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Why Did So Many People Make So Many Ex Post Bad Decisions? the Causes of the Foreclosure Crisis
Why Did So Many People Make So Many Ex Post Bad Decisions? The Causes of the Foreclosure Crisis The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters Citation Foote, Christopher L., Kristopher S. Gerardi, and Paul S. Willen. 2012. Why did so many people make so many ex post bad decisions? The causes of the foreclosure crisis. In Rethinking finance: Perspectives on the crisis: April 13, 2012, New York, NY, ed. Alan Blinder, Andrew Lo, and Bob Solow. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. Published Version doi:10.3386/w18082 Citable link http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:10885504 Terms of Use This article was downloaded from Harvard University’s DASH repository, and is made available under the terms and conditions applicable to Open Access Policy Articles, as set forth at http:// nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:dash.current.terms-of- use#OAP NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES WHY DID SO MANY PEOPLE MAKE SO MANY EX POST BAD DECISIONS? THE CAUSES OF THE FORECLOSURE CRISIS Christopher L. Foote Kristopher S. Gerardi Paul S. Willen Working Paper 18082 http://www.nber.org/papers/w18082 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 May 2012 This paper was prepared for the conference, “Rethinking Finance: New Perspectives on the Crisis,” organized by Alan Blinder, Andy Lo and Robert Solow and sponsored by the Russell Sage and Century Foundations. Thanks to Alberto Bisin, Ryan Bubb, Scott Frame, Jeff Fuhrer, Andreas Fuster, Anil Kashyap, Andreas Lehnert, and Bob Triest for helpful discussions and comments. -
Why Did So Many People Make So Many Ex Post Bad Decisions? the Causes of the Foreclosure Crisis∗
Why Did So Many People Make So Many Ex Post Bad Decisions? The Causes of the Foreclosure Crisis∗ Christopher L. Foote Kristopher S. Gerardi FRB Boston FRB Atlanta Paul S. Willen FRB Boston and NBER April 2012 Abstract: We present 12 facts about the mortgage crisis. We argue that the facts refute the popular story that the crisis resulted from finance industry insiders deceiv- ing uninformed mortgage borrowers and investors. Instead, we argue that borrowers and investors made decisions that were rational and logical given their ex post overly optimistic beliefs about house prices. We then show that neither institutional fea- tures of the mortgage market nor financial innovations are any more likely to explain those wrong beliefs than they are to explain the Dutch tulip bubble 400 years ago. Economists should acknowledge the limits of our understanding of asset price bubbles and design policies accordingly. ∗This paper was prepared for the conference, “Rethinking Finance: New Perspectives on the Crisis,” or- ganized by Alan Blinder, Andy Lo and Robert Solow and sponsored by the Russell Sage and Century Founda- tions. Thanks to Alberto Bisin, Ryan Bubb, Scott Frame, Jeff Fuhrer, Andreas Fuster, Anil Kashyap, Andreas Lehnert, and Bob Triest for helpful discussions and comments. The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not represent the official positions of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston or Atlanta or the Federal Reserve System. Contact info: [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]. 1 Introduction More than four years after defaults and foreclosures began to rise, economists are still debat- ing the ultimate origins of the U.S. -
LNG Output Surge of 43% by 2024 to Drive Qatar's Next Development Phase
Thursday, December 27, 2018 Rabia II 20, 1440 AH FED CONCERNS: Page 12 Currency traders GULF TIMES on front line as markets stay wary BUSINESS of US headwinds Corrigendum Doha Bank successfully closes $525mn syndicated term loan LNG output surge of 43% In the report published in yesterday’s Gulf Times (Business Page 1) on Doha Bank’s syndicated term loan closure, the amount was erroneously mentioned as QR525mn in the headline instead of $525mn. The correct headline should read as “Doha Bank successfully closes $525mn syndicated term loan”. by 2024 to drive Qatar’s The error is regretted. - Editor next development phase As oil prices plunge, Opec By Pratap John In September, Qatargas an- Chief Business Reporter nounced a long-term sale and purchase agreement (SPA) with output is at risk PetroChina International Com- atar’s decision to step up pany Limited to supply China with annual liquefi ed natural gas around 3.4mn tonnes of LNG a from unrest Q(LNG) production capac- year. ity by 43% to 110mn tonnes within Under the 22-year agreement, fi ve years was among the energy which ends in 2040, Qatargas will Bloomberg sector highlights of 2018, a year in supply LNG from the Qatargas 2 London which the country also opted out project, a joint venture between of Organisation of the Petroleum QP, ExxonMobil and Total, to dif- Exporting Countries (Opec), which ferent receiving terminals across il’s plunge has taken prices below the level all it joined in 1961, one year after the China, with the fi rst cargo to be de- but one Opec country needs to square their organisation’s establishment. -
Energy Bill Stalled 'Kiv
Beginning this week ^ / i ' Sunrise Herald to have more features What’s new in the Saturday Sunrise Herald? youngsters at Concordia Lutheran Church Nursery cable television schedule. Features — more features. School. Your Neighbors' Views will solicit answers to Suburban correspondents wilt produce weekly features For instance, the Oct. 1 Sunrise Herald will carry a questions on Page 1 with photographs. about events and people in their towns. feature especially produced for this edition — a feature The expanded Weekend, edited by our suburban editor, Courses by Newspaper offers college credits for those on Sen. Lowell Weicker. It has been written by “our man Doug Bevins, will continue to carry such features as enrolled in the 16-week course. in Washington,” Lee Roderick, our Scripps League Collectors' Corner on stamps, coins and other collec Newspapers correspondent who writes Washington com tibles; the CB Convac column for CB’ers; the New on Saturday will be the IT’S YOUR OPINION mentary and keeps an eye out for news of special interest bookmobile schedule and new books at Manchester feature where Herald readers are invited to submit their to Herald readers. libraries; the June Tompkins Forum of the Arts column; opinions on topics of interest to the community. Family pages will expand into the Saturday paper.' the Dick Kleiner syndicated column on Hollywood gossip Wally Fortin and Gloria Benson keep readers abreast You will find a color food section, too; and this coming and questions. Ask Kleiner; complete television listings, of happenings at the Senior Citizens Center. Saturday, there will be a feature on recipe ideas from the including the movies for the week, sports on TV, and the You will find them all in your Saturday Sunrise Herald. -
Nber Working Paper Series Why Did So Many People
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES WHY DID SO MANY PEOPLE MAKE SO MANY EX POST BAD DECISIONS? THE CAUSES OF THE FORECLOSURE CRISIS Christopher L. Foote Kristopher S. Gerardi Paul S. Willen Working Paper 18082 http://www.nber.org/papers/w18082 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 May 2012 This paper was prepared for the conference, “Rethinking Finance: New Perspectives on the Crisis,” organized by Alan Blinder, Andy Lo and Robert Solow and sponsored by the Russell Sage and Century Foundations. Thanks to Alberto Bisin, Ryan Bubb, Scott Frame, Jeff Fuhrer, Andreas Fuster, Anil Kashyap, Andreas Lehnert, and Bob Triest for helpful discussions and comments. The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not represent the official positions of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston or Atlanta, the Federal Reserve System, or the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer- reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2012 by Christopher L. Foote, Kristopher S. Gerardi, and Paul S. Willen. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Why Did So Many People Make So Many Ex Post Bad Decisions? The Causes of the Foreclosure Crisis Christopher L. Foote, Kristopher S. Gerardi, and Paul S. Willen NBER Working Paper No. 18082 May 2012 JEL No. D14,D18,D53,D82,G01,G02,G38 ABSTRACT We present 12 facts about the mortgage crisis. -
January-December 1994
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