Pediatric Lead Poisoning and the Built Environment In
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PEDIATRIC LEAD POISONING AND THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT IN KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI 2000-2013 A DISSERTATION IN Economics and Social Science Presented to the Faculty of the University of Missouri-Kansas City in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY by NEAL J. WILSON B.A., University of Missouri-Kansas City, 2005 M.A., University of Missouri-Kansas City, 2014 Kansas City, Missouri 2021 ©2021 NEAL JAMES WILSON ALL RIGHTS RESERVED PEDIATRIC LEAD POISONING AND THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT IN KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI 2000-2013 Neal James Wilson, Candidate for Doctor of Philosophy Degree University of Missouri-Kansas City, 2021 ABSTRACT This study examines relationships between pediatric lead poisoning and the built environment. Focusing on Kansas City, Missouri between the years 2000 and 2013 this dissertation informs policy options and identifies underexplored lines of inquiry related to pediatric lead poisoning. The dissertation extends the social surplus approach to economic modeling into a discussion of the production of pediatric lead poisoning. This dissertation grounds disparities in pediatric lead poisoning in an interdisciplinary context integrating biology, health effects, exposure pathways, social history, and economic theory into a research agenda. The original contribution of this dissertation is comprised of three interconnected parts: 1) the identification and assembly of an expansive data library for observing lead in the built environment, 2) the development of a warranted geocoding process to match 14 years of pediatric blood lead data to a parcel‐level geography which is inconsistent from year to year, 3) and exploratory empirical investigation of the assembled and associated geocoded data. Using a cross section of observational data, I estimate a series of ordinary least squares multiple regression models relating child, housing, and proximity focused explanatory variables to iii changes in the blood lead levels in children. The dissertation concludes with a consideration of public policies aimed at preventing pediatric lead poisoning and possible extensions of the assembled data. iv APPROVAL PAGE The faculty listed below, appointed by the Dean of the School of Graduate Studies have examined a dissertation titled “Childhood Lead Poisoning and The Built Environment in Kansas City, Missouri 2000-2013,” presented by Neal J. Wilson, a candidate for the Doctor of Philosophy degree and certify that in their opinion it is worthy of acceptance. Supervisory Committee Peter Eaton, Ph.D., Committee Chair Department of Economics Doug Bowles, Ph.D. Social Science Consortium Mathew Forstater, Ph.D. Department of Economics Jacob A. Wagner, Ph.D. Department of Architecture, Urban Planning, and Design James Sturgeon, Ph.D. Department of Economics v CONTENTS ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................. iii LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................ x LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS ........................................................................................ xii ABBREVIATIONS ....................................................................................................... xiv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .......................................................................................... xvi Chapter 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................. 1 2. CHILDHOOD LEAD POISONING IN AN ECONOMIC CONTEXT ................ 7 A Reading of Neoclassical Health Literature ................................................... 9 Towards Another Health Economics ............................................................... 21 Substantive Relationships, A Heterodox Social Surplus Approach, Cumulative Causation ................................................................................. 23 Ethical and Pecuniary Considerations ........................................................ 32 Contextual Overview ....................................................................................... 38 3. THE NATURE OF LEAD'S TOXICITY AND A REVIEW OF ITS EFFECTS 41 Geology, Human Action, Biology ................................................................... 41 How Lead Enters the Body ........................................................................ 44 Systemic Damage Once in the Body .......................................................... 46 Lead Exposure as a Particular Problem for Children ................................. 50 Review of Lead Poisoning and its Latent Effects ............................................ 52 Early Medical Observations........................................................................ 54 vi Modern Research Design ............................................................................ 57 A Turn Toward Social Effects .................................................................... 63 A Summing up ................................................................................................. 65 4. A SOCIAL HISTORY OF LEAD POISONING.................................................... 67 Lead Paint ....................................................................................................... 71 Gasoline, Ethyl ................................................................................................ 75 Awareness of Problems, Regulation of Products ............................................ 78 Unequal Exposure ............................................................................................ 80 Deeper Understandings and Remediation Strategies ....................................... 83 Summing Up: Lead Poisoning as Social Phenomena ...................................... 86 5. GIS, EPIDEMIOLOGY, MODELING RISK FACTORS ..................................... 88 Geographic Information Systems (GIS) ........................................................... 90 Epidemiology and Risk Factor Modeling ........................................................ 96 Child Focused Variables ............................................................................. 97 Housing Focused Variables ........................................................................ 105 Geography Variables .................................................................................. 115 Recapitulation of Modeling Decisions ............................................................. 133 6. DATA, GEOCODING, ASSEMBLY ................................................................... 135 Relationships, Organizations, Resources ......................................................... 136 Data Descriptions, Geocoding, Processing and Association ........................... 142 Neighborhood Housing Conditions Survey ................................................ 142 Geocoding Process ...................................................................................... 155 vii Blood Lead Data ......................................................................................... 170 Additional Explanatory Data ...................................................................... 194 Assembly Process, Filtration, New Variable Construction .............................. 206 7. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS .................................................................................. 211 Model Specification ......................................................................................... 213 Child Focused Variables ............................................................................. 215 Housing Focused Variables ........................................................................ 216 Geographic Variables ................................................................................. 220 Interpreting the Omnibus Model ...................................................................... 225 Child Focused Variables, Nonlinear and Dichotomous ............................. 225 Dichotomous Geography Variables ............................................................ 228 Dichotomous and Interacted Housing Focused Variables .......................... 229 Understanding the Model Through Restriction of Coefficients ....................... 235 Restricting Child and Proximity Variables ................................................. 235 Restricting Housing Focused Variables ...................................................... 239 8. POLICY DISCUSSION.......................................................................................... 245 Future Modeling, Data Acquisition, and Lines of Inquiry............................... 246 Policy Implications of Statistical Research....................................................... 249 Policy Implications of Research Agenda.......................................................... 252 Appendix A. SCHEMAS OF SOURCES AND BIOLOGICAL PROCESSES OF PEDIATRIC LEAD POISONING ......................................................................... 257 viii B. BRAINSTORMING RISK FACTORS FOR LEAD POISONING ...................... 261 C. NHCS HOUSING CONDITION SURVEY RATINGS GUIDE SUMMARY .... 264 D. GEOCODING SCHEMA ...................................................................................... 272 E. COMMUNITY DISTRICT AND NEIGHBORHOOD GEOGRAPHIES ............ 274 F. DATA ASSEMBLY SCHEMATIC ...................................................................... 284 G. COMPLETE DATA DICTIONARY