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East Midlands Rail Summit
Friday 10 October 2014 Welcome Rt Hon Nicky Morgan MP Chair Pete Waterman Anna Walker Office of Rail Regulation East Midlands Rail Summit
Running trains on a £1.5bn building site
Phil Verster, presentation to East Midlands Rail Summit Managing Director, LNE & EM Route
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Three significant challenges
1. Delivering an ambitious programme of work to electrify and remove bottlenecks, 2. . . . While also delivering a punctual train service during the construction phases, 3. . . . While also ensuring that the amenities and travel experience satisfies passengers Remodelling Derby, Leicester Reconstructing 226 bridges + 50 structures Electrifying 630 track Kms of railway Realigning & renewing track (+ W12) Improving signalling
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1. Ambitious programme of work - milestones
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1. Ambitious programme of work - structures
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1. Ambitious programme of work – power & track
12,000 foundations and support masts Increase line speed to 85mph with full length platforms and new footbridge at Market Harborough, stairs and AfA lifts (2018), 30-60 second time saving; LEP
4 new Grid Bulk Supplies and 24 Additional line between Bedford to Kettering (2017) new distribution points and Corby (2016) for passenger and freight paths
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1. Ambitious programme of work – stations
New Platform
Platform Platform Platform Platform Platform Platform 6 5 4 3 2 1
Platforms at Derby as viewed from the North approach
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1. Ambitious programme of work – stations
Platforms to match longer trains will provide capacity and help with performance; currently on target for 2017 is Bedford, Kettering, Improvements in passenger amenities at Lincoln, Wellingborough and Corby Alfreton, Kettering and Long Eaton
Alfreton refurbishment of platforms and Opportunities at Kidsgrove for new car footbridge, new footbridge with lifts and stairs parking and a transport interchange
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2. Punctual service throughout – LSI lessons
RTR - LD Services
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
1401 1402 1403 1404 1405 1406 1407 1408 1409 1410 1411 1412 1413 1501 1502 1503 1504 1505 1506
LD Period RTR LD Period PPM LD MAA RTR LD MAA PPM
•Timetable change at P1410 saw some initial issues and continuing decline in RT •Consistent improvement for EMT Long Distance Right Time results since P13
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2. Punctual service throughout – planning
1 Increase levels of maturity 2 IP Ways of Working 3 Culture of Collaboration
1. Supply chain early engagement at 1. Risk and change control process 1. Behaviours 2016 vs 2017 – how the SC get embedded (inc. risk ownership) 2. More day to day communications ready to plan for 2017 now 2. GRIP 1-4 vs 4-8 stages (two way and sharing of information 2. Building the maturity of projects in approach – planning and delivery) 3. Collaborative/joined up working – P6 3. How to integrate design no silos 3. Blockade opportunities at early 4. Linking KPIs to integration activity – 4. Early and increased visibility of planning are they incentivised work and across all parties 4. IP as a 12 month programme 5. Alignment to national integration schedule initiative
4 Integration Planning System 5 Benefits Realisation 6 People
1. Developing an Interface schedule 1. How to measure and report on 1. Interface between GLs and actual benefits Integrated Planning and PgM 2. Input all other projects Managers 2. How to manage the benefits 3. How to link it all together and messages 2. Stakeholder engagement and integrate the projects and align to communications (internal and VIP milestones (dependencies 3. Confirming the baseline external – inc. sponsors, councils) etc..) 4. Short term actions to realise 3. Role of CDM and PC 4. Develop and execute reporting and benefits dashboard 4. Role of NR planners and PgM 5. Dis-benefit/risk quantification controller 5. Handbook review and confirmation (SC) 5. Creation of Joint Working planning team – maturity in P6 link
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3. Assured customer experience - relationships
Nottingham Station
Track renewals at Nottingham
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Thank you!
East Midlands Gateway, north of EM Airport, Development Consent Order accepted by Planning Inspectorate in Sept 2014 East Midlands Intermodal Park, A38/A50 interchange close to Toyota, DCO application expected by Summer 2015
/ 15 Rail Investment in the East Midlands David Horne, Managing Director MML Passenger numbers 1991-2015
14
12
Start of EMT 10
8
6
Passenger journeys (m) journeys Passenger
4 Privatisation
2
0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Market Harborough Leicester flyover
Separation of North-South traffic from East-West freight
Glen Parva Junction Suggested Option
South Wigston Station
Overbridge Leicester Overbridge 3 1 Station Bay platform in Bridge 7 1&2 or 3&4 (Humberstone New Syston Station Road) Wigston Bridge 12 North Knighton Bridge 61 Bridge 25 Junction Junction
93.5 95.5 MP MP 97.75 Syston North 98 Syston South MP 103.25 Junction MP 100 MP Junction New Kilby Loop New Wigston Reinstate 4 tracks MP 96 Knighton between Leicester 99.25 New flyover MP Tunnel Syston South and Wigston 59A MP Humberstone Road Sidings Junction to East Syston East 99 Sidings Junction doubling MP New Junction through Platform Electrification of diversionary routes
Red routes – electrification planned Blue routes – electrification not planned
Thank you!
