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Ronnie Peterson 17,140 Martin Church 2,566

General Election Outlook:

Representing one of the state’s most liberal districts, Ypsilanti based Democrat Rep. Ronnie Peterson will easily win his third term after capturing 75% and 78% of the general election vote in the previous two cycles. Rep. Peterson sits on the House Appropriation Committee.

55TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 17,871 Bob Baird 3,874 Stephen Kurant 2,622

General Election Outlook:

After a successful 8-year stint on the Washtenaw County Board of Commissioners, Pittsfield Democrat Felicia Brabec will likely succeed Rep. in the overwhelmingly Democratic district surrounding and containing parts of Ann Arbor.

56TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Keith Kitchens 2,426 TC Clements 6,341 Ernie Whiteside 2,412 Austin Blaine 2,479

General Election Outlook:

Although the Democratic primary is too close to call at this point, it is unlikely to have a significant effect on the general election outcome in this predominantly Republican district. Bedford Township Trustee TC Clements is the presumptive favorite to replace term limited Rep. in the overwhelmingly Republican district.

57TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Will Garcia 3,640 10,284 Jessie Ryan Reynolds 2,012

General Election Outlook:

Running for her third term in a district she carried by 13% in 2016 and 26% in 2018, there is no reason to believe Rep. Kahle’s seat will be in jeopardy this November, especially considering President Trump’s 24% margin of victory here in 2016. Rep. Kahle is a member of the powerful House Ways and Means Committee for the 2019-2020 session.

58TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Tamara Barnes 2,626 6,520 Steven Sowards 461 Andy Welden 4,310 Daren Wiseley 3,076 Adam Stockford 2,925

General Election Outlook:

Triumphing in a crowded Republican primary, attorney Andrew Fink is certain to succeed term limited Rep. in the overwhelmingly conservative 58th district, home of Hillsdale College.

59TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Amy East 4,219 5,003 Jack Coleman 3,136 Larry Walton 2,390 Allen Balog 2,077 Daniel Hinkle 814

General Election Outlook:

A former staffer to Rep. Steve Johnson and unsuccessful Republican candidate for the Kalamazoo County Board of Commissioners, Steve Carra is the favorite to replace term limited Rep. Aaron Miller in the safe Republican district.

60TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Julie Rogers 7,108 Gary Mitchell 2,897 Stephanie Moore 6,685

General Election Outlook:

Edging out Stephanie Moore in a competitive Democratic primary, Kalamazoo County Commissioner Julie Rogers is all but guaranteed to succeed Rep. in the Kalamazoo based district that supported the Democratic nominee by a margin of 40-50% in recent cycles.

61ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 13,356 Bronwyn Haltom 6,633 Tom Graham 3,493 General Election Outlook:

Morse Haltom

With House Ways and Means Committee Chairman term limited, the 61st district election is likely to be one of the state’s most closely watched races. A district that supported , Gretchen Whitmer, and Debbie Stabenow in their most recent elections while electing Iden by razor thin margins, the seat will be even more difficult for Republicans to hold without an incumbency advantage. Expect to see significant spending on both sides. Christine Morse is currently a member of the Kalamazoo County Board of Commissioners, while Bronwyn Haltom recently served as a Western Regional Political Director for the Trump Administration.

62ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 7,074 Dave Morgan 5,013 Michelle Gregoire 1,365 Chad Baase 543 General Election Outlook:

A rematch of the 2018 race, when Rep. Jim Haadsma (left) defeated Dave Morgan by 3.6% (less than 2,000 votes) while flipping Republican Senator ’s former house seat. The district also went Obama-Trump in the 2012 and 2016 elections, adding to its unpredictability. As of now, Rep. Haadsma remains a narrow favorite to hold this seat. Rep. Haadsma is currently a member of the House Committees on Energy and Transportation.

63RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Luke Howell 3,625 11,592 Ron Hawkins 3,544

General Election Outlook:

Winning his first term by a 17% margin in 2018, Rep. Matt Hall should have little difficulty taking care of business this time around. Rep. Hall currently chairs the House Oversight Committee and is also a member of the Tax Policy, Education, and Regulatory Reform Committees.

64TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Sandra Hofman- 5,372 Julie Alexander 9,427 Kingston

General Election Outlook:

Defending a seat she won by margins of 18% and 25% in the previous two elections, don’t expect much drama in the race for this safe Republican seat. Rep. Alexander is currently Chairwoman of the House Committee on Agriculture while also serving on the Transportation, Energy, and Health Policy Committees.

65TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Nancy Smith 5,015 11,403 Dave Rowland 1,240

General Election Outlook:

A district she won by a 22% margin in 2018, while 60% of voters supported President Trump in 2016, there is no reason to believe Democratic nominee Nancy Smith poses a threat to Rep. Lightner’s reelection bid. In the current session, Rep. Lightner is a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

66TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Abigail Wheeler 6,886 9,774

General Election Outlook:

Capturing the district by double digits in both general elections and a district President Trump carried by 13%, it is unlikely that this seat comes into play for Democrats. Rep. Beth Griffin is a member of the House Ways and Means Committee.

67TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 12,477 Nate Ross 5,390 Clyde Thomas 2,858

General Election Outlook:

Evidenced in part by the high proportion of Democratic primary voters, Rep. Kara Hope occupies a relatively safe district. Rep. Hope sits on the House Commerce and Tourism, Local Government and Municipal Finance, and Elections and Ethics Committees.

68TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 14,686 Robert Atkinson 3,306

General Election Outlook:

One of the state’s safest districts for Democrats, Rep. Sarah Anthony won her first general election by a nearly 50% margin and faces no serious threat this time around. Rep. Anthony is a member of the House Appropriations Committee for the current session.

69TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 15,481 Grace Norris 4,398

General Election Outlook:

Another safe seat for Democrats, Rep. Julie Brixie is likely more focused on helping fundraise for her Democratic colleagues than a seat she won by over a 40% margin in the previous general election. Rep. Brixie is a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

70TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Karen Garvey 4,098 Pat Outman 7,386 Martin Ross 2,836 Arturo Puckerin 1,227 Greg Alexander 948 Christopher Comden 620

General Election Outlook:

The son of current Senator and former 70th district representative , Pat Outman captured the Republican nomination and will cruise through an uncompetitive general election to succeed Rep. .

71ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Angela Whitwer 12,213 Gina Johnsen 5,415 Christine Barnes 5,142

General Election Outlook:

The district formerly represented by Sen. Tom Barrett, Rep. Angela Whitwer flipped this seat by a margin of just under 700 votes and is likely to be a top priority for Republicans this November. This district was narrowly won by President Trump in 2016 before supporting Governor Whitmer in the midterm election. Rep. Whitwer serves on the House Committees on Health Policy and Agriculture this session.

72ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Lily Cheng-Schulting 5,475 Steven Johnson 11,311 Cade Wilson 3,205

General Election Outlook:

Defending a seat he won by double digits in each of the two prior general elections, Rep. Steven Johnson is a heavy favorite to return to Lansing for his third and final term. Rep. Johnson is currently the Republican Vice Chair for the committee on Communications & Technology and is also a member of the Judiciary, Oversight, and Tax Policy Committees.

73RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Bill Saxton 10,516 7,853 John Inhulsen 4,941 Robert Regan 4,238

General Election Outlook:

A familiar name in Michigan politics, Bryan Posthumus is likely to succeed Rep. as representative of this safe Republican district, with the Republican candidate winning by an average margin of about 30% over the last decade.

74TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Meagan Hintz 7,130 11,609 Brock Story 1,537

General Election Outlook:

The West Michigan district is safe Republican, with Rep. Mark Huizenga posting a 20% margin of victory in the 2018 general election, don’t expect anything different in this cycle. Rep. Huizenga is a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

75TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total David LaGrand 10,668 James McKeiver 2,521

General Election Outlook:

Likely West Michigan’s most Democratic leaning district, Rep. LaGrand’s general election opponent is nothing more than an afterthought. Expect Rep. LaGrand to post a wide margin of victory, capturing more than 70% of the vote in each of his two previous general elections. In the current session, Rep. LaGrand serves as the Democratic Vice Chair on the Judiciary Committee and is also a member of the Oversight Committee.

76TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 13,762 Doug Zandstra 8,243

General Election Outlook:

Another safe Democratic district in the City of Grand Rapids, Rep. Rachel Hood will have no trouble securing her second term. Rep. Hood is a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

77TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Bob Smith 6,454 10,573

General Election Outlook:

Second term Wyoming Republican and restaurant owner Rep. Tommy Brann should feel confident heading into November, posting 25% and 30% margins of victory in the 2018 and 2016 general elections, respectively. Rep. Brann is a member of the House Appropriations Committee.

78TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Dan VandenHeede 5,690 10,064

General Election Outlook:

The overwhelmingly Republican southwest Michigan district leaves little doubt that Rep. Brad Paquette will cruise to victory this November. Rep. Paquette is currently the Republican Vice Chair for the House Education Committee while also serving on the Committees on Elections & Ethics Committee, Insurance Committee, and Local Government & Municipal Finance.

79TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Chokwe Pitchford 6,610 10,076 Jacquie Blackwell 2,145

General Election Outlook:

Posting a double digit margin of victory in the 2018 general election, Rep. Pauline Wendzel is favored to retain her seat this November. Rep. Wendzel currently serves as the Republican Vice Chair for both the Commerce and Tourism Committee as well as the Energy Committee. She is also a member of the Committees on Agriculture and Regulatory Reform.

80TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Erik Almquist 6,582 11,501 Nevin Cooper-Keel 2,653

General Election Outlook:

Trouncing her primary opponent, Rep. Mary Whiteford will return to Lansing after another uncompetitive election in November. Rep. Whiteford serves on the House Appropriations Committee.

81ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Debbie Bourgois 6,056 10,276 John Mahaney 3,939

General Election Outlook:

A district that supported President Trump by a 35% margin in 2016 while supporting Rep. Gary Eisen by a similar margin in 2018, Debbie Bourgois poses little threat to Eisen’s reelection bid in this safe Republican district. Rep. Eisen serves as the Republican Vice Chair of the House Transportation Committee and is also a member of the Agriculture, Local Government & Municipal Finance, and Natural Resource & Outdoor Recreation Committees for this session.

82ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Jerry Tkach 2,603 Gary Howell 16,211 Kurt Hausauer 2,524 General Election Outlook:

While the Democratic primary remains too close to call, the general election is merely a formality after Rep. Gary Howell posted a nearly 40% margin of victory in the 2018 cycle. Rep. Howell serves as the Chairman of the House Natural Resources and Outdoor Recreation Committee and is also a member of the Judiciary, Local Government and Municipal Finance, and Transportation Committees.

83RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Stephanie 5,257 5,662 Armstrong-Helton Gregory Alexander 4,461 Tim Keller 3,166 Joseph O’Mara 2,216 Charles Armstrong 269 General Election Outlook:

A safe Republican district, U.S. Naval Academy graduate and former U.S. Navy Surface Warfare Officer Andrew Beeler earned a hard fought victory over Sanilac County Drain Commissioner Gregory Alexander in one of the state’s most competitive Republican primaries. With the district’s partisan lean, Tuesday’s victory all but ensures Beeler will succeed House Appropriations Chairman as the 83rd district representative.

84TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Patrick Wood 3,018 13,479 Douglas Marker 1,869

General Election Outlook:

Winning the district by over 30% in 2018, with President Trump posting a similar margin of victory in 2016, Rep. Phil Green has little reason to be concerned this November. Rep. Green is a member of the House Appropriations Committee for the current session.

85TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Andrea Garrison 7,784 10,691

General Election Outlook:

Although Democratic candidates have been competitive in the district, Rep. Ben Frederick has consistently outperformed the top of the ticket, defeating both of his previous general election opponents by 20%+ margins while the Senate and Gubernatorial races were decided by single digits. Seeking his third and final term, Rep. Frederick serves as the Republican Vice Chair of the Health Policy Committee and as a member of the Energy, Insurance, and Regulatory Reform Committee this session.

86TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Sue Hayes 4,512 Thomas Albert 15,485 Jeff Merritt 2,851

General Election Outlook:

A district comprised of various rural and suburban West Michigan communities, Rep. Thomas Albert should have little difficulty securing reelection after posting 25% margins of victory in the two previous general elections. Rep. Albert is a member of the House Appropriations Committee for this session.

87TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Jay Molette 5,397 15,408

General Election Outlook:

Rated as one of the state’s most conservative districts, Rep. Julie Calley will post another lopsided margin of victory this November. Rep. Calley serves as the Chairwoman of the House Elections & Ethics Committee and is also a member of the Health Policy, Local Government and Municipal Finance, and Natural Resources and Outdoor Recreation Committees for the current session.

88TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Franklin Cornielle 4,811 16,412

General Election Outlook:

Capturing 71% of the vote in the 2018 general election, Rep. Luke Meerman’s reelection is all but guaranteed in this Ottawa County based district. Rep. Meerman currently serves on the House Ways and Means Committee.

89TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Anita Brown 5,623 14,544 Erik Nordman 3,097

General Election Outlook:

The West Michigan lakeshore is arguably the state’s most conservative area, with Rep. Jim Lilly posting 25% margins of victory in the previous two general elections. Rep. Lilly serves as the Republican Vice Chair on the House Ways and Means Committee and is also a member of the Government Operations Committee for the 2019-2020 session.

90TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Christopher Banks 6,101 9,258 Mark Northrup 2,742

General Election Outlook:

Thwarting a primary challenge from Hudsonville Mayor Mark Northrup, Rep. Bradley Slagh’s general election opponent poses no significant threat in this ruby red district. Rep. Slagh currently serves on the House Appropriations Committee.

91ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Brian Hosticka 9,118 Greg VanWoerkom 8,676

General Election Outlook:

While the district’s composition suggests a competitive general election, Rep. Greg VanWoerkom’s district roots run deep, with his father representing the area in both the House and Senate. It may not be a blowout, but Rep. VanWoerkom should defeat his general election opponent in November, especially with President Trump on the ballot.

92ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 9,641 Michael Haueisen 2,157 Michael Del Percio 1,799

General Election Outlook:

Home to one of West Michigan’s largest African American populations in Muskegon and Muskegon Heights, Rep. Terry Sabo will easily secure his third term this November. Rep. Sabo serves on the House Appropriations Committee.

93RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Muhammad Rais 7,657 13,304

General Election Outlook:

Rep. Graham Filler has performed well in this Republican leaning district, don’t expect any serious challenge this cycle. Rep. Filler serves as Chairman of the House Judiciary Committee and is also a member of the Committees on Energy, Health Policy, and Regulatory Reform.

94TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Demond Tibbs 5,800 10,022 Kevin Seamon 4,781

General Election Outlook:

A district he won by a double digit margin in 2018, Rep. Rodney Wakeman should be safe considering President Trump’s 20% margin of victory in the district in 2016. Rep. Wakeman serves as the Republican Vice Chair for the committee on Natural Resources and Outdoor Recreation and is also a member of the Committees on Commerce and Tourism, Education, and Financial Services.

95TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Amos O’Neal 5,194 Charlotte DeMaet 2,588 Clint Bryant 2,838 Carly Hammond 1,738 James Graham 987 Brandell Adams 535

General Election Outlook:

Saginaw County Commissioner Amos O’Neal secured a number of labor organization endorsements on his way to victory in the five- way Democratic primary. A safe Democratic district, Mr. O’Neal is certain to succeed term limited Rep. .

96TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 11,479 3,432 Martin Blank 2,154 Allen Bauer 1,276

General Election Outlook:

Despite President Trump’s 8% margin of victory in 2016, Rep. Brian Elder should have little trouble securing his third term after trouncing his opponents by double digits in 2016 and 2018. Rep. Elder is currently the Democratic Vice Chair for the House Committee on Agriculture and is also a member of the Judiciary Committee. The Chairman and co-founder of the Michigan Legislative Labor Caucus, Rep. Elder enjoys the support of many of the same blue collar voters President Trump won over in 2016.

97TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Celia Young-Wenke 3,367 13,104 Shane Atwell 1,654

General Election Outlook:

A safe Republican district, Rep. Jason Wentworth defeated his previous general election opponents by 30% margins in 2016 and 2018. The assumed Republican leader for next session, Rep. Wentworth is likely more concerned with ensuring a Republican majority next session.

98TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Sarah Schulz 7,677 10,717

General Election Outlook:

Winning by a 4% margin in 2018, Rep. Annette Glenn should face a competitive challenge this November in a district that has been trending towards Democrats. Rep. Glenn is a member of the House Appropriations Committee this session.

99TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total John Zang 2,979 8,145 Randall Doyle 2,727

General Election Outlook:

While the top of the ticket races were close in 2018, Rep. Roger Hauck outperformed on his way to a comfortable victory and should be safe this November. Seeking his third and final term, Rep. Hauck currently serves on the House Ways and Means Committee.

100TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Sandy Clarke 5,157 Scott VanSingel 10,152 Andrew Sebolt 4,730

General Election Outlook:

A conservative stronghold, Rep. Scott VanSingel was likely more concerned with the primary challenge from Oceana County Commissioner and Oceana County Republican Party Chairman Andrew Sebolt. Handily defeating Mr. Sebolt, Rep. VanSingel should cruise to reelection. Rep. VanSingel serves on the House Appropriations Committee.

