4 Powerful Harami Candlestick Trading Strategies
Total Page：16
File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb
4 Powerful Harami Candlestick Trading Strategies The Harami candlestick pattern is usually considered more of a secondary candlestick pattern. These are not as powerful as the formations we went over in ourCandlestick Patterns Explained article; nonetheless, they are important when reading price and volume action. For a detailed webinar on this pattern and many other powerful candlestick patterns, visit our YouTube tutorial by expert Aiman Almansoori Like other candlestick patterns, the Harami can signal that a reversal may be at hand. This article will focus on these patterns and how to trade them. What is a Harami candle When the harami candlestick pattern appears, it depicts a condition in which the market is losing its steam in the prevailing direction. The harami candlestick pattern consists of a small real body that is contained within the preceding large candles’ real body. The preceding candle tends to be very large in relation to the other candles around it. This is important. Harami What does a harami tell us about the condition of the market? During a bullish move, the harami candlestick indicator tells us that strength in the previous candle is dissipating. Bulls who have made gains in the stock may be taking a breather to either accumulate more shares or sell out of their existing positions. The large preceding candle would signify climactic conditions in that regard. In order to understand this, compare the Harami candle above against the Three White Soldiers below: The obvious difference here is follow through versus hesitation after that first bar. An Exception While the bias of the harami candlestick pattern indicates a reversal, the appearance of a harami formation in day trading can actually be quite bullish if the highs of the bar prior to the harami are broken to the upside. This would indicate that there was, in fact, buying going on within the harami bar. Harami Cross The harami cross is a more powerful version of the harami. It is characterized by having a very small real body almost to the point of being a doji. Harami Cross The smaller the real body, the better for this formation. The lack of a real body after a strong move in the prior candle tells us with more certainty that the previous trend is coming to an end and that a reversal may be at hand. Bulls could not continue the upper hand and bears are putting on heavy selling pressure. The high or low of a harami cross setup tends to provide resistance or support for any further price moves. Let’s take a look at a simple example that a day trader could have profited handsomely off of. Harami Cross Example As you can see, this was a perfect harami cross setup. But the important point was the fact that we saw other candlestick formations confirm what the harami cross was telling us. Context is everything when interpreting candlestick patterns. The double top that came in the form of a bearish engulfing candlestick gave us that added confirmation that we really did see a top of some sort. Later, a triple top came in the form of a shooting star which also led us to believe that we could be in store for yet another pullback. This is the power of candlesticks and using various methods to confirm each other. Trading the Harami Now that we have covered the basics of the harami candlestick pattern, it’s now time to dive into tradeable strategies. Please note all of the subsequent examples are on a 5-minute time frame, but the rules apply to other time frames just as well. #1 – Trading Harami with Price Action Since the harami candlestick pattern is a price action component in itself, we should always includeprice action analysis in our strategies. Trading with price action means to rely fully on the price action on the chart. This means: no indicators, no oscillators, no moving averages, etc. You rely solely on chart patterns, candle patterns, support, resistance, and Fibonacci levels. This is the 5-minute chart of Facebook from Sep 29, 2015. On the chart, you will see many colorful lines illustrating different price action patterns. Harami + Price Action Trading The Harami First, we start with the red circle at the beginning of the chart. This is a 100% Harami candle! Yet, we do not enter the market, because the next set of candles do not validate a reversal. We get one tiny red candle and the next one is a strong bullish candlestick. However, after the big green candle that follows, we get a second tiny red candle. Notice how its body is contained by the bigger bullish candle. It is a bearish Harami! Confirmation In addition, with the next two red candles we confirm a Three Black Crows candle pattern, shown in the green circle. This is when we sell Facebook short and begin to follow the price action. Within the orange lines, you will see a consolidation, which looks like a bearish pennant. Suddenly, Facebook’s price breaks the pennant to the downside and thus we continue to hold our short position. Harami + Price Action Trading Temporary Resistance The further decrease in price then creates a bottom, marked with a green line. Then, we see a resistance level develop – the blue line. These are our next support and resistance levels for Facebook. If the price breaks the support, we hold our position. If the price breaks the resistance, we exit the trade – literally that simple! The price breaks the green support and we continue holding our short position. The new bottom after the decrease is now marked with a yellow line. Note that the price retraces to the blue resistance level and then bounces back. Did you notice that we now have two tops on the same line and two bottoms on the same line? This is how we draw our bearish channel. Capitulation The price breaks the yellow support in a bearish direction giving us the confidence to hold our short position. Harami + Price Action Trading The price then drops to the lower level of the channel and starts to form a bottom. This looks like a regular correction, doesn’t it? However, the blue lines at the end of the chart show how the price confirms a double bottom pattern. The double bottom is an early indication that price is likely to stabilize and lead to a potential rally. The Exit On that token, the next price increase confirms the double bottom pattern and the price closes outside of the downtrend channel, which has held the price down the entire trading day. At this point, the writing is on the wall and we exit our short position. This short trade with Facebook brings us a profit of $3.30 per share for about 5 hours of work. What a great trade! #2 – Trading Harami with a Fast EMA and Fibonacci Levels This time, we will combine the Harami candle chart pattern with an exponential moving average and Fibonacci levels. When you spot a Harami candlestick pattern, the key here is to use the moving average to set an entry point. If the price moves in your favor, follow the retracement with the Fibonacci levels. Similarly, close the position when the price breaks a key Fibonacci support level or when the exponential moving average is broken in the opposite direction of the primary trend. Harami + Fast EMA + Fibonacci Levels This is a 5-minute chart of Apple from Nov 19, 2015. I am using a 5-period EMA for this example. The first black line shows the overall bullish trend. At the top, we spot a bearish Harami candlestick pattern, which leads us to place the Fibonacci levels on the chart. Confirmation Two candles later, Apple’s price breaks the 5-period EMA downwards. This is when we go short. Notice that there is definitely a strong support around the 23.6% Fibonacci level (the shaded red to green area of the chart). However, the price doesn’t close above the EMA with its full body. For this reason, we hold our trade. Capitulation and Exit Eventually, Apple breaks 23.6% and keeps decreasing. A new drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci level appears (the bottom of the green shaded area). This is exactly when we close our position. The reason for this is that we see a hammer candle after the price touches 38.2%. This gives us a sign to exit the position. Otherwise, we could hold until the price closes above the EMA. This trade brought us a profit of $.77 cents per share in less than an hour. #3 – Trading Harami with a Fast Oscillator Since the Harami is a reversal pattern, we need a way to measure the likelihood of successful signal to reduce the noise. This is where a fast oscillator can be of great assistance in terms of trade validation. Oscillators Explained In daytrading, a fast oscillator can give more signals than the slower ones, so focus on these. If you use the money flow or the price oscillator, the chance to match a Harami with an overbought/oversold signal is minimal. The stochastic oscillator on the other hand is great for trading haramis. If you have an uptrend and you get a bearish harami candle, try confirming this signal with the stochastic. In this case, you will need an overbought signal from the stochastic. Confirmation Once you receive this additional signal, open a trade – a short position in our case. Then you can stay in the market until you get a contrary signal from the oscillator at the other end of the trade.