Candlestick Patterns & Price Action Charting Guide
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A Statistical Analysis of the Predictive Power of Japanese Candlesticks Mohamed Jamaloodeen Georgia Gwinnett College, [email protected]
Journal of International & Interdisciplinary Business Research Volume 5 Article 5 June 2018 A Statistical Analysis of the Predictive Power of Japanese Candlesticks Mohamed Jamaloodeen Georgia Gwinnett College, [email protected] Adrian Heinz Georgia Gwinnett College, [email protected] Lissa Pollacia Georgia Gwinnett College, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholars.fhsu.edu/jiibr Part of the Finance and Financial Management Commons Recommended Citation Jamaloodeen, Mohamed; Heinz, Adrian; and Pollacia, Lissa (2018) "A Statistical Analysis of the Predictive Power of Japanese Candlesticks," Journal of International & Interdisciplinary Business Research: Vol. 5 , Article 5. Available at: https://scholars.fhsu.edu/jiibr/vol5/iss1/5 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by FHSU Scholars Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Journal of International & Interdisciplinary Business Research by an authorized editor of FHSU Scholars Repository. Jamaloodeen et al.: Analysis of Predictive Power of Japanese Candlesticks A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE PREDICTIVE POWER OF JAPANESE CANDLESTICKS Mohamed Jamaloodeen, Georgia Gwinnett College Adrian Heinz, Georgia Gwinnett College Lissa Pollacia, Georgia Gwinnett College Japanese Candlesticks is a technique for plotting past price action of a specific underlying such as a stock, index or commodity using open, high, low and close prices. These candlesticks create patterns believed to forecast future price movement. Although the candles’ popularity has increased rapidly over the last decade, there is still little statistical evidence about their effectiveness over a large number of occurrences. In this work, we analyze the predictive power of the Shooting Star and Hammer patterns using over six decades of historical data of the S&P 500 index. -
Candlestick—The Main Mistake of Economy Research in High Frequency Markets
International Journal of Financial Studies Article Candlestick—The Main Mistake of Economy Research in High Frequency Markets Michał Dominik Stasiak Department of Investment and Real Estate, Poznan University of Economics and Business, al. Niepodleglosci 10, 61-875 Poznan, Poland; [email protected] Received: 4 August 2020; Accepted: 1 October 2020; Published: 10 October 2020 Abstract: One of the key problems of researching the high-frequency financial markets is the proper data format. Application of the candlestick representation (or its derivatives such as daily prices, etc.), which is vastly used in economic research, can lead to faulty research results. Yet, this fact is consistently ignored in most economic studies. The following article gives examples of possible consequences of using candlestick representation in modelling and statistical analysis of the financial markets. Emphasis should be placed on the problem of research results being detached from the investing practice, which makes most of the results inapplicable from the investor’s point of view. The article also presents the concept of a binary-temporal representation, which is an alternative to the candlestick representation. Using binary-temporal representation allows for more precise and credible research and for the results to be applied in investment practice. Keywords: high frequency econometric; technical analysis; investment decision support; candlestick representation; binary-temporal representation JEL Classification: C01; C53; C90 1. Introduction While researching any subject literature, often one can notice that some popular methods in scientific research are copied and used without second thought by further researchers. Nowadays, the vast majority of papers pertaining to the analysis of course trajectory on financial markets and connected prediction possibilities use historical data in the form of a candlestick representation (or its derivatives such as daily opening prices, usually called daily prices, etc.) (Burgess 2010; Kirkpatrick and Dahlquist 2010; Schlossberg 2012). -
Japanese Candlestick Patterns
Presents Japanese Candlestick Patterns www.ForexMasterMethod.com www.ForexMasterMethod.com RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT / DISCLAIMER AGREEMENT Trading any financial market involves risk. This course and all and any of its contents are neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell any financial market. The contents of this course are for general information and educational purposes only (contents shall also mean the website http://www.forexmastermethod.com or any website the content is hosted on, and any email correspondence or newsletters or postings related to such website). Every effort has been made to accurately represent this product and its potential. There is no guarantee that you will earn any money using the techniques, ideas and software in these materials. Examples in these materials are not to be interpreted as a promise or guarantee of earnings. Earning potential is entirely dependent on the person using our product, ideas and techniques. We do not purport this to be a “get