“Explainingandamongforagersandhorticulturalists.” PaulL.Hooper UniversityofNewMexico December11,2006workingdraft Pleasedonotcitewithouttheauthor’spermission.

Abstract Understandingdifferencesinsystemsacrosssocietiesisa classicareaofresearchin.Amongtheprincipalvariablesof interestisthefrequencyofmonogamousvs.polygynous,whichis botheasilymeasurableandhasstronganddirecteffectsonmaleand reproductiveoutcomes.Whyaremultiplecommoninsomesocieties whilenearlyabsentinothers?Thispaperreviewstheprimaryhypothesesaimed atexplainingvariationacrossthemonogamypolygynycontinuum,then evaluatesandextendsempiricaltestsofthesehypothesesusingdatafromthe StandardCrossCulturalSample(SCCS),focusingespeciallyonforagerand horticulturalistsocieties. Theory Thefieldofbehavioralattemptstoexplainbehavioralvariationvia causalpathwaysextendingbackto(effectively)exogenouspropertiesofan organism’secologicalsettingandnichebasedontheassumptionthatindividuals adjusttheirbehaviortomaximizetheirmaterialandreproductivesuccess.In domainsofsocialandsexualdecisionmaking,theseadjustmentsareoften highlydynamic,anddependonthestrategicinteractionofindividualswithboth overlappinganddivergentinterests.Aandwife,forexample,bothhave astakeinthesuccessoftheirsharedoffspring,yetthehusbandmaybe motivatedtoforsaketheseoffspringtopursueadditional.Hisabilitytodo so,however,isconstrainedbythenumberofadultwomenavailable,the vulnerabilityofhischildren,andotherfactorsimpactinghiscurrentwife’srelative bargainingpower.Ecologicalparameters(e.g.importanceofhighqualitylandfor agriculturalproduction)mayaffectbehavioraloutcomesthroughmultiple 1 pathways(e.g.warfareandvarianceinmalequality),andintermediatecausal factorsmaycovaryduetoshareddependenceonupstreamparameters. Hypothesizeddeterminantsofmonogamyandpolygynyinforagerand horticulturalistsocietiesinclude(1)theimportanceofmaleprovisioningtothe nuclear(2)degreeofvarianceinmaleresourceholdings(3)the importanceofmaleprotection(4)theimportanceofhighqualitymalegenes,and (5)ratio.Theecologicalparametersaffectingeachofthesedeterminantsand thepathwaysbywhichtheyoperatewillbeaddressedinturn. storage

monopolizable resources demand for male variance in male provisioning resources

variance in male competitive ability ?

pathogen /warfare stres s fighting for raiding for resources women

demand for male protection demand for male genes female-biased sex ratio

polygyny Figure1.Conceptualmodelofthefactorspromotingpolygyny.Dashedlines indicatenegativeeffects.BoxedvariablesarecodedintheSCCS. (1) Demand for male provisioning .Insomeenvironments, complementaritiesbetweenmaleandfemaleinvestmentinoffspringproducea sexualdivisionoflaborwherebymaleprovisioningofproteinandfatiscrucialto

2 householdincome.Thecaloriesaproducesarearivalgood(two individualscannotconsumethesamecalorie),whichplacesalimitonthe numberofdependents(wivesandchildren)hecansupport;polygynybecomes prohibitivelycostlytothereproductivesuccessofandwivesalike, exceptinthecaseofextraordinarilyproductiveindividuals.Such complementaritiesexistwherehighreturnproductiontasksareincompatiblewith directchildcare,asinhuntinglargeormediumsizegame(KaplanandLancaster 2003). Inenvironmentswherewomencanmoreeasilyproducethe macronutrientsnecessaryforoffspringwellbeing,childrensufferlesswhena father’stimeandenergyaresplitbetweenmultiplewivesorchanneledintonon provisioningactivities.inthissituationarefurthermorefreedupto allocatemoreresourcestowardmatingeffortthroughorbridecapture. Asintrasexualcompetitionandraidingbetweengroupsintensifies,polygynycan additionallybefavoredbywayofincreaseddemandformaleprotectionand skewedsexratios. Thehypothesizedvariablesassociatedwithcomplementariesin provisioninganddemandformaleproductionincludechallengingenvironments whereuniparentalcareisinsufficient,theinabilitytocacheorcarryoffspring duringproduction,highreturnstohighriskstrengthintensiveactivitiessuchas mediumandlargegamehunting,andhighreturnstosimultaneouscooperative productionbetweenhusbandandwife(KaplanandLancaster2003;Winking 2005). (2) Variance in male resources .Wherelaboristranslatedintofoodwithin thetimespanofhoursordays,asisthecasewithmostnomadicforagers, varianceinhouseholdincomestemsmainlyfromvarianceinindividualreturn ratesandeffort,whichisgenerallytoolowforwomento“doubleup”onmore productivemen.Wheretheecologyallowsgreaterresourceinequalitiesto developbetweenmen,however,suchdoublingupcanbecomemorecommon. Suchisthecasewhenlandorcapitalbecome“economicallydefensible”,asin territorybasedagriculturalsystemsorpastoralistsocieties;thosewhomaintain exclusiveaccesstotheseresourcesaccruemorewivesandchildren(Dyson

3 HudsonandSmith1978).SellenandHruschka(2004),forexample,haveshown thatpolygynyisassociatedwithdependenceonfoodresourcesthatareclumped anddefensibleinasampleofforagersofWesternNorthAmericaaround Europeancontact.Foodstorageisanadditionalfactorthatmayleadtosocio economicinequalitiesbywayofnepotisticinheritanceandprocessesof cumulativeadvantage;inequalitycanalsoresultasfunctionofthefactthat storedgoodsalsoconstitutepatchyanddefensibleresources(Bowles2005; Testart1982). Inequalityinmaleresourcesmight,insomecircumstances,additionally promotepromotepolygynythroughitseffectonlevelsofaggressionandwarfare, whichmayincreasethedemandformaleprotection(point3)and/orbiassex ratiostowardwomen(point5).MansonandWrangham(1991)haveproposed thatintergroupaggressionamongandismorelikelywhere imbalancesofpowertranslatestoverylowcostsforwouldbeaggressors. Resourceholdings(e.g.land,animals,money)oftenformthebasisofrelative competitiveability,aswealthierindividualsorgroupscanaffordtocompensatea largernumberofsupporters,accessmoreandhigherqualityweapons,etc. Inequalitiesinwealthmayleaddirectlytoinequalitiesincompetitiveability—and possiblyhigherlevelsofconflict—asaresult. Powerinequalitieswithinagroup,ontheotherhand,maynotnecessarily leadtohigherlevelsofviolence.Asresourcesbecomeconcentratedunderthe mostpowerfulindividuals,frequencyofcontestsmaydecline.Inequalitiesin aggressivepowerleadtohigherratesofviolenceonlywheredominance relationships(betweenindividuals,betweengroups,orbetweensubgroups withinasociety)areimportantaswellas unstable .Wheretheactorsandrelative fightingabilitiesareconstant(e.g.nomajormigration,nomajorwindfallsthat benefitsomebutnotothers),weshouldexpectastable,lowviolenceequilibrium tobeestablishedafteraninitiallytumultuousredistributionofresources. Resourceinequalitiesarealsogenerallyassociatedwithsocietalcomplexity, whichbringswithitpolicingandotherformsofsocialcontrolthatmaydamper aggressionandviolence.

