IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements in north-west Syria, October 2018
Summary of Findings In October 2018, assessed communities in north-west Syria witnessed About ISMI & This Factsheet a total of 21,070 IDP arrivals, a significant decrease of 67% compared The IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) is an initiative of the Camp to September. Key Informants (KIs) reported that more than half of Coordination and Camp Management (CCCM) Cluster, implemented by REACH Communities assessed: 510 these were to assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding areas,4 and supported by cluster members. many of whom to Bennsh (1,995) and Ma’arrat An Nu’man (1,602) Total IDP arrivals:1 21,070 (67%)2 Following a baseline assessment conducted at the end of 2016, weekly, bi- sub-districts. weekly and now monthly data collection cycles were initiated. This factsheet Total IDP departures:3 33,604 (64%) presents an overview of reported inward and outward movements of IDPs from Despite the implementation of a demilitarized zone (DMZ) along 1 to 31 October 2018. Such displacements were reported in 510 communities conflict lines that is free of heavy weaponry, clashes continued in sub-districts monitored by ISMI. The coverage map in this section shows the between parties involved in the conflict throughout the month, sub-districts that were monitored for the most recent round of data collection, Total IDP arrivals and IDP departures by region: likely contributing to a large number of the total IDP departures.5 as well as the communities reporting movements. ISMI monitoring coverage varies over time depending on access. Displacements are identified through Assessed communities in the northern Aleppo region also witnessed an extensive key informant (KI) network, either from alerts initiated by KIs 23,716 or from follow-up by enumerators. At least two KIs are interviewed in each large IDP movements. In particular, high numbers of IDP arrivals were assessed community, and collected information is further triangulated through reported to Jarablus (1,683) and Al Bab (1,453) sub-districts, likely other sources, including CCCM member data and humanitarian updates. This due to a perceived relative stability in those areas. approach allows for regular updates on IDP movements at the community level across sub-districts monitored by ISMI in north-west Syria. 11,002 1 10,068 9,888 Some figures reported may be repeated displacements. 2 CCCM, ISMI Monthly Displacement Summary, September 2018. The data used for this product was collected, triangulated and verified based 3 IDP departure figures reflect aggregated departures of both IDP and resident/pre-conflict populations. on submissions from ISMI’s network and select CCCM cluster members 4 Idleb and surrounding areas includes accessible communities in Idleb, western Aleppo and following the ISMI methodology. Due to differences in methodology and northern Hama governorates. coverage, figures presented in this output may differ from official CCCM 5 Al Jazeera, ‘Russia, Turkey agree on borders of demilitarised zone in Idlib’, 22 September 2018; Cluster or UNHCR data. All data is for humanitarian use only. Idleb and surrounding areas Northern Aleppo region UN News, ‘‘More time’ agreed for buffer zone, to spare three million Syrian civilians in Idlib’, 18 46+100+ 42+41+ October 2018; Irish Times, ‘Syria: Jihadi factions refuse to leave Idlib demilitarized zone’, 15 ■ IDP arrivals ■ IDP departures October 2018. Coverage, October 2018
!!! ! !!!! !!!! ! !! ! ! !!! ! !! ! !!! ! !!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!! ! !! !! !!!! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!! ! ! !! !! !!!! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ! !! ! !!!! ! !! !!!!!! !!!!!!! !! !!! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !!! ! !!! !!! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !!!! !!! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !!!! ! !!!!! !! !!! ! ! !!! ! ! !!! !!!!!!! !! !! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! !!! !!!! ! ! ! !! !!!!!! !!! !! !!!!!! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!!!! !!!!! ! ! ! ! IDP arrivals to sub-districts monitored by ISMI, October 2018 Administrative !! !!!!!! ! ! ! ! !!!! ! Percentage of total IDP ! ! ! ! ! !! Al-Hasakeh !!!!!! ! !!! ! ! !! ! !!! ! ! !!!! !!! