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Marashtra Postpoll 2004-Findings

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Marashtra Postpoll 2004-Findings Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share Q1: While talking to people about this recent elections to the State Assembly, we find that some people were not able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote? Options N (%) Not able to vote 122 8.4 Able to vote 1318 91.2 DK 6 .4 Total 1446 100.0 a: (If yes ), Whom did you vote for? Parties N (%) Valid (%) Valid Congress 271 18.8 20.5 BJP 176 12.2 13.3 JD(U) 13 .9 1.0 CPI 4 .3 .3 CPI(M) 2 .2 .2 BSP 51 3.5 3.8 NCP 242 16.7 18.3 RPI(Gavai) 2 .2 .2 Shiv Sena 258 17.8 19.5 Samajwadi Party 14 .9 1.0 JD(Secular) 11 .8 .9 BBM(Prakash Ambedkar) 3 .2 .2 RPI(Athawale) 2 .1 .1 PWP 2 .1 .1 Congress rebels 8 .6 .6 NCP Rebels 13 .9 1.0 Sena-BJP rebels 4 .3 .3 Jan Surajya Paksha 20 1.4 1.5 Independent 180 12.4 13.6 Other parties 8 .6 .6 D.K. 40 2.8 3.0 Total 1324 91.6 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 1 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share Missing Blank/refused 122 8.4 Total 1446 100.0 b: (If voted ), When did you finally make up mind about who to vote for? Options N (%) Valid (%) Valid On the day of voting 297 20.5 22.4 A day or two before voting 193 13.4 14.6 During the campaign 237 16.4 17.9 Before the campaigning started 562 38.8 42.4 DK 36 2.5 2.7 Total 1324 91.6 100.0 Missing NA 122 8.4 Total 1446 100.0 c: (If not voted ) What was the main reason due to which you could not vote this time? Options N (%) Valid (%) Valid Out of station 27 1.9 21.1 Was not well 22 1.5 17.1 Not interested 14 1.0 11.0 Fear of violence 1 .1 .8 No I-Card 15 1.0 11.7 DK 49 3.4 38.3 Total 128 8.8 100.0 Missing NA 1318 91.2 Total 1446 100.0 Q2: Did the election officers correctly put the mark on your finger? Options N (%) Valid (%) Valid Mark not found 96 6.6 6.8 Mark found 1275 88.2 89.9 Could not check 47 3.3 3.3 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 2 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share Options N (%) Valid (%) Total 1419 98.1 100.0 Missing NA 27 1.9 Total 1446 100.0 Q3: In your opinion who should be the next Chief Minister of the State? Options N (%) Sharad Pawar 125 8.7 Pramod Mahajan 13 .9 Bal Thackeray 75 5.2 Sushilkumar Shide 203 14.1 Vilasrao Deshmukh 65 4.5 Shivraj Patil 3 .2 R.R. Patil 23 1.6 Chhagan Bhujbal 36 2.5 Vijaysinh Mohit Patil 11 .8 Jayant Patil 6 .4 Gopinath Munde 76 5.2 Uddhav Thackeray 44 3.1 Manohar Joshi 34 2.4 Narayan Rane 63 4.4 Raj Thackeray 26 1.8 Patangrao Kadam 9 .7 Govindrao Adik 1 .1 Ranjeet Deshmukh 2 .1 Others 302 20.9 DK 285 19.7 NA 44 3.0 Total 1446 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 3 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share Q4: Now I would like to ask about the May 2004 Lok Sabha elections held recently. Were you able to vote this time? Options N (%) No 179 12.4 Yes 1225 84.7 Do not remember 42 2.9 Total 1446 100.0 a: (If yes ), Whom did you vote for Lok Sabha Election 2004? Parties N (%) Congress 334 23.1 BJP 228 15.8 JD(U) 2 .2 CPI(M) 2 .1 BSP 30 2.1 NCP 231 16.0 RPI(Gavai) 5 .4 Shiv Sena 269 18.6 Samajwadi Party 2 .2 JD(Secular) 19 1.3 BBM(Prakash Ambedkar) 1 .1 NCP Rebels 1 .1 Sena-BJP rebels 1 .1 Lok Rajya Paksha 2 .1 Independent 21 1.4 Other parties 25 1.7 D.K. 94 6.5 Blank/refused 179 12.4 Total 1446 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 4 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share Q5: Now let us talk about the election campaign during the election. How interested were you in the election campaign this year?