4 (3) Demand for male protection .Anothercomplementaritybetweenmale andfemalerolesariseswhenthereisdemandforprotectionagainstpredation or—moreimportantly—assaultbymembersofone’sownorothergroups.Male specializationinprotection,becauseitisalessrivalgoodthanfoodresources, mayloosentheconstraintsonpolygynythataccompanycomplementaritiesin production.Thatis,amalewithhighcompetitiveabilitymaybeabletoextendhis protectiveumbrellaoveranadditionalwife(andsetofoffspring)withoutgreatly dilutingtheprotectionhecanprovideasinglenuclearunit.Familydemandfor protectionshouldincreasewiththethreatsofviolencewithinacommunityand attackfromothergroups. Thefactorsincreasingthelikelihoodofviolencelikelyinclude:those factorsthatfreemenfromhavingtopourtheirresourcesintoprovisioning, discussedinpoint1;resourcepatchinessleadingtoeconomicdefensibility, addressedinpoint2;andvarianceinmalecompetitiveability,especiallywhere dominancerelationshipsareunstable,againdiscussedinpoint2.Neighboring groupsmaybebellicoseandaggressionforreasonshavinglittletodowiththe focalsociety.Keeley(1996)andLeBlancandRegister(2003)outlineanumber ofotherfactors,suchaspopulationgrowthandresourcestress,thatmay additionallycontributetothethreatofviolenceacrossdifferentsocioecological settings. (4) Demand for male genes .BobbiLowhasestablishedastronglink betweenvariationinhumanmatingsystemsandtheimportanceof‘gene shopping’across,drivenprimarilybypathogenstress(Low1988;Low 1990;Low2003).Wherehighqualitygenesareakeydeterminateofoffspring survivalandfertility,womenmaytradeoffmaleprovisioningforgeneticquality. Asthebenefitsofhighqualitygenesarenotdividedupbetweenwives,thiscan leadtohigherlevelsofpolygyny. Thefirst,third,andfourthpointsdealwiththeweightofdifferent characteristicsinwomen’sevaluationofmalematequality:provisioningability, protectiveability,andhighqualitygenes.Unlessthesequalitiesareperfectly correlated,womenareusuallyforcedtotradeoffoneforanother;thetheoretical perspectivepresentedheresuggeststhatthebalanceoftraitsthatmakeupthe

5 bestmatepossibleinagivenenvironmentwillshiftdependingonthecharacter ofthesubsistenceniche,thepresenceofinternalorexternalthreats,and pathogenenvironment.Insomesituations,thisdecisionprocesswillleadwomen toacceptintoapolygynoushousehold;inothersituationswomenwill choosetomarrymonogamously. (5) Sex ratio .Sexratiomayhaveasimpleeffectonpolygynylevels. Wheremenareinshortsupply(forwhateverreason),womenmaybemore willingtomoveintoapolygynoushousehold.Mortalityduetoviolenceand warfareusuallyaffectsmenmorethanwomen,andsomaydrivesexratios toward,providinganadditionalpathwaybywhichconflictmaypromote polygyny. Whatismissing?Theschemepresentedthisfardoesnotaccountwellfor polygynythatoccursthroughbridecaptureorenslavement,whichisrecognized asanimportantproximatedeterminateofmalereproductivesuccess,especially inhorticulturalistandpastoralistsettings(Chagnon1979;KaplanandLancaster 2003).Wehaveaddressedfactorsthatimpactmen’sallocationtopaternal investmentversusmatingeffort—includingbridecapture—aswellasother factorsthatwouldpressgroupstowardwarfarethatmightresultinthecaptureor enslavementofwomen(e.g.resourcepatchiness),butweareshortofa comprehensivetheorythatlinksbacktobasicsocioecologicaldeterminates. Analyses ThissectionpresentstheresultsofnewanalysesoftheStandardCross CulturalAnalysis.TheSCCSisintendedtobearepresentativesampleofworld culturesthatisfreeofphylogeneticbias(MurdockandWhite1969).Each analysiswasrepeatedforforagers,horticulturalists,andthefullsampleof145 societieswhichhavenonnullvaluesforpercentofmarriedmenwithmorethan onewifeandpercentofmarriedwomenpolygynouslymarried.Thecriteriafor inclusionintheforagersamplearethesameasthoseusedbyMarlowe(2003), whichyield31societieswithpolygynymeasures.Horticulturalistsweredefined asthosesocietieswhosesubsistenceeconomywascodedashorticultureor

6 simpleorshiftingcultivation(v833=2or3),ofwhich52hadpolygynymeasures. Thesamplesizesinsomeanalysesweresmallerduetomissingdata.

7 60%

intensiveagriculturalists 50% pastoralists

horticulturalists 40% fishing

foragers 30%

20% percentage category subsistencewithin societies of 10%

0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% percentage of married men with more than one wife

Figure2.Frequencydistributionpolygynyforeachsubsistencetypeasdefined bysubsistenceeconomyvariablev833.Horticultureandsimpleorshifting cultivationaregroupedashorticulture,andhuntingandgatheringaregroupedas foraging.

60%

50% gatherers

hunters

40%

30%

20% percentage of societies within subsistence percentage of category within societies 10%

0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% percentage of married men with more than one wife

Figure3.Frequencydistributionofpolygynyforsocietieswithdominant subsistenceeconomyvariablecodedasgatheringversushunting.Thethree foragingsocietiesintheSCCSwithpolygynylevelsabove45%arecodedas predominantlygatheringsocieties.

