Corporate Bonds
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The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle
The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle Matthias Fleckenstein, Francis A. Longstaff and Hanno Lustig The Journal of Finance, October 2014 Presented By: Rafael A. Porsani The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 1 / 55 Introduction The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 2 / 55 Introduction (1) Treasury bond and the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) markets: two of the largest and most actively traded fixed-income markets in the world. Find that there is persistent mispricing on a massive scale across them. Treasury bonds are consistently overpriced relative to TIPS. Price of a Treasury bond can exceed that of an inflation-swapped TIPS issue exactly matching the cash flows of the Treasury bond by more than $20 per $100 notional amount. One of the largest examples of arbitrage ever documented. The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 3 / 55 Introduction (2) Use TIPS plus inflation swaps to create synthetic Treasury bond. Price differences between the synthetic Treasury bond and the nominal Treasury bond: arbitrage opportunities. Average size of the mispricing: 54.5 basis points, but can exceed 200 basis points for some pairs. I The average size of this mispricing is orders of magnitude larger than transaction costs. The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 4 / 55 Introduction (3) What drives the mispricing? Slow-moving capital may help explain why mispricing persists. Is TIPS-Treasury mispricing related to changes in capital available to hedge funds? Answer: Yes. Mispricing gets smaller as more capital gets to the hedge fund sector. The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 5 / 55 Introduction (4) Also find that: Correlation in arbitrage strategies: size of TIPS-Treasury arbitrage is correlated with arbitrage mispricing in other markets. -
International Bond Markets
4/15/2021 International Bond Markets (for private use, not to be posted/shared online) • Last Class • International Equity Markets - Differences - Investments Vehicles: Dual Listings (ADR), International ETFs - Valuation Methods (DDM, Discounting Free CFs, Multiples) • International Diversification pays • Returns in International Equity Markets - Huge dispersion in ERP across markets. Not easy to explain with existing models (CAPM, Fama-French Factors, etc.) - Many proposed factors to explain ERPs. 1 4/15/2021 • This Class • International Bond Markets ⋄ Organization and Issuing Techniques ⋄ Different Instruments ⋄ Valuation ⋄ Examples • CASE 6: Brady Bonds (due next Thursday, April 22) Group: Dixit, Erick International Bond Markets The bond market (debt, credit, or fixed income market) is the financial market where participants buy and sell debt securities, usually bonds. Size of the world bond market (’20 debt outstanding): USD 128 trillion. - Governments and International Organizations: USD 87 trillion (68%). - U.S. bond market debt: USD 49.8 trillion (38%). Organization - Decentralized, OTC market, with brokers and dealers. - Small issues may be traded in exchanges. - Daily trading volume in the U.S.: USD 822 billion - Government debt dominates the market. - Used to indicate the shape of the yield curve. 2 4/15/2021 • Evolution of Global Bond Market: Huge increase in issuance in 2020 (pandemic & very low interest rates) • Evolution of Global Bond Market EM issues have significantly increased over the past 20 year. EM play a significant role. 3 4/15/2021 • U.S. Bond Market Dominated by Government & Corporate Debt, & MBS. • Typical Bond Market: Canada Dominated by government issues. 4 4/15/2021 • The world bond market is divided into three segments: - Domestic bonds: Issued locally by a domestic borrower. -
Chapter 06 - Bonds and Other Securities Section 6.2 - Bonds Bond - an Interest Bearing Security That Promises to Pay a Stated Amount of Money at Some Future Date(S)
Chapter 06 - Bonds and Other Securities Section 6.2 - Bonds Bond - an interest bearing security that promises to pay a stated amount of money at some future date(s). maturity date - date of promised final payment term - time between issue (beginning of bond) and maturity date callable bond - may be redeemed early at the discretion of the borrower putable bond - may be redeemed early at the discretion of the lender redemption date - date at which bond is completely paid off - it may be prior to or equal to the maturity date 6-1 Bond Types: Coupon bonds - borrower makes periodic payments (coupons) to lender until redemption at which time an additional redemption payment is also made - no periodic payments, redemption payment includes original loan principal plus all accumulated interest Convertible bonds - at a future date and under certain specified conditions the bond can be converted into common stock Other Securities: Preferred Stock - provides a fixed rate of return for an investment in the company. It provides ownership rather that indebtedness, but with restricted ownership privileges. It usually has no maturity date, but may be callable. The periodic payments are called dividends. Ranks below bonds but above common stock in security. Preferred stock is bought and sold at market price. 6-2 Common Stock - an ownership security without a fixed rate of return on the investment. Common stock dividends are paid only after interest has been paid on all indebtedness and on preferred stock. The dividend rate changes and is set by the Board of Directors. Common stock holders have true ownership and have voting rights for the Board of Directors, etc. -
