HS2 Consultation
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High Speed 2 HS2 Consultation Supplementary Analysis V1-5 In House Analytical Consultancy 21 February 2012 HS2 Consultation Supplementary Analysis Foreword Foreword by the Department for Transport Purpose of this Analysis The 2011 consultation on high speed rail was one of the largest consultations ever undertaken by the Department for Transport. It attracted almost 55,000 responses. A full and detailed analysis of these responses was undertaken by an independent response analysis company, Dialogue by Design (DbyD), whose November 2011 Consultation Summary Report is available on the DfT website at http://www.dft.gov.uk/publications/hs2-consultation-summary/. DfT decided to commission supplementary analysis of the consultation responses from its In House Analytical Consultancy. This analysis focuses on looking at the difference in responses from people in different areas in the country or from different groups. There were two main reasons why it was felt that supplementary analysis covering these areas would be useful. Firstly, the results of a peer review of DbyD’s analysis suggested that more geographical analysis of responses would be desirable. The peer review, carried out by The Consultation Institute (TCI), stated in its conclusions that DbyD “could have done more to provide a geographical breakdown of respondents, and to explain how the views of people in different parts of the country differed”. TCI’s full report is available on the HS2 Ltd website. Secondly, following the consultation there has been interest from the public, media and other groups in the geographical spread of respondents and how views differed across the country, as well as the views of various groupings of respondents on key issues. As DbyD’s Consultation Summary Report focuses on what was said in the consultation rather than who said it, it was considered that there was merit in undertaking some additional analysis about respondents. This report will be used by DfT and HS2 Ltd to better understand the views of different groups, and to plan and tailor future engagement and consultation. In House Analytical Consultancy 2 HS2 Consultation Supplementary Analysis Contents Contents Chapter 1: Management Summary ............................................................................ 5 1.1 Key findings....................................................................................................... 5 Chapter 2: Introduction ............................................................................................ 7 2.1 Background ....................................................................................................... 7 2.2 IHAC analysis..................................................................................................... 7 2.3 Data issues ........................................................................................................ 8 Chapter 3: Analysis .................................................................................................10 3.1 Overall results...................................................................................................10 3.2 Geographical factors..........................................................................................10 3.2.1 Distance to line and agreement with HS2 .........................................................10 3.2.2 Distance to a proposed station.........................................................................14 3.2.3 Key towns......................................................................................................15 3.2.4 All postcode areas ..........................................................................................15 3.2.4.1 Hemel Hempstead (HP) postcode area ..........................................................16 3.2.5 Country .........................................................................................................18 3.2.6 Deprivation ....................................................................................................18 3.2.7 Rural or urban location....................................................................................19 3.3 Key issues.........................................................................................................20 3.3.1 Key issues by agreement level .........................................................................20 3.3.1.1 All responses ...............................................................................................20 3.3.1.2 Non-campaign responses only.......................................................................20 3.3.2 Key issues by distance to line ..........................................................................21 3.3.3 Key issues by city ...........................................................................................21 3.3.4 Key issues by country .....................................................................................23 3.4 Sector views .....................................................................................................23 3.4.1 Public responses.............................................................................................23 3.4.2 Elected representatives ...................................................................................24 3.4.3 Organisations (overall) ....................................................................................24 3.4.4 Transport industry ..........................................................................................24 3.4.5 Business ........................................................................................................24 3.5 Noise................................................................................................................25 3.6 Travel Habits.....................................................................................................27 3.7 Cost and economic benefit .................................................................................28 3.8 Blight Proposals.................................................................................................29 Annex A: All Postcode Areas .......................................................................................i Annex B: Key Themes ................................................................................................i Annex C: Key Issues by Group ....................................................................................i C.1 Level of Agreement ..............................................................................................i C.1.1 Agree with HS2 .................................................................................................i C.1.2 Disagree with HS2 .............................................................................................i C.1.3 Unclear/Undecided ...........................................................................................ii C.2 Excluding campaign responses .............................................................................ii C.2.1 All non-campaign..............................................................................................ii C.2.2 Non-campaign and agree with HS2 ................................................................... iii In House Analytical Consultancy 3 HS2 Consultation Supplementary Analysis Contents C.2.3 Non-campaign and disagree with HS2 ............................................................... iii C.3 Distance from line ..............................................................................................iv C.3.1 Within nine miles of route ................................................................................iv C.3.2 Outside nine miles of route ..............................................................................iv C.4 Country ..............................................................................................................v C.4.1 Scotland ..........................................................................................................v C.4.2 Wales ..............................................................................................................v Annex D: Sector Issues ..............................................................................................i D.1 Public and elected representatives.........................................................................i D.1.1 Members of the public .......................................................................................i D.1.2 Elected representatives......................................................................................i D.2 Organisations .....................................................................................................ii D.2.1 All organisations...............................................................................................ii D.2.2 Transport, infrastructure or utility organisation ...................................................ii D.2.3 Local or regional business ................................................................................ iii D.2.4 National or international business ..................................................................... iii In House Analytical Consultancy 4 HS2 Consultation Supplementary Analysis Chapter 1 – Management Summary Chapter 1: Management Summary The In House Analytical Consultancy was asked to carry out a supplementary analysis of High Speed 2 consultation responses. This focussed mainly