Using Pitchf/X to Model the Dependence of Strikeout Rate on the Predictability of Pitch Sequences
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
NCAA Division I Baseball Records
Division I Baseball Records Individual Records .................................................................. 2 Individual Leaders .................................................................. 4 Annual Individual Champions .......................................... 14 Team Records ........................................................................... 22 Team Leaders ............................................................................ 24 Annual Team Champions .................................................... 32 All-Time Winningest Teams ................................................ 38 Collegiate Baseball Division I Final Polls ....................... 42 Baseball America Division I Final Polls ........................... 45 USA Today Baseball Weekly/ESPN/ American Baseball Coaches Association Division I Final Polls ............................................................ 46 National Collegiate Baseball Writers Association Division I Final Polls ............................................................ 48 Statistical Trends ...................................................................... 49 No-Hitters and Perfect Games by Year .......................... 50 2 NCAA BASEBALL DIVISION I RECORDS THROUGH 2011 Official NCAA Division I baseball records began Season Career with the 1957 season and are based on informa- 39—Jason Krizan, Dallas Baptist, 2011 (62 games) 346—Jeff Ledbetter, Florida St., 1979-82 (262 games) tion submitted to the NCAA statistics service by Career RUNS BATTED IN PER GAME institutions -
Trevor Bauer
TREVOR BAUER’S CAREER APPEARANCES Trevor Bauer (47) 2009 – Freshman (9-3, 2.99 ERA, 20 games, 10 starts) JUNIOR – RHP – 6-2, 185 – R/R Date Opponent IP H R ER BB SO W/L SV ERA Valencia, Calif. (Hart HS) 2/21 UC Davis* 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 --- 1 0.00 2/22 UC Davis* 4.1 7 3 3 2 6 L 0 5.06 CAREER ACCOLADES 2/27 vs. Rice* 2.2 3 2 1 4 3 L 0 4.50 • 2011 National Player of the Year, Collegiate Baseball • 2011 Pac-10 Pitcher of the Year 3/1 UC Irvine* 2.1 1 0 0 0 0 --- 0 3.48 • 2011, 2010, 2009 All-Pac-10 selection 3/3 Pepperdine* 1.1 1 1 1 1 2 L 0 3.86 • 2010 Baseball America All-America (second team) 3/7 at Oklahoma* 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 --- 0 3.65 • 2010 Collegiate Baseball All-America (second team) 3/11 San Diego State 6.0 2 1 1 3 4 --- 0 2.95 • 2009 Louisville Slugger Freshman Pitcher of the Year 3/11 at East Carolina* 3.2 2 0 0 0 5 W 0 2.45 • 2009 Collegiate Baseball Freshman All-America 3/21 at USC* 4.0 4 2 1 0 3 --- 1 2.42 • 2009 NCBWA Freshman All-America (first team) 3/25 at Pepperdine 8.0 6 2 2 1 8 W 0 2.38 • 2009 Pac-10 Freshman of the Year 3/29 Arizona* 5.1 4 0 0 1 4 W 0 2.06 • Posted a 34-8 career record (32-5 as a starter) 4/3 at Washington State* 0.1 1 2 1 0 0 --- 0 2.27 • 1st on UCLA’s career strikeouts list (460) 4/5 at Washington State 6.2 9 4 4 0 7 W 0 2.72 • 1st on UCLA’s career wins list (34) 4/10 at Stanford 6.0 8 5 4 0 5 W 0 3.10 • 1st on UCLA’s career innings list (373.1) 4/18 Washington 9.0 1 0 0 2 9 W 0 2.64 • 2nd on Pac-10’s career strikeouts list (460) 4/25 Oregon State 8.0 7 2 2 1 7 W 0 2.60 • 2nd on UCLA’s career complete games list (15) 5/2 at Oregon 9.0 6 2 2 4 4 W 0 2.53 • 8th on UCLA’s career ERA list (2.36) • 1st on Pac-10’s single-season strikeouts list (203 in 2011) 5/9 California 9.0 8 4 4 1 10 W 0 2.68 • 8th on Pac-10’s single-season strikeouts list (165 in 2010) 5/16 Cal State Fullerton 9.0 8 5 5 2 8 --- 0 2.90 • 1st on UCLA’s single-season strikeouts list (203 in 2011) 5/23 at Arizona State 9.0 6 4 4 5 5 W 0 2.99 • 2nd on UCLA’s single-season strikeouts list (165 in 2010) TOTAL 20 app. -
Here Comes the Strikeout