3. VALUATION of BONDS and STOCK Investors Corporation
3. VALUATION OF BONDS AND STOCK Objectives: After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Understand the role of stocks and bonds in the financial markets. 2. Calculate value of a bond and a share of stock using proper formulas. 3.1 Acquisition of Capital Corporations, big and small, need capital to do their business. The investors provide the capital to a corporation. A company may need a new factory to manufacture its products, or an airline a few more planes to expand into new territory. The firm acquires the money needed to build the factory or to buy the new planes from investors. The investors, of course, want a return on their investment. Therefore, we may visualize the relationship between the corporation and the investors as follows: Capital Investors Corporation Return on investment Fig. 3.1: The relationship between the investors and a corporation. Capital comes in two forms: debt capital and equity capital. To raise debt capital the companies sell bonds to the public, and to raise equity capital the corporation sells the stock of the company. Both stock and bonds are financial instruments and they have a certain intrinsic value. Instead of selling directly to the public, a corporation usually sells its stock and bonds through an intermediary. An investment bank acts as an agent between the corporation and the public. Also known as underwriters, they raise the capital for a firm and charge a fee for their services. The underwriters may sell $100 million worth of bonds to the public, but deliver only $95 million to the issuing corporation. -
Understanding the Z-Spread Moorad Choudhry*
Learning Curve September 2005 Understanding the Z-Spread Moorad Choudhry* © YieldCurve.com 2005 A key measure of relative value of a corporate bond is its swap spread. This is the basis point spread over the interest-rate swap curve, and is a measure of the credit risk of the bond. In its simplest form, the swap spread can be measured as the difference between the yield-to-maturity of the bond and the interest rate given by a straight-line interpolation of the swap curve. In practice traders use the asset-swap spread and the Z- spread as the main measures of relative value. The government bond spread is also considered. We consider the two main spread measures in this paper. Asset-swap spread An asset swap is a package that combines an interest-rate swap with a cash bond, the effect of the combined package being to transform the interest-rate basis of the bond. Typically, a fixed-rate bond will be combined with an interest-rate swap in which the bond holder pays fixed coupon and received floating coupon. The floating-coupon will be a spread over Libor (see Choudhry et al 2001). This spread is the asset-swap spread and is a function of the credit risk of the bond over and above interbank credit risk.1 Asset swaps may be transacted at par or at the bond’s market price, usually par. This means that the asset swap value is made up of the difference between the bond’s market price and par, as well as the difference between the bond coupon and the swap fixed rate. -
Evidence from SME Bond Markets
Temi di discussione (Working Papers) Asymmetric information in corporate lending: evidence from SME bond markets by Alessandra Iannamorelli, Stefano Nobili, Antonio Scalia and Luana Zaccaria September 2020 September Number 1292 Temi di discussione (Working Papers) Asymmetric information in corporate lending: evidence from SME bond markets by Alessandra Iannamorelli, Stefano Nobili, Antonio Scalia and Luana Zaccaria Number 1292 - September 2020 The papers published in the Temi di discussione series describe preliminary results and are made available to the public to encourage discussion and elicit comments. The views expressed in the articles are those of the authors and do not involve the responsibility of the Bank. Editorial Board: Federico Cingano, Marianna Riggi, Monica Andini, Audinga Baltrunaite, Marco Bottone, Davide Delle Monache, Sara Formai, Francesco Franceschi, Salvatore Lo Bello, Juho Taneli Makinen, Luca Metelli, Mario Pietrunti, Marco Savegnago. Editorial Assistants: Alessandra Giammarco, Roberto Marano. ISSN 1594-7939 (print) ISSN 2281-3950 (online) Printed by the Printing and Publishing Division of the Bank of Italy ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION IN CORPORATE LENDING: EVIDENCE FROM SME BOND MARKETS by Alessandra Iannamorelli†, Stefano Nobili†, Antonio Scalia† and Luana Zaccaria‡ Abstract Using a comprehensive dataset of Italian SMEs, we find that differences between private and public information on creditworthiness affect firms’ decisions to issue debt securities. Surprisingly, our evidence supports positive (rather than adverse) selection. Holding public information constant, firms with better private fundamentals are more likely to access bond markets. Additionally, credit conditions improve for issuers following the bond placement, compared with a matched sample of non-issuers. These results are consistent with a model where banks offer more flexibility than markets during financial distress and firms may use market lending to signal credit quality to outside stakeholders. -