rich scheme.” Although every attempt has been made to assure accuracy, we do not give any express or implied warranty as to its accuracy. We do not accept any liability for error or omission. Examples are provided for illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or strategy. No representation is being made that any account or trader will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this report. Past performance is not indicative of future results. By purchasing the content, subscribing to our mailing list or using the website or contents of the website or materials provided herewith, you will be deemed to have accepted these terms and conditions in full as appear also on our site, as do our full earnings disclaimer and privacy policy and CFTC disclaimer and rule 4.41 to be read herewith. -
Development and Analysis of a Trading Algorithm Using Candlestick Patterns
COMP 4971C – Independent Study (Summer 2016) DEVELOPMENT AND ANALYSIS OF A TRADING ALGORITHM USING CANDLESTICK PATTERNS By MUTHUKUMAR, Sivaraam Year 4, Dual Degree in Technology and Management (MEGBA) [email protected] 11th August 2016 Supervised by: Dr David Rossiter Department of Computer Science and Engineering Development and Analysis of a Trading Algorithm using Candlestick Patterns Table of Contents ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................................. 3 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................... 3 Assumptions .......................................................................................................................... 3 PROCESS FLOW .......................................................................................................................... 4 GETTING DATA ........................................................................................................................... 5 Assumptions .......................................................................................................................... 5 COLOUR CODING THE CANDLESTICK CHART ............................................................................. 5 Assumptions .......................................................................................................................... 6 Colour coding algorithm ....................................................................................................... -
Technical Analysis, Liquidity, and Price Discovery∗
Technical Analysis, Liquidity, and Price Discovery∗ Felix Fritzy Christof Weinhardtz Karlsruhe Institute of Technology Karlsruhe Institute of Technology This version: 27.08.2016 Abstract Academic literature suggests that Technical Analysis (TA) plays a role in the decision making process of some investors. If TA traders act as uninformed noise traders and generate a relevant amount of trading volume, market quality could be affected. We analyze moving average (MA) trading signals as well as support and resistance levels with respect to market quality and price efficiency. For German large-cap stocks we find excess liquidity demand around MA signals and high limit order supply on support and resistance levels. Depending on signal type, spreads increase or remain unaffected which contra- dicts the mitigating effect of uninformed TA trading on adverse selection risks. The analysis of transitory and permanent price components demonstrates increasing pricing errors around TA signals, while for MA permanent price changes tend to increase of a larger magnitude. This suggests that liquidity demand in direction of the signal leads to persistent price deviations. JEL Classification: G12, G14 Keywords: Technical Analysis, Market Microstructure, Noise Trading, Liquidity ∗Financial support from Boerse Stuttgart is gratefully acknowledged. The Stuttgart Stock Exchange (Boerse Stuttgart) kindly provided us with databases. The views expressed here are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Boerse Stuttgart Group. yE-mail: [email protected]; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Research Group Financial Market Innovation, Englerstrasse 14, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany. zE-mail: [email protected]; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Information System & Marketing, Englerstrasse 14, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany. -
Candlestick Patterns
INTRODUCTION TO CANDLESTICK PATTERNS Learning to Read Basic Candlestick Patterns www.thinkmarkets.com CANDLESTICKS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Contents Risk Warning ..................................................................................................................................... 2 What are Candlesticks? ...................................................................................................................... 3 Why do Candlesticks Work? ............................................................................................................. 5 What are Candlesticks? ...................................................................................................................... 6 Doji .................................................................................................................................................... 6 Hammer.............................................................................................................................................. 7 Hanging Man ..................................................................................................................................... 8 Shooting Star ...................................................................................................................................... 8 Checkmate.......................................................................................................................................... 9 Evening Star .................................................................................................................................... -