LEVEL 2.0 7573 HERE COMES THE STRIKEOUT BY LEONARD KESSLER In the spring the birds sing. The grass is green. Boys and girls run to play BASEBALL. Bobby plays baseball too. He can run the bases fast. He can slide. He can catch the ball. But he cannot hit the ball. He has never hit the ball. “Twenty times at bat and twenty strikeouts,” said Bobby. “I am in a bad slump.” “Next time try my good-luck bat,” said Willie. “Thank you,” said Bobby. “I hope it will help me get a hit.” “Boo, Bobby,” yelled the other team. “Easy out. Easy out. Here comes the strikeout.” “He can’t hit.” “Give him the fast ball.” Bobby stood at home plate and waited. The first pitch was a fast ball. “Strike one.” The next pitch was slow. Bobby swung hard, but he missed. “Strike two.” “Boo!” Strike him out!” “I will hit it this time,” said Bobby. He stepped out of the batter’s box. He tapped the lucky bat on the ground. He stepped back into the batter’s box. He waited for the pitch. It was fast ball right over the plate. Bobby swung. “STRIKE TRHEE! You are OUT!” The game was over. Bobby’s team had lost the game. “I did it again,” said Bobby. “Twenty –one time at bat. Twenty-one strikeouts. Take back your lucky bat, Willie. It was not lucky for me.” It was not a good day for Bobby. He had missed two fly balls. One dropped out of his glove. -
Improving the FIP Model
Project Number: MQP-SDO-204 Improving the FIP Model A Major Qualifying Project Report Submitted to The Faculty of Worcester Polytechnic Institute In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Bachelor of Science by Joseph Flanagan April 2014 Approved: Professor Sarah Olson Abstract The goal of this project is to improve the Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) model for evaluating Major League Baseball starting pitchers. FIP attempts to separate a pitcher's controllable performance from random variation and the performance of his defense. Data from the 2002-2013 seasons will be analyzed and the results will be incorporated into a new metric. The new proposed model will be called jFIP. jFIP adds popups and hit by pitch to the fielding independent stats and also includes adjustments for a pitcher's defense and his efficiency in completing innings. Initial results suggest that the new metric is better than FIP at predicting pitcher ERA. Executive Summary Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) is a metric created to measure pitcher performance. FIP can trace its roots back to research done by Voros McCracken in pursuit of winning his fantasy baseball league. McCracken discovered that there was little difference in the abilities of pitchers to prevent balls in play from becoming hits. Since individual pitchers can have greatly varying levels of effectiveness, this led him to wonder what pitchers did have control over. He found three that stood apart from the rest: strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Because these events involve only the batter and the pitcher, they are referred to as “fielding independent." FIP takes only strikeouts, walks, home runs, and innings pitched as inputs and it is scaled to earned run average (ERA) to allow for easier and more useful comparisons, as ERA has traditionally been one of the most important statistics for evaluating pitchers. -
Take Me out to the Old Yakyu
Take Me Out to the Old Yakyu You might never believe it when you look at American store shelves crowded with Japanese transistor radios, binoculars, and cameras, but ships also sail the other way, carrying American products and ideas to Japan. And at least one American game - baseball - has had amazing success there. Some ten million Japanese pay their way into the ball parks of the two six-team leagues every season, and uncounted other millions sit transfixed in front of TV sets, sloshing down their maki-zuski (raw-fish covered with rice and wrapped in seaweed) with good Japanese lager beer. The country is less than two-thirds the size of Texas, yet the Japanese boast forty stadiums, complete