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Metropolitan Chicago Market Review Offi ce Market Review Year-End 2017 To our valued customers, partners and future clients… There is a lot of speculation about the true value of Bitcoin and other digital currencies, but the past few years have made it clear that the real currency of the future is data. The so-called “FANG” companies – Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google – all rely on data and demographic information to inform everything they do. With the advent of voice-activated devices like Alexa and Google Home and the proliferation of GPS-enabled smartphones, companies are selling convenience, but what they’re getting is information. Location, preferences, habits, interests, hobbies. They know when you need to order more laundry detergent, when you’re considering buying a car, whether you’ve had a baby and what kind of entertainment you enjoy. Science fiction author Arthur C. Clarke once wrote that “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” Target knows - based on what I’ve bought in the past - what I’m likely to need in the future, and when I’ll need it. I could swear that sometimes online ads are reading my mind. I don’t mean to sound paranoid or ungrateful. Data algorithms brought us “Stranger Things,” and I love that show. Past behavior and circumstances are key determinants of our future activity, and real estate is no different. Demographics and data are the components that drive companies to make sound business decisions. While construction outpaced absorption in Chicago’s industrial markets last year, continued positive absorption across overall office and industrial markets is the lasting legacy of 2017. Accessing and understanding the drivers of our market are important to understanding the ongoing tug-of-war between supply and demand. We are pleased to present our summary and analysis of 2017’s market activity, and are always available to provide the information to help you with your next decision. Regards, Table of Contents NAI Hiffman Metropolitan Chicago Offi ce Market Review Year-End 2017 04 Economic Overview 07 Office Statistics 08 Suburban Office Summary 10 North Suburban 12 Northwest Suburban 14 O’Hare 16 East-West Corridor 18 I-55 Corridor 20 Downtown Office Summary 22 West Loop 24 Central Loop 26 East Loop 28 North Michigan Avenue 30 River North 32 NAI Global/Methodology 34 NAI Hiffman Fourth Quarter 2017 Economic Overview Global Economy U.S. Dollar Index • The global economy is regaining momentum, reflecting improvement in both the advanced 150 and developing nations. Inflation in the advanced economies slowed sharply in 2015, but has picked-up since the oil price rebound that began in early 2016. However, it is unlikely 120 to reaccelerate further next year as oil prices continue to trend sideways. • Global growth reached a stronger-than- 90 expected 3 percent in 2017—a notable recovery ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 U.S. Dollar U.S. Recession Period from a post-crisis low of 2.4 percent in 2016. The substantial improvement reflected an Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System investment-led pickup in advanced economies and a growth acceleration in emerging market U.S. GDP Change by Quarter and developing economies. The World Bank 6.0 forecasts global economic growth to edge up to 3.1 percent in 2018. 4.0 3.1% 3.2% 2.6% • Economists forecast 2018 to be on track to be 2.0 1.8% the first year since the financial crisis that the 1.2% global economy will be operating at or near full 0 capacity. -2.0 -4.0 U.S. Economy 4Q 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017 3Q 2017 4Q 2017 2017 IMF Projection GDP Growth (%) Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis • The U.S. economic outlook is healthy according to the key economic indicators. The most critical Crude Oil Prices indicator is the gross domestic product, which 160 measures the nation's production output. The New York Federal Reserve estimated U.S. gross domestic product growth for the fourth quarter of 2017 near 120 4 percent, based on revisions of prior data that suggested stronger economic activities. 80 • The U.S. manufacturing sector is primed for another year of growth in 2018. The Institute for Supply 40 Management's PMI registered 59.7 percent in December, an increase of 1.5 percentage points 0 over the November reading of 58.2 percent. Of the ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 18 manufacturing industries, 16 reported growth in Dollars per Barrel Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration December. • The U.S. unemployment rate dipped slightly to 4.1 percent at the end of December, from the 4.2 percent reported third quarter. The jobless rate fell to the lowest levels since records began in 1976 in Hawaii, Mississippi and California. The rate in Hawaii was 2.0 percent, while Mississippi's dropped to 4.6 percent and California's declined to 4.3 percent. 