Investing with Volume Analysis
Praise for Investing with Volume Analysis “Investing with Volume Analysis is a compelling read on the critical role that changing volume patterns play on predicting stock price movement. As buyers and sellers vie for dominance over price, volume analysis is a divining rod of profitable insight, helping to focus the serious investor on where profit can be realized and risk avoided.” —Walter A. Row, III, CFA, Vice President, Portfolio Manager, Eaton Vance Management “In Investing with Volume Analysis, Buff builds a strong case for giving more attention to volume. This book gives a broad overview of volume diagnostic measures and includes several references to academic studies underpinning the importance of volume analysis. Maybe most importantly, it gives insight into the Volume Price Confirmation Indicator (VPCI), an indicator Buff developed to more accurately gauge investor participation when moving averages reveal price trends. The reader will find out how to calculate the VPCI and how to use it to evaluate the health of existing trends.” —Dr. John Zietlow, D.B.A., CTP, Professor of Finance, Malone University (Canton, OH) “In Investing with Volume Analysis, the reader … should be prepared to discover a trove of new ground-breaking innovations and ideas for revolutionizing volume analysis. Whether it is his new Capital Weighted Volume, Trend Trust Indicator, or Anti-Volume Stop Loss method, Buff offers the reader new ideas and tools unavailable anywhere else.” —From the Foreword by Jerry E. Blythe, Market Analyst, President of Winthrop Associates, and Founder of Blythe Investment Counsel “Over the years, with all the advancements in computing power and analysis tools, one of the most important tools of analysis, volume, has been sadly neglected. -
Identifying Chart Patterns with Technical Analysis
746652745 A Fidelity Investments Webinar Series Identifying chart patterns with technical analysis BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Important Information Any screenshots, charts, or company trading symbols mentioned are provided for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for the security. Investing involves risk, including risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results Stop loss orders do not guarantee the execution price you will receive and have additional risks that may be compounded in pe riods of market volatility. Stop loss orders could be triggered by price swings and could result in an execution well below your trigg er price. Trailing stop orders may have increased risks due to their reliance on trigger pricing, which may be compounded in periods of market volatility, as well as market data and other internal and external system factors. Trailing stop orders are held on a separat e, internal order file, place on a "not held" basis and only monitored between 9:30 AM and 4:00 PM Eastern. Technical analysis focuses on market action – specifically, volume and price. Technical analysis is only one approach to analyzing stocks. When considering which stocks to buy or sell, you should use the approach that you're most comfortable with. As with all your investments, you must make your own determination as to whether an investment in any particular security or securities is right for you based on your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. -
Technical-Analysis-Bloomberg.Pdf
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Handbook 2003 Bloomberg L.P. All rights reserved. 1 There are two principles of analysis used to forecast price movements in the financial markets -- fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis, depending on the market being analyzed, can deal with economic factors that focus mainly on supply and demand (commodities) or valuing a company based upon its financial strength (equities). Fundamental analysis helps to determine what to buy or sell. Technical analysis is solely the study of market, or price action through the use of graphs and charts. Technical analysis helps to determine when to buy and sell. Technical analysis has been used for thousands of years and can be applied to any market, an advantage over fundamental analysis. Most advocates of technical analysis, also called technicians, believe it is very likely for an investor to overlook some piece of fundamental information that could substantially affect the market. This fact, the technician believes, discourages the sole use of fundamental analysis. Technicians believe that the study of market action will tell all; that each and every fundamental aspect will be revealed through market action. Market action includes three principal sources of information available to the technician -- price, volume, and open interest. Technical analysis is based upon three main premises; 1) Market action discounts everything; 2) Prices move in trends; and 3) History repeats itself. This manual was designed to help introduce the technical indicators that are available on The Bloomberg Professional Service. Each technical indicator is presented using the suggested settings developed by the creator, but can be altered to reflect the users’ preference. -