with lights for night ball, capable of staging major league ball games. Vacant lots of Japan are all one size - small - but kids play baseball on all of them. Profits are not a problem for Japanese baseball teams. Except for the Tokyo Giants, none of them makes money. Teams are all owned by corporations that use them for public relations, and the clubs are usually named not for cities but for the companies that control them. The Nankai Hawks and the Hankyu Braves both play in Osaka and are owned by railroads. Organized baseball has been part of the Japanese sports scene since the early 1930's. An American witnessing a Japanese game would certainly recognize it as baseball, but he would also realize that the game has acquired a distinct Japanese flavor, starting with the name of the game, which they call yakyu. -
National Pastime a REVIEW of BASEBALL HISTORY
THE National Pastime A REVIEW OF BASEBALL HISTORY CONTENTS The Chicago Cubs' College of Coaches Richard J. Puerzer ................. 3 Dizzy Dean, Brownie for a Day Ronnie Joyner. .................. .. 18 The '62 Mets Keith Olbermann ................ .. 23 Professional Baseball and Football Brian McKenna. ................ •.. 26 Wallace Goldsmith, Sports Cartoonist '.' . Ed Brackett ..................... .. 33 About the Boston Pilgrims Bill Nowlin. ..................... .. 40 Danny Gardella and the Reserve Clause David Mandell, ,................. .. 41 Bringing Home the Bacon Jacob Pomrenke ................. .. 45 "Why, They'll Bet on a Foul Ball" Warren Corbett. ................. .. 54 Clemente's Entry into Organized Baseball Stew Thornley. ................. 61 The Winning Team Rob Edelman. ................... .. 72 Fascinating Aspects About Detroit Tiger Uniform Numbers Herm Krabbenhoft. .............. .. 77 Crossing Red River: Spring Training in Texas Frank Jackson ................... .. 85 The Windowbreakers: The 1947 Giants Steve Treder. .................... .. 92 Marathon Men: Rube and Cy Go the Distance Dan O'Brien .................... .. 95 I'm a Faster Man Than You Are, Heinie Zim Richard A. Smiley. ............... .. 97 Twilight at Ebbets Field Rory Costello 104 Was Roy Cullenbine a Better Batter than Joe DiMaggio? Walter Dunn Tucker 110 The 1945 All-Star Game Bill Nowlin 111 The First Unknown Soldier Bob Bailey 115 This Is Your Sport on Cocaine Steve Beitler 119 Sound BITES Darryl Brock 123 Death in the Ohio State League Craig -
Guide to Softball Rules and Basics
Guide to Softball Rules and Basics History Softball was created by George Hancock in Chicago in 1887. The game originated as an indoor variation of baseball and was eventually converted to an outdoor game. The popularity of softball has grown considerably, both at the recreational and competitive levels. In fact, not only is women’s fast pitch softball a popular high school and college sport, it was recognized as an Olympic sport in 1996. Object of the Game To score more runs than the opposing team. The team with the most runs at the end of the game wins. Offense & Defense The primary objective of the offense is to score runs and avoid outs. The primary objective of the defense is to prevent runs and create outs. Offensive strategy A run is scored every time a base runner touches all four bases, in the sequence of 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and home. To score a run, a batter must hit the ball into play and then run to circle the bases, counterclockwise. On offense, each time a player is at-bat, she attempts to get on base via hit or walk. A hit occurs when she hits the ball into the field of play and reaches 1st base before the defense throws the ball to the base, or gets an extra base (2nd, 3rd, or home) before being tagged out. A walk occurs when the pitcher throws four balls. It is rare that a hitter can round all the bases during her own at-bat; therefore, her strategy is often to get “on base” and advance during the next at-bat. -