Rail Operator of the Year 2014 Rail Investment in the East Midlands The Rail Freight Perspective Friday 10th October 2014 Electric Spine Felixstowe Intermodal Traffic Croft – Aggregate Industries Bardon – Aggregate Industries Mountsorrell – Tarmac/Lafarge Bardon Hill Rail Sidings Mountsorrell Rail Sidings Syston Junction Leicester Station Wigston Junction Market Harborough Station Three Aspect Signal Corby Station Wellingborough Sharnbrook Summit
CONGESTED INFRASTRUCTURE Rail Investment in the East Midlands
• FREIGHT TRAFFIC IS HERE TO STAY AND MUST BE ACCOMMODATED • LOCAL LEADERSHIP PRAGMATIC/POLITICAL/PRIORITISES • END GAME MUST BE CLEAR • MY PRIORITIES LEICESTER CAPACITY 4 ASPECT SIGNALLING 4 TRACK BEFORD-KETTERING/CORBY LEICESTER-SYSTON MOUNTSORRELL RELOCATED ALL SINGLE LEAD JUNCTIONS REMOVED Rail Investment in the East Midlands The Rail Freight Perspective Friday 10th October 2014 Panel Questions and Answers Refreshments High Speed 2 in the East Midlands Alison Munro HS2 Ltd A High Speed Future for the East Midlands Alison Munro, Managing Director HS2 Ltd
East Midlands Rail Summit 2014 10th October 2014
www.hs2.org.uk Rebalancing Britain; redefining rail travel HS2: a strategic transformation
Phase One Stations: Euston Old Oak Common Birmingham Interchange Birmingham Curzon Street
Phase Two Stations: East Midlands Hub Sheffield Meadowhall Leeds New Lane Manchester Piccadilly Manchester Airport
56 HS2 puts the East Midlands at the heart of the rail network
• Fast, reliable and regular services to London, the West Midlands and Yorkshire; • The location of the station is critical to realising the benefits, • Link in to the existing network to serve a broad market across the region, • Create new regeneration opportunities
57 HS2 is a unique opportunity to:
• Alleviate the ever-growing strain on our railways; • Bring our cities closer together; • Drive local regeneration and integrate with local authorities’ plans for growth; • Release the transport and housing pressure on the South-East and rebalance Britain’s economy.
58 Rail travel is growing
59 Demand is set to continue rising But that’s not all: • Britain’s population is expected to swell by 10 million over the next 25 years; • even fairly conservative rail demand forecasts (1.5% to 2% per year) would lead to many main intercity routes being overcrowded in 10 years; • meaning more uncomfortable journeys and people choosing not to travel by rail – or not even travelling at all; • which is bad for the economy – and bad for people’s everyday lives.
60 Sticking with the status quo will not work A new line is the only way to relieve the pressure. HS2 will: • provide fast, frequent, dedicated, intercity shuttle services for long-distance journeys, taking pressure off the most overcrowded part of the network • instantly release space on crucial regional and commuter routes; • benefit freight traffic.
61 We can create a better transport network But it’s not just about more trains: • it’s about modern, spacious trains running on from the new line to our existing railways; • faster and more reliable trains – a more comfortable and convenient option than driving or flying; • connecting to existing transport services; and • benefiting everyone, even those who never board an HS2 train.
62 Visualisation of an HS2 train HS2 will also transform how railway projects are delivered in the UK
64 And it is a unique opportunity for the East Midlands to develop its rail industry • Building the right skills • Labour forecasting and analysis • Education strategy • Apprenticeships • Graduates • Working with Core Cities • Rail Supply Group launched • Inspiring careers in the rail industry
65 The transformation We can seize the opportunity to develop skills and create jobs: • 20,000 construction jobs for 10 years (GG21)
We want to do much more than the average: • 3% of construction jobs for apprentices (industry average); • HS2’s pipeline of work stretches 10 years ahead.
66 Direct jobs
67 Jobs and skills The project will: • directly employ up to 50,000 people; • drive the delivery of 100,000 jobs across the country; and • provide huge supply chain opportunities for companies in Britain.