- a great deal, somewhat or not at all. Options N (%) Not at all 1056 73.0 Somewhat 224 15.5 Great deal 134 9.3 DK 32 2.2 Total 1446 100.0 Q6: During the election people participated in various activities. In the recent elections, out of the activities stated below, in which did you participate? a: Attended election meeting? Options N (%) No 1099 76.0 Yes 347 24.0 Total 1446 100.0 b: Participated in processions/rallies? Options N (%) No 1223 84.6 Yes 222 15.4 Total 1446 100.0 c: Participated in door to door canvassing? Options N (%) No 1263 87.4 Yes 183 12.6 Total 1446 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 5 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share d: Contributed or collected money? Options N (%) No 1386 95.9 Yes 60 4.1 Total 1446 100.0 e: Distributed election leaflets or put up posters? Options N (%) No 1276 88.2 Yes 170 11.8 Total 1446 100.0 Q7: Did any candidate, party worker or canvasser come to your house during the campaign to ask for your vote? Options N (%) No 608 42.0 Yes 811 56.1 DK 27 1.9 Total 1446 100.0 Q8: In deciding whom to vote, whose opinion mattered to you most? Options N (%) Spouse 101 7.0 Other family members 123 8.5 Caste/community leaders 19 1.3 Friends/neighbours 17 1.2 Co-workers/colleagues 9 .7 Voted on own 1117 77.2 Others 20 1.4 DK 40 2.7 Total 1446 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 6 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share Q9: While voting, what is the most important consideration for you, the candidate, your caste-community’s interest or something else? Options N (%) Candidate 610 42.2 Party 573 39.6 Caste/community 118 8.2 Something else 51 3.5 DK 94 6.5 Total 1446 100.0 Q10: For you, in this election which were the biggest/most important issues Options N (%) Corruption 120 8.3 Development 467 32.3 Farmers suicides 206 14.3 Malnutrition 16 1.1 Performance of state govt. 52 3.6 Performance of the central govt. 9 .6 Separate Vidarbh 12 .9 Others 132 9.1 DK 430 29.8 Total 1446 100.0 Q11: What is your opinion about the five month old United Progressive Alliance(UPA) Government in the Centre? Are you fully satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or fully dissatisfied? Options N (%) Fully dissatisfied 325 22.5 Somewhat dissatisfied 90 6.2 Somewhat satisfied 448 31.0 Fully satisfied 317 21.9 DK 266 18.4 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 7 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share Options N (%) Total 1446 100.0 Q12: While voting some people give more importance to the work done by the State Government, while others give more importance to the work done by the legislator (MLA). While voting in this election, what mattered to you the most? Options N (%) State government 274 18.9 MLA 707 48.9 Both 133 9.2 Neither of two 92 6.3 DK 241 16.7 Total 1446 100.0 Q13: In last five years, has the economic condition of the state improved, deteriorated or remained the same? Options N (%) It has worsened 387 26.8 It is the same 522 36.1 It has Improved 335 23.2 DK 202 14.0 Total 1446 100.0 Q14: Let us assume that in this election, Sonia Gandhi was not the leader of the Congress Party. Which ever party you voted for, instead of that party, would you have voted for some other party or this would have made no difference on your decision? Options N (%) No effect 889 61.5 Would have affected 294 20.3 DK 264 18.2 Total 1446 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 8 Maharashtra Postpoll 200-Weight by Actual Vote share a: (If yes ) What would have been the change in your voting decision? Options N (%) Congress to others 148 10.2 Other parties to Congress 179 12.4 DK 88 6.1 NA 1031 71.3 Total 1446 100.0 Q15: Let us assume that in this election, Sharad Pawar was not the leader of the Nationalist Congress Party. Which ever party you voted for, instead of that party, would you have voted for some other party or this would have made no difference on your decision? Options N (%) No effect 843 58.3 Would have affected 285 19.7 DK 318 22.0 Total 1446 100.0 a: (If yes ) What would have been the change in the voting? Options N (%) Nationalist Congress Party to other parties 72 5.0 Shiv Sena to Nationalist Congress Party 75 5.2 Other parties to Nationalist Congress Party 125 8.6 Nationalist Congress Party to Shiv Sena 19 1.3 DK 109 7.6 NA 1046 72.3 Total 1446 100.0 Q16: Let us assume that in this election, Balasaheb Thackeray was not the leader of the Shiv Sena.
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