Global M&AM&A themes 20192019
Banking & Capital Markets Contents
Foreword 3 Global banking deal activity — 2018 4 Global deal flows 6 Insights from EY Global Capital Confidence Barometer 7 Americas M&A year in review 8 M&A outlook 2019 9 Europe M&A year in review 11 M&A outlook 2019 12 Asia–Pacific M&A year in review 14 M&A outlook 2019 15 EY advantage 17 Contacts 18
Methodology • This publication is based on the analysis of ThomsonONE.com and Mergermarket M&A data. • We included selected additional transactions that were not in the databases. • Deals include transactions (announced or completed) in which the target is in the banking sector. • Deals in which less than 20% (disclosed) of the company was acquired have been excluded from this analysis. • Equity investments were included. • JVs were not included. • There is no minimum disclosed value deal threshold. • The information and opinions contained in this document are derived from public and private sources is believed to be reliable and accurate but which, without further investigation, cannot be warranted as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. This information is supplied on the condition that the EY, its member firms, or any leader or professional of any thereof are not liable for any error or inaccuracy contained herein, whether negligently caused or otherwise, or for loss or damage suffered by any person due to such error, omission or inaccuracy as a result of such supply.
2 Global M&A themes 2019: Banking & Capital Markets Foreword
Welcome to the 2019 edition of the EY Global M&A themes: Banking & Capital Markets. This report reviews 2018 M&A activity across the banking sector, examines forward– looking confidence levels and related drivers from the latestEY Global Capital Confidence Barometer, and dives into the three main global markets (Americas, Europe and Asia– Pacific) to provide our outlook on the drivers of M&A in 2019. After a slowdown in the M&A activity during 2017, global banking sector M&A volume and value increased by 16% and 19% respectively in 2018. This growth was underpinned by robust deal activity in the US and across Asia–Pacific, and a significant increase in the Charlie Alexander number of mega deals (greater than US$1b). Consolidation within the payments segment EY Global Banking & Capital Markets and investment in technology–led businesses have been strong drivers of deal activity Transactions Leader in 2018. The banking sector’s search for new growth areas, continued technological London disruption and regulatory changes across regions will drive future M&A activity. Sector [email protected] convergence is also a key theme that we are closely watching as e–commerce, mobility, telecom and technology companies extend their product reach into financial services. According to the latest EY Global Capital Confidence Barometer, banking executives expect to see M&A activity to continue at elevated levels, with 53% expecting to actively pursue acquisitions in the next year. Deal–making is the fastest route to new markets, so there’s little surprise that 27% of banking and capital markets (BCM) respondents cite market entry as the foremost M&A driver. We will see consolidation at the regional level as regulation and political uncertainty pose a threat to cross–border deal–making. Private equity (PE) buyers with significant levels of dry powder will continue to scout for assets in payments, digital lending, FinTech and noncore assets, and will give stiff competition to trade buyers. The start of 2019 has raised geopolitical and economic growth concerns. Nevertheless, there has been a strong start to 2019 with three megadeals — SunTrust Banks and BB&T (US$28b), Fiserv and FirstData (US$22b), and FIS and WorldPay (US$35b) announced in early 2019. Institutions will continue to look for opportunities to grow, scale up, acquire new capabilities and improve digital offerings. While regulatory and political questions remain, the factors driving M&A in the sector are strong and should support deal–making for the foreseeable future.
Global M&A themes 2019: Banking & Capital Markets 3 Global banking deal activity — 2018
Value (US$b) Volume
792 deals 10 0 0