WARD PROFILE: BOWES 2021

Bowes Ward is situated in the south of the Borough, bordered by the Borough of Haringey to the south, and the wards of to the east and and Southgate Green to the north. It is covered by postal districts N11, N13, N18 and N22.

Ward Profile

This profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward.

It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation.

Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages.

Political Makeup

The ward is represented by the following Councillors:

Votes received in Name Party Contact 2018 election

Yasemin Brett Labour 020 8379 2399 2,386

Elisabeth Catherine Chibah Labour 020 8379 2827 2,242

Achilleas Georgiou Labour 020 8351 1355 2,253

At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in Bowes was 37.3%.

Bowes ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Enfield Southgate.

Demography

Summary Statistics

Measure Bowes Enfield Source

Population Estimate (2019) 15,678 333,794 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Children aged 0-15 2,916 76,137 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Working-age people (16-64) 10,974 213,093 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Older people aged 65+ 1,788 44,564 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Children aged 0-15 18.6 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Working-age (16-64) 70.0 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Older people aged 65+ 11.4 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % BAME - 2019 39.9 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 38.5 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 47.5 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 23.3 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 1.5 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2019 / Population density (people per sq km) 10,452 4,061 MHCLG

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Population

Based on the ONS Mid-Year Estimate 2019, the total population for Bowes Ward was estimated to be 15,678. This is the 11th largest population of the 21 wards in Enfield.

According to the ONS mid-year estimate, the population of Bowes has increased by 11.6% since the 2011 Census – a greater increase than the borough average.

Male-Female split The proportions of males and females in Bowes Ward are 51.0% and 49.0% respectively, making it one of only three wards in Enfield with more male than female residents. Men outnumber women in

all age bands up to 50 years – see chart above right.

Age Profile

The proportion of residents aged between 25-44 years is significantly higher than the borough average.

For more detail, see appendix.

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Ethnicity

The ward contains relatively large numbers in the Greek, Greek Cypriot, White Other, Indian and Other Asian groups.

As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 38.6% and Non-UK Born residents was 47.5%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 23.3%.

Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 39.9% of the total population.

Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1.

Bowes Borough

Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No.

White British 4,064 26.7 128463 38.3 White Irish 343 2.3 6427 1.9 Greek 359 2.4 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 981 6.4 15612 4.7 Turkish 935 6.1 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 290 1.9 6079 1.8 Kurdish 219 1.4 4152 1.2 White Other 1,950 12.8 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 164 1.1 4248 1.3 White and Asian 185 1.2 3627 1.1 White and Black African 113 0.7 2303 0.7 Other mixed 359 2.4 6562 2.0 Indian 1,052 6.9 11066 3.3 Pakistani 191 1.3 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 234 1.5 5971 1.8 Chinese 216 1.4 2441 0.7 Other Asian 688 4.5 11954 3.6 Somali 259 1.7 9160 2.7 Other Black African 950 6.2 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 592 3.9 17561 5.2 Other Black 245 1.6 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 833 5.5 12300 3.7

1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates. 4 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected]

Language

The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are:

English 8,858 66% Polish 833 6% Turkish 614 5% Greek 457 3% Gujarati 395 3% *aged 3 and over

The ward had the highest number of Polish and Gujarati speakers in Enfield and the 2nd highest number of people speaking Bulgarian and Greek.

Religion

Regarding Religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious makeup of the ward as:

Religion No. Ward % Borough average % Christian 6804 48.4 53.6 Buddhist 123 0.9 0.6 Hindu 887 6.3 3.5 Jewish 113 0.8 1.4 Muslim 2098 14.9 16.7 Sikh 54 0.4 0.3 Other/none/ not 3972 28.3 23.8 stated

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Socio-economic factors

Socio-economic classification

The 2011 Census results showed that Bowes had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups with about 13% more people than would be expected from the Borough average.

Low income households

Bowes had the 10th highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is above the median level for the borough as a whole. It is also higher than the London median average.

The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 11.6% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the 12th highest proportion of the 21 wards, and lower than the London average.

Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 561 children in the ward (19.2% of the total) were living in families with Relative low income, and 431 (14.8%) were in families of Absolute low income2. The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below.

2 Relative low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for that year. Absolute low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for the period 2010-2011. 6 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected]

Benefit Claims

• As at June 2021, the claimant count3 in Bowes was 1,025, representing 9.3% of the local working- age population. • At February 2021, 34% of households in Bowes (2,106) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households.

Economically active people

The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was slightly higher than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix.

Deprivation score

The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Bowes is the 12th most deprived of the 21 wards in the Borough. The same analysis estimates that it is among the 40% most deprived wards in .

The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available.

Fuel Poverty Ward-level analysis of government statistics4 reveal that, as at 2019, 15.8% of households in Bowes were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than the borough average, but higher than the national average.

3 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work. 4 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy 7 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected]

Crime

Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:-

• Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate

The latest rolling crime rates and trends can be obtained from the crime mapping website.

Health

The most recent estimates of life expectancy in the ward5 show figures for both men and women that are higher than the Enfield and national averages.

Considering the age structure of the ward the number of deaths is lower than would be expected. However, deaths from circulatory disease and coronary heart disease are higher than the English averages.

Life expectancies and Standardised Mortality Ratios by cause of death are shown in the charts below.

In the 2011 Census, the population were asked a question about their general health. This graph shows the response.

For the numbers of people in these categories please see appendix.

5 Public Health England: Life Expectancy at birth 2015-2019 8 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected]

Obesity

The chart below shows the percentage of Reception and Year 6 children and adults in the ward who are overweight or obese, compared with the borough and national averages.

The latest health information about the ward can be obtained from the Local Health website by choosing Find My Area and entering the ward name.

Within the ward there are two GP surgeries:

o Grenoble Gardens Surgery, 1 Grenoble Gardens, Palmers Green N13 6JE o Natal Road Surgery, 7 Natal Road, , N11 2HU

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Housing

The 2011 (Census) profile of the households in the ward by housing tenure (sector) is:

Tenure No. (% share) Borough average % Owner occupied 3082 (56.0%) 58.8% Private rented 1838 (33.4%) 23.6% Council 232 (4.2%) 11.4% Registered social landlord 355 (6.4%) 6.2%

The 2011 Census data provides a view of the accommodation type by ward compared with the rest of the borough.

In Bowes ward there is a higher percentage of terraced houses and flats in house conversions (including bedsits) compared with the Enfield average, and fewer semi-detached and detached homes.

In the year to December 2020 the median property sale price for Bowes ward was £510,000, 20% above the Borough median of £425,000, and having increased by 17% since the previous year.

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Education

There are 3 schools in the ward:

Bowes Primary, website http://www.bowes.enfield.sch.uk/ St Michael at Bowes CE School, see: http://www.smab.enfield.sch.uk/ Tottenhall Infant School: website http://www.tottenhall.enfield.sch.uk/

Performance tables for schools: The Department for Education publishes school performance data on their searchable webpages.

Qualifications in adults

Taken from the 2011 Census data the graph below shows the distribution of academic qualifications by population in the ward.

Qualifications: The term ‘no qualifications’ describes people without any academic, vocational or professional qualifications. The term ‘lower level’ qualifications is used to describe qualifications equivalent to levels 1 to 3 of the National Key Learning Targets (i.e. GSCE’s O levels, A levels, NVQ levels 1-3). The term ’Higher level’ refers to qualifications of levels 4 and above (i.e. first degrees, higher degrees, NVQ levels 4 and 5, HND, HNC and certain professional qualifications).

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Culture and Leisure

There are no static libraries in the ward, however the nearest borough libraries are:

Bowes Road library in Bowes Road Tel No 020 8379 1707

Palmers Green Library in Broomfield Lane Tel No 020 8379 1707

The nearest leisure centre is Arnos Pool just outside the ward on Bowes Road Tel No: 020 8361 9336

The ward has 4 parks and open spaces;

o The Strays o Tile Kiln Lane Open Space o Tottenhall Sports Ground o Boundary Playing Fields.

