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EU MACS D14 Submitted 31102017 Corrected 171109 A multi-layer exploration on innovations for climate services markets H2020 – SC5-03b Research and Innovation Action Grant agreement EU-MACS European Market for Climate Services 730500 10/31/2017 Deliverable 1.4 Version 1.0 (integrated) Dissemination level: Due date of delivery: 31 MAY 2017 Public Actual date of delivery: 31 OCTOBER 2017 Lead beneficiary: UT Lead author(s): Peter Stegmaier, Klaasjan Visscher A multi-layer exploration on innovations for climate services markets – EU-MACS D1.4 Version table Date Name, Party Description 29 May 2017 Stegmaier, Peter Interim version outlining the structure of the argument; with collection of first findings from drafts of D1.1, D1.2, and D1.3 27 June 2017 Stegmaier, Peter Interim version including first experi- ences from pilot workshop in Helsinki 21 August 2017 Stegmaier, Peter Interim version outlining the suite of in- teractional formats derived from multi-layer view on climate services in WP3 and WP4 25 September 2017 Stegmaier, Peter Draft version for EU-MACS internal review 16 October 2017 Stegmaier, Peter Draft version for UT-internal 25 October 2017 Stegmaier, Peter Final version 30 October 2017 Perrels, Adriaan Pre-final check before submission 30 October 2017 Stegmaier, Peter Final check before submission Internal review table Date Name, Party Description 2 October 2017 Jörg Cortekar Comments, suggestions 10 October 2017 Adriaan Perrels Comments, suggestions 23 October 2017 Adriaan Perrels Comments, suggestions 23 October 2017 Klaasjan Visscher Comments, suggestions 25 October 2017 Robin Hamaker Comments, suggestions 31 October 2017 Adriaan Perrels Final check before submission Contributors (Consortium Party, person): FMI Adriaan Perrels & Atte Harjanne (directly as reviewers and commentators; indirectly, through MLP reference section 8.4 in D1.2) HZG-GERICS Jörg Cortekar & Katja Lamich (directly as reviewers and commentator; indirectly, through MLP ref- erence section 3.6.3 in D1.1) CNR-IRSA Raffaele Giordano (directly, as co-author of WP4 stakeholder interaction plan & as contributor of the section 4.3 on network assessment) Acclimatise Robin Hamaker (directly, with WP2 stakeholder interaction plan & as contributor of section 4.5, on TCFD and on FinTechs; indirectly, through observational notes from relevant conference) CMCC - U_TUM Patrizia Pavelek (directly, as collaborator on the WP3 stakeholder interaction & as contributor of the section 4.7 on the value proposition method) UT Peter Stegmaier (lead), Klaasjan Visscher JR Andrea Damm & Judith Köberl (directly, as co-authors of WP3 stakeholder interaction plan & as contributor of the section 4.4 on the institutional framework and services format assessment) ENoLL - This document has been produced within the scope of the EU-MACS project. The utilisation and release of this document is subject to the conditions of the grant agreement no. 730500 within the H2020 Framework Programme and to the conditions of the EU-MACS Consortium Agreement. The content of this deliverable does not reflect the official opinion of the European Commission. Respon- sibility for the information and views expressed herein lies entirely with the EU-MACS Consortium. Page 2 A multi-layer exploration on innovations for climate services markets - EU-MACS D1.4 List of Abbreviations ACC Acclimatise BADC British Atmospheric Data Centre BASE EU research project "Bottom-Up Climate Adaptation Strategies Towards a Sustainable Europe" BSC Barcelona Supercomputing Centre C3S Copernicus Climate Change Service CDR Climate Data Record Climate KIC Climate Knowledge and Innovation Community CLIP Climate Information Portal CMCC Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici CMEMS Belgian Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 CO2 Carbon dioxide CRU University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit CS Climate Services CSP Climate Services Partnership CTA Constructive Technology Assessment DG Directorate-general DIG Data Infrastructure Governance DKRZ Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum (German Climate Computing Centre) DRM Disaster Risk Management DRR Disaster Risk Reduction EC European Commission ECHO European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations ECMWF European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast ECSP European Climate Services Partnership ECV Essential Climate Variable EEA European Environment Agency EIT European Institute of Innovation and Technology EO Earth Observation EOSDIS Earth Observing System Data and Information System EPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ESA European Space Agency ESGF Earth System Grid Federation EU European Union EUPORIAS European Provision Of Regional Impacts Assessments on Seasonal and Decadal Timescales FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FMI Finnish Meteorological Institute GCOS Global Climate Observing System GCOS ECVs Global Climate Observing System Essential Climate Variables GFCS Global Framework for Climate Services HELIX High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes ICSU International Council for Science IMPRESSIONS Impacts and risks from higher-end scenarios: Strategies for innovative solutions IOC UNESCO’s Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPSL Institute Pierre Simon Laplace ISO International Organization for Standardization JPI-Climate Joint Programming Initiative "Connecting Climate Knowledge for Europe" KNMI Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute Page 3 A multi-layer exploration on innovations for climate services markets – EU-MACS D1.4 LL/LLs Living Lab/Living Labs MLP Multi-layer perspective NAPS National Adaptation Plans NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration (USA) NCEI National Centers For Environmental Information (USA) NMHS National Meteorological and Hydrological Services NOAA National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Association (USA) PIK Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research PLACARD PLAtform for Climate Adaptation and Risk reDuction R&D Research and development RAMSES Reconciling Adaptation, Mitigation and Sustainable Development for citiES RISES-AM Responses to coastal climate change: Innovative Strategies for high End Scenarios -Adaptation and Mitigation- STS Science and Technology Studies TopDAd Tool-supported policy development for regional adaptation UNEP United Nations Environment Programme UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change WCASP World Climate Applications and Services Programme WMO World Meteorological Organisation Page 4 A multi-layer exploration on innovations for climate services markets - EU-MACS D1.4 Contents LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................... 6 LIST OF TABLES ...................................................................................................................... 6 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 7 1.2 Scope and remit of this report ....................................................................................................... 7 1.3 Terms and definitions ....................................................................................................................... 7 1.3.1 Market .......................................................................................................................................... 7 1.3.2 Services ...................................................................................................................................... 8 1.3.3 Climate services ...................................................................................................................... 9 1.3.4 Climate services infrastructure .......................................................................................... 9 1.3.4 Governance ............................................................................................................................ 11 1.3.5 The multi-layer perspective on innovation dynamics .............................................. 11 1.3.6 Strategic intelligence ......................................................................................................... 11 2. METHODOLOGY .......................................................................................................... 12 3. FINDINGS ..................................................................................................................... 13 3.1 Introduction: Governance of the climate services market in Europe ..................................... 13 3.1.1 Framework Governance .................................................................................................... 13 3.1.2 European Climate Services Governance (I): a case of anticipatory coordination ....................................................................................................................................... 14 3.1.3 European Climate Services Governance (II): on some assumptions regarding service relationships ........................................................................................................................ 15 3.2 An explorative multi-layer perspective on climate services market dynamics and services niche management .......................................................................................................................... 19 3.2.1 Climate services as niche
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