8 Thefrequencydistributionoflevelsofpolygynyforforaging,fishing, horticulturalist,pastoralist,andintensiveagriculturalistsocietiesintheSCCSin showninfigure2.Thedistributionsarenotparticularlyrevealing,exceptforafew points:predominantlyfishingsocietiesappeartohavelowlevelsofpolygynyin comparisontoothergroups;pastoralistsappeartohaveabimodaldistribution, withafairnumberofgroupsinwhich30%to50%ofmarriedmenhavemore thanonewifeandanothersetofgroupspolygynylevelsclosertozero;andthe highestlevelsofpolygyny(around90%)arefoundinhorticulturalistand agriculturalistsocieties.Theforagercategoryiscrudelybrokendowninto predominantlygatheringversushuntinggroupsinfigure3.Thethreeforager societieswithover45%polygynousmarriedmenarecodedaspredominantly gatheringsocieties,afindingwhichoutintheanalyses. TheSCCSisanidiosyncraticdataset,andoftencontainsmultiple measuresofavariableofinterest,eachwithaslightlydifferentdefinitionand codingmethodology.Inordertoevaluatetherelationshipbetweenvariables moresystematically,Iexaminedbivariatecorrelationsbetweenpolygynyanda largescatteringofpredictorvariables,aswellasthecorrelationsbetweenthese predictorvariables;theseresultsthenguidedthedevelopmentofmultiple regressionmodels. Fourimportantvariablesneglectedintheseanalysesarelatitude, ecologicalzone,populationsize,andpopulationdensity.Allarepotentiallyvital totheproblem,andshouldbeaddressesinfuturework(Marlowe2003).

9 Table1.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenpolygynyandsubsistencevariablesinforagers, horticulturalists,andallgroups. Foragers Horticulturalists Fullsample %Married %Married %Married %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women SCCSVariable(10total) Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous

DependenceonAgriculture 0.270* 0.264*

DependenceonFishing 0.431** 0.520*** 0.499**** 0.536**** 0.277**** 0.301 ****

DependenceonGathering 0.405** 0.445**

DependenceonHunting 0.286 **× 0.306 **× FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.278 **** 0.296 **** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel 0.285** 0.271*** 0.276**** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.353 * 0.224** 0.248*** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte 0.562** 0.573* 0.231* 0.225* PercentFemaleContributionto Agriculture 0.288** 0.335** 0.345**** 0.339**** PercentFemaleContributionto DomesticAnimals 0.395** 0.233** *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 ×Correlationinoppositedirectionthanpredicted Thefollowingfourvariableswerenotsignificantlycorrelatedwithpolygynymeasures(p>0.1):Dependence onAnimalHusbandry,PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing,PercentContributiontoGathering,and PercentFemaleContributiontoHunting. 1. Subsistence economy, male provisioning and polygyny Table1showscorrelationsbetweenpolygynyanddependenceon differentsubsistencemethods,generalfemalecontributionstosubsistence,and femalecontributionstosubsistenceinspecificdomainsforforager, horticulturalist,andallgroups.Notethatmalecontributiontosubsistenceis simply100–femalecontribution.AsMarlowe(2003)found,andasfigure3 suggests,polygynyamongforagersispositivelycorrelatedwithasociety’s dependenceongathering(mostcommonlyafemaleactivity)andtwomeasures offemalecontributiontosubsistence,lendingsupportforthemaleprovisioning hypothesis.Dependenceongatheringindeedpredictshigherfemalecontribution amongforagers(table4).KaplanandLancaster(2003)alsofoundarelationship betweenthepercentageofdietfromgatheringandpolygynyintheBinford datasetof145huntergatherersocieties(Binford2001).

10 Amonghorticulturalists,therearesignificantpositiverelationships betweenpolygynyandfemalecontributiontoagriculture,aswellasonemeasure offemalecontributiontosubsistenceingeneral,againaspredictedbythemale provisioninghypothesis.Thefactthatthereisapositiverelationshipbetween polygynyanddependenceonhunting,however,isapparentlycountertotheory. Correlationsforallgroups,whichbenefitfromlargersamplesize,showpolygyny positivelycorrelatedwithallmeasuresoftotalfemalecontributiontosubsistence, aswellasfemalecontributiontoagriculture,asfoundbyWhiteandBurton (1988).Somewhatsurprisingly,correlationsbetweenpolygynyanddependence onhunting,gathering,andagricultureareallinsignificantforthefullsample. Astrongnegativerelationshipexistsbetweenpolygynyanddependence onfishingacrossallthreesamples.Thisfindingcouldsupportthemale provisioninghypothesisiftheimportanceoffishingindicatedarelianceonmen’s production.AsMarlowe(2003)found,andtable4confirms,thereisindeeda negativerelationshipbetweenfishingandwomen’scontributionamongforagers. Inthefullandhorticulturalistsamples,however,thesecorrelationsare statisticallyinsignificant,whichmaycastsomedoubtontheroleofmen’sworkto explainawaythenegativeeffectoffishingonpolygyny.Tables2and3show fishingandfemalecontributionregressedonpolygynylevelsintheforagerand fullsamples.Theeffectoffishingissignificantinbothmodels,anddoesnot appeartobemediatedsolelythroughsexspecificcontributionstodiet;female contributiondropsoutoftheforagermodelbutremainssignificantinthefull sample.

11 Table2.Regressionmodelforpercentofmarriedwomenpolygynouslymarried, withfishingandfemalecontributiontosubsistenceaspredictorsamongforagers Parameter B StandardError t Significance Intercept 33.46 18.437 1.815 0.820 DependenceonFishing 5.74 2.278 2.518 0.019 FemaleContributionto 0.22 0.362 0.605 0.551 Subsistence:EthnographicAtlas Note:N=25,R 2=0.282 Table3.Regressionmodelforpercentofmarriedwomenpolygynouslymarried, withfishingandfemalecontributiontosubsistenceaspredictorsinthefull sample Parameter B StandardError t Significance Intercept 17.40 6.212 2.800 0.006 DependenceonFishing 3.63 1.225 2.964 0.004 FemaleContributionto 0.38 0.143 2.687 0.008 Subsistence:EthnographicAtlas Note:N=116,R 2=0.128 Table4presentstherelationshipsbetweenfemalecontributionvariables andthebasesubsistencevariables.Amongforagers,femalecontributionto subsistenceispositivelypredictedbydependenceongatheringandnegatively predictedbydependenceonfishing.Inthefullsample,agricultureandgardening bothincreasewomen’scontributionstodiet,whileanimalhusbandrydecreases it.Dependenceonhuntingalsonegativelypredictswomen’scontributions;this effectisapproachessignificanceintheforagersampleaswell. Inthehorticulturalistandfullsamples,dependenceonhuntingis associatedwithhigherfemalecontributionstoagriculture.Thisfindingis intuitivelyappealing:amongtheTsimane’oftheBolivianAmazon,whoderivea substantialportionoftheirdietfrombothhuntingandhorticulture,menspenda significantportionoftheirtimehunting,whilewomen’sproductionislimitedto gardeningand,toalesserextent,fishing.

