FY04 financial results NISSAN Value-Up
April 25, 2005
President and CEO Carlos Ghosn
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Agenda
FY04 sales performance FY04 financial performance FY05 outlook NISSAN 180 progress NISSAN Value-Up
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
1 FY04 Global retail sales volume
3,400 3,388 3,200 +10.8% 1990: Record sales 3,107 3,000 3,057
2,800 2,771 2,600
Thousand units 2,633 2,597 2,400 2,530
2,200 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY04 Global production
3,400 3,378 3,200 +10.2% Record production 3,085 3,000 3,064
2,800 2,737 2,600
Thousand units 2,614 2,400 2,402 2,469 2,200 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
2 FY04 sales performance Japan
Fuga 1,000 “RJC Car of the Year” 983 800 837 848 +1.4% 600
400
Thousand units Industry TIV: 5.8 million (-1.2%) March Cube 200 Nissan share: 14.6% (+0.4 point)
0 Tiida Note FY03 FY04 4 models in top 10 monthly sales ranking
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FY04 sales performance United States Frontier 1,000 1,013 +18.4% 800 859
600
Pathfinder 400
Thousand units Industry TIV: 16.9 million (+0.4%) 200 Nissan share: 6.0% (+0.9 point) Titan Altima 0 FY03 FY04
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
3 Infiniti sales performance
140
120 124 132 +6.5% 100
80 96 78 60 76 71 Thousand units
40
0 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY04 sales performance Europe
1,000
800 Industry TIV: 19.8 million (+4.2%) Nissan share: 2.7% (-0.2 point) 600 X-TRAIL 542 544 400 +0.3% Thousand units 200
0 Pickup FY03 FY04
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
4 FY04 sales performance General Overseas Markets*
1,000 983 800 +19.5% 822
600 Teana “Car of the Year 2005”
400 Thousand units 200 China sales: 194,000 (+92.7%) Including Dong Feng LCVs
0 FY03 FY04
*Including Mexico and Canada
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Agenda
FY04 sales performance FY04 financial performance FY05 outlook NISSAN 180 progress NISSAN Value-Up
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
5 FY04 financial performance
(Billion yen) FY03 FY04 Change
Consolidated net revenue 7,429.2 8,576.3 +15.4%
Consolidated operating profit 824.9 861.2 +4.4%
Operating margin 11.1% 10.0% -1.1points
FOREX ¥107.6/$1 for FY04 ¥134.4/€1
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY04 financial performance Impact on operating profit
Sales expenses -114
1,000
900 Billion yen Billion Forex -78 800 FY03 FY04 O.P. Volume/mix +284 O.P. 824.9 Scope of 861.2 consolidation +31
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
6 Incentives in the U.S.: Autodata
5,000
4,000 GM Chrysler
3,000 For d NISSAN 2,000 $ per unit Toyota 1,000 Honda
0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Incentives in the U.S.: CNW
For d 5,000 GM
4,000 Chrysler Toyota 3,000 Honda
2,000 $ per unit
1,000 NISSAN
0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
7 Comparison of incentives
5000 For d GM 4000 CNW Chrysler 3000 Toyota 2000 Honda 1000 NISSAN 0 5000 Autodata GM $ per unit 4000 Chrysler 3000 For d 2000 NISSAN 1000 Toyota Honda 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY04 financial performance Impact on operating profit Sales Product expenses enrichment -114 -92
1,000 Manufacturing expenses -15 G&A Purchasing R&D and 900 cost expenses others reduction -44 -25.7 Warranty Billion yen Billion +131 Forex expenses -78 -41 800 FY03 Volume/mix FY04 OP +284 OP 824.9 Scope of 861.2 consolidation +31
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
8 FY04 financial performance Operating profit by region Billion yen
JAPAN U.S. (+ CA N ) 400
352.5 341.1 351.8 379.7 200
0 FY03 FY04 FY03 FY04
EUROPE GOM (Including Mexico) 400
200 84.8 49.2 56 66 0 FY03 FY04 FY03 FY04
Eliminations: FY03 +5.4, FY04: -0.4
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY04 financial performance
