U.S. DEPARTMENT OF

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGYENERGY U.S. DEPARTMENT OF U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY ENERGY U.S. DEPARTMENT OF U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGYENERGY U.S. DEPARTMENT OF Atmospheric EscapeENERGY From TOI-700 d: versus Analogs

Chuanfei Dong1,2, Meng Jin3,4, Manasvi Lingam5,6 1 Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University; [email protected] 2 Princeton Physics Laboratory, Princeton University 3 SETI Institute 4 Lockheed Martin Solar and Lab (LMSAL) 5 Department of Aerospace, Physics and Space Sciences, Florida Tech 6 Institute for Theory and Computation, Harvard University Venus Science Today Outline

• Background and Motivation • Model Description and Results • Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) • 3-D BATS-R-US Multifluid Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) Model • Interaction with TOI-700 d • Comparison between Venus and Earth Analogs • Conclusion

2 Traditional Habitable Zones

Green Band: Habitable Zone Habitable Zone of TOI-700

4 Space Weather: Stellar Wind and Activity

Stellar flare-CME events have been observed (Argiroffi et 5 al., 2019, Nat Astro)! Atmospheric Ion Loss from Magnetized Earth Atmospheric Ion Loss from Unmagnetized Venus MAVEN Measured Atmospheric Ion Escape

Analogy: Blow-Dry Your Hair Credit: NASA/GSFC How Does the / Affect the ? /CME Earth-like Magnetized Venus/-like Unmagnetized

Exosphere Thermosphere and Ionosphere (Venus, Earth, and Mars)

9 Mendillo et al., 2018 Alfven Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) [van der Holst et al. 2014] Velocity • Data-driven inner boundary condition by synoptic magnetograms. • Coronal heating and solar wind accelerating by Alfven waves. • Physically consistent treatment of wave reflection, dissipation, and heat partitioning Plasma Beta between the electrons and protons. • Model starts from upper chromosphere including heat conduction (both collisional and collisionless) and radiative cooling. • Adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) to resolve 10 structures (e.g., current sheets, shocks). Calculated Stellar Wind Profiles from TRAPPIST-1 and TOI-700

11 Dong et al., 2018, PNAS; Dong et al., 2020, ApJL 3-D BATS-R-US Multifluid MHD Model (Earth: Dong et al., 2019; Venus: Dong et al., 2020)

+ + + +; Ø Four ion fluids: H , O2 , O , CO2 two background neutrals: CO2, O; and eight photochemical reactions. Ø Spherical grids: Ø Radial resolution varies from 5 km in the ionosphere to 3000 km far from the . Ø Angular resolution is 2.50 Ø 10 million cells Ø Inner Boundary Conditions Ø Inner boundary at 100 km + + + Ø [O2 ] , [O ] and [CO2 ] are in photochemical equilibrium (SZA and optical depth considered) Ø Absorbing boundary condition for U and B Ø Chemical reactions Ø Photoionization Ø Charge exchange Ø Electron impact Illustration of the grid system used in the 12 Ø Electron Recombination calculation. Atmospheric O+ Ion Source and Loss (Earth/Earth-like )

Phi -3 -1 Phi -3 -1 RO+ in cm s (early) RO+ in cm s (Carrington) + -3 + -3 4 4 4 n(O ) in cm (early) n(O ) in cm (Carrington) 3 3 3 Photoionization 4 2 2 4 4

Z 2 1 1 0 0 3 1 -1 -1 2 2 0 -2 -2

-2 Imp-1 0-3 -1 1 2 -2Imp -1 -3 0-1 1 2 Z 2 RO+ in cm s (early) RO+ in cm s (Carrington) 4 X 4 X 4 0 0 Electron 3Impact Ionization 3 3 1 2 2

Z 2 1 1 -2 -2 0 0 0 1 -1 -1 -2 -1 0 1 2 -2 -1 0 1 2 0 -2 -2 X X -2 CX-1 0-3 -1 1 2 -2CX -1 -3 0-1 1 2 RO+ in cm s (early) RO+ in cm s (Carrington) 4 X 4 X 4 Ancient (4.02 Gyr) solar An extreme “Carrington- 3 Charge Exchange 3 3 wind parameters at 1 au type” space weather 2 2

(Boesswetter et al. 2010). event (Ngwira et al. 2014) Z 2 1 1 0 0 1 -1 -1 0 -2 -2 Joule/Ohmic -2 -1 0 1 2 -2 -1 0 1 2 heating included: X X Case Studied

14 Pressure Balance during the Stellar Wind-Planet Interaction

Venus-like Earth-like Pmin

Venus-like Earth-like Pmax

15 Dong et al., 2020, ApJL Atmospheric Escape From TOI-700 d (an ): Venus versus Earth Analogs Assuming Venus-like and Earth-like orbiting an M-type star instead of the Sun. In general, an M-type star has higher stellar and stronger stellar wind pressure than our Sun, therefore, the ion escape rates are also larger than current Venus and Earth. Unmagnetized Venus Unmagnetized Earth Magnetized Earth 2.10×1026 S-1 1.18×1028 S-1 1.39×1027 S-1

16 Dong et al., 2020, ApJL Conclusion • We assess the feasibility of TOI-700 d to retain an – one of the chief ingredients for surface habitability – over long timescales by employing state-of-the-art magnetohydrodynamic models to simulate the stellar wind and the associated rates of atmospheric escape. • The simulations show that the unmagnetized TOI-700 d with a 1 bar Earth-like atmosphere could be stripped away rather quickly (< 1 gigayear), while the unmagnetized TOI-700 d with a 1 bar CO2-dominated atmosphere could persist for many billions of ; we find that the magnetized Earth-like case falls in between these two scenarios. • Space weather and stellar wind-induced atmospheric loss need to be taken into account for ! Thanks for Your Attention and Questions!