12 Table4.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenfemalecontributiontosubsistenceandsubsistenceeconomyvariablesinforagers, horticulturalists,andallgroups. Foragers Contribution: Contribution: Contribution: Female Female Contributionto Female Female Female Averageof Barryand Ethnographic Contribution: Contributionto Domestic Contributionto Contributionto Contributionto SCCSVariable ThreeScores Schlegel Atlas MartinWhyte Agriculture Animals Fishing Gathering Hunting

DependenceonAgriculture

DependenceonAnimalHusbandry

DependenceonFishing 0.500 *** 0.630 ** 0.504 ***

DependenceonGathering 0.416** 0.671**** 0.529** 0.536*** 0.302*

DependenceonHunting 0.314 * 0.348 ** Horticulturalists Contribution: Contribution: Contribution: Female Female Contributionto Female Female Female Averageof Barryand Ethnographic Contribution: Contributionto Domestic Contributionto Contributionto Contributionto SCCSVariable ThreeScores Schlegel Atlas MartinWhyte Agriculture Animals Fishing Gathering Hunting

DependenceonAgriculture 0.345 **

DependenceonAnimalHusbandry 0.286 *

DependenceonFishing 0.217* 0.333**

DependenceonGathering

DependenceonHunting 0.382 *** Fullsample Contribution: Contribution: Contribution: Female Female Contributionto Female Female Female Averageof Barryand Ethnographic Contribution: Contributionto Domestic Contributionto Contributionto Contributionto SCCSVariable ThreeScores Schlegel Atlas MartinWhyte Agriculture Animals Fishing Gathering Hunting

DependenceonAgriculture 0.143* 0.175** 0.177** 0.252***

DependenceonAnimalHusbandry 0.213*** 0.347*** 0.374**** 0.150*

DependenceonFishing 0.300 *** 0.192 **

DependenceonGathering 0.270**** 0.218*

DependenceonHunting 0.157 ** 0.323 **** 0.244 *** *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 13 2. Stratification, storage, and polygyny Iutilizedsixmeasuresofsocialstratificationordespotism(Class Stratification,SocialStratification,SocialStratificationintheLargerSociety, SocialStratificationintheLocalCommunity,ChecksonLeader’sPower PerceptionsofPoliticalLeaders’Power)asproxiesforvarianceinmale resources. No correlations betweenpolygynyandthesevariablesarestatistically significantwithintheforager,horticulturalist,orfullsamples;thedirectionsofthe relationshipsarealsoinconsistent. Table5.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenpolygynyandfoodstorageinforagers, horticulturalists,andallgroups. Foragers Horticulturalists Fullsample %Married %Married %Married %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women SCCSVariable Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous

foodstorage(recoded) 0.446 **× 0.513 ***× 0.142 *× 0.174 **× *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 ×Correlationinoppositedirectionthanpredicted Foodstoragevariablev20wasrecodedas1or0toindicatethepresenceorabsenceofstorage. Foodstorageisimplicatedasacontributortoinequalityinmaleresources. Table6confirmsthepositiverelationshipbetweenstorageandstratification foundbyTestart(1982)forforagersandextendsit(weakly)tohorticulturalists and(strongly)tothefullsample.Inthefullsample,therearealsofewer constraintsonpoliticalleadersinstoringsocieties.Ifthisrelationshipbetween storageandinequalityholds,andtherelationshipbetweeninequalityand polygynyholds,thenfoodstorageshouldbepositivelycorrelatedwithpolygyny. Table5,however,showsa negative relationshipbetweenfoodstorageand polygynyamongforagersandthefullsample.Therelationshipisstrongerand moresignificantamongtheforagersample.

14 Table6.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenfoodstorageandstratification, subsistencevariables,andpathogenstressinforagers,horticulturalists,andall groups. Foragers Horticulturalists Fullsample

foodstorage foodstorage foodstorage SCCSVariable(16total) (recoded) (recoded) (recoded)

ClassStratification 0.461*** 0.266****

SocialStratification 0.585*** 0.416** 0.479**** SocialStratificationintheLarger Society 0.562** 0.390** 0.441**** SocialStratificationintheLocal Community 0.562** 0.323* 0.367****

ChecksonLeader'sPower 0.314 *** PerceptionsofPoliticalLeaders'Power † 0.226 **

DependenceonAgriculture 0.312 ****

DependenceonFishing 0.611 ****

DependenceonGathering 0.481*** 0.348****

DependenceonHunting 0.279 **** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.303 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.479 *** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte 0.208 * PercentFemaleContributionto DomesticAnimals 0.305 * PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering 0.410** 0.175**

TotalPathogenStress 0.103**** 0.125* *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited Foodstoragevariablev20wasrecodedas1or0toindicatethepresenceorabsenceofstorage. Thefollowingsixvariableswerenotsignificantlycorrelatedwithfoodstorage(p>0.1): DependenceonAnimalHusbandry,FemaleContributiontoSubsistence:BarryandSchlegel, PercentFemaleContributiontoAgriculture,PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing,Percent FemaleContributiontoHunting,andSexRatio. Iadditionallyinvestigatedtherelationshipsbetweenstorageandother subsistencevariables(table6).Amongforagers,storageisnegativelyassociated withgatheringandpositivelyassociatedwithfishingandmalecontributionto subsistence:foragersthatstorefoodmoreoftenthanforagerswhodon’t. Amongthefullsample,storageisnegativelyassociatedwithhuntingand