(Billion yen) FY03 FY04 Change Net non-operating expenses -15.2 -5.5 +9.7 Financial costs -15.7 -10.4 +5.3 Ordinary profit 809.7 855.7 +5.7% Net extraordinary losses -73.2 -62.5 +10.7 Net income before tax 736.5 793.2 +7.7% Taxes -219.0 -258.0 -39.0 Minority interests -13.8 -22.9 -9.1 Net income 503.7 512.3 +1.7% FOREX for FY04 ¥107.6/$1, ¥134.4/€1
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
9 Net cash flow (automotive)
Billion yen 800
700 Investing activities 600 -450.7
500 Operating activities 400
Cash +879.2 Financing 300 activities -209.1 200 Free cash flow 100 205.8 0 -13.6 Net debt at Net cash at -100 beginn ing of FY03 end of FY04 Debt
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY04 financial performance Net automotive debt
2,500 2,100 2,000
1,500 1,349.7 Under new accounting 1,000 952.7 standards
Billion yen Billion 500 431.7
0 13.6 -8.6 -205.8 -215.9 -453.5 FY98FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
10 FY04 financial performance Return on invested capital (ROIC)
25% 21.3% 20.1%* 20% 19.8%
15% 12.7%
10% COP 7.5% ROIC = Fixed assets 5% (Auto) + Net working capital + Cash on hand 1.3% 0 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04
*Same scope of consolidation as P&L, excluding change of cash compared to FY03
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY04 financial performance Dividend policy
40 40 34 30 29 24 20 19 14
10 7 8 Dividend per share / yen per share Dividend
0 0 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03FY04 FY05* FY06* FY07*
*Forecast
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11 Agenda
FY04 sales performance FY04 financial performance FY05 outlook NISSAN 180 progress NISSAN Value-Up
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY05 outlook
3,500 3,618 3,000 3,388 +6.8% 3,057 2,500 2,771 2,597 2,000
1,500
Thousand units 1,000 TIV assumption: 61 million (+0.7%)
500
0 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05*
*Forecast
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
12 FY05 new models
Japan Europe Serena 350Z Roadster Otti Murano Compact wagon Pathfinder M-class sedan U.S./Canada Navara Minicar Micra C+C GOM Quest Infiniti MLafesta Pathfinder Tiida hatchback Interstar Navara Tiida sedan Xterra
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY05 outlook 3,618 +6.8% 3,500
3,000 3,388 1,088 +10.7% GOM 3,057 (+Mexico, Canada) 2,500 2,771 2,597 +1.1% Europe 2,000 550
1,500 1,047 +3.3% U.S.
Thousand units 1,000 TIV assumption: 61 million (+0.7%)
500 933 + 10% Japan 0 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05*
*Forecast
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
13 FY05 outlook
Risks Opportunities
Volatility in exchange NISSAN Value-Up rates Higher interest rates Higher commodity prices Higher energy prices Higher level of incentives Uncertainty on level of growth in U.S. and Japanese markets
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
FY05 outlook
(Billion yen) FY04 FY05(FC) Change Consolidated net revenue 8,576.3 9,000 +4.9% Consolidated operating profit 861.2 870 +1.0% Ordinary profit 855.7 860 +0.5% Net income 512.3 517 +0.9% CAPEX 477.5 540 +13.1% R&D expenses 398.1 450 +13.0% ROIC 20.1% 20% ---- or above
FOREX ¥105/$1 for FY05 ¥130/€1
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
14 Agenda
FY04 sales performance FY04 financial performance FY05 outlook NISSAN 180 progress NISSAN Value-Up
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
NISSAN 180 commitments
1 million additional units worldwide
9 8 % operating margin
9 0 net automotive debt at end FY04
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
15 Progress toward NISSAN 180 sales
4,000 3,597
3,000
2,000 1,809 1,403
Thousand units 1,120 1,000 849 553 274 0 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
NISSAN 180 Market coverage expansion
Kubistar 350Z Armada Titan Full-size SUV & Truck
