Working Paper No. 27, Processes in Capital Accumulation Leading Towards Inequality
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Demographics, Wealth, and Global Imbalances in the Twenty-First Century
Demographics, Wealth, and Global Imbalances in the Twenty-First Century § Adrien Auclert∗ Hannes Malmbergy Frédéric Martenetz Matthew Rognlie August 2021 Abstract We use a sufficient statistic approach to quantify the general equilibrium effects of population aging on wealth accumulation, expected asset returns, and global im- balances. Combining population forecasts with household survey data from 25 coun- tries, we measure the compositional effect of aging: how a changing age distribution affects wealth-to-GDP, holding the age profiles of assets and labor income fixed. In a baseline overlapping generations model this statistic, in conjunction with cross- sectional information and two standard macro parameters, pins down general equi- librium outcomes. Since the compositional effect is positive, large, and heterogeneous across countries, our model predicts that population aging will increase wealth-to- GDP ratios, lower asset returns, and widen global imbalances through the twenty-first century. These conclusions extend to a richer model in which bequests, individual savings, and the tax-and-transfer system all respond to demographic change. ∗Stanford University, NBER and CEPR. Email: [email protected]. yUniversity of Minnesota. Email: [email protected]. zStanford University. Email: [email protected]. §Northwestern University and NBER. Email: [email protected]. For helpful comments, we thank Rishabh Aggarwal, Mark Aguiar, Anmol Bhandari, Olivier Blanchard, Maricristina De Nardi, Charles Goodhart, Nezih Guner, Fatih Guvenen, Daniel Harenberg, Martin Holm, Gregor Jarosch, Patrick Kehoe, Patrick Kiernan, Pete Klenow, Dirk Krueger, Kieran Larkin, Ellen McGrat- tan, Kurt Mitman, Ben Moll, Serdar Ozkan, Christina Patterson, Alessandra Peter, Jim Poterba, Jacob Rob- bins, Richard Rogerson, Ananth Seshadri, Isaac Sorkin, Kjetil Storesletten, Ludwig Straub, Amir Sufi, Chris Tonetti, David Weil, Arlene Wong, Owen Zidar and Nathan Zorzi. -
Global Wealth Inequality
EC11CH05_Zucman ARjats.cls August 7, 2019 12:27 Annual Review of Economics Global Wealth Inequality Gabriel Zucman1,2 1Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley, California 94720, USA; email: [email protected] 2National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA Annu. Rev. Econ. 2019. 11:109–38 Keywords First published as a Review in Advance on inequality, wealth, tax havens May 13, 2019 The Annual Review of Economics is online at Abstract economics.annualreviews.org This article reviews the recent literature on the dynamics of global wealth https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics- Annu. Rev. Econ. 2019.11:109-138. Downloaded from www.annualreviews.org inequality. I first reconcile available estimates of wealth inequality inthe 080218-025852 United States. Both surveys and tax data show that wealth inequality has in- Access provided by University of California - Berkeley on 08/26/19. For personal use only. Copyright © 2019 by Annual Reviews. creased dramatically since the 1980s, with a top 1% wealth share of approx- All rights reserved imately 40% in 2016 versus 25–30% in the 1980s. Second, I discuss the fast- JEL codes: D31, E21, H26 growing literature on wealth inequality across the world. Evidence points toward a rise in global wealth concentration: For China, Europe, and the United States combined, the top 1% wealth share has increased from 28% in 1980 to 33% today, while the bottom 75% share hovered around 10%. Recent studies, however, may underestimate the level and rise of inequal- ity, as financial globalization makes it increasingly hard to measure wealth at the top. -
A WILPF Guide to Feminist Political Economy
A WILPF GUIDE TO FEMINIST POLITICAL ECONOMY Brief for WILPF members Table of Contents Advancing WILPF’s approach to peace . 2 Political economy as a tool . 4 A feminist twist to understanding political economy . 4 Feminist political economy in the context of neoliberal policies . 5 Gendered economy of investments . 7 Feminist political economy analysis - How does WILPF do it? . 9 What questions do we need to ask? . 10 Case study . 12 © 2018 Women’s International League for Peace and Freedom August 2018 A User Guide to Feminist Political Economy 2nd Edition 13 pp. Authors: Nela Porobic Isakovic Editors: Nela Porobic Isakovic, Nina Maria Hansen, Cover photo Madeleine Rees, Gorana Mlinarevic Brick wall painting of faces by Design: Nadia Joubert Oliver Cole (@oliver_photographer) www.wilpf.org on Unsplash.com 1 Advancing WILPF’s approach to peace HOW CAN FEMINIST UNDERSTANDING OF POLITICAL ECONOMY IN CONFLICT OR POST-CONFLICT CONTEXT HELP ADVANCE WILPF’S APPROACH TO PEACE? Political economy makes explicit linkages between political, economic and social factors. It is concerned with how politics can influence the economy. It looks at the access to, and distribution of wealth and power in order to understand why, by whom, and for whom certain decisions are taken, and how they affect societies – politically, economically and socially. It combines different sets of academic disciplines, most notably political science, economy and sociology, but also law, history and other disciplines. By using feminist political economy, WILPF seeks to understand the broader context of war and post-conflict recovery, and to deconstruct seemingly fixed and unchangeable economic, social, and political parameters. -
Markets Not Capitalism Explores the Gap Between Radically Freed Markets and the Capitalist-Controlled Markets That Prevail Today