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! arrivals by sub-district boundaries ! !! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Aleppo !!! ! ! ! Ü ! ! ! Bulbul ! (1 10 18 - 31 10 18) ! !! !! !! ! ! Jarablus ! !! !! !! ! !!! ! !!! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! ! ! !!! !! !! ! ! Ar-Ra a Raju !! ! !!!! !! ! ! ! ! (453) ! ! !! ! ! ! !!! !! ! ! Ghandorah ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! (1 ,683) ! !!! ! ! !! ! !! !!!! ! Sharan 0.1% - 1.5% ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! Suran Governorate !! ! I!d!le! b (4 8) ! ! ! (929) ! ! !! !! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! (661) ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! - Aleppo ! ! 1.6% - 3.0% Lattakia ! !! ! Azaz Ar-Raee ! Mabtali ! ! Deir-e - or Sheikh (40) ! TTUURRKKEE (645) (38 ) (559) 3.1% - 6.0% El-Hadid Aghtrin Sub-district Hama (696) Afrin Mare (21 ) 381 6.1% - 9.4% Tartous Jandairis Al Bab IDPs (9 ) (28) Most common sub-districts Major displacements (862) 656 (1 ,453) of departure ( 770 IDP ( 380 IDPs ) ourqeena IDPs Homs (69) arrivals from sub-district) Salqin Dana Daret Azza Jebel 562 Outward External (40) (1 1) (559) Saman IDPs displacement Armanaz Atareb (114) (205) Inward & outward Damascus Rural Damascus IDLEB (456) Internal Janudiyeh Maaret Tamsrin displacement Bennsh uneitra (153) Darkosh (286) Zarbah Badama (1,995) Dar a ( 4) Idleb (155) As-Sweida (165) ALEPPO (1,158) Saraqab Jisr-Ash-Shugur Ariha (965) 719 (268)Mhambal (805) Abul Thohur Sub-districts monitored by ISMI Sub-districts not monitored ! Assessed communities (143)Ehsem IDPs (11) Ziyara (5 ) Maarrat An AR-RA A (228) Numan LATTAKIA Kafr Nobol (1,602) Sanjar Heish (222) (211) CCCM CLUSTER Madiq (416) Castle Khan Shaykun Tamanaah (46) (114) Feedback: CCCM Cluster Northern Syria Kafr Zeita (314) Email: [email protected] HAMA Km 0 25 50 100 Info: www.globalcccmcluster.org, www.humanitarianresponse.info 1 IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements in north-west Syria, October 2018
IDLEB & SURROUNDING AREAS6 IDP arrivals to assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding areas8 Total IDP arrivals Access to income and employment opportunities Afrin " ( 1 10 18 - 31 10 18 ) Key Figures (! 11 - 150 (! 301 - 00 was most commonly reported by KIs as a significant (! 151 - 300 (! 01 - 1995 pull factor for IDPs arriving to Daret Azza and Ariha Communities assessed: 188 ² Major IDP arrivals ( 250 IDPs) sub-districts, many of whom moved in line with " (! seasonal work patterns as observed by enumerators. (78%) Atma (! Total IDP arrivals: 11,002 (! (! Major departure communities (! (! (! Sub-districts with most arrivals (# IDPs): (! (!(! (! (!(! IDP Departures 100+80+58+48+40 (! ! (! Bennsh 1,995 ( ! (! Maaret Assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding ! ( Ma’arrat An Nu’man 1,602 ( Elekhwan IDLEB (!" (! areas witnessed 23,716 IDP departures in October, Idleb 1,158 (! (! more than half of whom leaving communities in Dana (! Saraqab 965 (! (! (!" Foah (! ALEPPO (! (!(! (! (! (9,658) and Darkosh (3,461) sub-districts. Almost all Ariha 805 (! ! (! (! (!" (! ( (! Idleb (! ! (! (98%) IDPs leaving assessed communities in the ( (! (! ! (! (! ! ( (! ( (! (! (! region were reportedly secondary displacements. Total IDP departures: 23,716 ( 71%) ! (! (! (! (! ( ! (!" (! (! (! ( (!! (! (! (! ( (! 10 Sub-districts with most departures (# IDPs): (! (! (!" Most common push factors of departures: 100+35+19+11+10 Motaram ! (! Khan Elsobol Dana 9,658 ( (! 1st 2nd 3rd LATTAKIA (! (!" (! Darkosh 3,461 Ma arrat Reduced access to humanitarian assistance 35 29 9 (! (!! (! Jisr-Ash-Shugur 1,836 ( An Nu man Loss of income 40 15 8 ! (! (! ( Reduced access to shelter 16 9 10 Ariha 1,089 (! (! Salqin 1,061 (! Reduced access to food 4 15 13 (!" Khan Shaykun Reduced access to water 2 12 8 (! Kms 0 25 50 HAMA Top intended destination sub-districts (# IDPs): 100+58+47+35+24 Overview Ma’arrat An Nu’man 4,369 Despite the announcement of a DMZ set to be IDP Arrivals Last place of departure of IDP arrivals: Khan Shaykun 2,538 implemented by 15 October, spanning some 15 to 20 The total number of IDP arrivals (11,002) reported Jisr-Ash-Shugur 2,075 kilometres along conflict lines, many parts of Idleb Same region 80% Madiq Castle 1,553 to assessed communities in the region in October Different region 19% and surrounding areas continued to witness Idleb 1,054 decreased by 78% compared to