measuring results, sharing lessons sharing measuring results, COUNTRY PORTFOLIO EVALUATION State of Palestine: An evaluation of WFP’s Portfolio (2011 – mid 2015) Evaluation Report January 2016 Prepared by Mokoro: Stephen Turner, Rita Bhatia, Amer Madi, Trish Silkin, Heidi Tavakoli, Zoe Driscoll Commissioned by the WFP Office of Evaluation Report number: OEV/2015/014 Acknowledgements The evaluation team is very grateful for all the assistance provided by Sally Burrows, Dawit Habtemariam and Mar Guinot of WFP OEV, by Claudia Ah Poe of the Regional Bureau (RB), by Daniela Owen (Country Director) and Paul Skoczylas (Deputy Country Director), by their many colleagues at HQ, in the RB and in the Country Office (CO) and Gaza Sub Office, and by the numerous Palestinian Authority, multilateral, bilateral, NGO and beneficiary informants who gave generously of their time and advice during the CPE process. Special thanks also to Colin Kampschoer of the CO for his hard work arranging the schedule of the evaluation mission. The evaluation team also gratefully acknowledges the good work and good company provided by Dr Ahmed Abu Shaban and Ms Solafa Eldeabella, short-term consultant and translator respectively in Gaza. Disclaimer The opinions expressed are those of the Evaluation Team, and do not necessarily reflect those of the World Food Programme. Responsibility for the opinions expressed in this report rests solely with the authors. Publication of this document does not imply endorsement by WFP of the opinions expressed. The designations employed and the presentation of material in the maps do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WFP concerning the legal or constitutional status of any country, territory or sea area, or concerning the delimitation of frontiers. Evaluation Management Dawit Habtemariam Evaluation Manager (EM) Mar Guinot Research Assistant OEV Sally Burrows Deputy Head OEV Table of Contents Fact Sheet: WFP’s Portfolio in the State of Palestine ............................... i Executive Summary .............................................................................. iii 1. Introduction .................................................................................... 1 1.1 Evaluation Features ....................................................................................... 1 1.2 Country Context ............................................................................................. 2 1.3 WFP’s Portfolio ............................................................................................. 9 2. Evaluation Findings ....................................................................... 14 2.1 Portfolio Alignment and Strategic Positioning ........................................... 14 2.2 Factors and Quality of Strategic Decision Making ...................................... 18 2.3 Portfolio Performance and Results ............................................................. 26 3. Conclusions and Recommendations ............................................... 46 3.1 Overall Assessment ...................................................................................... 46 3.2 Recommendations ....................................................................................... 50 Annexes ................................................................................................ 54 Annex A Terms of Reference (excluding annexes) .......................................... 55 Annex B Methodology ...................................................................................... 70 Annex C Evaluation Matrix ............................................................................. 75 Annex D People Consulted ............................................................................... 91 Annex E Additional Information on the Portfolio .......................................... 98 Annex F Livelihoods and resilience ............................................................... 109 Annex G Nutrition .......................................................................................... 129 Annex H Evaluation of efficiency and secondary economic results .............. 145 Annex I Recommendations: links to CPE and SER text .............................. 164 Annex J Bibliography .................................................................................... 166 Acronyms ........................................................................................... 179 List of Figures Figure 1 Portfolio context and timeline .................................................................... 3 Figure 2 Prevalence of malnutrition in the State of Palestine, 2009 – 2014 ........... 6 Figure 3 Top five sources of gross ODA to the State of Palestine 2012–2013 (USD million).............................................................................................. 9 Figure 4 Top five sources of funding to the portfolio 2011 – mid 2015 ................. 10 Figure 5 Portfolio beneficiaries and tonnage, planned and actual by year 2011– 2014 ........................................................................................................... 12 Figure 6 WFP Country Office staff numbers 2011–2015 ....................................... 13 Figure 7 Actual beneficiaries by activity EMOP 108170 and 200298 ................... 27 Figure 8 Beneficiaries by activity PRRO 200037 ................................................... 28 Figure 9 Beneficiaries by modality and area, 2011–mid 2015 ............................... 29 Figure 10 Planned and actual GFA in kind, 2011–2014 ........................................... 29 Figure 11 Planned and actual GFA by voucher, 2011–2014 .................................... 30 Figure 12 Portfolio and Context timeline ................................................................. 98 Figure 13 Timeline and funding level of WFP portfolio 2011–2015 ...................... 100 Figure 14 Beneficiaries by modality and area, 2011–mid 2015 ............................. 110 Figure 15 Percentage distribution of in-kind and voucher beneficiary households in the West Bank according to their FCS in 2013 and 2014 ...................... 120 Figure 16 Distribution of beneficiaries in Gaza per food consumption category, 2011 and 2015 .......................................................................................... 121 Figure 17 Percentage distribution of FFA beneficiary households in the West Bank according to their FCS at baseline, during the activity and after 10 months .................................................................................................... 123 Figure 18 Prevalence of malnutrition in the State of Palestine, 2009 – 2014 ....... 129 Figure 19 Prevalence of anaemia in Gaza and West Bank among children 6–59 months and lactating women ................................................................. 130 Figure 20 Prevalence of overweight in the State of Palestine by location (2009– 2014) ........................................................................................................ 131 Figure 21 Quality of wheat flour ............................................................................. 132 Figure 22 Quality of Iodised Salt ............................................................................ 132 Figure 23 Food and Nutrition Security Conceptual Framework ........................... 133 Figure 24 WFP CO local and international food purchases (mt), 2011–2014 ....... 135 Figure 25 WFP CO internationally procured food (mt) 2011–2014 ...................... 135 Figure 26 WFP CO locally procured foods (mt) 2011–2014 .................................. 136 Figure 27 Committed donor funds for WFP for the six operations under review . 153 Figure 28 Committed donor funds for WFP CO for the six operations under review ................................................................................................................. 154 Figure 29 Total planned versus actual spending for the six operations under review ................................................................................................................. 155 Figure 30 Distribution of actual expenditure for the six operations under review (2011–2015) ............................................................................................ 155 Figure 31 Actual spending (left) and planned spending (right) across activities and modalities for the six operations under review (2009–2016) ............... 156 List of Tables Table 1 WFP Country Portfolio 2011–mid-2015 by Programme Category .............. 10 Table 2 The secondary economic effects of the voucher modality ............................ 38 Table 3 Recommendations ........................................................................................ 51 Table 4 Evaluation questions and criteria ................................................................. 75 Table 5 Evaluation Matrix ......................................................................................... 77 Table 6 GFA and school feeding, West Bank ........................................................... 101 Table 7 GFA and school feeding, Gaza .................................................................... 104 Table 8 Portfolio achievement of selected outputs, 2011–2014 .............................. 107 Table 9 School feeding outcomes reported in SPRs ................................................ 108 Table 10 Number of beneficiaries assisted and food tonnage distributed by CO between 2011–2015