68 Programme
Early Works Procurements: • Phase 1 Categories: . Ground Investigation Services • Design Services £0.3bn • Enabling £0.6bn • Tunnels £2.9bn • Stations £2.6bn • Surface Route £2.7bn • Systems £1.5bn • Rolling Stock £2.0bn
69 How will we engage?
Working with the supply chain Programme-level themes will be cascaded through our engagement with the supply chain to support the delivery of the outcomes and benefits of the HS2 vision.
They provide an essential framework for procurement planning and delivery through the setting of goals, targets and incentives.
70 Efficient and professional delivery
• Safety • Working with communities along the route • World-class delivery • No redesign, rework, duplication of staff • Early involvement • Transformational railway construction • Always considering whole-life costs and benefits – focusing on value for money
71 Building momentum
• Main procurement starts in 2015 • Building delivery expertise • Several key appointments this year • Growing the team • Moving into delivery phase • Programme management systems • World-class delivery • Collaboration with our partners
72 Taking the project forward
73 HS2 Plus & Growth Task Force
• Sir David Higgins will provide an update this Autumn; • Looks at how HS2 integrates with East-West Connectivity; • Support Government decisions on Phase Two of HS2 and beyond; • Growth Task Force working across Government to maximise benefits of HS2.
74 It is vital we get it right HS2 must keep to its key principles. It must: • stand the test of time; • be the right strategic answer; • be integrated with existing and future transport services; • maximise the value added to local and national economies; and • be a catalyst for change, both nationally and locally.
75 Thank you HS2 in the East Midlands: How good could it be?
Cllr Jon Collins Chair of East Midlands HS2 Strategic Board The Eastern Leg Huge Economic Potential
Up to £2 billion p.a. additional GVA Connectivity to other key cities will drive growth - Leeds, Birmingham, Newcastle, Manchester It is not all about London! But if we are bypassed by HS2 – then is would be an economic disaster! Our Vision for HS2…
unique and sustainable places, that are well connected by high quality infrastructure, for people who will benefit from enhanced employment prospects resulting from targeted investment in skills and business support. unique & sustainable places…
Inspiring 21st Gateway to the East Midlands Using HS2 to strengthen the roles of existing centres Development that builds links between businesses, communities and universities Reducing the impact of severance on communities and maximising local benefits well connected…
HS2 services additional to classic rail Using released capacity to improve services across the East Midlands Fully integrating HS2 into the classic rail network Multi-modal accessibility to a Hub Station – including from local communities A better passenger experience! for people…
. Rebuilding pride and excellence in our manufacturing and construction sectors . Working with our schools, colleges and universities . Maximising the potential of the Staveley Maintenance Depot - and other related employment opportunities . Making sure our companies have a fair chance to win HS2 contracts It’s down to us… Panel Questions and Answers Lunch Lilian Greenwood MP Economic impact of rail
Bridget Rosewell Senior Adviser October 2014 Types of economic impact
• Increasing density and productivity in city centres • Improving access to other cities supporting diversity • Widening market access for innovation • Reducing transport costs for trade • Lowering environmental costs Increasing city centre access
• City centres are sources of economic growth • Delivering higher density cities needs public transport • Mixes of heavy and light rail, with bus, can work well Importance of cities
‘The economic future of the UK is intimately tied up with the prospects and futures of its leading cities. If they don’t work, the economy won’t work and we won’t work.’ Michael Parkinson (2013) No cities, no civilisation; no successful cities, no successful nations
Source: Centre for Cities: Cities Outlook 2014 Importance of northern and midland cities The busiest station for passengers Cities and the economy Trams and trains Output and widening range of commuting Intercity access
• Growth and intercity trips have gone hand in hand • Improves potential for both specialisation and diversity • Innovation needs reach into new niches • This is about both speed and capacity Productivity and rail usage Widening market access
“As by means of water-carriage a more extensive market is opened to every sort of industry than what land-carriage alone can afford it, so it is upon the sea coast, and along the banks of navigable rivers, that industry of every kind naturally begins to subdivide and improve itself…” Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations, 1776 • Infrastructure affects trade – Professor Venables research • International integration • Business to business access and contact • Finding and relating to clients and suppliers A busy network Supply not meeting demand Capacity constraints will bite – mostly around major cities
• The East Coast Main Line is one of the busiest railways in Britain: there is already significant overcrowding and demand is set to increase significantly.