P r i m as t ar I n t er st a r LCVs Moco Clipper Mini Mu rano FX35/4 5 Crossovers
Teana
Tiida Note New Compacts
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16 Agenda
FY04 sales performance FY04 financial performance FY05 outlook NISSAN 180 progress NISSAN Value-Up
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Track toward great company
NRP NISSAN 180 NISSAN Value-Up
“Revive our “Complete revival “Value up with company ” on track for sustained profitable growth” performance” Commitments • Profitability in FY00 • +1M units by 9/05 • 4.2M units in FY08 • Operati ng profit • 8% operating profit • Top level operati ng margin>4.5% in FY02 margin profit margin • 50% debt reduction • 0 automotive debt • ROIC average 20% by FY02
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
17 Evolutionary plan Core elements of NISSAN 180
Maximized More More alliance revenue Less quality with cost and Renault speed
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NISSAN Value-Up commitments
Profit commitment Top level operating profit margin among global automakers in FY05-07
To sustain performance
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18 NISSAN Value-Up commitments Top level operating profit margin
12 2003 N180 2004 2007 10 2002 NISSAN TOYOTA Value-Up
8 NRP BMW HYUNDAI 2001 6 HONDA RENAULT 2000 4 PSA COP (%) margin DCX FORD 2 VW GM 1999 ◆ Nissan◆ Competitors in 2004 0 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Global Market Share Change from 1999 (%)
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
NISSAN Value-Up commitments
Profit commitment Top level operating profit margin among global automakers in FY05-07
Volume commitment 4.2 million sales in FY08
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
19 NISSAN Value-Up commitments Global sales volume
4,000 +812 4,200 commitment 3,000 +791 3,388
2,597 2,000
Thousand units 1,000
0 FY01 FY04 FY08*
*Forecast
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
NISSAN Value-Up commitments
Profit commitment Top level operating profit margin among global automakers in FY05-07
Volume commitment 4.2 million sales in FY08
Return on invested capital 20% average ROIC over the plan
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
20 Financial metrics comparison
Strong cash flow 6 Nissan BMW Honda PSA 5 Toyota DCX VW 4 Top prof itability 3 2 Weak liquidity Average investment 1 0 Average rating: A t t ) b e e S ROA ROE rity nue l De bt u e Ma t CAPEX t Turnover Debt (B/ e Total Ass tion/ EBITA Margin R&D/Rev Ass RCF*/Total RCF*/NetDe DebtFCF/Total Debt Cash/ Charge Coverag Deprecia Adj. Cash**/Tota Fixed Adj. Cash**/
*Retained cash flow: Cash flow from operation – change in working capital - di vidend **Adjusted cash: Cash + marketable securities + V E BA (Voluntary e mplo yee’s beneficiar y association) Source: Moody’s Rating Methodology: Global Auto Industry (Sept. 2004) Analysis: NISSAN IR
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Financial metrics comparison
Strong cash flow 6 Nissan BMW Honda PSA 5 Toyota DCX VW 4 Top prof itability 3 2 Weak liquidity Average investment 1 0 Average rating: A t t ) b e e S ROA ROE rity nue l De bt u e Ma t CAPEX t Turnover Debt (B/ e Total Ass tion/ EBITA Margin R&D/Rev Ass RCF*/Total RCF*/NetDe DebtFCF/Total Debt Cash/ Charge Coverag Deprecia Adj. Cash**/Tota Fixed Adj. Cash**/
*Retained cash flow: Cash flow from operation – change in working capital - di vidend **Adjusted cash: Cash + marketable securities + V E BA (Voluntary e mplo yee’s beneficiar y association) Source: Moody’s Rating Methodology: Global Auto Industry (Sept. 2004) Analysis: NISSAN IR
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
21 Financial metrics comparison
Strong cash flow 6 Nissan BMW Honda PSA 5 Toyota DCX VW 4 Top prof itability 3 2 Weak liquidity Average investment 1 0 Average rating: A t t ) b e e S ROA ROE rity nue l De bt u e Ma t CAPEX t Turnover Debt (B/ e Total Ass tion/ EBITA Margin R&D/Rev Ass RCF*/Total RCF*/NetDe DebtFCF/Total Debt Cash/ Charge Coverag Deprecia Adj. Cash**/Tota Fixed Adj. Cash**/
