THE SOUTH AFRICAN INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

02/2000 SANA ARCHIVES and : The R Until recently, good relations between Uganda and its neigh granted. Both President Yoweri Museveni of Uganda and the Rwandese Patriotic Front (RPF) strongman Major-General Paul Kagame are considered the 'new breed' of African leaders. These are the leaders who have openly challenged the old African order based on the sanctity of territorial boundaries and non-interference in the domestic political affairs of other states. Museveni and Kagame openly intervened to interahamwe mifitia, and soldiers of ex-FAR who overthrow the dictatorial regime of President Mobutu have linked up with rebels such the Lord's Resistance of Zaire. However, a clash between the Uganda Army (LRA), and the Allied Democratic Front (ADF), •People's Defence- force- (UPOF) ancf-the- RwofJcJesc 'frg!1i*iffgi"iv«,iidfc.iiiiMuFeverif*s regime in Uganda and" Patriotic Army (RPA) in the DRC town of in their Sudanese backers. mid-August 1999 exposed the strain in their relations. Both countries support the Congolese rebels fighting In pursuit of their national security, Uganda and President Laurent Kabila of the Democratic Republic Rwanda supported rebellion againstMobutu in Zaire of Congo (DRC), the man they helped to power in because he was perceived as supporting groups May 1997. hostile to the regimes in the two states. Both countries are now supporting DRC rebels fighting to The clash between Uganda and Rwanda illustrated a overthrow Kabila. They accuse Kabila of doing number of issues: nothing to prevent the Hutu First, the tenuous nature of the Rwanda favours Interahamwe militia, ex-FAR, ADF, relationship between the RPF and the direct involvement of anc' tne Sudanese from waging war National Resistance Movement .. . against Uganda and Rwanda. (NRM) which is based on personal as opposed to institutional relations, conventional warfare However, a split has occurred Second, the conflicting strategies on gn(j quick victory." between Uganda and Rwanda on how to prosecute the war in the DRC. which strategy to employ. Rwanda favours more direct involvement of Third, the struggle for hegemony between Uganda its troops, in conventional warfare and a quick and Rwanda in the Great Lakes Region. victory. Uganda,on the other hand, would I ike to see Last, but not least, business rivalry over the lucrative the Congolese doing the fighting, with foreign forces economic resources in the DRC. providing training, logistical and intelligence support. Uganda favours a more protracted guerrilla Despite these conflicts, for the time being, Uganda struggle, during which rebels can set up administra- and Rwanda w\\\ •rerfisin -Rom-ina-I -wHies -sinee -tlte •-ttre-siTOCture5,andpo1iTici$e the population. During price of a complete split is too costly. However, the the struggle againstMobutu, the Rwandese army was rivalry between these two countries will further directly involved in the fighting and the capture of complicate effortsto resolve the political and military . For this they suffered a nationalist backlash conflict in the DRC. from the Congolese, since they were perceived as an occupation force. Uganda's close relations with Rwanda are a historical product of the role Tutsi refugees played in the NRM This conflicting strategy has once again manifested guerrilla struggle that brought Yoweri Museveni to itself in the current struggle by the Congolese Rally power in Uganda; and the subsequent role played by for Democracy (RCD) to overthrow Kabila's Uganda, both military and diplomatic, in the capture government. During the early days of the rebellion, of state power in Rwanda by the RPA in 1994. The Professor Ernest Wamba Dia Wamba was elected to RPA is thus, an offshoot of the Ugandan NRM. head the RCD to give the organisation a Congolese Relations between the two countries are largely face. However, the Rwandese were intent on based on informal links between people who served keeping a strong hold on the RCD and the Tutsi in the same army or government, who share common element represented by Bizimaha Karaha remained experiences, and who feel their destiny is linked by a largely in control. The RCD therefore operated as a perceived common threat: that of the Hutu Rwandese puppet, and failed to gain popular support