House-Ch-5-Flext Elbow Position at Release.Pdf
No one pitch, thrown properly, puts any more stress on the arm than any other pitch." Alan Blitzblau, Biomechanist The Pitching Edge crxratt....-rter hen I first heard Alan Blitzblau's remark on the previous page, 1 was more than a little skeptical. He had to be wrong. For many W years, I, like everyone else, had been telling parents of Little Leagu- ers that their youngsters should not throw curveballs, that curveballs were bad for a young arm. "Now wait a minute," I said, "you've just dis- counted what's been taught to young pitchers all over the United States. Are you sure?" "I'm sure," he responded. Alan sat down in front of the computer and showed me what he had discovered. From foot to throw- ing elbow, every pitch has exactly the same neuromuscular sequencing. The only body segments that change when a different type of pitch is thrown are the forearm, wrist, hand, and fingers, and they change only in angle. Arm speed is the same, the arm's external rotation into launch is the same, and pronation during deceleration is the same. It is the differ- ent angles of the forearm, wrist, hand, and fingers that alter velocity, rota- tion, and flight of a ball. He also revealed another surprise. The grip of a pitch is secondary to this angle, and all pitches leave the middle finger last! This was blasphemy I was stunned. But Alan wasn't finished. "Tom, for every one-eighth inch the middle finger misses the release point when the arm snaps straight at launch, it (the ball) is eight inches off location at home plate So throwing strikes means getting the middle finger to a quarter-sized spot on the middle of the baseball with every pitch." Wow! This chapter will dispel myths about what happens to pitcher's elbows, forearms, wrists, and fingers at release point, For years, pitching coaches (me included) taught pitchers to "pull" their glove-side elbow to their hip when throwing. -
Kannapolis Cannon Ballers (0-4) Vs
TODAY’S MATCH-UP KANNAPOLIS CANNON BALLERS (0-4) VS. DOWN EAST WOOD DUCKS (4-0) Kannapolis Wood Ducks 0-4 Record 4-0 0-4 Home -- -- Road 4-0 Saturday, May 8th, 2020 - Game #5- 6:00 p.m. - Atrium Health Ballpark, Kannapolis, N.C. L4 Streak W4 L4 Last 5 W4 LHP Bailey Horn (0-0, 0.00) vs. RHP Nick Krauth (0-0, 0.00) L4 Last 10 W4 ..219 Batting Avg. .246 4.75 ERA 3.25 Last Game .925 Fielding Pct. .979 ABOUT LAST NIGHT: The Down East Wood Ducks kept rolling to their 3.5 Runs/Game 6.5 fourth win in-a-row Friday night as they beat the Kannapolis Cannon Team R H E LOB 3 HR 2 13 RBI 18 Ballers 4-2. The Wood Ducks have started the 2021 season on fire as 17 BB 21 Down East 4 11 1 12 58 K 54 they continue to find clutch hits late in games to collect wins. 2 SB 9 Kannapolis 2 6 1 17 STANDINGS IF YOU AIN'T FIRST, YOU'RE LAST: Down East continued to get on WP: B. Anderson (1-0) LP: M. Thompson (0- 1) HR: Acu a (1) TOG: 2:47 ATT: 2,140 W/L PCT. GB the board early as they scored first in the top of the second against ñ North: Lynchburg 4-0 1.000 -- Kannapolis starter Matt Thompson. With one out, Keithron Moss sin- Delmarva 2-1 .667 1.5 gled and advanced to third on a single by José Rodriguez. -
Pitching Grips
Pitching Grips Pitch #1 – Four Seam Fastball The four seam fastball is a pitcher’s bread and butter pitch. It is the pitch you can throw the hardest and with the best control. Place your index and middle fingertips directly on the perpendicular seam of the baseball. The “horseshoe seam” should face into your ring finger of your throwing hand. Next, place your thumb directly beneath the baseball, resting on the smooth leather. Grip this pitch softly, like an egg, in your fingertips. A loose grip minimizes friction between your hand and the baseball. Less friction = more velocity. Pitch #2 – Change-up This pitch is important because: “hitting is timing and pitching is interrupting that timing.” Pitchers must throw a change-up to keep hitters honest, otherwise they will tee