There is also Bounds Green Bowls and Tennis Club on Brownlow Road. For more information see their website http://www.bgbtc.co.uk/index.php or telephone the club office on 0208 889 9850.

There are allotments at Princes Avenue N13 6ET and Bowes Road N13 4RU. For further information contact Enfield Council on 020 8379 1000 or visit the website.

There are 5 places of worship within the boundaries of the ward:

o Palmers Green & Southgate Synagogue Tel: 020 8881 0037 o Christian Science Society Tel: 020 8888 4339 o St Michael at Bowes o Trinity-at-Bowes Methodist Church Tel: 020 8886 0978 o National Christian Spiritualist Church o Riverside Community Church Tel: 020 8888 7181

Voluntary and Community Sector

Some locally based community organisations are given below.

• North London Asian Care at 83–87 Bowes Road N13

• TaB Centre Plus, (community facilities including nursery, facilities for young people and to help others to establish their own programmes), at Trinity at Bowes Methodist church, Palmerston Road N22. Community groups meeting at Trinity at Bowes include:

• ‘Deep’ Indian 50+ club Enfield

• Naree Shakti (women’s strength) is a women’s organisation that strives for the betterment of its members. At their centre a range of interesting and lively activities are on offer, including a regular yoga and keep-fit classes and drop-in sessions. Email: [email protected] https://www.facebook.com/nareeshaktiuk/

• Enfield Caribbean Association – luncheon club every Friday 12 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected]

For more information on Trinity at Bowes go to http://www.trinityatbowes.co.uk/

• Samaritans - Enfield/Haringey/Barnet Tel: 020 8368 6789

• There is a community website covering the Bowes Park and Bounds Green area: http://www.bowesandbounds.org/

Additional Sources of information

For local information visit the Enfield Council website homepage: http://www.enfield.gov.uk/. Creating an Enfield Connected account will enable you to find out about local events and services.

A collation of various data including latest best estimates is at Appendix A.

For statistics, search on the London Datastore or select Local Area Profile data on NOMIS.

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff / % TOTAL:- POPULATION – 2019 15678 15895 -1 HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 5507 5710 -4 Owner Occupied 3082 56.0 58.8 -5 Council 232 4.2 11.4 -63 Registered Social Landlord 355 6.4 6.2 4 Private Renting 1838 33.4 23.6 41 AGE STRUCTURE – 2019 0-4 1038 6.6 7.2 -7 5-14 1742 11.1 14.4 -23 15-24 1519 9.7 11.5 -16 25-44 5959 38.0 29.2 30 45-64 3632 23.2 24.4 -5 65-74 991 6.3 7.0 -9 75+ 797 5.1 6.4 -20 ETHNIC MIX – 2019 (Enfield Council Estimates) White British 4064 26.7 38.3 -30 White Irish 343 2.3 1.9 18 Greek 359 2.4 1.2 105 Greek Cypriot 981 6.4 4.7 39 Turkish 935 6.1 7.6 -19 Turkish Cypriot 290 1.9 1.8 5 Kurdish 219 1.4 1.2 16 White Other 1950 12.8 6.7 91 White & Black Caribbean 164 1.1 1.3 -15 White and Asian 185 1.2 1.1 13 White and Black African 113 0.7 0.7 8 Other mixed 359 2.4 2.0 20 Indian 1052 6.9 3.3 109 Pakistani 191 1.3 0.7 75 Bangladeshi 234 1.5 1.8 -14 Chinese 216 1.4 0.7 95 Other Asian 688 4.5 3.6 27 Somali 259 1.7 2.7 -38 Black African 950 6.2 7.5 -16 Black Caribbean 592 3.9 5.2 -26 Other Black 245 1.6 2.5 -35 Other Ethnic Group 833 5.5 3.7 49 RELIGION – 2011 Christian 6804 48.4 53.6 -10 Buddhist 123 0.9 0.6 50 Hindu 887 6.3 3.5 81 Jewish 113 0.8 1.4 -43 Muslim 2098 14.9 16.7 -11 Sikh 54 0.4 0.3 11 Other / not stated / none 3972 28.3 23.9 18