• The East Coast Main Line 2016 Capacity Review demonstrated that ‘the demand for (railway) paths exceeds the capacity available and that without any trade offs in journey times or service specification there are Expert judgement on post-2019 limited opportunities to increase the capacity pressures on north-south number of train services’ main lines (HS2 Strategic case) Reducing transport costs
• Latest estimate CEBR cost of traffic congestion £4.3bn pa • Other estimates even higher – ranging £7bn to £30bn Lower Environmental costs
• Lowering environmental impact has economic benefit too • Mode shift to rail reduces carbon both commuting and intercity • Rail’s share of transport GHG emissions is 2%, while rail’s market share is 6% (passenger) and 10% (freight) • Biomass transferred by rail How do estimate benefits to the economy? • HS2 states it is about rebalancing the economy and delivering economic growth but none of that is captured in the way we appraise transport investments • DfT assessment based on time savings and assumes growth will happen • Example: HS1 • BCR of 1.8 on standard methods • But this missed £10bn of regeneration benefits around stations which the benefits methods failed to capture Source: HS2 Strategic Case HS2 eastern leg – benefits
• BCR of HS2 is 2.3 for the whole network • In 2010, when options were being considered, HS2 found that an eastern extension to Leeds resulted in a BCR of 5.6, significantly higher than BCR of all other options considered at the time Thank you.
Bridget Rosewell [email protected] Rail as an Engine of Economic Growth A Business Perspective
George Cowcher Director & Chief Executive
October 2014 • Rail is essential as a tool for business – connectivity
(EWS) • East Midlands has the largest Rail industry hub in Europe Connectivity essential
Chamber Surveys consistently show:
Two key issues for business are: – Skills – Transport Connectivity
Reality
Perception Transport Connectivity
Local Employees
Regional Customers
National Raw materials
International Components
Finished Products
Without good connectivity, economic growth is not maximised. Rail
Increasingly important – Local, regional, national – passenger and freight
Growth in passengers by 2020 – East Midlands to London 27 per cent
– Nottingham to Birmingham 42 per cent
– Freight growth even higher!
Source: Network Rail Existing Rail Infrastructure
- Midland Mainline - Poor alignment and slow - Capacity issues, particularly South of Kettering
- Cross Country Services - very slow/reliability issues
- Increasing freight demand and new infrastructure to East Coast ports and “Electric Spine” to Southampton
New freight depot and East Midlands Airport The Future
1. Need for continuing investment to increase capacity, improve reliability, assist sustainability, improve speed – Midland Mainline electrification – New local developments – Ilkeston station, Castle Line improvements 2. Unprogrammed – Growing improvements East Coast Mainline Newark – Leicester – Burton on Trent Line 3. HS2 As rail industry provider – manufacturer, innovator, engineer, servicer, the challenge for East Midlands is to:
1. Capture as much of the new investment for local companies
2. Expand export potential
3. Stimulate innovation
4. Modernise and increase capacity
5. Grow new business There is great growth potential in the region:
• 2009 employment: 8,517 (2009) • 2019 employment: 14,136 (66% increase)
• 2009 economic output (£m): 2,622 (2009) • 2019 economic output (£m): 4,352 (66% increase) Rail as an engine of economic growth Friday 10th October 2014
Michelle Craven-Faulkner Vice Chair, Derby & Derbyshire Rail Forum Partner, Geldards LLP Derby & Derbyshire Rail Forum • World’s largest rail cluster • Growing organisation – currently with 135 members • Covering the full spectrum of the rail sector
Whilst we celebrate 175 years of rail manufacturing in Derby we look to the future… Rail in the region • Rail Sector contributes £2.6bn of economic output to the local economy • 13% of all UK jobs are in Derby – 8 times the regional and national average • East Midlands is a centre for rail – incorporates engineering, technology and innovation • Long term sustainability The near future – HS2 • East Midlands can design, build deliver, maintain & operate HS2 • Industry’s focus – concerns jobs, skills, local industry rather than route • BUT do not forget freight opportunities Further ahead • HS3 • Crossrail 3 • What else…?
What is clear is that we want to avoid ‘feast and famine’ of post privatisation - 1000 days without a rolling stock order How can this be achieved? • Procurement processes • NET extension • Cross-rail • SME support • Grant funding • Tenders • Apprenticeships • Export support Don’t forget • Not just rolling stock • Network is at capacity • Extra trains and extending platforms not a long term solution • Refurbishment / Renovate • Innovation What next… DDRF HS2 strategy group • overall project • skills Contact Details
Michelle Craven-Faulkner Vice Chair, DDRF Partner, Geldards LLP T: 01332 378391 E: [email protected] Neil Harvey General Manager, DDRF T: 01332 593550 E: [email protected] Thank you! Panel Questions and Answers Closing remarks Close