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Public Polling Analysis 10.12PDF Public Polling Analysis America First Policies Paid for by America First Policies © America First Policies, All Rights Reserved Table of Contents National Environment ....................................................................2 Direction of the Country Issue Importance Trump Favorability Trump Job Approval Making Headlines ..........................................................................6 Russia ......................................................................................26 North Korea ...............................................................................39 Gun Control ...............................................................................50 National Environment Direction of the Country Would you say things in this country today are... The Economist/YouGov, October 7-10, 2017, n=1500 US Adults Total Male Female Right Direction 27% 35% 20% Wrong Track 59% 55% 64% Not Sure 14% 11% 16% Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track? Reuters/Ipsos, Americans online 10/6-10/17 9/26-10/3/17 9/22-26/17 9/15-19/17, , N=1584 , N=1659 , N=1557 N=3429 Right Direction 24% 25% 25% 26% Wrong Track 64% 63% 61% 60% Unsure 11% 11% 15% 14% Rasmussen Reports, n=2,500 likely voters Right Wrong Track Direction 10/1-5/17 32% 62% 9/24-28/17 29% 65% NATIONAL POLLING MEMO !2 Baselice and Associates | National Research Inc | the polling company, inc./Woman Trend Issue Importance In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the US today? Reuters/Ipsos, October 6-10, 2017, n=1,584 Americans online Total Terrorism / terrorist attacks 18% Healthcare 17% Economy generally 9% Morality 9% War / foreign conflicts 8% Crime 6% Unemployment/lack of jobs 6% Which of these is the most important issue for you? The Economist/YouGov, October 7-10, 2017, n=1500 US Adults Total Healthcare 18% The economy 14% Social Security 13% Terrorism 10% The environment 8% Education 6% Medicare 6% Immigration 6% Trump Favorability Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump? The Economist/YouGov, October 7-10, 2017, n=1500 US Adults Tot al Men Women Total Favorable 38% 45% 31% Total Unfavorable 54% 49% 60% Very Favorable 24% 31% 17% Somewhat Favorable 14% 14% 14% NATIONAL POLLING MEMO !3 Baselice and Associates | National Research Inc | the polling company, inc./Woman Trend Somewhat Unfavorable 9% 9% 10% Very Unfavorable 45% 40% 50% Don’t Know 8% 6% 9% Trump Job Approval Reuters/Ipsos, October 6-10, 2017, n=1,584 Americans online Total Democra Republica Independent t n Total Approve 36% 10% 75% 29% Total 59% 88% 22% 67% Disapprove The way Donald Trump is handling is job as president Gallup Poll, n= approx. 1,500 Adults nationwide Approve Disapprove Delta 10/8-10/17 37% 56% -19 10/7-9/17 36% 58% -22 10/6-8/17 37% 56% -19 10/5-7/17 38% 57% -19 10/4-6/17 39% 56% -17 10/3-5/17 39% 57% -18 10/2-4/17 39% 56% -17 10/1-3/17 39% 57% -18 Rasmussen, n=1,500 likely voters Total Approve Total Delta Disapprove 10/12/17 44% 55% -11 10/11/17 43% 56% -13 10/10/17 43% 56% -13 10/9/17 44% 55% -11 10/6/17 46% 53% -7 NATIONAL POLLING MEMO !4 Baselice and Associates | National Research Inc | the polling company, inc./Woman Trend 10/5/17 45% 54% -9 10/4/17 44% 55% -11 The Economist/YouGov,, n=1500 US Adults Total Approve Total Delta Disapprove 10/7-10/17 36% 52% -16 10/1-3/17 39% 54% -15 9/24-26/17 37% 53% -16 NATIONAL POLLING MEMO !5 Baselice and Associates | National Research Inc | the polling company, inc./Woman Trend Making Headlines October 11, 2017 - U.S. Voters Feel Good About Economy, But Not Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Voters Take A Knee For Both Trump And NFL Players American voters feel better about the economy and good about their own pocketbooks, but still disapprove 56 - 38 percent of the job President Donald Trump is doing, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Today's approval rating compares to a 57 - 36 percent disapproval in a September 27 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Voters today say 55 - 43 percent that Trump is not fit to serve as president, compared to 56 - 42 percent not fit two weeks ago. On his job approval, President Trump gets 81 - 12 percent support from Republicans, 55 - 40 percent backing from white voters with no college degree and 52 - 43 percent from white men. Every other listed party, gender, education, age and racial group disapproves. American voters are divided on Trump's handling of the economy, as 48 percent approve and 46 percent disapprove. A total of 61 percent of voters - close to an all-time high - say the nation's economy is "excellent" or "good," while 37 percent say it is "not so good" or "poor." Their