EMRS State Voting Intentions Poll February 2021

emrs enterprise marketing & research services

4th March 2021

EMRS State Voting Intentions February 2021

Polling was conducted from the 15th to the 23rd of February 2021. 1,000 adult Tasmanian residents were interviewed and responses weighted to reflect the Tasmanian adult voting population. A sample of this size provides a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

This report has been prepared by Enterprise Marketing and Research Services 60 Main Road, Moonah TAS 7009

All enquiries should be addressed to:

Paul Jamrozik Research Manager EMRS Phone: (03) 6211 1222 PO Box 402 Fax: (03) 6211 1219 Moonah TAS 7009 E-mail: [email protected]

Figure 1 – Decided Voters Supporting or Leaning towards a Party The latest EMRS poll was conducted from the 15th to 60 the 23rd of February 2021 54% calling both landline and 52% 52% 52% mobile telephone numbers 50% throughout Tasmania. 47% 44% 43% • At 52%, support for the Liberal State Government showed no change since the 40 previous poll in November 33% 34% 2020. 31% 29% 28% • Support for the Labor Party 27% increased marginally by 2 24% 25% points since November 2020, now standing at 27%.

20 • The Greens support also 14% rose only slightly, by 1 point 13% 13% 12% 12% 13% 10% since November 2020, to 10% stand at 14% currently. 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% • Of the remaining decided 7% 7% voters, 7% stated that they would vote for another 0 Actual Election November December March May August November February option to the three major Result '18 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 parties, a slight decrease to the level recorded last in the actual state election in 2018. Liberal Labor Greens Other

Figure 2 – Preferred Premier of Tasmania

80 70% 61% prefer 63% 61% 61% Peter Gutwein 60

43% 42% 41% 40 26% 39% prefer 26% 26% 26% Rebecca 23% 20% White 2016% 13% 11% 12% 7%

12% 0 unsure/ December '19 March '20 May '20 August '20 November '20 February '21 neither

Will Hodgman Peter Gutwein Rebecca White Unsure/ Neither