September. Most Other/unknown 1% clashes between Government of Syria forces and KIs reported that an estimated 87% of IDPs intended 7 commonly, IDPs arrived to Foah (1,995) community 80+19+1A AOGs throughout the month. Nonetheless, the to move elsewhere within Idleb and surrounding in Bennsh sub-district, and Ma’arrat An Nu’man Vulnerable groups among IDP arrivals:9 high number of departures from sub-districts in the (1,140) and Babilla (200) communities in Ma’arrat areas, many of whom to Ma’arrat An Nu’man north of the region, such as Dana (9,658), and IDP An Nu’man sub-district. ^ Z [ ` d (4,369) and Khan Shaykun (2,538) sub-districts. arrivals to sub-districts closer to conflict lines, likely 6 Idleb governorate’s surrounding areas include communities in Atareb, indicate IDP populations returning to communities KIs most commonly reported loss of income, Daret Azza, Haritan, Jebel Saman and Zarbah sub-districts in western Overall, the majority (80%) of all IDPs arrived from Aleppo governorate, as well as in Kafr Zeita, Madiq Castle, Suran and reduced access to humanitarian assistance, as they were previously displaced from, following a within Idleb and surrounding areas. On a community Ziyara sub-districts in northern Hama. These sub-districts have been added perceived stabilisation in those areas. well as reduced access to shelter as the most to the larger Idleb and surrounding areas region as populations in these level, many IDPs arrived from Atma (583) and sub-districts largely demonstrate similar displacement patterns and are common push factors of IDP arrivals to Idleb and served by the same cross-border responses. Sarmada (287) in Dana sub-district, as well as Um 7 surrounding areas. Al Jazeera, ‘Russia, Turkey agree on borders of demilitarised zone in Idlib’, Of the 23,716 total IDP departures, 87% intended Jalal (268) and Raffa (143) in Tamannah sub-district. 22 September 2018; UN News, ‘‘More time’ agreed for buffer zone, to spare to move elsewhere within the region and, most 10 three million Syrian civilians in Idlib’, 18 October 2018; Irish Times, ‘Syria: Most common pull factors of arrivals: Jihadi factions refuse to leave Idlib demilitarised zone’, 15 October 2018. commonly, to Ma’arrat An Nu’man (4,369) Last sub-district of departure of arrivals (# IDPs): 8 Community markers also account for camps/informal settlements when sub-district. Many IDPs departing towards 100+52+51+30+30 1st 2nd 3rd they are within close proximity to a community. Dana 1,481 9 Vulnerable groups:^Female-headed households/Women travelling alone Access to income and employment opportunities 11 13 22 Z [ ` southern Idleb were reportedly IDPs returning to Tamanaah 777 Child-headed households Orphans Elderly-headed households/ communities of semi-permanent settlement and Family ties/host community relationship 35 7 2 Elderly travelling alone dDisabled-headed households/Individuals with Afrin 764 Safety and security situation 19 20 3 disabilities travelling alone. resident/pre-conflict populations returning to Khan Shaykun 457 10 Number of assessed communities in which the most common pull Access to shelter/shelter support 11 8 18 factors of IDP arrivals and push factors for IDP departures were reported their communities of origin. Saraqab 451 Access to humanitarian assistance 6 16 6 by KIs. 2 IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements in north-west Syria, October 2018
NORTHERN ALEPPO REGION11 IDP arrivals to assessed communities in northern Aleppo region12 As in Idleb and surroundings areas, KIs reported Key Figures Jarablus access to income and employment opportunities (! ! (!" ² ( (! (! (! (!(! (! ! ! (!(! (!(! (! (! (! as the most common pull factor for IDPs moving to ( (! (! (! (! (! (! ( Communities assessed: 322 (! (! !(! (! (! (! (! (! (! (!( (! (! (!(! (! ! (! (!! ! (!(! ! specific communities in the northern Aleppo region, (!(! (! (! (! (!( (! ( ( ( (! (!(!(!(! (!(! (! (! !(!(! (!(! (! (!(! (! (! (! (! (! ! (! ! ( ! (! ! ! (! (! ! ! ! ( (! ! ( (! especially to Bulbul and Raju sub-districts. Total IDP arrivals: 10,068 (17%) (! (! (!(! ( ( (! (! (! (! ( (! ( ( (! (! ( !(! (! (! ! (! (! (!((! (!(! (! (!(! (! (!(! ((! (! (! (! (! (! (! (!(! (! (! (! (! ! (! (! (! (! (! (! (! ! ! ( (!(! Sub-districts with most arrivals (# IDPs): (! (!(!( (! (! ( (! (! (! 100+86+58+55+51 (!(! (!(! ! (! (!(! (! (!(! Access to shelter or shelter support was also (! (!(!(!! (! (! !