*Retained cash flow: Cash flow from operation – change in working capital - di vidend **Adjusted cash: Cash + marketable securities + V E BA (Voluntary e mplo yee’s beneficiar y association) Source: Moody’s Rating Methodology: Global Auto Industry (Sept. 2004) Analysis: NISSAN IR
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Financial metrics comparison
Strong cash flow 6 Nissan BMW Honda PSA 5 Toyota DCX VW 4 Top prof itability 3 2 Weak liquidity Average investment 1 0 Average rating: A t t ) b e e S ROA ROE rity nue l De bt u e Ma t CAPEX t Turnover Debt (B/ e Total Ass tion/ EBITA Margin R&D/Rev Ass RCF*/Total RCF*/NetDe DebtFCF/Total Debt Cash/ Charge Coverag Deprecia Adj. Cash**/Tota Fixed Adj. Cash**/
*Retained cash flow: Cash flow from operation – change in working capital - di vidend **Adjusted cash: Cash + marketable securities + V E BA (Voluntary e mplo yee’s beneficiar y association) Source: Moody’s Rating Methodology: Global Auto Industry (Sept. 2004) Analysis: NISSAN IR
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
22 Inter-company loan From auto to finance
35.7% 35% 33.0% 1,050
30% 900 23.1% 25% 750
20% 600 Billion yen 15% 450
10% 300 % of inter-company loan inter-company % of 5% 150
0% 0 FY02 FY03 FY04
% of inter-company loan = inter-company loan/total funding excluding equity
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
NISSAN Value-Up commitments Return on invested capital (auto)
25% 21.3% ROIC average of 20% 20% 19.8% 20.1%* 15% 12.7% 10% COP ROIC 7.5% = Fixed assets 5% (Auto) + Net working capital
1.3% 0 FY99 FY00FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 NRP NISSAN 180 NISSAN Value-Up *Same sco p e of co nso lid at io n as P&L, exclud ing ch ang e of cash co mp ar ed to FY03
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
23 Key assumptions
Total industry volume up to 63 million units in FY07
Foreign exchange rate FY05 105¥/$ 130¥/€ FY06, FY07 100¥/$ 120¥/€
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
New global product launches
NISSAN 180 NISSAN Value-Up
New Products 31 28
Start of Production 44 70
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
24 NISSAN Value-Up 28 all-new models
10 new conquest models 18 28 replacement models
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Breakthrough Infiniti global tier-1 luxury brand
Russia
China North America Middle Japan* East Korea Taiwan
*Japan launch after NISSAN Value-Up
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
25 Breakthrough Light Commercial Vehicles
CARAVAN ATLAS AD Van
CABSTAR CIVILIAN 22 Nissan-badged models
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Breakthrough Light Commercial Vehicles
600 8.0% 8%
450 6% 434 4.0% +40% 300 3.6% 4% 3.3% 312 234 Thousand units 203 150 187 182 2% 1.4% Consolidated operating margin 0-0.5% 0 FY00FY01 FY02 FY03FY04 FY07*
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
26 Breakthrough Leading Competitive Countries (LCCs)
Hungary Romania China India Egypt Vietnam Mexico Thailand
Mercosur
Maximize opportunities, minimize costs
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Breakthrough Geographic expansion
Russia Eastern Europe Gulf Countries China Egypt Pakistan IndiaThailand
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
27 Opportunities Environmental technologies
NOx & HC Emission CO2 Emission
EV SU-LEV = CVT = HEV
ULEV ULEV
80% SU-LEV 40% EV 1 million 200,000 By March 06 CVTs hybrids
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
Opportunities New safety approach Safety Shield
10 new safety technologies in the next three years
FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
28 FY04 fi na nc ial re sul t s / NISS AN Va lue-U p April 25, 2005
29