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff / % ECONOMIC ACTIVITY in the 16-64 age group All economically active, 2011 8013 79.0 73.4 8 Unemployed — Claimant Count June 2021 1025 9.3 8.8 6 INCOME - 2021 Households with less than £15,000 (gross) a year 725 11.6 15.4 -25 Households claiming Universal Credit (Feb 2021) 2106 33.8 30.7 10 QUALIFICATIONS – 2011 No qualifications 1943 16.7 23.0 -27 Level 1 only 1150 9.9 12.9 -23 Level 2 1314 11.3 13.8 -18 Level 3 1172 10.1 10.5 -4 Level 4 and above 4217 36.3 28.7 26 HOUSING TYPE – 2011 Detached 191 3.4 7.0 -51 Semi-detached 827 14.8 23.5 -37 Terraced 2037 36.4 31.1 17 Flat - purpose built 1374 24.5 30.1 -18 Flat - in a shared house 1081 19.3 6.8 186 Other 88 1.6 1.5 2 CARS IN HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 - nos. of households with: 0 cars 2127 38.6 32.5 19 1 car 2424 44.0 43.3 2 2+ cars 956 17.4 24.3 -28 HOUSEHOLD TYPES – 2011 One person 1519 27.6 27.8 -1 All occupants aged 65 plus 200 3.6 5.5 -34 Married couple or civil partnership, no children 443 8.0 7.9 1 Married couple or civil partnership, with dependent children 782 14.2 17.4 -18 Married couple or civil partnership, all children non dependent 353 6.4 6.8 -6 Cohabiting couple, no children 293 5.3 3.4 55 Cohabiting couple, with dependent children 163 3.0 3.0 0 Cohabiting couple, all children non dependent 23 0.4 0.4 -2 Lone parent 757 13.7 16.7 -17 Other 974 17.7 11.0 60 PERSONS WITH LONG TERM HEALTH PROBLEM / DISABILITY – 2011 Limiting a lot 949 6.8 7.3 -7 Limiting a little 1074 7.6 8.1 -6 GENERAL HEALTH – 2011 Very good 6754 48.1 46.8 3 Good 4881 34.7 35.0 -1 Fair 1654 11.8 12.7 -7 Bad 550 3.9 4.1 -5 Very bad 212 1.5 1.3 13 LIFE EXPECTANCY (years) - 2015-2019: Males 80.7 80.6 0 Females 86.8 84.6 3 Standardised Mortality Ratio - 2015-2019 82.6 89.9 -8 COMMUNITY SAFETY - 2020 Crime rate (per 1,000 residents) 61.1 85.2 -28 Anti-social behaviour rate 31.9 50.8 -37

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Sources and related notes

Various measures – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, Office for National Statistics. NB. 2021 Census data is not due to be available until 2022/2023. Population – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Households – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Age structure – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Religion – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Ethnic mix – Council estimates for 2019; note there are difficulties in estimating ethnic group sizes at ward level and the figures given here must be treated with caution and used as a guide to the possible mix in the ward Economic Activity – all economically active 16-64 year olds = working plus unemployed – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, the activity rate (%) is the % of the population aged 16-64 Unemployment — the official DWP ‘claimant count’, June 2021 Income – Low income households – CACI Paycheck; 2021; © CACI Deprivation – Ministry for Housing, Communities & Local Government. Ward-level analysis by Local Government Association Children in low-income households – Department for Work and Pensions (2020) Fuel Poverty – Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (2019) Qualifications – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright; note that this table excludes apprenticeships and ‘other’ qualifications Housing type – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Cars – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Household types – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Persons with a long-term health problem/disability – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright General health – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Life expectancy – Public Health England, based on 2015-2019 data Crime rate – uses crime counts from the Metropolitan Police for 2020

The relative % diff[erence] is the area % divided by the Borough % (expressed as a % above or below the Borough average)

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