(( (! ! (! (! (! (! (!( ! !( (! ( ! " (! (! ! ( (" (! (! ( (! (! Jarablus 1,683 ! (! ( ! (! (! (! (! ! reported by many KIs as a specific pull factor for ( ! ( (! ! ( Menbij (! (! ! (!(! ( Al Bab 1,453 (! (! (! (!(! (! ! (! IDPs arriving to Bulbul and Sharan sub-districts. (!( (! (!(! (! (! (! (! (! Afrin 977 (! (!(! (! (! Afrin (! (! (! !" (! (! (! ( (!" (! ! (! (! 13 Ghandorah 929 Jandairis (! (!( ! (! (!" Most common pull factors of arrivals: (! Hajilar (! ( (! (! (!(! Jandairis 862 (! Al Bab 1st 2nd 3rd Access to income and employment opportunities 66 68 32 Total IDP departures: 9,888 ( 10%) Access to shelter/shelter support 41 53 45 Sub-districts with most departures (# IDPs): Safety and security situation 84 16 4 100+89+30+27+21 AR-RA A Access to food 22 44 22 Al Bab 2,967 Access to humanitarian assistance 13 33 34 Jandairis 2,663 Total IDP arrivals Jarablus 918 ( 1 10 18 - 31 10 18 ) Ghandorah 802 (! 6 - 50 (! 151 - 300 IDP Departures IDLEB ! ! Afrin 642 ALEPPO ( 51 - 150 ( 301 - 9 4 Major IDP arrivals ( 130 IDPs) The total number of IDP departures (9,888) reported from assessed communities in the northern Aleppo Kms 0 25 50 Major departure communities region decreased by 10% compared to the previous Overview month, more than half of whom left from communities Last place of departure of IDP arrivals: Throughout October, assessed communities in the IDP Arrivals in Al Bab (2,967) and Jandairis (2,663) sub-districts. northern Aleppo region continued to witness new Assessed communities in the northern Aleppo Same region 54% displacements. Compared to the previous month, region witnessed 10,069 IDP arrivals in October, a Different region 38% On a community level, many IDPs and resident/ total IDP arrivals decreased by 17% while total IDP decrease of 17% compared to September, almost Other/unknown 8% pre-conflict population members reportedly left from departures decreased by 10%. a third of whom arrived to Jarablus (1,683) and Al 54+38+8A Jandairis (1,214) and Al Bab (975) communities. Bab (1,453) sub-districts, likely due to the relative Top 3 shelter types of IDP arrivals: Many IDPs arrived to Jarablus (1,683) and Al Bab stability of these areas. Most IDPs from Menbij (1) Solid/finished house 6,164 IDPs Overall, 20% of IDPs leaving assessed communities (1,453) sub-districts. Following patterns seen (301), Ghandorah (239) and Jarablus (233) sub- (2) Individual tent 1,233 IDPs in the region were primary displacements. 43% of in previous months, many arrivals were internal districts arrived to Jarablus sub-district, whereas (3) Managed camp 1,011 IDPs the total intended departures were to another region. movements within sub-districts, especially Al Bab, more than a third (562) of the total arrivals to Al Bab Loss of income was the most commonly reported Top intended destination sub-districts (# IDPs): likely indicating lower perceived levels of conflict sub-district were internal sub-district movements. 100+97+49+40+35 push factor reported by KIs for IDP arrivals. Other in the region compared to neighbouring Idleb and Jarablus 665 Last sub-district of departure of arrivals (# IDPs): reasons for leaving their previous location included Al Bab 649 surrounding areas. 100+47+47+24+23 Al Bab 1,308 reduced access to shelter, food and humanitarian Jebel Saman 327 assistance. Ar-Raqqa 267 Despite this, KIs reported the anticipation of future Jarablus 626 Ghandorah 239 conflict escalation as an important push factor of Ghandorah 620 Most common push factors of arrivals:13 Menbij 324 11 arrivals, therefore highlighting that the northern 1st 2nd 3rd Figures for the northern Aleppo region include communities in the Afrin 312 Loss of income 73 68 30 following sub-districts: Afrin, Aghtrin, Al Bab, Ar-Ra’ee, A’zaz, Bulbul, Aleppo region continues to witness hostilities Reduced access to shelter 47 48 44 Ghandorah, Jandairis, Jarablus, Ma’btali, Mare’, Raju, Sharan, Sheikh El- On a community level, many IDPs arrived from Hadid and Suran. and general insecurity. Reduced access to food 15 58 22 12 Community markers also account for camps/informal settlements when Shdud (170), Su Sinbat (97) and Olan (69) in Al Reduced access to humanitarian assistance 27 31 33 they are within close proximity to a community. Bab sub-district. 13 Number of assessed communities in which the most common push Anticipation of future conflict escalation 51 15 8 and pull factors of IDP arrivals were reported by KIs. 3