individualist anarchism against bosses, inequality, corporate power, and structural poverty Edited by Gary Chartier & Charles W. Johnson Individualist anarchists believe in mutual exchange, not economic privilege. They believe in freed markets, not capitalism. They defend a distinctive response to the challenges of ending global capitalism and achieving social justice: eliminate the political privileges that prop up capitalists. Massive concentrations of wealth, rigid economic hierarchies, and unsustainable modes of production are not the results of the market form, but of markets deformed and rigged by a network of state-secured controls and privileges to the business class. Markets Not Capitalism explores the gap between radically freed markets and the capitalist-controlled markets that prevail today. It explains how liberating market exchange from state capitalist privilege can abolish structural poverty, help working people take control over the conditions of their labor, and redistribute wealth and social power. Featuring discussions of socialism, capitalism, markets, ownership, labor struggle, grassroots privatization, intellectual property, health care, racism, sexism, and environmental issues, this unique collection brings together classic essays by Cleyre, and such contemporary innovators as Kevin Carson and Roderick Long. It introduces an eye-opening approach to radical social thought, rooted equally in libertarian socialism and market anarchism. “We on the left need a good shake to get us thinking, and these arguments for market anarchism do the job in lively and thoughtful fashion.” – Alexander Cockburn, editor and publisher, Counterpunch “Anarchy is not chaos; nor is it violence. This rich and provocative gathering of essays by anarchists past and present imagines society unburdened by state, markets un-warped by capitalism. -
Financial Integration and International Business Cycle Co-Movement: Wealth Effects Vs
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper No. 89 http://www.dallasfed.org/assets/documents/institute/wpapers/2011/0089.pdf Financial Integration and International Business Cycle Co-movement: Wealth Effects vs. Balance Sheet Effects* J. Scott Davis Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas September 2011 Revised: August 2012 Abstract Different types of international financial integration have different effects on cross-country business cycle co-movement. International business cycle transmission through financial integration occurs through the wealth and balance sheet effects. The balance sheet effect leads to business cycle convergence, but the wealth effect leads to divergence. Using a cross- sectional regression, this paper shows that cross-border credit market integration (debt) has a positive effect on co-movement, implying that the balance sheet effect is the main conduit for international transmission through credit markets. However, cross-border capital market integration (equity) has a negative effect, implying that the wealth effect is the main channel for international transmission through capital markets. By distinguishing between wealth and balance sheet effects, this paper resolves many discrepancies between some key empirical and theoretical findings in the open economy macro literature, between different studies in the theoretical literature, and between empirical studies that use a cross-sectional regression and those employing panel data. JEL codes: E30, E44, F40, G15 * Scott Davis, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2200 N. Pearl Street, Dallas, TX 75201. 214-922-5124. [email protected]. This paper previously circulated under the title “Financial Integration and International Business Cycle Co-movement: The Role of Balance Sheets.” I would like to thank Jean Imbs and participants at the Banque de France, CEPR conference on “The Financial Crisis: Lessons for International Macroeconomics” for many helpful comments and suggestions. -
Income Inequality and the Business Cycle: a Threshold Cointegration Approach ♣
INCOME INEQUALITY AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE: A THRESHOLD COINTEGRATION APPROACH ♣ Gary A. Hoover University of Alabama Daniel C. Giedeman Grand Valley State University Sel Dibooglu♦ University of Missouri St Louis March 2009 Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of various socio-economic variables on various cohorts of the income distribution. We use asymmetric cointegration tests to show that unemployment and immigration shocks have real impacts on income inequality. In addition, using threshold test results we are able to show that positive and negative shocks to the economy do not have symmetric effects nor do the impacts of these shocks impact income quintiles uniformly. Keywords: Income inequality, Granger Causality, Asymmetric Cointegration JEL: I32, I39 ♣ The authors wish to thank Junsoo Lee and an anonymous referee for helpful comments. The usual caveats regarding remaining errors apply. ♦ Corresponding author: University of Missouri St Louis, Department of Economics, One University Blvd., St Louis, MO 63121, Email: [email protected], Phone: 314 516 5530; Fax: 314 516 5352 1. INTRODUCTION Beginning with the seminal work of Kuznets (1955) many researchers have endeavored to investigate the nature of the relationship between economic growth and income inequality. The Kuznets hypothesis posited that the functional relationship between inequality and economic development had an inverted “U” shape. Kuznets speculated that inequality would initially be positively correlated with economic development but that the relationship between economic growth and inequality would become negative at higher levels of development. Results supporting this hypothesis typically come from the use of cross-sectional country-specific data. Some recent researchers dispute the Kuznets hypothesis such as Bruno et al. -