personal financial situation is "excellent" or "good," 73 percent of voters say, while 26 percent say it is "not so good" or "poor." But only 27 percent of voters are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with the way things are going in the nation today, while 72 percent are "somewhat dissatisfied" or "very dissatisfied." Anti-Twitter sentiment hits a new high as 70 percent of voters say the president should stop tweeting from his personal account. "After a turbulent stretch of heartbreaking tragedies, President Donald Trump is still deep in negative territory," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac NATIONAL POLLING MEMO !6 Baselice and Associates | National Research Inc | the polling company, inc./Woman Trend University Poll. "President Trump may not be fit, but the economy is, voters say. They remain troubled by the president's competence, but see the economy booming along under his stewardship." American voter opinions of most Trump qualities remain negative: • 56 - 40 percent that he is not honest; • 59 - 38 percent that he does not have good leadership skills; • 54 - 44 percent that he does not care about average Americans; • 67 - 29 percent that he is not level headed; • 61 - 35 percent that he is a strong person; • 56 - 40 percent that he is intelligent; • 60 - 37 percent that he does not share their values. NFL Protests American voters say 58 - 34 percent that Trump's comments on NFL protests were not appropriate. Republicans say 67 - 21 percent the remarks were appropriate and white voters with no college degree are divided 46 - 45 percent. Every other party, gender, education, age and racial group listed says the remarks were not appropriate. Voters also disapprove 52 - 43 percent of NFL players taking a knee during the National Anthem. There are wide gender, age and racial gaps: • Men disapprove 57 - 39 percent while women are divided 48 - 48 percent; • Voters 18 to 34 years old approve 66 - 27 percent, while voters over 65 years old disapprove 62 - 34 percent; • White voters disapprove 60 - 37 percent, as black voters approve 79 - 18 percent. Hispanic voters are divided 46 - 45 percent. NATIONAL POLLING MEMO !7 Baselice and Associates | National Research Inc | the polling company, inc./Woman Trend Voters are divided 48 - 46 percent on their approval of Trump's handling of terrorism. He gets mostly negative approval ratings for handling other key issues: • 38 - 58 percent for handling foreign policy; • 39 - 56 percent for immigration; • 35 - 59 percent for race relations; • 37 - 49 percent for taxes. From October 5 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,482 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, including the design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and Colorado as a public service and for research. Trump's Tax Plan Gets High Marks As His Approval Rating Stumbles: IBD/TIPP Poll A majority of the public backs the key elements of the tax reform plan outlined by President Trump and the Republican leadership in Congress, including a sharp reduction in the corporate income tax rate and the doubling of the standard deduction, according to the latest IBD/TIPP poll. But Trump's approval rating took a tumble this month, dropping to 33% and nearly erasing the gain he made last month. The poll also found that nearly half say athletes should be disciplined by the NFL for protesting during the national anthem, and 33% say they're less likely to watch an NFL game because of the protests by football players. The national poll was conducted from Sept. 29 through Oct. 8, and includes a sample size 887, giving it a margin of error = +/-3.4 percentage points. Public Backs Tax Cut Specifics: The October IBD/TIPP poll asked several questions about specific proposals in the GOP tax plan, and found that each one gained majority support. NATIONAL POLLING MEMO !8 Baselice and Associates | National Research Inc | the polling company, inc./Woman Trend • 51% support lowering the business income tax rate from 35% to 20%; while 43% oppose it. On a partisan basis, this gets 81% backing from Republicans, 52% from independents and 26% from Democrats. • 52% support the GOP plan to cut the number of tax brackets from seven to three. That includes 75% of Republicans, 51% of independents and 32% of Democrats. Thirty-seven percent oppose. • 81% support lowering the "pass through" tax rate on small businesses and file taxes using the individual income tax form from 39.6% to 25%. On a partisan basis, this idea gets 91% support from Republicans, 86% from independents and — surprisingly — 68% from Democrats. • Nearly two-thirds (64%) support the idea of doubling the standard deduction for tax filers.
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