Corporate Bonds and Debentures
Corporate Bonds and Debentures FCS Vinita Nair Vinod Kothari Company Kolkata: New Delhi: Mumbai: 1006-1009, Krishna A-467, First Floor, 403-406, Shreyas Chambers 224 AJC Bose Road Defence Colony, 175, D N Road, Fort Kolkata – 700 017 New Delhi-110024 Mumbai Phone: 033 2281 3742/7715 Phone: 011 41315340 Phone: 022 2261 4021/ 6237 0959 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected] Website: www.vinodkothari.com 1 Copyright & Disclaimer . This presentation is only for academic purposes; this is not intended to be a professional advice or opinion. Anyone relying on this does so at one’s own discretion. Please do consult your professional consultant for any matter covered by this presentation. The contents of the presentation are intended solely for the use of the client to whom the same is marked by us. No circulation, publication, or unauthorised use of the presentation in any form is allowed, except with our prior written permission. No part of this presentation is intended to be solicitation of professional assignment. 2 About Us Vinod Kothari and Company, company secretaries, is a firm with over 30 years of vintage Based out of Kolkata, New Delhi & Mumbai We are a team of qualified company secretaries, chartered accountants, lawyers and managers. Our Organization’s Credo: Focus on capabilities; opportunities follow 3 Law & Practice relating to Corporate Bonds & Debentures 4 The book can be ordered by clicking here Outline . Introduction to Debentures . State of Indian Bond Market . Comparison of debentures with other forms of borrowings/securities . Types of Debentures . Modes of Issuance & Regulatory Framework . -
HIGH YIELD OR “JUNK' BONDS, HAVEN OR HORROR by Mason A
HIGH YIELD OR “JUNK’ BONDS, HAVEN OR HORROR By Mason A. Dinehart III, RFC A high yield, or “junk” bond is a bond issued by a company that is considered to be a higher credit risk. The credit rating of a high yield bond is considered “speculative” grade or below “investment grade”. This means that the chance of default with high yield bonds is higher than for other bonds. Their higher credit risk means that “junk” bond yields are higher than bonds of better credit quality. Studies have demonstrated that portfolios of high yield bonds have higher returns than other bond portfolios, suggesting that the higher yields more than compensate for their additional default risk. It should be noted that “unrated” bonds are legally in the “junk” category and may or may not be speculative in terms of credit quality. High yield or “junk” bonds get their name from their characteristics. As credit ratings were developed for bonds, the credit agencies created a grading system to reflect the relative credit quality of bond issuers. The highest quality bonds are “AAA” and the credit scale descends to “C” and finally to “D” or default category. Bonds considered to have an acceptable risk of default are “investment grade” and encompass “BBB” bonds (Standard & Poors) or “Baa” bonds (Moody’s) and higher. Bonds “BB” and lower are called “speculative grade” and have a higher risk of default. Rulemakers soon began to use this demarcation to establish investment policies for financial institutions, and government regulation has adopted these standards. Since most investors were restricted to investment grade bonds, speculative grade bonds soon developed negative connotations and were not widely held in investment portfolios. -
Understanding Alpha Versus Beta in High Yield Bond Investing
PERITUS ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC Market Commentary Independent Credit Research – Leveraged Finance – July 2012 Understanding Alpha versus Beta in High Yield Bond Investing Investors have come to recognize that there is a secular change occurring in financial markets. After the 2008 meltdown, we have watched equities stage an impressive rally off the bottom, only to peter out. There is no conviction and valuations are once again stretched given the lack of growth as the world economy remains on shaky ground. In another one of our writings (“High Yield Bonds versus Equities”), we discussed our belief that U.S. businesses would plod along, but valuations would continue their march toward the lower end of their historical range. So far, this looks like the correct call. Europe still hasn’t been fixed, the China miracle is slowing and, perhaps, the commodity supercycle is also in the later innings. The amount of debt assumed by the developed world is unsustainable so deleveraging began a few years ago. These are not short or pleasant cycles and both governments and individuals will be grumpy participants in this event. It simply means that economic growth will be subdued for years to come. I have never really been able to understand economic growth rates that are significantly ahead of the population growth anyway…oh yeah, the productivity miracle. I have written chapter and verse on the history of financial markets and where returns have come from: yield. Anyone with access to the internet can verify that dividends, dividend growth and dividend re-investment are what have driven stock returns over the decades. -