Marxism and the Solidarity Economy: Toward a New Theory of Revolution
Class, Race and Corporate Power Volume 9 Issue 1 Article 2 2021 Marxism and the Solidarity Economy: Toward a New Theory of Revolution Chris Wright [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/classracecorporatepower Part of the Political Science Commons Recommended Citation Wright, Chris (2021) "Marxism and the Solidarity Economy: Toward a New Theory of Revolution," Class, Race and Corporate Power: Vol. 9 : Iss. 1 , Article 2. DOI: 10.25148/CRCP.9.1.009647 Available at: https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/classracecorporatepower/vol9/iss1/2 This work is brought to you for free and open access by the College of Arts, Sciences & Education at FIU Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Class, Race and Corporate Power by an authorized administrator of FIU Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Marxism and the Solidarity Economy: Toward a New Theory of Revolution Abstract In the twenty-first century, it is time that Marxists updated the conception of socialist revolution they have inherited from Marx, Engels, and Lenin. Slogans about the “dictatorship of the proletariat” “smashing the capitalist state” and carrying out a social revolution from the commanding heights of a reconstituted state are completely obsolete. In this article I propose a reconceptualization that accomplishes several purposes: first, it explains the logical and empirical problems with Marx’s classical theory of revolution; second, it revises the classical theory to make it, for the first time, logically consistent with the premises of historical materialism; third, it provides a (Marxist) theoretical grounding for activism in the solidarity economy, and thus partially reconciles Marxism with anarchism; fourth, it accounts for the long-term failure of all attempts at socialist revolution so far. -
Marxist Philosophy and Organization Studies: Marxist Contributions to the Understanding of Some Important Organizational Forms by Paul S
1 Marxist philosophy and organization studies: Marxist contributions to the understanding of some important organizational forms by Paul S. Adler Dept. of Management and Organization Marshall School of Business University of Southern California Los Angeles 90089-0808 Draft chapter for: Research in the Sociology of Organizations, Special Volume on Philosophy and Organization Theory, 2010, Guest editors: Haridimos Tsoukas and Robert Chia Version date: Feb 2, 2010 Author bio: Paul S. Adler is currently Harold Quinton Chair in Business Policy at the Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California.. He received his PhD in economics and management at the University of Picardie, France. His research and teaching focus on organization design, with a particular focus on technical, professional, and manufacturing operations. Acknowledgments Earlier drafts benefited from research assistance from Jade Lo and from comments by Michael Burawoy, Richard Delbridge, Steve Jaros, Martin Kenney, David Levy, Richard Marens, Mark Mizruchi, Craig Prichard, Mick Rowlinson, Paul Thompson, and Matt Vidal, even if there is much with which they still disagree. 2 Marxist philosophy and organization studies: Marxist contributions to the understanding of some important organizational forms Abstract This essay aims to how Marx’s ideas and subsequent Marxist-inspired scholarship have contributed to the analysis of the various forms of work organization. It summarizes Marx’s basic philosophy, theory of history, and critique of political economy; it distinguishes more critical and more optimistic variants of Marxist theory; and it then shows how these ideas have been used in the analysis of key organizational forms, contrasting Marxist versus non-Marxist approaches and critical versus optimistic versions of Marxism. -
The Winding Paths of Capital
giovanni arrighi THE WINDING PATHS OF CAPITAL Interview by David Harvey Could you tell us about your family background and your education? was born in Milan in 1937. On my mother’s side, my fam- ily background was bourgeois. My grandfather, the son of Swiss immigrants to Italy, had risen from the ranks of the labour aristocracy to establish his own factories in the early twentieth Icentury, manufacturing textile machinery and later, heating and air- conditioning equipment. My father was the son of a railway worker, born in Tuscany. He came to Milan and got a job in my maternal grand- father’s factory—in other words, he ended up marrying the boss’s daughter. There were tensions, which eventually resulted in my father setting up his own business, in competition with his father-in-law. Both shared anti-fascist sentiments, however, and that greatly influenced my early childhood, dominated as it was by the war: the Nazi occupation of Northern Italy after Rome’s surrender in 1943, the Resistance and the arrival of the Allied troops. My father died suddenly in a car accident, when I was 18. I decided to keep his company going, against my grandfather’s advice, and entered the Università Bocconi to study economics, hoping it would help me understand how to run the firm. The Economics Department was a neo- classical stronghold, untouched by Keynesianism of any kind, and no help at all with my father’s business. I finally realized I would have to close it down. I then spent two years on the shop-floor of one of my new left review 56 mar apr 2009 61 62 nlr 56 grandfather’s firms, collecting data on the organization of the production process. -
Department of Economics