15 gatheringandpositivelyassociatedwithagriculture:societiesthatfarmstore moreoftenthanothers. Toexaminewhetherdependenceonfishingmightbedrivingthenegative relationshipbetweenfoodstorageandpolygyny,Iregressedthetwovariableson thepercentofmarriedwomenwhowerepolygynousforbothforagerandfull samples.Whiletheforagerregressionwasnotstatisticallysignificant,thefull samplemodelcontrollingfordependenceonfishingmaintainedasignificant negativerelationshipbetweenstorageandpolygyny(table7). Table7.Regressionmodelforpercentofmarriedwomenpolygynouslymarried withfishingandfoodstorageaspredictorsinthefullsample Parameter B StandardError t Significance Intercept 43.36 5.302 8.178 0.000 DependenceonFishing 4.67 1.211 3.855 0.000 Foodstorage(recoded) 12.37 5.428 2.279 0.024 Note:N=138,R 2=0.125 Howdostratificationanddespotismrelatetosubsistenceeconomy? Tables8,9,and10showtherelationshipbetweenstratificationandsubsistence variablesforforagers,horticulturalists,andthefullsample,respectively.Among foragers,stratificationispositivelyassociatedwithfishingand(weakly)negatively associatedwithhuntingandwomen’scontributiontosubsistence.Among horticulturalists,stratificationispositivelyassociatedwithanimalhusbandryand negativelyassociatedwithhunting,gathering,andwomen’scontributionto subsistence.Inthefullsample,socialstratificationanddespotismarepositively associatedwithagricultureandanimalhusbandry,andnegativelyassociated withhunting,and(moreweakly)gatheringandfishing.Thereisalsoagainless stratificationwherewomencontributemoretosubsistence.Thisistrueforoverall contributionaswellasinthespecificdomainsofagriculture,fishing,animal husbandry,andhunting(inorderfromstrongesttoweakestassociation).

16 Table8.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenstratificationandsubsistencevariablesin foragers. Foragers Stratificationin Stratificationin Class Social theLarger theLocal Checkson Perceptionsof SCCSVariable(14total) Stratification Stratification Society Community Leaders'Powers Leader'sPower†

DependenceonAgriculture 0.404 *

DependenceonAnimalHusbandry

DependenceonFishing 0.511*** 0.426** 0.591** 0.591**

DependenceonGathering 0.425* 0.425*

DependenceonHunting 0.411 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.367 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.415** 0.407* 0.393 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte PercentfemaleContributionto Agriculture PercentFemaleContributionto DomesticAnimals

PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing 0.363 * PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering 0.347 **

PercentFemaleContributiontoHunting

foodstorage(recoded) 0.461*** 0.585*** 0.562** 0.562** *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited Foodstoragevariablev20wasrecodedas1or0toindicatethepresenceorabsenceofstorage.

17 Table9.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenstratificationandsubsistencevariablesin horticulturalists. Horticulturalists Stratificationin Stratificationin Class Social theLarger theLocal Checkson Perceptionsof SCCSVariable(14total) Stratification Stratification Society Community Leaders'Powers Leader'sPower†

DependenceonAgriculture 0.299 *

DependenceonAnimalHusbandry 0.276** 0.371**

DependenceonFishing

DependenceonGathering 0.277** 0.444*** 0.305* 0.371**

DependenceonHunting 0.251** 0.330** 0.376** 0.353* FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.344 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.397** 0.342* FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte 0.361 * PercentfemaleContributionto Agriculture PercentFemaleContributionto DomesticAnimals 0.367** 0.632*** 0.561 **

PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing 0.306* 0.404** PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering

PercentFemaleContributiontoHunting 0.392** 0.334*

foodstorage(recoded) ,416 ** 0.390** 0.323* *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited Foodstoragevariablev20wasrecodedas1or0toindicatethepresenceorabsenceofstorage.

18 Table10.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenstratificationandsubsistencevariablesinall groups. Fullsample Stratificationin Stratificationin Class Social theLarger theLocal Checkson Perceptionsof SCCSVariable(14total) Stratification Stratification Society Community Leaders'Powers Leader'sPower†

DependenceonAgriculture 0.351**** 0.370**** 0.414**** 0.342**** 0.365**** 0.424 ****

DependenceonAnimalHusbandry 0.279**** 0.287*** 0.382**** 0.310*** 0.231** 0.209*

DependenceonFishing 0.229 ** 0.206 *

DependenceonGathering 0.392 ****

DependenceonHunting 0.439**** 0.461**** 0.464**** 0.382**** 0.379**** 0.417 **** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.202*** 0.361**** 0.273*** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel 0.133* 0.268** 0.244** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.226*** 0.344*** 0.299*** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte 0.272** 0.282** PercentfemaleContributionto Agriculture 0.292**** 0.278** 0.458**** 0.349*** PercentFemaleContributionto DomesticAnimals 0.209** 0.237* 0.303 **

PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing 0.193** 0.323*** 0.317*** 0.244** PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering

PercentFemaleContributiontoHunting 0.171** 0.265** 0.345*** 0.340***

foodstorage(recoded) 0.266**** 0.479**** 0.441**** 0.367**** 0.314*** 0.226 ** *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited Foodstoragevariablev20wasrecodedas1or0toindicatethepresenceorabsenceofstorage.

19 Theserelationshipsaregenerallyintuitive:animalhusbandryand agriculturearebasedoneconomicallydefensibleresources(e.g.cattleor territory)andareoftenassociatedwithlarger,denserpopulations,andtherefore greatersocialstratification. Thefactthatfishingpositivelypredictsstratificationamongforagersbut negativelypredictsstratificationforthefullsampleisworthexamining(the coefficientsfortheforagerresultarelargeandaresignificantacrossthe stratificationvariables,whilethefullsampleresultonlyappearsforonevariable). Wehaveseenthatpolygynyisstronglynegativelypredictedbydependenceon fishingacrossallthreesamples(table1).Thusitappearsthatforagersthat dependmoreonfishingaremorestratifiedandlesspolygynousthanother foragers. Table11.Regressionmodelforpercentofmarriedwomenpolygynouslymarried withsocialstratification,women’scontributiontosubsistence,andfoodstorage aspredictorsinthefullsample Parameter B StandardError t Significance Intercept 17.36 13.06 1.33 0.189 SocialStratification 6.77 4.46 1.52 0.134 FemaleContributionto 0.44 0.21 2.05 0.045 Subsistence: EthnographicAtlas Foodstorage(recoded) 28.57 9.39 3.04 0.003 Note:N=61,R 2=0.196 Femalecontributiontosubsistence,wheresignificant,isconsistentlylower inmorestratifiedsocietiesinallthreesamples.Couldthisrelationshipnullify whatmightotherwisebeapositiverelationshipbetweenstratificationand polygyny?TheSocialStratificationvariableregressedonpolygynyamong marriedwomenaloneyieldsanegative(andnotsignificant)coefficient;when femalecontributiontosubsistenceandfoodstorageareaddedtotheregression (table11),thestratificationcoefficientbecomespositiveandapproaches,but doesnotreach,statisticalsignificance(p=0.134).Oncestorageandmale provisioningarecontrolledfor,stratificationmaythusshowthepredicted associationwithpolygyny.Whyfoodstoragehassuchastrongnegative relationshipwithpolygyny,however,isstillnotcleartheoretically;itis consequentlyunclearwhatcausalforceisbeingcontrolledforintheregression.