4.8% 4.8% 4.1% CHICAGO METRO ILLINOIS UNITED STATES UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT Local Economy • According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Chicago unemployment rate measured 4.8 percent in December, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index 70 basis points lower than the recorded unemployment 250 rate of 5.5 percent during the same time period last year. The Chicago economy has expanded by an estimated 14,845 jobs year-over-year. This growth is driven by 200 gains in the financial services and education and health services sectors. • The Midwest Economy Index (MEI) measured 0.22 in 150 November, up significantly over the -0.01 recorded last year at this time. The MEI measures growth in nonfarm business activity from four broad sectors of the 100 Midwest economy: 1) manufacturing, 2) construction ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 Chicago Home Price Index 10-City Composite Home Price Index and mining, 3) services, and 4) consumer spending. Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices • Chicago’s July 2017 home price level recorded a 4.15 percent year-over-year increase according to the S&P S&P 500 Index CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index. This rate is lower than the 10-City and 20-City Composites’ 2,500 respective 6.02 and 6.38 percent growth rates. • According to the National Association of Realtors, the 2,000 Chicago-area housing market is expected to be the weakest of any of the nation's 100 largest metropolitan areas during 2017. The prices of homes throughout the 1,500 Chicago metropolitan area are expected to climb just 1.95 percent, and sales of new and existing homes are expected to increase 2.27 percent. Nationally, home 1,000 prices are anticipated to climb 3.9 percent and home sales are predicted to rise 2.6 percent 500 • The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 (CPI-U) in the Chicago area increased by 1.7 percent Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices in December over the amount recorded for December of last year. Over the year energy costs rose 7.4 percent, primarily due to an increase in gasoline prices. For the same period, the food index increased 0.8 percent. POPULATION (2015 CENSUS EST.) 12,859,995 GROSS METRO PRODUCT (2016) $791.6 BILLION POPULATION CHANGE (2000-2015) +3.5% EMPLOYMENT - NONFARM (2016) 6,029,400 MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (2015) $60,413 JOBS GAINED (4Q 2016-4Q 2017) 13,900 5 Kenosha Regional Airport Chicago Offi ce Markets Waukegan Regional Airport OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEWS Fox Lake North Suburban. 10 Gurnee Waukegan Northwest Suburban . 12 McHenry Grayslake O’Hare . 14 94 East-West Corridor . .16 I-55 Corridor . .18 Libertyville West Loop. 22 Crystal Lake North Central Loop . 24 Vernon Hills Lake Forest Suburban East Loop . .26 Lake Zurich North Michigan Avenue . 28 Buffalo Highland Park Grove River North . 30 Deerfield Northwest Northbrook Suburban Chicago Executive Dundee Airport 94 Glenview Arlington 294 90 Heights Evanston Elgin Schaumburg Niles Skokie South Elgin O’HareOhare Int'l AirportArea Dupage Franklin Park 90 Airport Addison 290 St Charles 94 355 Carol Stream CBD (Central Business District) Lombard 290 Chicago 90 41 Chicago Oak St 94 Midway Airport 171 East-West Chicago Ave 294 North Aurora 90 88 55 41 CorridorDowners River North Westmont Chicago Midway Grove Ohio43 St 12 North Michigan12 State St Airport Michigan Ave Naperville Burr 20 Avenue20 Aurora Ridge Kinzie St Oak 90 Lawn Wack Darien 57 er Dr I-55 50 94 9483 East Loop 90 Corridor Randolph St Bolingbrook West Central 294 Loop Loop Halsted St 57 Carpenter St Harvey Michigan Ave 355 Dr Wacker 94 Wells St Wells 6 Romeoville 290 Congress Pky 55 294 80 Gary/Chicago A Offi ce Market Statistics Fourth Quarter 2017 Market/Market/ TotalTotal RBA RBA DirectDirect SubleaseSublease TotalTotal TotalTotal 1Q 20174Q 2017 Net Net TotalTotal 2017 2017 4Q 20171Q 2017Under UnderNew Leasing Asking Rental SubmarketSubmarket (SF)(SF) VacancyVacancy VacancyVacancy VacancyVacancy AvailableAvailable AbsorptionAbsorption (SF) (SF) AbsorptionAbsorption (SF) (SF Constr.Constr. (SF) Activity(SF) (SF) Rates (PSF) North Suburban 30,080,709 17.17% 1.11% 18.27% 24.31% 41,558 -358,221 0 345,408 Class “A” 17,494,223 18.96% 1.53% 20.49% 26.88% -7,845 -268,851 0 $27.91 Class “B” 9,762,923 14.79% 0.66% 15.45% 21.45% 38,224 -100,902 0 $21.09 Class “C” 2,870,563 14.35% 0.07% 14.41% 18.37% 11,179 11,532 0 $18.22 Northwest Suburban 35,797,231 24.74% 0.72% 25.46% 29.34% 96,877 -35,455 0 381,281 Class “A” 19,033,424 26.39% 0.85% 27.24% 31.67% 121,265 -2,862 0 $24.26 Class “B” 13,828,769 24.64% 0.39% 25.03%