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Working Paper Problematizing the Global Economy: Financialization and the “Feudalization” of Capital Rajesh Bhattacharya Ian Seda-Irizarry Paper No. 01, Spring 2014, revised 1 Problematizing the Global Economy: Financialization and the “Feudalization” of Capital Rajesh Bhattacharya1 and Ian J. Seda-Irizarry2 Abstract In this essay we note that contemporary debates on financialization revolve around a purported “separation” between finance and production, implying that financial profits expand at the cost of production of real value. Within the literature on financialization, we primarily focus on those contributions that connect financialization to global value-chains, production of knowledge- capital and the significance of rent (ground rent, in Marx’s language) in driving financial strategies of firms, processes that are part of what we call, following others, the feudalization of capital. Building on the contributions of Stephen A. Resnick and Richard D. Wolff, we problematize the categories of capital and capitalism to uncover the capitalocentric premises of these contributions. In our understanding, any discussion of the global economy must recognize a) the simultaneous expansion of capitalist economic space and a non-capitalist “outside” of capital and b) the processes of exclusion (dispossession without proletarianization) in sustaining the capital/non-capital complex. In doing so, one must recognize the significance of both traditional forms of primitive accumulation as well as instances of “new enclosures” in securing rent for dominant financialized firms. Investment in knowledge-capital appears as an increasingly dominant instrument of extraction of rent from both capitalist and non-capitalist producers within a transformed economic geography. In our understanding, such a Marxian analysis renders the separation problem an untenable proposition. -
THE NEOLIBERAL THEORY of SOCIETY Simon Clarke
THE NEOLIBERAL THEORY OF SOCIETY Simon Clarke The ideological foundations of neo-liberalism Neoliberalism presents itself as a doctrine based on the inexorable truths of modern economics. However, despite its scientific trappings, modern economics is not a scientific discipline but the rigorous elaboration of a very specific social theory, which has become so deeply embedded in western thought as to have established itself as no more than common sense, despite the fact that its fundamental assumptions are patently absurd. The foundations of modern economics, and of the ideology of neoliberalism, go back to Adam Smith and his great work, The Wealth of Nations. Over the past two centuries Smith’s arguments have been formalised and developed with greater analytical rigour, but the fundamental assumptions underpinning neoliberalism remain those proposed by Adam Smith. Adam Smith wrote The Wealth of Nations as a critique of the corrupt and self-aggrandising mercantilist state, which drew its revenues from taxing trade and licensing monopolies, which it sought to protect by maintaining an expensive military apparatus and waging costly wars. The theories which supported the state conceived of exchange as a ‘zero-sum game’, in which one party’s gain was the other party’s loss, so the maximum benefit from exchange was to be extracted by force and fraud. The fundamental idea of Smith’s critique was that the ‘wealth of the nation’ derived not from the accumulation of wealth by the state, at the expense of its citizens and foreign powers, but from the development of the division of labour. The division of labour developed as a result of the initiative and enterprise of private individuals and would develop the more rapidly the more such individuals were free to apply their enterprise and initiative and to reap the corresponding rewards. -
Feminist Economics and the New Development Paradigm
B+1515 Feminist economics and the new development paradigm Women around the world work longer hours, participate less in labour markets than men, receive lower incomes and are more involved in unpaid work. Feminist economics demands a new development paradigm that is not based on +1515 economic growth and whose indicator is not the average GDP which conceals the half of the economy that is non- BB monetary. The classic model ignores essential activities that take place outside markets, such as maintaining a household, voluntary work, child rearing, caring for the elderly and a large part of food production and crop maintenance. The evolutive economist Hazel Henderson says quered. To cope with this new situation, society must Elsa Duhagon that human behaviour ranges from conflict and organise itself around a family model different from competition at one end of the scale to cooperation the traditional one of “man as provider” and “woman The economic and financial crisis has shown once and exchange at the other. She points out that only as housewife”. Today many families are headed by again that we need an economic analysis that takes market economics functions at the competition end women or by men and women where both have paid gender inequalities into account and that adjusts and that all the other social sciences are interested jobs. For this reason, Grynspan proposes programs some of the basic assumptions of classical econom- in cooperation and exchange, and consequently the of reconciliation between work and family in a way ics. To the current economic conception, growth theory of games is more and more the model to be that involves reconciling men and women, with this equals economic development and the Gross Do- applied.2 She adds, “In fact, new economics and even relation now being seen as one of co-responsibility in mestic Product (GDP) is the most used indicator to the mainstream of economic theory are beginning to the family and one that transcends the private sphere measure the “wealth” generated.