20 Table12.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenpolygynyandviolenceinforagers, horticulturalists,andallgroups. Foragers Horticulturalists Fullsample %Married %Married %Married %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women SCCSVariable(18total) Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous AtleastsomeWivestakenfromHostile Groups 0.220 **

FrequencyofExternalWarAttacking† 0.309** 0.327** 0.162*

FrequencyofInternalWar† 0.188** 0.242***

FrequencyofInternalWarfare 0.349 * FrequencyofInternalWarfareInvolving NonterritoriallyOrganizedGroups 0.001 ***× withinUnitofMaximalPoliticalAuthority FrequencyofIntraethnicViolence (v1776) 0.419* 0.458** FrequencyofViolentConflictBetween GroupswithinLocalCommunities 0.011 **× FrequencyofViolentConflictInvolving atLeastOneMaximalEffectiveKin 0.511 * Group IndividualAggressionAssault 0.649*** 0.684**** 0.236** 0.281***

IndividualAggressionHomicide 0.384** 0.357** 0.181*

InternalWarfare(v773)† 0.211* 0.240**

MaleAggressionGuttmanScale 0.384 * 0.240** 0.264** ModerateorFrequentInterpersonal Violence 0.370* 0.407** 0.305** 0.372** 0.249*** Plunder(IncludingCaptivesforSlaves, Hostages,)† 0.224 *** 0.249 ** :Incidents,reports,thoughtofas meansofpunishment,orpartof 0.262 ** ceremony SociallyOrganizedAssault 0.398 ** ValueofWar:Violence/WarAgainst NonMembersoftheGroup† 0.209 **

WarfareorFighting 0.220 ** *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 ×Correlationinoppositedirectionthanpredicted †Variablecodedfrominreverse,fromhighesttolowest Thefollowingelevenwarfare/aggressionvariableswerenotsignificantlycorrelatedwithpolygynymeasures (p>0.1):AggressiveDefense(PreEmptiveAttackifThoughtEnemyabouttoAttack),Defense,Frequency ofExternalWarBeingAttacked,FrequencyofExternalWarfare(resolvedrating),FrequencyofExternal Warfare:UnitofMaximalPoliticalAuthority,FrequencyofInternalWarfare(resolvedrating),Frequencyof IntraethnicViolence(v1778),FrequencyofViolentConflictInvolvingatLeastOneLocalCommunity, IntensityofIntraethnicViolence,InternalWarfare(v1117),OverallFrequencyofWarfare(resolvedrating).

21 3. Violent conflict and polygyny Correlationsbetweenvariablesrelatedtoaggression,violence,and warfareandpolygynyaregivenintable12.Of29variables,18correlatewith eithermaleorfemalepolygynyrateswithin90%confidenceintervalsinforager, horticulturalist,orallsocietiesintheSCCS.Allsignificantrelationshipsareinthe predicteddirection(moreviolence↔morepolygyny)excepttwo,whichhave nearzerocoefficients.Amongforagers,polygynycorrelateswithvariables relatedtointerpersonalandwithingroupviolenceandaggression.Thesameis trueforhorticulturalists,withtheadditionofpositiverelationshipswith frequenciesofinternalandexternal warfare.Theoneexternalwarfaremeasure (offour)significantlycorrelatedwithpolygynyinhorticulturalistsocietiesandthe fullsampleisameasureof outward aggression.Itshouldberememberedthat warfare(ignoringitseffectsonsexratio)mayleadtopolygynyviaeithercapture ofwomenorincreaseddemandformaleprotection;associationswithoutward aggressionfavorthefirstpathway,whileassociationswithaggressionfrom outsidefavorthesecond. Sixvariablesassociatedwithpolygynyinoneormoreofthesampleswere selectedforuseinanalysisofcovarianceandmultivariatemodels:Frequencyof ExternalWar–Attacking,FrequencyofInternalWar,IndividualAggression– Assault,IndividualAggression–Homicide,ModerateorFrequentInterpersonal Violence,andPlunder.

22 Table13.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenviolentconflictandsubsistencevariables,food storage,andstratificationinforagers. Foragers Frequencyof Individual Individual Moderate ExternalWar Frequencyof Aggression Aggression Interpersonal SCCSVariable(18total) Attacking† InternalWar† Assault Homicide Violence Plunder†

DependenceonAgriculture

DependenceonFishing 0.650 ****

DependenceonGathering 0.346* 0.421**

DependenceonHunting 0.427 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.348 * 0.410 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel 0.380 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.466 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte PercentfemaleContributionto Agriculture

PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing

PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering 0.393** 0.436**

foodstorage(recoded) 0.308* 0.408** 0.333 *

ClassStratification 0.441 ***

SocialStratification

SocialStratificationinthelarger societies SocialStratificationintheLocal Community

ChecksonLeader'sPower 0.422 * PerceptionsofPoliticalLeaders'Power ‡ *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedfrominreverse,fromhighesttolowest ‡Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited

23 Table14.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenviolentconflictandsubsistencevariables,food storage,andstratificationinhorticulturalists. Horticulturalists Frequencyof Individual Individual Moderate ExternalWar Frequencyof Aggression Aggression Interpersonal SCCSVariable(12total) Attacking† InternalWar† Assault Homicide Violence Plunder†

DependenceonAgriculture 0.356 ***

DependenceonFishing

DependenceonGathering

DependenceonHunting 0.368 *** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.320 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.389 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte 0.446 ** PercentfemaleContributionto Agriculture 0.377 ***

PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing 0.283* 0.358** PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering 0.273 *

foodstorage(recoded)

ClassStratification 0.279 **

SocialStratification

SocialStratificationinthelarger societies SocialStratificationintheLocal Community

ChecksonLeader'sPower 0.530** 0.524** PerceptionsofPoliticalLeaders'Power ‡ *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedfrominreverse,fromhighesttolowest ‡Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited

24 Table15.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenviolentconflictandsubsistencevariables,food storage,andstratificationinallgroups. Fullsample Frequencyof Individual Individual Moderate ExternalWar Frequencyof Aggression Aggression Interpersonal SCCSVariable(12total) Attacking† InternalWar† Assault Homicide Violence Plunder†

DependenceonAgriculture 0.155 **

DependenceonFishing 0.208*** 0.144*

DependenceonGathering 0.233 **

DependenceonHunting 0.182 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.180 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel 0.179* 0.155* FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.189 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte PercentfemaleContributionto Agriculture 0.213** 0.229***

PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing 0.212 ** PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering

foodstorage(recoded)

ClassStratification 0.256 *** 0.199 **

SocialStratification 0.251 ** SocialStratificationinthelarger societies 0.382**** 0.194* SocialStratificationintheLocal Community 0.279 ** 0.251 *

ChecksonLeader'sPower 0.258 ** PerceptionsofPoliticalLeaders'Power ‡ 0.228 ** 0.285 ** *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedfrominreverse,fromhighesttolowest ‡Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited Thefollowingthreevariableswerenotsignificantlycorrelatedwithsubsistencevariablesacrossallthree samples(p>0.1):DependenceonAnimalHusbandry,PercentFemaleContributiontoDomesticAnimals, PercentFemaleContributiontoHunting. Tables13,14,and15showtherelationshipsbetweenindividualand grouplevelconflictandsubsistencevariablesfortheforager,horticulturalist,and fullsamples,respectively.Thecorrelationsareonthewholenotstrong,nor consistentacrosstheconflictvariables.Amongforagershomicideisnegatively

25 associatedwithhuntingandpositivelyassociatedwithfishing.Plunderis negativelyrelatedtodependenceongatheringandfemalecontributionto subsistence.Amonghorticulturalistsinternalwardecreaseswithhuntingand increaseswithagriculture.Asfemalecontributiontosubsistenceincreases,it appearsthatassaultincreases;plundermaydecrease,butthedirectionofthe relationshipisnotconsistentacrossmeasuresoffemalecontribution.Inthefull sample,warfareisnegativelyassociatedwithfishingaswellasfemale contributiontosubsistence.Homicideisnegativelyassociatedwithgathering. Plunderispositivelyrelatedtohuntingandnegativelyrelatedtoagriculture. Therelationshipbetweenfemalecontributiontosubsistenceand measuresofviolencesupportsthehypothesisthatmen’sallocationsto aggressiontradeoffwithparentalinvestment.Decreaseddemandformale provisioningmightthusleadtopolygynyeitherdirectlyviafemaleindifference betweenmonogamousandpolygynoushusbands(themainpathwaydiscussed inpoint1ofthetheorysection)orviaincreaseddemandformaleprotection (point3).Regressingfemalecontributionsandassaultonpolygynyamong marriedfemalesshowsthatbotheffectsremainsignificantinthefullsample (table16). Table16.Regressionmodelforpercentofmarriedwomenpolygynouslymarried withwomen’scontributiontosubsistenceandassaultaspredictorsinthefull sample Parameter B StandardError t Significance Intercept 0.235 7.437 0.032 0.975 FemaleContributionto 0.339 0.163 2.079 0.041 Subsistence: EthnographicAtlas IndividualAggression 2.218 0.910 2.438 0.017 Assault Note:N=77,R 2=0.131 Foodstorageispositivelyrelatedtoassaultamongforagers,butisnot significantlyrelatedtoanyofthefiveviolencevariablesinthehorticulturalistand fullsamples. Inthetheorysectionthequestionwasraisedwhetherresource inequalities(andstratification)wouldshowpositive,negative,ornullassociations withviolentconflict.Inthefullsample,allmeasuresofstratificationand

26 despotismarepositivelyassociatedwithaggressivewarfare;onemeasureof stratificationispositivelyassociatedwithaggressivewarfareintheforager sample.Inthefullandhorticulturalistsamples,however,stratificationis negativelyassociatedwithmeasuresofindividualaggressionandinterpersonal violence.Thus,stratifiedsocietiesmaybeinternallysafer,butmoreviolentin theirrelationswithothergroups,astraightforwardbutinterestingresult.The effectofinequalityonpolygynyviaconflictwouldsimilarlybebidirectional: decreasedwithingroupviolencemaydrivedownthedemandformale protection,whileincreasedintergroupwarfaremaydriveitup.

4. Pathogen stress and polygyny AsreportedbyLow(1988),totalpathogenstressisastrongpositive correlateofpolygynyinthefullsample;thesameistruefortheforagerand horticulturalistsubsets,shownintable17. Table17.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenpolygynyandpathogenstressinforagers, horticulturalists,andallgroups. Foragers Horticulturalists Fullsample %Married %Married %Married %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women %MarriedMen Women SCCSVariable Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous Polygynous

TotalPathogenStress 0.398** 0.301** 0.352** 0.288**** 0.347**** *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 Correlationsbetweenpathogenstressandotherpredictorvariablesare summarizedintable18.Pathogenstressisstronglyrelatedtosubsistence variables.Itisconsistentlypositivelyassociatedwithagriculture,andnegatively associatedwithfishingacrossallthreesamples.Thereisevidenceforhigher pathogenstresswherewomencontributemoretosubsistenceinthefullsample. Dependenceongatherisassociatedwith higher pathogenstressamong foragers,but lower pathogenstressinthefullsample.Earlierwefounda negativeassociationbetweenpathogenstressandfoodstorageintheforager andfullsamples,whichmaybedrivenbycommonecologicalfactorsratherthan anydirectrelationshipperse.

27 Table18.Pearsoncorrelationsbetweenpathogenstressandstratification, subsistencevariables,andfoodstorageinforagers,horticulturalists,andall groups. Foragers Horticulturalists Fullsample

TotalPathogen TotalPathogen TotalPathogen SCCSVariable(19total) Stress Stress Stress

ClassStratification 0.362** 0.124*

SocialStratification 0.355* 0.289* 0.254** SocialStratificationintheLarger Society 0.454 * SocialStratificationintheLocal Community 0.454 *

ChecksonLeader'sPower 0.207 * PerceptionsofPoliticalLeaders'Power † 0.285 ***

DependenceonAgriculture 0.446*** 0.369*** 0.449****

DependenceonFishing 0.644**** 0.330*** 0.368****

DependenceonGathering 0.462*** 0.167**

DependenceonHunting 0.341 **** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: AverageofThreeScores 0.167 ** FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: BarryandSchlegel 0.133 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: EthnographicAtlas 0.153 * FemaleContributiontoSubsistence: MartinWhyte 0.370 * PercentFemaleContributionto DomesticAnimals 0.315 ** PercentFemaleContributionto Gathering 0.610**** 0.296****