Technical Analysis: Technical Indicators
Chapter 2.3 Technical Analysis: Technical Indicators 0 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TECHNICAL INDICATORS Charts always have a story to tell. However, from time to time those charts may be speaking a language you do not understand and you may need some help from an interpreter. Technical indicators are the interpreters of the Forex market. They look at price information and translate it into simple, easy-to-read signals that can help you determine when to buy and when to sell a currency pair. Technical indicators are based on mathematical equations that produce a value that is then plotted on your chart. For example, a moving average calculates the average price of a currency pair in the past and plots a point on your chart. As your currency chart moves forward, the moving average plots new points based on the updated price information it has. Ultimately, the moving average gives you a smooth indication of which direction the currency pair is moving. 1 2 Each technical indicator provides unique information. You will find you will naturally gravitate toward specific technical indicators based on your TRENDING INDICATORS trading personality, but it is important to become familiar with all of the Trending indicators, as their name suggests, identify and follow the trend technical indicators at your disposal. of a currency pair. Forex traders make most of their money when currency pairs are trending. It is therefore crucial for you to be able to determine You should also be aware of the one weakness associated with technical when a currency pair is trending and when it is consolidating. -
Market Analysis Technical Handbook Maryann [email protected] Fred Meissner, Jr
Concepts in technical analysis Technical Analysis Market Analysis | United States 18 July 2007 A Handbook of the basics Mary Ann Bartels +1 212 449 8038 Technical Research Analyst MLPF&S Market Analysis Technical Handbook [email protected] Fred Meissner, Jr. CMT +1 212 449 2603 Technical Research Analyst We cover the basics of Trend, Momentum and other MLPF&S technical indicators and methods [email protected] Table of Contents Introduction 3 Trends 5 Price Momentum Indicators 14 Reversals 17 The Importance of Volume 24 Support and Resistance 28 Market Breadth 31 Market Sentiment 39 The Fibonacci Concept 43 Putting It Together 49 Merrill Lynch does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Refer to important disclosures on page 53. 10633344 Concepts in technical analysis 18 July 2007 Contents Introduction 3 Trends 5 Price Momentum Indicators 14 Reversals 17 The Importance of Volume 24 Support and Resistance 28 Market Breadth 31 Market Sentiment 39 The Fibonacci Concept 43 Putting It Together 49 2 Concepts in technical analysis 18 July 2007 Introduction Price action of stocks, or financial markets in general, is a reflection of human nature. Price trends seem to be determined by investors’ decisions in response to a complex mix of psychological, sociological, political, economic and monetary factors. Technical analysis attempts to measure the strength of these trends and to forewarn of potential changes in these trends. -
Non Member Articles List
Non Member Articles List Contents Welcome Day Trading Day Trading Basics Day Trading Introduction Understanding Day Trading Is Day Trading a Risky Endeavor Is Day Trading Right for You Is Day Trading Your Retirement Funds A Wise Decision Passing Interest or Total Commitment Why I Became A Price Action Day Trader Price Action Why Price Action Trading Price Action Trading – Is It The Holy Grail or just a Catchy Phrase Price Action Trading Fundamentals Are Important Research Proves That Price Action Trading Strategies Work Why Following The Price Action Is So Important In Day Trading A Price Action Traders Perspective On Trading With Price Action An In Depth Look At Price Action And Price Action Trading Another Traders Introduction To Price Action Analysis Can Price Action Be Used As A Legitimate Forex Trading System Can You Use Price Action To Successfully Scalp The ES Do Not Confuse Price Action Patterns With Price Action Trading Is Price Action Random Is Price Action Trading The Same As Chart Pattern Trading Follow The Footprints – Trading With Price Action Price Action Is not Just For Day Trading Learning Process Become A Better Price Action Day Trader By Studying Drop The Indicator Crutch And Learn To Day Trade Price Action How Long Does It Take To Learn To Trade Price Action How To Day Trade With Price Action How To Use Our Day Trading Videos Importance Of Chart Study To Day Traders Learn The Language Of Charts With Price Action Trading The Keys To Learning Price Action Day Trading Learn To Day Trade Price Action Strategies Directly