Dynamic Deformation And Fault Locking of The Xianshuihe Fault Zone, Southeastern Tibetan Plateau: Implications For Seismic Hazards Layue Li (
[email protected] ) China Earthquake Administration https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9117-2761 Yanqiang Wu China Earthquake Administration Yujiang Li National Institute of Natural Hazards https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0246-9737 Wei Zhan China Earthquake Administration Xinzhong Liu China Earthquake Administration Research Article Keywords: Xianshuihe Fault Zone, Strain rate accumulation, Fault locking degree, Slip-rate decit, Seismic hazards Posted Date: August 18th, 2021 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-783486/v1 License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Read Full License Page 1/27 Abstract The Xianshuihe Fault Zone is one of the most historically seismically active regions in mainland China. However, the seismicity along this fault zone has been quiescent for the past 40 years, since the Daofu M6.9 earthquake in 1981. Understanding its current deformation patterns and fault coupling characteristics is of great signicance to estimate the potential risk of strong earthquakes. In this study, we analyzed the dynamic deformation and fault coupling characteristics along the Xianshuihe Fault Zone using Global Positioning System (GPS) data for 1999–2007 and 2016–2020. The results show that the deformation pattern of the Xianshuihe fault zone underwent a dynamic adjustment after the Wenchuan and Lushan earthquakes, i.e., the maximum shear strain accumulation rates of the Luhuo and Daofu sections signicantly decreased from 6.0×10-8/a to 3.2×10-8/a, while that of the southeastern segment (i.e., Kangding and Moxi sections) increased from 4.5×10-8/a to 6.2×10-8/a.