Corporate Bond Market Dysfunction During COVID-19 and Lessons
Hutchins Center Working Paper # 69 O c t o b e r 2 0 2 0 Corporate Bond Market Dysfunction During COVID-19 and Lessons from the Fed’s Response J. Nellie Liang* October 1, 2020 Abstract: Changes in the financial sector since the global financial crisis appear to have increased dramatically the demand for liquidity by holders of corporate bonds beyond the ability of the markets to provide it in stress events. The March market turmoil revealed the costs of liquidity mismatch in open-end bond mutual funds. The surprisingly large redemptions of investment-grade corporate bond funds added to stresses in both the corporate bond and Treasury markets. These conditions led to unprecedented Fed interventions, which significantly reduced risk spreads and improved market functioning, with much of the improvements occurring right after the initial announcement. The improved conditions allowed companies to issue bonds, which helped them to maintain employees and investment spending. The episode suggests several areas for further study and possible reforms. * J. Nellie Liang, Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Brookings Institution ([email protected]). I would like to thank Darrell Duffie, Bill English, Anil Kashyap, Donald Kohn, Patrick Parkinson, Jeremy Stein, Adi Sunderam, David Wessel, and Alex Zhou for helpful comments and insights, and Manuel Alcalá Kovalski for excellent research assistance. THIS PAPER IS ONLINE AT https://www.brookings.edu/research/corporate- bond-market-dysfunction-during-covid-19-and- lessons-from-the-feds-response/ 1. Introduction As concerns about the pandemic’s effect on economic activity in early March escalated, asset prices began to move in unusual ways—including the prices of investment-grade corporate bonds. -
The Use of Credit Default Swaps by U.S. Fixed-Income Mutual Funds
Sanjiv R. Das FDIC Center for Financial Research Darrell Duffie Working Paper Nikunj Kapadia No. 2011-01 Empirical Comparisons and Implied Recovery Rates The Use of Credit Default Swaps by U.S Fixed-Income Mutual Funds Risk-Based Capital Standards, kkk Deposit Insurance and Procyclicality November 19, 2010 Risk-Based Capital Standards, Deposit Insurance and Procyclicality An Empirical September 2005 An Empirical Analysis Federal Dposit Insurance Corporation •Center for Financial Researchh State- May, 2005 Efraim Benmel Efraim Benmelech June 20 May , 2005 Asset S2005-14 The Use of Credit Default Swaps by U.S. Fixed-Income Mutual Funds Tim Adam, Humboldt University* and Risk Management Institute (Singapore) Andre Guettler, University of Texas at Austin and EBS Business School† November 19, 2010 Abstract We examine the use of credit default swaps (CDS) in the U.S. mutual fund industry. We find that among the largest 100 corporate bond funds the use of CDS has increased from 20% in 2004 to 60% in 2008. Among CDS users, the average size of CDS positions (measured by their notional values) increased from 2% to almost 14% of a fund’s net asset value. Some funds exceed this level by a wide margin. CDS are predominantly used to increase a fund’s exposure to credit risks rather than to hedge credit risk. Consistent with fund tournaments, underperforming funds use multi-name CDS to increase their credit risk exposures. Finally, funds that use CDS underperform funds that do not use CDS. Part of this underperformance is caused by poor market timing. JEL-Classification: G11, G15, G23 Keywords: Corporate bond fund, credit default swap, credit risk, fund performance, hedging, speculation, tournaments * Humboldt University, Institute of Corporate Finance, Dorotheenstr. -
Nber Working Paper Series Facts and Fantasies About
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES FACTS AND FANTASIES ABOUT COMMODITY FUTURES TEN YEARS LATER Geetesh Bhardwaj Gary Gorton Geert Rouwenhorst Working Paper 21243 http://www.nber.org/papers/w21243 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 June 2015 The paper has benefited from comments by seminar participants at the 2015 Bloomberg Global Commodity Investment Roundtable, the 2015 FTSE World Investment Forum, and from Rajkumar Janardanan, Kurt Nelson, Ashraf Rizvi, and Matthew Schwab. Gorton has nothing to currently disclose. He was a consultant to AIG Financial Products from 1996-2008. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. At least one co-author has disclosed a financial relationship of potential relevance for this research. Further information is available online at http://www.nber.org/papers/w21243.ack NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer- reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2015 by Geetesh Bhardwaj, Gary Gorton, and Geert Rouwenhorst. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures Ten Years Later Geetesh Bhardwaj, Gary Gorton, and Geert Rouwenhorst NBER Working Paper No. 21243 June 2015 JEL No. G1,G11,G12 ABSTRACT Gorton and Rouwenhorst (2006) examined commodity futures returns over the period July 1959 to December 2004 based on an equally-weighted index.