PercentFemaleContributiontoHunting 0.200 **

Foodstorage(recoded) 0.103**** 0.125* *p<0.1,**p<0.05,***p<0.01,****p<0.001 †Variablecodedasfollows:1=verypowerful,2=somewhatpowerful,and3=limited Foodstoragevariablev20wasrecodedas1or0toindicatethepresenceorabsenceofstorage. Thefollowingthreevariableswerenotsignificantlycorrelatedwithfoodstorage(p>0.1): DependenceonAnimalHusbandry,PercentFemaleContributiontoFishing,andSexRatio. Therelationshipbetweenpathogenstressandstratificationisconfusing:it is negatively associatedwithsocialstratificationamongforagers(Class Stratificationatp<0.01;SocialStratificationintheLargerSociety,Social StratificationintheLocalCommunity,andSocialStratificationatp<0.1)and

28 positively associatedwithstratificationinthefullsample(SocialStratificationand PerceptionsofPoliticalLeaders’Poweratp<0.05;ChecksonLeader’sPower andClassStratificationatp<0.1). Analysisoftotalpathogenstressandthesixaggressionvariablesshowsa negativerelationshipbetweenpathogenstressandIndividualAggression– Assaultinthehorticulturalistandfullsamples,andbetweenpathogenstressand IndividualAggression–Homicideinallthreesamples.Thatis,wherepathogen stressishigher,individualaggressionislower.Relationshipswithinternaland externalwarfarevariableswerenotsignificant. Thecovarianceofpathogenstresswithothersocietalvariableslistedin table18—especiallydependenceonfishing,agriculture,andwomen’s contributiontosubsistence—needstobetakenseriouslyinattemptingtoexplain thecausalconnectionsbetweenecologyandmatingsystem. 5. Sex ratio and polygyny Nocorrelationsbetweenpolygynyandsexratioaresignificant,norare theyconsistentlyinonedirection.Totestfortherelationshipbetweensexratio andviolentconflictpositedinthemodel,Iexaminedcorrelationsbetweensex ratioandthesixmainaggressionvariablesassociatedwithpolygyny.Onlyfive outeighteenrelationshipsareinthepredicteddirection(femalebiasedsexratio ↔conflict);thecorrelationwithFrequencyofInternalWarissignificant(p=0.03) intheoppositedirectionthanpredicted. Iinvestigatedrelationshipsbetweensexratiotheotherpredictorvariables. Therearenosignificantcorrelationsbetweensexratioandsubsistence variables,femalecontributiontosubsistence,socialstratification,storage,or pathogenstressinthefullsample.Femalebiasedsexratioissignificantly positivelyassociated(p<0.05)withtheBarryandSchlegelandaveraged measuresoffemalecontributiontosubsistenceamongforagers;itisalso associated(p<0.05)withtheMartinWhytemeasureoffemalecontributionto subsistenceanddependenceonanimalhusbandryamonghorticulturalists.Itis notclearwhethertheseassociationsaremeaningful,noraretheyimplicatedin thetheorypresentedhere.

29 fishing agriculture Foragers

food storage gathering

hunting

male contribution to subsistence aggression/ warfare

pathogen stress female-biased sex ratio polygyny fishing agriculture Horticulturalists

food storage gathering

hunting social stratification

male contribution to subsistence aggression/ warfare

pathogen stress female-biased sex ratio polygyny fishing agriculture Full sample

food storage gathering

hunting social stratification

male contribution to subsistence aggression/ warfare

pathogen stress female-biased sex ratio polygyny Figure4.Asketchofsignificantrelationshipsbetweenpolygynyandexplanatory variablesamongforagers,horticulturalists,andallgroupsintheSCCS.Dashed linesindicatenegativerelationships.Thedottedlinebetweenstratificationand aggression/warfareindicatesanambiguousrelationship,dependingonthe variable.Relationshipsbetweenaggression/warfareandsubsistencevariables havebeenleftoutduetoambiguity. 30 Summary and conclusion Howdotheresultsonthecausalhypothesesoutlinedatthe beginningofthepaper? 1. Thenegativeassociationbetweenpolygynyandmaleprovisioning(andthe importanceofmalespecifictasks)acrossallthreesamplesindeedsupports thedemandformaleprovisioninghypothesis.Fishingespeciallyappearsto promotemonogamy,perhapspartlyduetoitsassociationwithhighmale contributiontodiet. 2. Stratification,aproxyforvarianceinmaleresourceholdings,doesnotshow thepredictedrelationshipwithpolygyny.Stratificationmaybeabadproxyfor resourcevariance,oronethatcarriesmorebaggage(e.g.covariancewith urbanization,police,largescalecooperativeproduction)thanit’sworth. Controllingformalecontributionandstoragepushestherelationshipbetween polygynyandstratificationtowardsignificance.Thestrongnegative relationshipbetweenfoodstorageandpolygynyremainsunexplained. Storageiscloselyrelatedtoothersubsistencevariablesthatappeartohave animportanteffectonmatingsystem,aswellasstratification. 3. Warfareandinterpersonalaggressionshowthepredictedassociationswith polygyny.Therelationshipbetweenviolenceandothervariables,however, requiresfurtherinvestigation:itisclearthatanalysesneedtodistinguish betweeninternalandexternalconflict,aswellasinterpersonalandsocially organizedviolence.Thereissupportforthehypothesizednegative relationshipbetweenmaleprovisioningandratesofaggression,atleast amonghorticulturalists,suggestingthatthetwomayindeedtradeoffeach other.Itisunclearwhetheraggressionleadstopolygynyasaresultofthe captureandenslavementofwomen(thecoercionhypothesis),thedemand formaleprotection(thefemalechoicehypothesis),orsomeotherpathway. 4. Pathogenstresscontinuestobeastrongpredictorofpolygyny.Its associationswithotherpredictorvariablesneedtobeevaluatedingreater detail.

31 5. Sexratiodoesnotappeartobestatisticallyconnectedtopolygynyinthe SCCS.Ifthereisaneffect,itmaybewashedoverbymorepowerfulcausal variablessuchassubsistencestrategyandpathogenstress. Thesizeofthispaperhasexpandedgreatlysinceitsconception,and comprehensivemultivariateanalyseshavereceivedlessattentionthanoriginally intended.Correlationsbetweenpolygynyandthemainpredictorvariablesneed tobetranslatedintoregressionmodelsthatcontrolfortheeffectsofcovariates, especiallypathogenstress.Analysesadditionallyneedtoaddresstheeffectsof latitude,ecologicalzone,populationsize,andpopulationdensity.Iplanto continueanalysesofthistype,focusingespeciallyonotheraspectsofsocial evolution(e.g.socialstratification,warfare)thathaveeludedquickexplanationin boththispaperandthefieldofanthropologyingeneral.

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