101ST DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Beth McGill-Rizer 9,000 Jack O’Malley 14,581 Cary Urka 2,411 Carolyn Cater 2,224

General Election Outlook:

This district isn’t as red as the typical Northern Michigan district, but Rep. Jack O’Malley outperformed the top of the ticket in 2018 and should be safe this cycle. Rep. O’Malley serves as the Chairman of the House Transportation Committee and is also a member of the Committees on Tax Policy, Education, and Energy.

102ND DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Amanda Siggins 4,279 14,586

General Election Outlook:

Expect very little suspense in a district Rep. Michele Hoitenga has carried by 30-40% margins twice already. Rep. Hoitenga serves as the Chairwoman of the House Communications and Technology Committee and is also a member of the Committees on Regulatory Reform, Insurance, Agriculture and Families, Children & Seniors.

103RD DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Zach Larson 5,495 12,384 Gary Stefanko 5,974

General Election Outlook:

Defeating a primary challenger by a more than 2-1 margin, Rep. Daire Rendon’s path to reelection is clear in one of the state’s most conservative districts. Rep. Rendon serves as the Chairwoman of the Insurance Committee and the Republican Vice chairwoman of the Committee on Families, Children & Seniors. Rep. Rendon is also a member of the Judiciary, Natural Resources and Outdoor Recreation Committees.

104TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Dan O’Neil 10,814 7,858 Heather Cerone 5,765

General Election Outlook:

Winning a competitive Republican primary to succeed embattled Rep. Larry Inman, John Roth is the favorite to hold this lean Republican district containing Traverse City. Although, Democrats are optimistic that their candidate will be competitive, with Rep. Inman winning by less than a 1% margin in 2018.

105TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Jonathan Burke 6,394 Ken Borton 10,383 Tony Cutler 6,816 Jimmy Schmidt 1,649

General Election Outlook:

Ken Borton, Chairman of the Otsego County Board of Commissioners, posted a resounding victory in what was expected to be one of the state’s most competitive primaries. A safe Republican district, Tuesday’s Republican primary essentially determined this district’s representative.

106TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total LeAnn Johnson 6,718 17,109

General Election Outlook:

2020 should be an uneventful election cycle for Rep. Sue Allor, with no primary challenger and an overwhelmingly conservative district guaranteeing a lopsided general election victory. Rep. Allor serves on the House Appropriations Committee.

107TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Jim Page 4,909 7,968 Kurt Perron 2,154 Kathy Tward 1,640 Sue Fisher 1,471 Terry Lamb 1,367 David Laughbaum 732 Tana Baldwin 487 Damon Lieurance 407

General Election Outlook:

A Harbor Springs School Board member and Director of the Harbor Springs Downtown Development Authority, John Damoose will succeed House Speaker Lee Chatfield in this safe Republican district after winning a seven- way primary.

108TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Renee Richer 7,251 Beau LaFave 8,735

General Election Outlook:

Although Democrats boast an impressive candidate in Harvard educated professor Renee Richer, this district is simply too red for her to give Rep. Beau LaFave any issues, especially with President Trump on the ticket. Rep. LaFave serves as Chairman of the House Committee on Military, Veterans & Homeland Security, Republican Vice Chairman of the Judiciary Committee, and is also a member of the Committees on Insurance, Oversight, and Agriculture.

109TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total 12,935 Melody Wagner 3,278 Matthew Goss 3,004

General Election Outlook:

Despite President Trump’s success here in 2016, Rep. Sara Cambensy defeated her general election opponent by nearly 18% in 2018. A moderate Democrat, Rep. Cambensy has been able to win over the same blue collar constituency that supported the president in 2016, and there is no reason to believe she will struggle in November. Rep. Cambensy serves as the Democratic Vice Chair for the House Committee on Commerce and Tourism and is also a member of the Committees on Regulatory Reform and Natural Resources and Outdoor Recreation.

110TH DISTRICT Results:

Democratic Primary Total Republican Primary Total Janet Metsa 6,897 8,990 Lawrence Dale 1,623 Casey VerBerkmoes 963

General Election Outlook:

Squeaking out a victory by just over 1% in 2018, expect Rep. Gregory Markkanen to win by a more comfortable margin with President Trump on the ballot, a district he won by about 19% in 2016. Rep. Markkanen serves as the Republican Vice Chair for the House Insurance Committee and is also a member of the Committees on Military, Veterans & Homeland Security, Energy and Education.