Please note that these views do not necessarilv reflect thns& nf +h*> outside . Under these circumstances, Uganda younger brother of Brigadier James Kazini, and some sponsored another rebel group under Jean Pierre business associates crashed while on a gold buying Bemba, the son of a prominent Congolese mission to the DRC. There have been complaints businessman. Uganda's strategy is to build up a from the Uganda Civil Aviation Authority about 'truly' Congolese organisation, that would take unauthorised flights to and from the DRC by elements charge of the Congo without Ugandan troops within the UPDF who use the old airport at Entebbe; necessarily being in Congo. Uganda has been and also from the Uganda Revenue Authority about involved in providing training for Bemba's rebel smuggling by UPDF and unscrupulous businessmen. army, intelligence and logistical support. They have Rwanda for its part is engaged in a systematic state- also encouraged Bemba to set up political and organised economic exploitation of the Congo, the administrative structures in areas under his control. proceeds of which are used to sustain the Rwandese Where Ugandans are involved in fighting, they allow economy. There is thus an economic rivalry between Bemba's rebel army to take the credit. This has not the two allies. gone down well with Rwanda, which accuses Uganda of fragmenting the rebel movement. To make matters It is under the circumstances discussed above that worse, when the RCD elected Emille llunga to replace recent relations between erstwhile allies Uganda Ernest Wamba Dia Wamba, the latter refused to and Rwanda have been strained, resulting in acknowledge the change of leadership, and shifted serious clashes between troops of the UPDF and camp to Kisangani under the protection of Ugandan those of the RPA in the DRC town of Kisangani in troops. This led to a split into RCD-Goma, under August 1999. A face-to-face meeting between Emile llunga and RCD-Kisangani under Ernest Museveni and Rwandese Vice-President Major- Wamba Dia Wamba. Consequently, relations General Kagame was necessary before a ceasefire between Uganda and Rwanda worsened to the point could be arranged. of open hostility and conflict in mid-August 1999. After the clash, a Joint Commission of inquiry was set Relations between Uganda and Rwanda have always up between the UPDF and the RPA headed by Major- been dogged by the struggle for hegemony in the General Odong Jeje and Brigadier Kayumba, the Great Lakes Region. Uganda has been perceived as respective heads of the two armies. The report was the regional hegemon, and it perceived by many in the UPDF as presents itself as the big brother. Rwanda is engaged in a being critical of the UPDF, and At the same time, the UPDF looks systematic state- thus a moral victory for the RPA, down upon the RPA and presents who had in any case inflicted a itself as a more disciplined and organised economic heavy casualty on the unsuspect- superior force; thus the threats by exploitation of the ing UPDF during the August UPDF Chief of Staff, Brigadier clashes. Reaction to the report James Kazini, who was until recently the threatened to split the UPDF and led to criticism of Commander of the UPDF in the Congo, to arrest Major-General Odongjeje. There were also talks of RCD-Goma Commander, Jean Pierre Ondekane. setting up another commission under the leadership This attitude is resented by Rwanda which does not of Deputy Chief of Military Intelligence, Major Noble want to play second fiddle to Uganda. The Rwandese Mayombo. This incident also exposed the fragile perceive themselves as having an efficient fighting cohesion within the UPDF. force. Major-General Kagame for instance, was not amused when he was not given recognition for his Implication for Relations Between Uganda role in the overthrow of Mobutu. He openly went to and Rwanda the international press about details of the war against The clashes between the UPDF and the RPA have a Mobutu. number of implications for relations between the two former allies. Rwanda accuses some elements of the UPDF of being nothing better than businessmen who are bent Senior officers in the UPDF such as Colonel Kahinda on plundering the economic resources of the DRC. Otafire, who was nearly captured during the August To the RPA, the UPDF is engaged in business. It is an clashes, accused the RPA of treachery and betrayal. open secret that the respective military commanders The incident resulted in anti-Rwandese sentiments grant mining concessions in zones under their not just within the UPDF, but also among the civilian control. Major-General Salim Saleh, the brother of population. Ugandans accused the Rwandese of President Museveni has been the foremost person being ungrateful, not only for the hospitality and involved in mining gold and diamonds. He is also assistance accorded to them in their struggle, but also involved in trade in timber. In September 1998, a because the families of a great number of Rwandese plane carrying Lieutenant-Colonel Jet Mwebaze, the officials still live in Uganda. Relations between Uganda and Rwanda are at an all- for either country. The odds against Uganda and time low. When Lieutenant-Colonel Reuben Rwanda are too great, and the dangers of an open Ikondere, the Commander of the Ugandan forces in split are clear for both to see. They have more than was killed in Beni in mid-November 1999, the enough common enemies. For the immediate future, RPAdid not send any condolences. Previously, this they will remain allies, as both regimes aim simply to would have been unthinkable. However, few would survive. be surprised now, since Lieutenant-Colonel Ikondere was the head of Ernest Dia Wamba's security. When Although both Rwanda and Uganda allege that they the RPA overran Wamba's headquarters at Zatexki have intervened in the DRC to ensure their own Hotel in Kisangani during the August clashes, it was security, the threats to the security of both countries Lieutenant-Colonel Ikondere who saved him from emanate from internal sources. Intervention in the being captured. DRC will not eradicate the security threats; if anything, it will in the long run undermine the The image of the UPDF as an efficient fighting force security of these states. Despite involvement in the was also tarnished after the heavy casualties during DRC, ADF attacks and raids in the Western Uganda the August clashes, numbering hundreds. It was not districts of Kasese, Bundibugyo and Kabarole have only demoralizing for the UPDF; it also brought continued, resulting in death, destruction, and home the reality of Uganda's intervention in the displacement of civilians. Involvement in the DRC DRC. Questions began to be.,raised more openly will overstretch the military and economic resources about the prudence of remaining in the DRC. of the two states. At the beginning of November, Rwanda announced the introduction of 'voluntary' The manner in which the conflict between the two taxes to sustain its involvement in the DRC. armies was 'resolved' also indicated clearly that relations between Uganda and Rwanda are built on Support for rival rebel groups has further complicated personalities, that is Museveni and Kagame. This thesituation in the DRC and it will make any peaceful therefore raises the question of how long the close attempts to resolve the DRC conflict more difficult. relations wifl continue; and whether the relations The existence of numerous rival rebel groups implies will outlive the two leaders. Even more disturbing is a multiplicity of negotiating partners and positions. the prospect of an internal rebellion by elements In such a situation it is not easy to arrive at a common within the UPDF who feel that Museveni is being too negotiating position and agreements are thus difficult lenient with the Rwandese. Equally disturbing is the to reach. Even if the parties to a conflict sign a peace prospect of rebellion by sections of the RPA who agreement, the dangers of it being breached are think that Major-Ceneral Kagame is caving in too greater. The numerous agreements to bring an end to much to Yoweri Museveni. It is not an easy choice the war in the DRC so far, illustrate this.

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