off on the fastball. Hold the ball deep in the palm. Circle around the ball with the hand. Use same mechanics as the fastball – except lengthen the stride and drag the back foot. BaseballTutorials.com 1 Pitch #3 – Cut Fastball While the four seam fastball is more or less a straight pitch, the cut fastball has late break toward the glove side of the pitcher. Start with a four-seam fastball grip, and move your top two fingers slightly off center. The arm motion and arm speed for the cutter are just like for a fastball. At the point of release, with the grip slightly off center and pressure from the middle finger, turn your wrist ever so lightly. This off center grip and slight turn of the wrist will result into a pitch with lots of velocity and a late downward break. -
John Taff, “Double No-Hitters for Pinehot” ©Diamondsinthedusk.Com
John Taff, “Double No-Hitters for Pinehot” ©DiamondsintheDusk.com Only July 15, 1910, Brownsville Brownie rookie pitcher July 15, 1910 John Taff pitches a no-hitter in the first game of a South- John Taff No-Hitter west Texas (D) League doubleheader against the Beeville Brownsville, Texas Orange Growers. Following the 90-minute, 5-0 win against Beeville, Taff gains a measure of national attention as it is the second no-hit, no-run game that talented right-hander has turned in within a three week span, having also no-hit the Corpus Christi Pelicans on June 27. Over his brief six-year professional career, the Austin, Texas, native and son of Bickler public school prinicipal J.J. Taff, is referred to in the press as either “John Taff” or “Bill Taff.” In addition to his multiple first names, Taff acquires sever- al interesting nicknames during his playing days such as John Taff “Possum Bill”, “Pinehot”, “Waco Bill” and “Elongated John.” 1913 Baltimore Orioles A 19-year-old Taff begins his organized baseball career in 1909 with the Browns- ville Brownies, one of South Texas’ top amateur teams. The pitcher/first baseman performs so well for the local nine that when the city joins the six-team Southwest Texas League the following year he is signed to a minor league contract and placed on the team’s opening day roster by manager S.H. Bell. Tabbed by Bell to be the Brownies’ opening day starter on April 21, Taff make his professional debut one to remember, pitching a 10-inning complete game 3-2 win over visiting Corpus Christi. -
Baseball/Softball
SAMPLE SITUTATIONS Situation Enter for batter Enter for runner Hit (single, double, triple, home run) 1B or 2B or 3B or HR Hit to location (LF, CF, etc.) 3B 9 or 2B RC or 1B 6 Bunt single 1B BU Walk, intentional walk or hit by pitch BB or IBB or HP Ground out or unassisted ground out 63 or 43 or 3UA Fly out, pop out, line out 9 or F9 or P4 or L6 Pop out (bunt) P4 BU Line out with assist to another player L6 A1 Foul out FF9 or PF2 Foul out (bunt) FF2 BU or PF2 BU Strikeouts (swinging or looking) KS or KL Strikeout, Fouled bunt attempt on third strike K BU Reaching on an error E5 Fielder’s choice FC 4 46 Double play 643 GDP X Double play (on strikeout) KS/L 24 DP X Double play (batter reaches 1B on FC) FC 554 GDP X Double play (on lineout) L63 DP X Triple play 543 TP X (for two runners) Sacrifi ce fl y F9 SF RBI + Sacrifi ce bunt 53 SAC BU + Sacrifi ce bunt (error on otherwise successful attempt) E2T SAC BU + Sacrifi ce bunt (no error, lead runner beats throw to base) FC 5 SAC BU + Sacrifi ce bunt (lead runner out attempting addtional base) FC 5 SAC BU + 35 Fielder’s choice bunt (one on, lead runner out) FC 5 BU (no sacrifi ce) 56 Fielder’s choice bunt (two on, lead runner out) FC 5 BU (no sacrifi ce) 5U (for lead runner), + (other runner) Catcher or batter interference CI or BI Runner interference (hit by batted ball) 1B 4U INT (awarded to closest fi elder)* Dropped foul ball E9 DF Muff ed throw from SS by 1B E3 A6 Batter advances on throw (runner out at home) 1B + T + 72 Stolen base SB Stolen base and advance on error SB E2 Caught stealing